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JKST

Jackson State 14 at South Alabama 37

USA
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Ladd Peebles Stadium
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Win probability · USA
modelUSA aheadJKST aheadconfidence bandkey playUSA scoreJKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDSAFETYFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+0.6USA 99.4%Frankie Onate 36 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 30 · Q4 9:48
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:48 · Frankie Onate 36 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 146Pregame prior+9.8Home team on offense+31.8Score differential+22.6Garbage-time factor+11.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+6.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:26: Derrick Ponder pass complete to Warren Newman for 6 yds for a TD, (Adrian Salazar KICK) — JKST win probability +2.8 pts (now 11%) (top driver: JKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:56: Tra Minter run for 49 yds for a TD, (Jack Brooks intercepted ) — USA win probability +1.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:08: Cephus Johnson pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — USA win probability +3.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:36: Tra Minter run for 4 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — USA win probability +4.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  5. SAFETY · Q3 0:27: Jordan Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard for a SAFETY — USA win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: JKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USA made the numbers' call on 2 of 4JKST made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 11:56JKST 4th & 5 at USA 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00JKST 4th & 3 at USA 46, down 6
    Close callPunted · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    9.1%−0.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:40USA 4th & 4 at USA 24, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:24USA 4th & 10 at JKST 40, up 6
    Close callPunted · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    90.0%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:27JKST 4th & 4 at JKST 34, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:24USA 4th & 8 at JKST 29, up 6
    Close callWent for it · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    89.3%
    58% to make
    Punt
    87.5%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:06JKST 4th & 4 at JKST 43, down 6
    Close callPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:52JKST 4th & 6 at JKST 20, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:36JKST 4th & 14 at JKST 9, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:48USA 4th & 12 at JKST 19, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:48JKST 4th & 16 at JKST 24, down 23
    Close callWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USA made the numbers' call on 2 of 4JKST made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 8:31USA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:26JKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:08USA Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    92.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:36USA Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    96.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:56USA Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:22JKST Touchdown, down 24 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
JKSTDrive 1MISSED FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 3:047% → 8%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
93.3%
Derrick Ponder pass complete to Kennen Young for 7 yds to the JckSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+33
93.3%
Keshawn Harper run for 33 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
93.3%
Keshawn Harper run for 2 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+15
93.3%
Derrick Ponder pass complete to Kennen Young for 15 yds to the SAlab 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
93.3%
Derrick Ponder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
93.3%
Keshawn Harper run for no gain to the SAlab 18Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+5
93.3%
Ponder, Derrick pass incomplete to Gates, Kobe (Thompson, Jalen), PENALTY USA offside defense 5 yards to the USA13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 13
0
93.3%
Derrick Ponder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:56
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+30
92.5%
Adrian Salazar 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 2TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:2593% → 93%
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
92.6%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Tra Minter for 4 yds to the SAlab 24Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
92.6%
Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the SAlab 25Similar
Q1 11:56
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+13
92.6%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Cade Sutherland for 13 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
92.6%
JACKSON ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the JckSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
92.7%
Tra Minter run for 4 yds to the JckSt 43Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 6
OPP 43
-5
92.7%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the JckSt 48Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+38
92.7%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 38 yds to the JckSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
92.7%
Tra Minter run for 9 yds to the JckSt 1Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
92.7%
Tra Minter run for no gain to the JckSt 1Similar
Q1 8:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.6%
