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NORF

Norfolk State 7 at Coastal Carolina 46

CCU
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
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Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadNORF aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreNORF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Ryan Richter punt for 54 yds , Jaivon Heiligh returns for 3 yds to the CCaro 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 46Pregame prior+37.3Home team on offense+4.3Score differential+1.7Garbage-time factor+0.1Blowout margin+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 10:41: Massimo Biscardi 41 yd FG GOOD — NORF win probability +0.9 pts (now 7%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:20: Juwan Carter pass complete to Anthony Williams for 4 yds for a TD, (Josh Nardone KICK) — NORF win probability +3.9 pts (now 12%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q2 1:12: Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 8 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +3.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:27: Jacqez Hairston run for 6 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +3.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:23: CJ Marable run for 1 yd for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +2.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7NORF made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 10:41CCU 4th & 10 at NORF 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    92.8%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:41NORF 4th & 4 at NORF 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:24CCU 4th & 1 at NORF 1, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    91.2%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    90.3%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:10CCU 4th & 4 at NORF 14, up 9
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.9%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    90.6%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00NORF 4th & 30 at NORF 12, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:35NORF 4th & 1 at CCU 33, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    7.4%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    7.4%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:12CCU 4th & 15 at NORF 35, up 5
    Close callPunted · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    89.2%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.0%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:19NORF 4th & 8 at NORF 11, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:33CCU 4th & 3 at NORF 29, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    88.4%−0.3
    58% to make
    Punt
    86.8%−2.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:50NORF 4th & 10 at NORF 25, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:20NORF 4th & 19 at NORF 27, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−1.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:12CCU 4th & 1 at NORF 16, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    96.7%−0.5
    81% to make
    Punt
    95.1%−2.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00NORF 4th & 17 at NORF 17, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:50CCU 4th & 2 at NORF 24, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:43NORF 4th & 10 at CCU 44, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:09NORF 4th & 10 at NORF 45, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6NORF made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 3:24CCU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:20NORF Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:12CCU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:27CCU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:23CCU Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:43CCU Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:09CCU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 1FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 4:1994% → 94%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
94.3%
CJ Marable run for 9 yds to the CCaro 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
94.3%
Fred Payton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
94.3%
CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the CCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
94.3%
Jacqez Hairston run for 1 yd to the CCaro 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+6
94.3%
Fred Payton pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 6 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+8
94.3%
Fred Payton pass complete to CJ Marable for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+27
94.3%
Fred Payton run for 27 yds to the NflkS 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
94.3%
Fred Payton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
94.3%
Jacqez Hairston run for no gain to the NflkS 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
94.3%
Fred Payton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:41
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+41
93.5%
Massimo Biscardi 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.5%
Juwan Carter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
93.5%
Gerald Hulett run for 6 yds to the NflkS 31Similar
Q1 10:41
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
93.5%
Juwan Carter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:41
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+25
93.5%
Ryan Richter punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the COASTALCAR 38 NORFOLK ST Penalty, illegal formation (-6 Yards) to the CCaro 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3TD
14 plays · 56 yds · 6:2193% → 93%
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
93.4%
Jacqez Hairston run for 3 yds to the CCaro 47Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+6
