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2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · Cajun Field
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Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadTXSO aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreTXSO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:01 · Nic Risso punt for 37 yds , Eric Garror returns for 19 yds to the LaLaf 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 46Pregame prior+47.2Home team on offense+4.4Score differential+1.0Blowout margin+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.4Garbage-time factor+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 13:18: Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK) — TXSO win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 7:14: Richard Garcia III 44 yd FG GOOD — TXSO win probability +0.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: TXSO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 6:09: Levi Lewis pass complete to Trey Ragas for 9 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK) — UL win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q1 0:39: Raymond Calais run for 16 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK) — TXSO win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 13:08: Trey Ragas run for 34 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK) — UL win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TXSO made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 13:10TXSO 4th & 5 at TXSO 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:14TXSO 4th & 10 at UL 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:01TXSO 4th & 18 at TXSO 33, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00TXSO 4th & 15 at TXSO 20, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:08TXSO 4th & 4 at TXSO 31, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:56TXSO 4th & 4 at UL 47, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:07TXSO 4th & 10 at UL 22, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:42TXSO 4th & 2 at TXSO 43, down 50
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:00TXSO 4th & 4 at UL 37, down 50
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:12TXSO 4th & 3 at TXSO 42, down 57
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:27TXSO 4th & 7 at TXSO 28, down 64
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:12TXSO 4th & 7 at TXSO 44, down 71
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 11 of 11
  1. Q1 13:18UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:46UL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:09UL Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:39UL Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 13:08UL Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 10:56UL Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 8:16UL Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 4:42UL Touchdown, up 49 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 2:12UL Touchdown, up 56 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 6:27UL Touchdown, up 63 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 4:12UL Touchdown, up 70 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 1:42100% → 100%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+25
99.5%
Trey Ragas run for 25 yds to the TexSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
99.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jamal Bell for 15 yds to the TexSo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
99.5%
Trey Ragas run for 12 yds to the TexSo 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
99.5%
Trey Ragas run for 8 yds to the TexSo 3Similar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+3
99.5%
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
De'Andre Johnson run for no gain to the TexSo 25Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.4%
De'Andre Johnson pass complete to Ladarius Owens for 5 yds to the TexSo 30Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.4%
De'Andre Johnson pass incomplete to Ladarius OwensSimilar
Q1 13:10
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.5%
Nic Risso punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaLaf 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 2:3599% → 99%
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
99.4%
Elijah Mitchell run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+18
99.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 18 yds to the TexSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
99.4%
Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the TexSo 34Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+11
99.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 11 yds to the TexSo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
99.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jamal Bell for 3 yds to the TexSo 20Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+18
99.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 18 yds to the TexSo 2 for a 1ST down TEXAS SOUTHERN Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.4%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jalen Williams, broken up by Ja'Corey BenjaminSimilar
Q1 9:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.4%
Raymond Calais run for 2 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 4FG
13 plays · 61 yds · 2:251% → 1%
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
99.4%
Ladarius Owens run for 4 yds to the TexSo 17Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+14
99.4%
De'Andre Johnson pass complete to Ladarius Owens for 14 yds to the TexSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+17
99.4%
De'Andre Johnson pass complete to Roylain Oliver for 17 yds to the TexSo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
99.3%
Ladarius Owens run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 8
50
+12
99.3%
