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ME

Maine 18 at Georgia Southern 26

GASO
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadME aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreME score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:01 · David Gelb punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSo 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 124Pregame prior+8.0Home team on offense+13.7Score differential+6.0Garbage-time factor+2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:24: Justin Tomlin run for 45 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +4.9 pts (now 75%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 3:01: Tyler Bass 31 yd FG GOOD — GASO win probability +6.4 pts (now 91%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:33: Matt LaRoche 11 Yd Run (Tyler Bass Kick) — GASO win probability +5.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:47: Devin Young 21 Yd pass from Earnest Edwards (Kenny Doak Kick) — ME win probability +9.5 pts (now 12%) (top driver: ME has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:19: Jaquan Blair 46 Yd pass from Chris Ferguson (Chris Ferguson Pass to Jaquan Blair for Two-Point Conversion) — ME win probability +4.7 pts (now 6%) (top driver: ME has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 4 of 8ME made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 7:47ME 4th & 8 at GASO 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    28.1%−1.0
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:42GASO 4th & 2 at GASO 24, down 3
    Close callPunted · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:26ME 4th & 1 at ME 39, up 3
    Close callPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:30GASO 4th & 11 at GASO 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:15ME 4th & 7 at ME 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:19ME 4th & 9 at GASO 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.8%
    70% to make
    Punt
    26.9%−2.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:19GASO 4th & 18 at GASO 15, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%−1.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:36ME 4th & 14 at ME 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%−1.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:16GASO 4th & 10 at ME 20, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.8%
    75% to make
    Punt
    67.4%−3.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:16ME 4th & 6 at ME 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:01GASO 4th & 5 at ME 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    75.3%−0.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.6%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:53ME 4th & 9 at ME 33, down 7
    Numbers favored punt by 1.5 ptsWent for it · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.1%−1.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    23.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:26ME 4th & 14 at ME 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%−2.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:41GASO 4th & 3 at ME 3, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.6%−1.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    72.8%−8.0
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:01GASO 4th & 2 at ME 14, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.1%−0.9
    84% to make
    Punt
    76.3%−7.8
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:01ME 4th & 2 at ME 33, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:04GASO 4th & 21 at ME 30, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%−1.5
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.8%
    56% to make
    Punt
    93.9%−0.9
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:46ME 4th & 6 at ME 46, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ME made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 12:24GASO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 13:33GASO Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 11:47ME Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:19ME Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    6.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    5.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MEDrive 1FG
17 plays · 66 yds · 7:1324% → 27%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
75.8%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Jaquan Blair for 1 yd to the Maine 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
75.8%
Devin Young run for no gain to the Maine 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+12
75.8%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Jaquan Blair for 12 yds to the Maine 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
75.8%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to Earnest Edwards, broken up by Kindle VildorSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
75.8%
Emmanuel Reed run for 6 yds to the Maine 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+7
75.8%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Andre Miller for 7 yds to the GeoSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
75.8%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Andre Miller for 10 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
75.8%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Ori Jean-Charles for 3 yds to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+11
75.8%
Emmanuel Reed run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-6
75.8%
Chris Ferguson run for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 31
+5
75.8%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Earnest Edwards for 5 yds to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 26
+15
75.8%
Ferguson, Chris pass incomplete to Blair, Jaquan, PENALTY GS pass interference (D. Baker Jr.) 15 yards to the GS11, 1ST DOWN MAINE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
75.8%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to Jaquan BlairSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+2
75.8%
Emmanuel Reed run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 9Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 9
0
75.8%
Chris Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:47
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+26
73.4%
Kenny Doak 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
73.4%
Logan Wright run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+4
73.4%
Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q1 7:42
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+1
73.1%
Khaleb Hood run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 24 Khaleb Hood fumbled,Similar
Q1 7:42
4TH & 2
OWN 24
0
73.1%
Anthony Beck II punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Andre Miller at the Maine 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
72.7%
Joe Fitzpatrick run for 5 yds to the Maine 35Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+3
72.4%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Devin Young for 3 yds to the Maine 38Similar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+1
72.3%
Chris Ferguson run for 1 yd to the Maine 39 Chris Ferguson fumbled, recovered by Maine Joe FitzpatrickSimilar
Q1 5:26
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+3
72.7%
David Gelb punt for 38 yds , Jessie Liptrot returns for 3 yds to the GeoSo 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 4:0772% → 70%
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
71.8%
Matt LaRoche run for no gain to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+1
71.7%
Justin Tomlin run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+10