93.4%
CJ Marable run for 6 yds to the NflkS 47Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+6
93.4%
Jacqez Hairston run for 6 yds to the NflkS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
93.4%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the NflkS 46Similar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 15
OPP 46
+9
93.3%
Fred Payton pass complete to Aaron Bedgood for 9 yds to the NflkS 37Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 6
OPP 37
0
93.4%
Fred Payton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+10
93.4%
Fred Payton run for 10 yds to the NflkS 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
93.4%
Bryce Carpenter run for 5 yds to the NflkS 22Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+13
93.4%
Bryce Carpenter run for 13 yds to the NflkS 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
93.4%
CJ Marable run for 3 yds to the NflkS 6Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
93.4%
Bryce Carpenter run for 3 yds to the NflkS 3Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
93.4%
CJ Marable run for no gain to the NflkS 3Similar
Q1 9:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
93.3%
Carpenter, B. pass incomplete to Miller, J., PENALTY NSU roughing passer (CHAVIS,Nigel) 2 yards to the NSU1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.6%
Reese White run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kieran Colahan PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 4INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
92.8%
Juwan Carter pass intercepted Chandler Kryst return for 7 yds to the NflkS 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5FG
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:0293% → 94%
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
92.9%
CJ Marable run for 5 yds to the NflkS 27Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+7
92.9%
CJ Marable run for 7 yds to the NflkS 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
92.9%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to Isaiah LikelySimilar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
92.9%
Fred Payton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:12
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+6
92.8%
Fred Payton run for 6 yds to the NflkS 14Similar
Q1 1:10
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+32
93.6%
Massimo Biscardi 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · -20 yds · 1:037% → 7%
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
92.8%
Gerald Hulett run for a loss of 3 yards to the NflkS 29Similar
Q1 1:03
2ND & 13
OWN 29
-5
93.0%
NORFOLK ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NflkS 24Similar
Q1 1:03
2ND & 18
OWN 24
-1
93.0%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Gerald Hulett for a loss of 1 yard to the NflkS 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 19
OWN 23
-6
92.9%
Juwan Carter sacked by Sterling Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the NflkS 17Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 25
OWN 17
-5
93.0%
NORFOLK ST Penalty, false start (Nigel Chavis) to the NflkS 12Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 30
OWN 12
+3
93.0%
Ryan Richter punt for 54 yds , Jaivon Heiligh returns for 3 yds to the CCaro 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7FUMBLE
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
93.7%
Jai Williams run for 6 yds to the CCaro 43Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 4
OWN 43
-1
93.8%
CJ Marable run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 42 CJ Marable fumbled, forced by Nigel Chavis, recovered by NflkS Bobby PriceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 8TD
8 plays · 42 yds · 4:158% → 12%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
92.3%
Gerald Hulett run for 2 yds to the CCaro 40Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+2
92.3%
Gerald Hulett run for 2 yds to the CCaro 38Similar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+5
92.4%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Da'Kendall James for 5 yds to the CCaro 33Similar
Q2 13:35
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+25
92.4%
Juwan Carter run for 25 yds to the CCaro 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
92.0%
NORFOLK ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CCaro 13Similar
Q2 13:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+9
92.1%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Da'Kendall James for 9 yds to the CCaro 4Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
92.0%
Gerald Hulett run for no gain to the CCaro 4Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
88.1%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Anthony Williams for 4 yds for a TD, (Josh Nardone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9PUNT
12 plays · 41 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
89.8%
NORFOLK ST Penalty, player disqualification (Allen Boykins) to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
90.1%
Jacqez Hairston run for 7 yds to the CCaro 46Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+2
90.3%
Jacqez Hairston run for 2 yds to the CCaro 48Similar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+9
90.1%
Jacqez Hairston run for 9 yds to the NflkS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
90.5%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to Jacqez HairstonSimilar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+13
90.4%
Fred Payton pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 13 yds to the NflkS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
90.6%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Reese WhiteSimilar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
90.6%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to Aaron BedgoodSimilar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 10