De'Andre Johnson pass complete to Chris Long for 12 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.3%
De'Andre Johnson pass incomplete to Donnie CorleySimilar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
99.3%
De'Andre Johnson pass incomplete to Tren'Davian DicksonSimilar
Q1 9:39
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+12
99.4%
De'Andre Johnson pass complete to Donnie Corley for 12 yds to the LaLaf 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.3%
De'Andre Johnson pass incomplete to Donnie Corley, broken up by Eric GarrorSimilar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
99.3%
De'Andre Johnson pass incomplete to Thurman MorbleySimilar
Q1 9:39
3RD & 10
OPP 26
0
99.3%
De'Andre Johnson pass incomplete to Tren'Davian DicksonSimilar
Q1 7:14
4TH & 10
OPP 26
+44
99.2%
Richard Garcia III 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 5TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 0:5499% → 99%
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+31
99.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 31 yds to the TexSo 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
99.2%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the TexSo 9Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
99.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Trey Ragas for 9 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 13 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.3%
De'Andre Johnson run for 3 yds to the TexSo 23Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+8
99.3%
Dominic Franklin run for 8 yds to the TexSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
99.3%
Dominic Franklin run for 4 yds to the TexSo 35Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+4
99.3%
De'Andre Johnson pass complete to Tariq Buchanan for 4 yds to the TexSo 39Similar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+2
99.2%
Dominic Franklin run for 2 yds to the TexSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
99.3%
De'Andre Johnson sacked by Kendall Wilkerson for a loss of 10 yards to the TexSo 31Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 20
OWN 31
+2
99.3%
Dominic Franklin run for 2 yds to the TexSo 33Similar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 18
OWN 33
0
99.3%
De'Andre Johnson pass incomplete to Thurman MorbleySimilar
Q1 6:01
4TH & 18
OWN 33
+19
99.3%
Nic Risso punt for 37 yds , Eric Garror returns for 19 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 7TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 1:5599% → 99%
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+23
99.2%
Elijah Mitchell run for 23 yds to the TexSo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
99.2%
Lewis, Levi pass complete to Mitchell, Elijah for 15 yards to the TXSOFB13 (Ja'Corey Benjamin;Patrick Howell), PENALTY LA ineligible downfield on pass (Vallot, Shane) 5 yards to the TXSOFB33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:44
1ST & 15
OPP 33
0
99.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Raymond Calais for no gain to the TexSo 33Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 15
OPP 33
0
99.2%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jamal Bell, broken up by Jr Dallas BlacklockSimilar
Q1 1:44
3RD & 15
OPP 33
+23
99.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 23 yds to the TexSo 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-6
99.2%
Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the TexSo 6 LOUISIANA Penalty, Offensive holding (O'Cyrus Torrence) to the TexSo 16Similar
Q1 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 16
+16
99.1%
Raymond Calais run for 16 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:391% → 1%
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.2%
De'Andre Johnson pass complete to Donnie Corley for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSo 24Similar
Q1 0:39
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-3
99.2%
De'Andre Johnson sacked by Andre Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSo 21Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-1
99.2%
De'Andre Johnson pass complete to Tren'Davian Dickson for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSo 20Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
99.2%
Nic Risso punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSo 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 9TD
4 plays · 49 yds · 1:1399% → 100%
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
99.1%
Raymond Calais run for 12 yds to the TexSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
99.1%
Raymond Calais run for 3 yds to the TexSo 34Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
99.1%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Nick Ralston, broken up by Jacob AndersonSimilar
Q2 13:08
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+34
99.6%
Trey Ragas run for 34 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
De'Andre Johnson pass incomplete to Tren'Davian DicksonSimilar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.4%
De'Andre Johnson pass complete to Thurman Morbley for 5 yds to the TexSo 30Similar
Q2 13:08
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+1
99.3%
De'Andre Johnson run for 1 yd to the TexSo 31Similar
Q2 13:08
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+20
99.3%
Nic Risso punt for 33 yds , Eric Garror returns for 20 yds to the TexSo 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11TD
3 plays · 44 yds · 1:01100% → 100%
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
99.6%
Raymond Calais run for 11 yds to the TexSo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+16
99.6%
Elijah Mitchell run for 16 yds to the TexSo 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
99.7%
Elijah Mitchell run for 17 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.7%
Dominic Franklin run for 1 yd to the TexSo 26Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+21
99.7%