71.3%
Justin Tomlin run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
72.0%
Matt LaRoche run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+7
72.7%
Matt LaRoche run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
72.8%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the Maine 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 49
0
71.7%
Justin Tomlin run for no gain to the GeoSo 48 Justin Tomlin fumbled,Similar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 11
OWN 48
0
70.7%
Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Khaleb Hood, broken up by Manny PattersonSimilar
Q2 14:30
4TH & 11
OWN 48
0
70.2%
Anthony Beck II punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Andre Miller at the Maine 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
69.8%
Chris Ferguson run for 3 yds to the Maine 31Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 7
OWN 31
0
69.7%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to Jaquan BlairSimilar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 7
OWN 31
0
70.2%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to Emmanuel Reed, broken up by Reynard EllisSimilar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 7
OWN 31
0
70.6%
David Gelb punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jessie Liptrot at the GeoSo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6TD
3 plays · 66 yds · 0:5170% → 75%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
70.3%
Justin Tomlin pass incomplete, broken up by Shaquille St-LotSimilar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+21
70.3%
Matt LaRoche run for 21 yds to the Maine 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
75.2%
Justin Tomlin run for 45 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 7MISSED FG
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:5527% → 26%
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
72.8%
Emmanuel Reed run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+16
72.9%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Andre Miller for 16 yds to the GeoSo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
72.2%
Emmanuel Reed run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 9
OPP 23
0
72.2%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to Devin YoungSimilar
Q2 12:14
3RD & 9
OPP 23
0
73.0%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to Jaquan BlairSimilar
Q2 10:19
4TH & 9
OPP 23
+40
73.6%
Kenny Doak 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0072% → 73%
Q2 10:19
4TH & 18
OWN 15
0
72.4%
Anthony Beck II punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Andre Miller at the Maine 49Similar
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-11
73.6%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 24 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-12 Yards) to the GeoSo 12Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 21
OWN 12
0
73.4%
J.D. King run for no gain to the GeoSo 12Similar
Q2 10:19
3RD & 21
OWN 12
+3
72.8%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0028% → 25%
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
72.1%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to Joe Fitzpatrick, broken up by Raymond Johnson IIISimilar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
72.4%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to Earnest EdwardsSimilar
Q2 8:36
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
73.0%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to Earnest Edwards, broken up by Monquavion BrinsonSimilar
Q2 8:36
4TH & 10
OWN 49
-4
74.2%
MAINE Penalty, delay of game (-4 Yards) to the Maine 45Similar
Q2 8:36
4TH & 14
OWN 45
+22
74.6%
David Gelb punt for 42 yds , J.D. King returns for 22 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10FG
5 plays · 45 yds · 1:5574% → 78%
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+45
74.3%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Darion Anderson for 45 yds to the Maine 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
76.3%
J.D. King run for 5 yds to the Maine 15Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 5
OPP 15
-5
76.3%
J.D. King run for a loss of 5 yards to the Maine 20 J.D. King fumbled, recovered by GeoSo J.D. KingSimilar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
75.5%
Justin Tomlin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:16
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+37
78.4%
Tyler Bass 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
77.8%
Emmanuel Reed run for 7 yds to the Maine 32Similar
Q2 6:16
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+9
76.8%
Emmanuel Reed run for 9 yds to the Maine 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
76.9%
Emmanuel Reed run for no gain to the Maine 41Similar
Q2 6:16
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-2
77.1%
Joe Fitzpatrick run for a loss of 2 yards to the Maine 39Similar
Q2 6:16
3RD & 12
OWN 39
+6
78.0%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Devin Young for 6 yds to the Maine 45Similar
Q2 6:16
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
78.0%
David Gelb punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 34 yds · 2:0679% → 79%
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
78.6%
Matt LaRoche run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+6
79.2%
Logan Wright run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
78.8%
Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+11
79.8%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Malik Murray for 11 yds to the GeoSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
79.3%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 5 yds to the Maine 46Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 5
OPP 46
-5
79.5%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
79.0%
Justin Tomlin run for 3 yds to the Maine 48Similar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+2
78.6%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Malik Murray for 2 yds to the Maine 46Similar
Q2 1:01
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
78.8%
Anthony Beck II punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Andre Miller at the Maine 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 13DOWNS
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+14
79.3%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Jaquan Blair for 14 yds to the Maine 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
78.7%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to Jaquan BlairSimilar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
79.1%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to Emmanuel ReedSimilar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+1
79.8%
Emmanuel Reed run for 1 yd to the Maine 33Similar
Q2 0:53
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
80.0%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to Jaron GrayerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14FUMBLE
5 plays · 40 yds · 0:0079% → 80%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
79.3%
TEAM run for no gain to the GeoSo 27 TEAM fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Justin TomlinSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 23
OWN 27
0
77.5%
Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to J.D. KingSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 23
OWN 27
+70
76.7%
Logan Wright run for 70 yds to the Maine 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
79.9%
Justin Tomlin run for no gain to the Maine 20 Justin Tomlin fumbled, forced by Alejandro Oregon, recovered by Maine Richard CarrSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 0:0023% → 21%
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