Cephus Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Frankie Onate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 3TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:058% → 11%
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
92.4%
Jordan Johnson run for 6 yds to the JckSt 31Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
92.3%
Derrick Ponder run for 7 yds to the JckSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
92.3%
Jordan Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the JckSt 36Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+12
92.4%
Derrick Ponder pass complete to Kobe Gates for 12 yds to the JckSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
92.2%
Jordan Johnson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 8
50
+9
92.2%
Jordan Johnson run for 9 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
92.2%
Derrick Ponder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+29
92.2%
Derrick Ponder pass complete to Kyland Richey for 17 yds to the SAlab 24 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, targeting (Riley Cole) to the SAlab 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
92.1%
Derrick Ponder pass complete to Kyland Richey for 11 yds to the SAlab 1 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, targeting (Rocel McWilliams) to the SAlab 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
92.1%
Jordan Johnson run for no gain to the SAlab 1Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
92.1%
JACKSON ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 6Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
89.3%
Derrick Ponder pass complete to Warren Newman for 6 yds for a TD, (Adrian Salazar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 4TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3090% → 92%
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
90.0%
Kawaan Baker run for 26 yds to the JckSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
91.6%
Tra Minter run for 49 yds for a TD, (Jack Brooks intercepted )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:569% → 10%
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
91.0%
Keshawn Harper run for 11 yds to the JckSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
90.9%
Derrick Ponder pass complete to Warren Newman for 4 yds to the JckSt 40Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+4
90.7%
Keshawn Harper run for 4 yds to the JckSt 44Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+3
90.7%
Quitten Brown run for 3 yds to the JckSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
90.7%
Derrick Ponder pass complete to Daniel Crowell for 5 yds to the SAlab 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+3
89.6%
Quitten Brown run for 3 yds to the SAlab 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 45
-1
89.6%
Quitten Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 46Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
89.9%
Zach Gleaton punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Tra Minter at the SAlab 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
90.4%
Tra Minter run for 7 yds to the SAlab 25Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 3
OWN 25
0
90.5%
Cephus Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 3
OWN 25
-1
90.2%
Cephus Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 24Similar
Q2 13:40
4TH & 4
OWN 24
0
89.9%
Jack Brooks punt for 42 yds, downed at the JckSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 7INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
89.3%
Jordan Johnson run for no gain to the JckSt 34Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
89.4%
Derrick Ponder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:14
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
89.7%
Derrick Ponder pass intercepted Jalen Thompson return for no gain to the SAlab 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
90.4%
Tra Minter run for 12 yds to the JckSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
90.5%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Davyn Flenord, broken up by CJ HolmesSimilar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-3
90.4%
Carlos Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the JckSt 43Similar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 13
OPP 43
+3
89.9%
Cephus Johnson run for 3 yds to the JckSt 40Similar
Q2 11:24
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
89.6%
Jack Brooks punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Warren Newman at the JckSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+14
88.6%
Keshawn Harper run for 14 yds to the JckSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
88.5%
Keshawn Harper run for 2 yds to the JckSt 30Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+4
88.5%
Keshawn Harper run for 4 yds to the JckSt 34Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
88.6%
Derrick Ponder pass incomplete to Kobe GatesSimilar
Q2 9:27
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
88.9%
Zach Gleaton punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 10INT
6 plays · 33 yds · 0:0089% → 90%
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
89.4%
Tra Minter run for 7 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+23
89.7%
Tra Minter run for 23 yds to the JckSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
90.1%
Cephus Johnson run for no gain to the JckSt 43Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+5
90.0%
Johnson, Cephus pass incomplete to Flenord, Davyn (Holmes, CJ), PENALTY JKST offside defense (McIntosh, Vin.) 5 yards to the JKST38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 5
OPP 38
-2
90.1%
Terrion Avery run for a loss of 2 yards to the JckSt 40Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
89.8%
Cephus Johnson pass intercepted Tenoa Alex return for no gain to the JckSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 11FUMBLE
4 plays · 49 yds · 0:0012% → 13%
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+14
88.0%
Jordan Johnson run for 14 yds to the JckSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
87.8%