De'Andre Johnson pass complete to Roylain Oliver for 21 yds to the TexSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.7%
De'Andre Johnson pass incomplete to Tariq BuchananSimilar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+6
99.7%
De'Andre Johnson pass complete to Tariq Buchanan for 6 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q2 10:56
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
99.7%
De'Andre Johnson pass incomplete to Tren'Davian Dickson, broken up by Asjlin WashingtonSimilar
Q2 10:56
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
99.7%
De'Andre Johnson pass incomplete to Thurman Morbley, broken up by Bralen TrahanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13TD
3 plays · 53 yds · 1:04100% → 100%
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.7%
Levi Lewis run for 5 yds to the TexSo 48Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 5
OPP 48
-5
99.7%
Lewis, Levi pass complete to Smith Jr., Brian for 29 yards to the TXSOFB19, out-of-bounds (Marquel Daigle), PENALTY LA ineligible downfield on pass (Smith Jr., Brian) 5 yards to the LA47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+53
99.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter Leblanc for 53 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 14FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 2:090% → 0%
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
Dominic Franklin run for 4 yds to the TexSo 29Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
99.8%
De'Andre Johnson pass complete to Chris Long for 6 yds to the TexSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.8%
Dominic Franklin run for 6 yds to the TexSo 41Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+15
99.8%
De'Andre Johnson pass complete to Donnie Corley for 15 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+22
99.8%
De'Andre Johnson pass complete to Donnie Corley for 22 yds to the LaLaf 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.8%
De'Andre Johnson pass incomplete to Donnie Corley, broken up by Asjlin WashingtonSimilar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
99.8%
De'Andre Johnson pass incomplete to Thurman Morbley, broken up by Kam PedescleauxSimilar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
99.8%
De'Andre Johnson pass incomplete to Tren'Davian Dickson, broken up by Daijuane DorseySimilar
Q2 6:07
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+40
99.7%
Richard Garcia III 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15TD
5 plays · 36 yds · 1:15100% → 100%
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
99.8%
T.J. Wisham run for 1 yd to the TexSo 35Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+11
99.8%
Jai'ave Magalei pass complete to Brian Smith Jr. for 11 yds to the TexSo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.8%
Jai'ave Magalei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+24
99.8%
Chris Smith run for 24 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
LOUISIANA Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the TexSo 30Similar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+5
99.8%
De'Andre Johnson pass complete to Donnie Corley for 5 yds to the TexSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
99.8%
Dominic Franklin run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSo 34Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+9
99.8%
De'Andre Johnson pass complete to Donnie Corley for 9 yds to the TexSo 43Similar
Q2 4:42
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
99.8%
Dominic Franklin run for no gain to the TexSo 43Similar
Q2 4:42
4TH & 2
OWN 43
-2
99.8%
Nic Risso punt for 45 yds , Eric Garror returns for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17END OF HALF
9 plays · 41 yds · 1:56100% → 100%
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
99.8%
T.J. Wisham run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 15Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+8
99.8%
T.J. Wisham run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
99.8%
T.J. Wisham run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+16
99.8%
Ashton Johnson run for 16 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.8%
Ashton Johnson run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 6
OWN 47
0
99.8%
Jai'ave Magalei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 6
OWN 47
-10
99.8%
Smith, Chris rush for 4 yards to the TXSOFB49 (Ja'Corey Benjamin), PENALTY LA holding (Rubio, Carlos) 10 yards to the LA37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 16
OWN 37
+14
99.8%
Chris Smith run for 14 yds to the TexSo 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 18PUNT
11 plays · 38 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Devin Williams pass complete to Thurman Morbley for 5 yds to the TexSo 30Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
99.9%
Tylor Cook run for 6 yds to the TexSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
99.9%
Tylor Cook run for 6 yds to the TexSo 42Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Devin Williams pass incomplete to Tren'Davian DicksonSimilar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Devin Williams pass incomplete to Tren'Davian DicksonSimilar
Q3 10:00
4TH & 4
OWN 42
+15
99.9%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Kamar Greenhouse) to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Devin Williams pass complete to Tylor Cook for no gain to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+6
99.9%
Tylor Cook run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 4
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Devin Williams pass incomplete to Donnie CorleySimilar
Q3 10:00
4TH & 4
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Nic Risso punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaLaf 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 5:23100% → 100%
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Chris Smith run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+22