OPP 30
-5
90.3%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NflkS 35Similar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 15
OPP 35
0
89.8%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to Jaivon HeilighSimilar
Q2 9:12
4TH & 15
OPP 35
0
89.2%
Myles Prosser punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Bobby Price at the NflkS 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-3
88.5%
Gerald Hulett run for a loss of 3 yards to the NflkS 6Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 13
OWN 6
+5
88.6%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Justin Smith for 5 yds to the NflkS 11Similar
Q2 6:19
3RD & 8
OWN 11
0
88.8%
Juwan Carter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:19
4TH & 8
OWN 11
+13
89.1%
Ryan Richter punt for 38 yds , Jaivon Heiligh returns for 13 yds to the NflkS 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 11TD
10 plays · 36 yds · 3:2190% → 93%
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
89.7%
Bryce Carpenter run for 8 yds to the NflkS 28Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 2
OPP 28
-1
89.9%
CJ Marable run for a loss of 1 yard to the NflkS 29Similar
Q2 4:33
3RD & 3
OPP 29
0
89.5%
Bryce Carpenter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:33
4TH & 3
OPP 29
+4
88.8%
Bryce Carpenter run for 4 yds to the NflkS 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
89.4%
Bryce Carpenter run for 1 yd to the NflkS 24Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+8
89.4%
Aaron Bedgood run for 8 yds to the NflkS 16Similar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+4
89.0%
Jacqez Hairston run for 4 yds to the NflkS 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
89.4%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to CJ Marable for 4 yds to the NflkS 8Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+8
93.0%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 8 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 0:228% → 8%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
91.8%
NORFOLK ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NflkS 20Similar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-2
91.8%
Juwan Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the NflkS 18Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
91.9%
Juwan Carter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+7
92.0%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Tremayne Talbert for 7 yds to the NflkS 25Similar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
91.9%
Ryan Richter punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 13END OF HALF
6 plays · 60 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
93.3%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to Jaivon Heiligh, broken up by Brandon SavageSimilar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+28
93.2%
CJ Marable run for 28 yds to the NflkS 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+13
93.5%
Fred Payton pass complete to T'Qele Holmes for 13 yds to the NflkS 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
93.4%
Fred Payton pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 7 yds to the NflkS 13Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 3
OPP 13
0
93.2%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to Jaivon Heiligh, broken up by Nhyre' QuinerlySimilar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+12
92.5%
Fred Payton run for 12 yds to the NflkS 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 14INT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.7%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Gerald Hulett for 3 yds to the NflkS 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-6
92.6%
Juwan Carter run for a loss of 6 yards to the NflkS 22Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+13
92.9%
Juwan Carter pass intercepted Kameron Burton return for 13 yds to the NflkS 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 15TD
4 plays · 27 yds · 1:5894% → 98%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
93.9%
CJ Marable run for 4 yds to the NflkS 23Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+11
93.9%
CJ Marable run for 11 yds to the NflkS 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
93.9%
CJ Marable run for 6 yds to the NflkS 6Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+6
97.5%
Jacqez Hairston run for 6 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 1 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
95.7%
Gerald Hulett run for 7 yds to the NflkS 33Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+3
95.4%
Gerald Hulett run for 3 yds to the NflkS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
95.5%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Kevin Johnson for 5 yds to the NflkS 41Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 5
OWN 41
-4
95.3%
Gerald Hulett run for a loss of 4 yards to the NflkS 37Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 14
OWN 32
-5
95.9%
Juwan Carter run for 10 yds to the NflkS 42 NORFOLK ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Juwan Carter) to the NflkS 27Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 9
OWN 37
-5
95.7%
NORFOLK ST Penalty, false start (Dominic Jordan) to the NflkS 32Similar
Q3 11:20
4TH & 19
OWN 27
0
95.9%
Ryan Richter punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 17TD
14 plays · 58 yds · 6:3998% → 100%
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
97.7%
CJ Marable run for 11 yds to the NflkS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
97.7%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Jaivon HeilighSimilar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+6
97.7%
CJ Marable run for 6 yds to the NflkS 41Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+4
97.7%
CJ Marable run for 4 yds to the NflkS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
97.6%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Jai WilliamsSimilar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+12