Ponder, Derrick pass incomplete to Wallace, Ra'Mei (Rockette, Devin), PENALTY USA pass interference (Rockette, Devin) 15 yards to the JKST38, 1ST DOWN JKST, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
87.3%
Derrick Ponder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+15
87.4%
Derrick Ponder pass complete to Kyland Richey for 15 yds Kyland Richey fumbled, forced by Kelvin Johnson, recovered by SAlab Devin Rockette , return for 11 yds to the JckSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 12DOWNS
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
89.6%
Tra Minter run for 16 yds to the JckSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
89.7%
Cephus Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+2
89.6%
Tra Minter run for 2 yds to the JckSt 29Similar
Q2 4:24
3RD & 8
OPP 29
0
89.3%
Cephus Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:24
4TH & 8
OPP 29
-8
88.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the JckSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0413% → 14%
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
86.8%
Derrick Ponder pass incomplete to Kennen YoungSimilar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
86.9%
Derrick Ponder pass complete to Warren Newman for 6 yds to the JckSt 43Similar
Q2 3:10
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
86.3%
Derrick Ponder run for no gain to the JckSt 43Similar
Q2 2:06
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
86.4%
Zach Gleaton punt for 47 yds, downed at the SAlab 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 14TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 1:4888% → 92%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
87.6%
Tra Minter run for 4 yds to the SAlab 14Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+13
87.6%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Tra Minter for 13 yds to the SAlab 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
87.8%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Davyn Flenord for 2 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+16
87.7%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 16 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
88.7%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Kawaan BakerSimilar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+8
88.3%
Cephus Johnson run for 8 yds to the JckSt 47Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+36
88.2%
Tra Minter run for 36 yds to the JckSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
88.8%
Johnson, Cephus pass incomplete to Flenord, Davyn (Rogers, Tyler), PENALTY JKST pass interference (Rogers, Tyler) 8 yards to the JKST3, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
91.9%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
91.4%
Jordan Johnson run for 11 yds to the JckSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 16INT
11 plays · 44 yds · 3:2592% → 92%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
92.2%
Jared Wilson run for 7 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+10
92.6%
Jared Wilson run for 10 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
92.6%
Jared Wilson run for 12 yds to the JckSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
92.7%
Jared Wilson run for 2 yds to the JckSt 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 38
-6
92.7%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (-6 Yards) to the JckSt 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 44
+13
92.5%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Davyn Flenord for 13 yds to the JckSt 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+3
92.4%
Terrion Avery run for 3 yds to the JckSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
92.7%
Terrion Avery run for 3 yds to the JckSt 25Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
92.0%
Cephus Johnson pass intercepted CJ Holmes return for no gain to the JckSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:359% → 8%
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+7
90.8%
Derrick Ponder pass complete to D.D. Bowie for 7 yds to the JckSt 10Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 3
OWN 10
+6
90.8%
Keshawn Harper run for 6 yds to the JckSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
90.6%
Keshawn Harper run for a loss of 1 yard to the JckSt 15Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+5
90.8%
Derrick Ponder pass complete to Kennen Young for 5 yds to the JckSt 20Similar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 6
OWN 20
0
92.1%
Derrick Ponder pass incomplete to D.D. BowieSimilar
Q3 8:52
4TH & 6
OWN 20
+1
92.2%
Zach Gleaton punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 24 , Tra Minter returns for 1 yd to the SAlab 21 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, illegal block (Jay Woods) to the SAlab 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 18TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 2:5993% → 97%
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+41
92.6%
Jared Wilson run for 26 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down JACKSON ST Penalty, personal foul (CJ Holmes) to the JckSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
93.2%
Jared Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the JckSt 36Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+8
93.1%
Carlos Davis run for 8 yds to the JckSt 28Similar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+5
92.9%
Carlos Davis run for 5 yds to the JckSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
93.2%
Carlos Davis run for 5 yds to the JckSt 18Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+1
93.2%
Carlos Davis run for 1 yd to the JckSt 17Similar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+13
92.9%
Tra Minter run for 13 yds to the JckSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.9%
Tra Minter run for 4 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
96.0%
Derrick Ponder pass complete to Warren Newman for 3 yds to the JckSt 16Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 7
OWN 16
0