99.9%
Jai'ave Magalei pass complete to Pearse Migl for 22 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-4
99.9%
Jai'ave Magalei run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 43 Jai'ave Magalei fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Jai'ave MagaleiSimilar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 14
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Jai'ave Magalei pass incomplete to Hunter BergeronSimilar
Q3 7:35
3RD & 14
OWN 43
+12
99.9%
Jai'ave Magalei pass complete to Brian Smith Jr. for 12 yds to the TexSo 45Similar
Q3 7:35
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+5
99.9%
Smith, Chris rush for no gain to the TXSOFB45 (Lezra Dews;Patrick Howell), PENALTY TXSOFB offside defense (Jadrian McGraw) 5 yards to the TXSOFB40, 1ST DOWN LA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
99.9%
Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the TexSo 38Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+5
99.9%
Jai'ave Magalei pass complete to Pearse Migl for 5 yds to the TexSo 33Similar
Q3 7:35
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+29
99.9%
T.J. Wisham run for 29 yds to the TexSo 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
99.9%
T.J. Wisham run for 1 yd to the TexSo 3Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Jai'ave Magalei pass complete to Cassius Allen for 3 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Tylor Cook run for 5 yds to the TexSo 30Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
100.0%
Tylor Cook run for 5 yds to the TexSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
100.0%
Tylor Cook run for 3 yds to the TexSo 38Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+4
100.0%
Devin Williams pass complete to Roylain Oliver for 4 yds to the TexSo 42Similar
Q3 2:12
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Devin Williams pass incomplete to Roylain Oliver, broken up by Dalvin HutchinsonSimilar
Q3 2:12
4TH & 3
OWN 42
-3
100.0%
Nic Risso punt for 32 yds , Chris Smith returns for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 9:09100% → 100%
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
99.9%
Ashton Johnson run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Jai'ave Magalei pass incomplete to Alex AllenSimilar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+16
99.9%
Jai'ave Magalei pass complete to Devon Pauley for 16 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
100.0%
Jai'ave Magalei pass complete to Cassius Allen for 13 yds to the TexSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
100.0%
Ashton Johnson run for 4 yds to the TexSo 42Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+11
100.0%
Jai'ave Magalei pass complete to Kaleb Carter for 11 yds to the TexSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
100.0%
Jai'ave Magalei pass complete to Chris Smith for 10 yds to the TexSo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
100.0%
Chris Smith run for 5 yds to the TexSo 16Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+16
100.0%
Michael Orphey Jr. run for 16 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Devin Williams pass incomplete to Roylain Oliver, broken up by Asjlin WashingtonSimilar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Jacorey Howard run for 3 yds to the TexSo 28Similar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Devin Williams pass incomplete to Roylain Oliver, broken up by Jourdan QuibodeauxSimilar
Q4 6:27
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Nic Risso punt for 31 yds, downed at the LaLaf 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 23TD
4 plays · 59 yds · 1:31100% → 100%
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
100.0%
Clifton McDowell pass complete to N/A to Chris Long for 8 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+10
100.0%
Ashton Johnson run for 10 yds to the TexSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
100.0%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Brandon Legendre for 9 yds to the TexSo 32Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+32
100.0%
Ashton Johnson run for 32 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
100.0%
Jacorey Howard run for 6 yds to the TexSo 31Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
100.0%
Jacorey Howard run for 3 yds to the TexSo 34Similar
Q4 4:12
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
100.0%
Jacorey Howard run for 7 yds to the TexSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
100.0%
Devin Williams pass complete to Roylain Oliver for 4 yds to the TexSo 45Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 6
OWN 45
-1
100.0%
Devin Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSo 44Similar
Q4 4:12
3RD & 7
OWN 44
0
100.0%
Devin Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:12
4TH & 7
OWN 44
+7
100.0%
Nic Risso punt for 38 yds , Jayrin Wilson returns for 7 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 25END OF GAME
6 plays · 66 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
100.0%
T.J. Wisham run for 18 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
100.0%
T.J. Wisham run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 3
50
+7
100.0%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Brandon Legendre for 7 yds to the TexSo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
100.0%
Chandler Fields run for 4 yds to the TexSo 39 TEXAS SOUTHERN Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+22
100.0%
T.J. Wisham run for 22 yds to the TexSo 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
100.0%
T.J. Wisham run for 8 yds to the TexSo 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:08
Trey Ragas run for 34 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)
+0.5
FG · Q1 7:14
Richard Garcia III 44 yd FG GOOD
-0.2
TD · Q1 13:18
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)
-0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com