97.6%
Bryce Carpenter run for 12 yds to the NflkS 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
97.6%
Bryce Carpenter run for 6 yds to the NflkS 19Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+2
97.6%
Bryce Carpenter run for 2 yds to the NflkS 17Similar
Q3 6:12
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+1
97.6%
CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the NflkS 16Similar
Q3 6:12
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+8
97.3%
Jacqez Hairston run for 8 yds to the NflkS 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
97.6%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Shadell Bell for 7 yds to the NflkS 1Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.6%
CJ Marable run for no gain to the NflkS 1Similar
Q3 1:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
CJ Marable run for 1 yd for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:170% → 0%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
99.8%
NORFOLK ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NflkS 19Similar
Q3 1:17
1ST & 15
OWN 19
+2
99.7%
Gerald Hulett run for 2 yds to the NflkS 21Similar
Q3 1:17
2ND & 13
OWN 21
+3
99.8%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Marcque Ellington for 3 yds to the NflkS 24Similar
Q3 1:17
3RD & 10
OWN 24
-7
99.8%
Juwan Carter sacked by Tarron Jackson for a loss of 7 yards to the NflkS 17Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 17
+14
99.8%
Ryan Richter punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NflkS 32 , Jai Williams returns for 14 yds to the NflkS 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 19TD
5 plays · 32 yds · 2:07100% → 100%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
99.8%
Reese White run for a loss of 1 yard to the NflkS 33Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 11
OPP 33
0
99.8%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to Jaivon HeilighSimilar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 11
OPP 33
+9
99.8%
Fred Payton pass complete to T'Qele Holmes for 9 yds to the NflkS 24Similar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+18
99.8%
Reese White run for 18 yds to the NflkS 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Reese White run for 6 yds for a TD, (Kieran Colahan PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.9%
Kevin Johnson run for 15 yds to the NflkS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
99.9%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Tylan McElhenie for 16 yds to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
99.9%
Kevin Johnson run for 4 yds to the CCaro 40Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Juwan Carter pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:43
3RD & 6
OPP 40
-4
99.9%
Juwan Carter run for a loss of 4 yards to the CCaro 44Similar
Q4 12:43
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Ryan Richter punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jai Williams at the CCaro 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 21TD
8 plays · 87 yds · 4:12100% → 100%
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
99.9%
Baden Pinson run for no gain to the CCaro 13Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+4
99.9%
Grayson McCall run for 4 yds to the CCaro 17Similar
Q4 10:21
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+7
99.9%
Grayson McCall run for 7 yds to the CCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
99.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Patrick McSweeney for 14 yds to the CCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
99.9%
Anthony McAfee run for 17 yds to the NflkS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
99.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jai Williams for 9 yds to the NflkS 36Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+29
99.9%
Aaron Bedgood run for 29 yds to the NflkS 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jai Williams for 7 yds for a TD, (Kieran Colahan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Gerald Hulett run for 1 yd to the NflkS 26Similar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+19
100.0%
D'Andre Thomas pass complete to Tremayne Talbert for 19 yds to the NflkS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Kevin Johnson run for no gain to the NflkS 45Similar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
100.0%
D'Andre Thomas pass incomplete to Tremayne TalbertSimilar
Q4 6:09
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
100.0%
D'Andre Thomas pass incomplete to Tylan McElhenieSimilar
Q4 6:09
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Ryan Richter punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 23END OF GAME
7 plays · 56 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
100.0%
Kered Class run for 4 yds to the CCaro 14Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+20
100.0%
Kered Class run for 20 yds to the CCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
100.0%
Kered Class run for 1 yd to the CCaro 35Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+15
100.0%
Kered Class run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
50
+7
100.0%
Jarrett Guest run for 7 yds to the NflkS 43Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+3
100.0%
Kered Class run for 3 yds to the NflkS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
100.0%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Michael McFarlane for 6 yds to the NflkS 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:20
Juwan Carter pass complete to Anthony Williams for 4 yds for a TD, (Josh Nardone KICK)
-3.9
TD · Q2 1:12
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 8 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)
+3.6
TD · Q3 11:27
Jacqez Hairston run for 6 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)
+3.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com