96.0%
Derrick Ponder pass incomplete to Kyland RicheySimilar
Q3 5:36
3RD & 7
OWN 16
-7
96.0%
Derrick Ponder sacked by Taji Stewart for a loss of 7 yards to the JckSt 9 JACKSON ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 5:36
4TH & 14
OWN 9
+48
96.2%
Zach Gleaton punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 42 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, personal foul (Tyrone Legette) to the SAlab 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 20FUMBLE
7 plays · 56 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
97.0%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Tra Minter for 6 yds to the SAlab 49Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+3
97.0%
Jared Wilson run for 3 yds to the JckSt 48Similar
Q3 4:22
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+6
96.9%
Jared Wilson run for 6 yds to the JckSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+23
97.0%
Jared Wilson run for 23 yds to the JckSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
97.1%
Carlos Davis run for 4 yds to the JckSt 15Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+14
97.1%
Tony Brown run for 14 yds to the JckSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.1%
Tony Brown run for no gain to the JckSt 1 Tony Brown fumbled, forced by Tenoa Alex, recovered by JckSt Jakaiszer GlassSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 21SF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 1
-1
98.6%
Jordan Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 22FG
12 plays · 40 yds · 5:3999% → 99%
Q3 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
98.9%
Jared Wilson run for 6 yds to the SAlab 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+10
98.9%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Tra Minter for 10 yds to the JckSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
98.9%
Cephus Johnson run for 15 yds to the JckSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
98.9%
Tra Minter run for 2 yds to the JckSt 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+2
98.9%
Carlos Davis run for 2 yds to the JckSt 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+7
98.9%
Cephus Johnson run for 7 yds to the JckSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 23
OPP 30
+5
98.9%
JACKSON ST Penalty, offside defense (Brian Mitchell) to the JckSt 25Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 18
OPP 25
+2
98.9%
Jared Wilson run for 2 yds to the JckSt 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 23
+2
98.9%
Terrion Avery run for 2 yds to the JckSt 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 21
+2
98.9%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Jamel Thomas for 2 yds to the JckSt 19Similar
Q4 9:48
4TH & 12
OPP 19
+36
99.4%
Frankie Onate 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · -27 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
99.1%
Tyson Alexander run for 1 yd to the JckSt 31Similar
Q4 9:48
2ND & 9
OWN 31
-5
99.1%
JACKSON ST Penalty, false start (D.D. Bowie) to the JckSt 26Similar
Q4 9:48
2ND & 14
OWN 26
-2
99.2%
Derrick Ponder pass complete to Kyland Richey for a loss of 2 yards to the JckSt 24Similar
Q4 9:48
3RD & 16
OWN 24
0
99.2%
Derrick Ponder pass incomplete to Terrell Kennedy IIISimilar
Q4 9:48
4TH & 16
OWN 24
-8
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the JckSt 3 TEAM fumbled, forced by Ryan Melton, JACKSON ST Penalty, illegal kicking ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 24TD
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:38100% → 100%
Q4 7:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
99.6%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the JckSt 8Similar
Q4 7:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
99.6%
Tylan Morton run for 4 yds to the JckSt 4Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Tylan Morton run for 4 yds for a TD, (Frankie Onate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 25TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 1:340% → 1%
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
50
+6
99.9%
Tyson Alexander run for 6 yds to the SAlab 44Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+7
99.9%
Derrick Ponder pass complete to Daniel Crowell for 7 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
99.9%
Tyson Alexander run for 7 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+30
99.3%
Tyson Alexander run for 30 yds for a TD, (Adrian Salazar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 26END OF GAME
11 plays · 47 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
99.7%
John Tank Miller run for 6 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 4
OWN 40
0
99.7%
John Tank Miller run for no gain to the SAlab 40Similar
Q4 5:22
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+5
99.7%
Tylan Morton pass complete to Brandon Crum for 5 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.7%
Tony Brown run for 2 yds to the SAlab 47Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+9
99.7%
Tony Brown run for 9 yds to the JckSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
99.7%
Jared Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the JckSt 45 for a 1ST down JACKSON ST Penalty, personal foul (Vincent McIntosh) to the JckSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
99.7%
John Tank Miller run for 8 yds to the JckSt 22Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 2
OPP 22
0
99.7%
John Tank Miller run for no gain to the JckSt 22Similar
Q4 5:22
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+6
99.7%
Tylan Morton run for 6 yds to the JckSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-3
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the JckSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:36
Tra Minter run for 4 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+4
TD · Q2 0:08
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+3.1
TD · Q1 3:26
Derrick Ponder pass complete to Warren Newman for 6 yds for a TD, (Adrian Salazar KICK)
-2.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com