77.2%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to Earnest Edwards, broken up by Monquavion BrinsonSimilar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
77.4%
Emmanuel Reed run for 6 yds to the Maine 26Similar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 4
OWN 26
-2
77.6%
Chris Ferguson sacked by Raymond Johnson III and Traver Vliem for a loss of 2 yards to the Maine 24Similar
Q3 13:26
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+15
78.7%
Gelb, David punt 36 yards to the GS40, fair catch by J. Liptrot, PENALTY GS personal foul (N. Thompson) 15 yards to the MAINE39, 1ST DOWN MAINE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
76.0%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Shawn Bowman for 6 yds to the Maine 45Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 4
OWN 45
-5
75.2%
MAINE Penalty, false start (Shawn Bowman) to the Maine 40Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 9
OWN 40
-5
76.2%
Ferguson, Chris pass complete to Bowman, Shawn for 8 yards to the MAINE48 (R. Byrd), PENALTY MAINE illegal touching (Bowman, Shawn) 5 yards to the MAINE35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 14
OWN 35
0
77.4%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to Devin YoungSimilar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 14
OWN 35
0
78.3%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to Earnest Edwards, broken up by Donald Rutledge Jr.Similar
Q3 13:26
4TH & 14
OWN 35
+19
78.6%
David Gelb punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jessie Liptrot at the GASOUTHERN 30 MAINE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Katley Joseph) to the GeoSo 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16FG
7 plays · 51 yds · 2:5480% → 82%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
80.1%
Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Logan WrightSimilar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+50
79.4%
Justin Tomlin run for 50 yds to the Maine 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
80.7%
J.D. King run for no gain to the Maine 4Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
80.7%
J.D. King run for no gain to the Maine 4Similar
Q3 8:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
80.8%
Justin Tomlin run for 1 yd to the Maine 3Similar
Q3 7:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
82.3%
Tyler Bass 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 17FUMBLE
5 plays · 72 yds · 0:0018% → 22%
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
81.9%
Emmanuel Reed run for 4 yds to the Maine 29Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+53
81.3%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Earnest Edwards for 53 yds to the GeoSo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+13
78.1%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Shawn Bowman for 13 yds to the GeoSo 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
78.1%
Emmanuel Reed run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 3 Emmanuel Reed fumbled, forced by Gavin Adcock, recovered by GeoSo Reynard EllisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 18FG
5 plays · 83 yds · 2:3382% → 91%
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+75
82.3%
Matt LaRoche run for 75 yds to the Maine 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
84.9%
Logan Wright run for 8 yds to the Maine 14Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+1
84.9%
Logan Wright run for 1 yd to the Maine 13Similar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 1
OPP 13
-1
84.2%
J.D. King run for a loss of 1 yard to the Maine 14Similar
Q3 3:01
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+31
90.7%
Tyler Bass 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0012% → 13%
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
87.7%
Emmanuel Reed run for 2 yds to the Maine 27Similar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
87.5%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Jaquan Blair for 5 yds to the Maine 32Similar
Q3 3:01
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
86.7%
Emmanuel Reed run for 1 yd to the Maine 33Similar
Q3 3:01
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
87.1%
David Gelb punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 20TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 2:2491% → 99%
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+21
91.1%
Matt LaRoche run for 21 yds to the Maine 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
92.0%
J.D. King run for 5 yds to the Maine 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+4
93.8%
Justin Tomlin run for 4 yds to the Maine 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+29
93.5%
Justin Tomlin run for 29 yds to the Maine 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
98.6%
Matt LaRoche 11 Yd Run (Tyler Bass Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 21TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:462% → 12%
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.5%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to Earnest EdwardsSimilar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.5%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Devin Young for 7 yds to the Maine 32Similar
Q4 13:33
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+34
98.4%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Devin Young for 34 yds to the GeoSo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
98.1%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to Jaquan BlairSimilar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+13
98.2%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Emmanuel Reed for 13 yds to the GeoSo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
98.0%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to Emmanuel ReedSimilar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+21
88.5%
Devin Young 21 Yd pass from Earnest Edwards (Kenny Doak Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 22MISSED FG
9 plays · 31 yds · 4:3295% → 96%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
95.0%
Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+25
95.1%
J.D. King run for 25 yds to the Maine 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
95.2%
J.D. King run for 5 yds to the Maine 28Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+9
95.2%
Logan Wright run for 9 yds to the Maine 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
95.2%
Matt LaRoche run for 6 yds to the Maine 13Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 4
OPP 13
-1
95.2%
Logan Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the Maine 14Similar
Q4 11:36
3RD & 5
OPP 14
0
95.0%
TEAM run for no gain to the Maine 30 TEAM fumbled,Similar
Q4 7:04
4TH & 21
OPP 30
+46
95.8%
Tyler Bass 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 23INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:438% → 4%
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
92.2%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to Emmanuel ReedSimilar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
93.0%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Earnest Edwards for 3 yds to the Maine 33Similar
Q4 6:21
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+35
95.7%
Chris Ferguson pass intercepted Kenderick Duncan Jr. return for 35 yds to the Maine 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 24FG
8 plays · -7 yds · 2:2497% → 98%
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
97.2%
Justin Tomlin run for 9 yds to the Maine 7Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 1
OPP 7
+2
97.2%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the Maine 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
97.2%
Logan Wright run for 1 yd to the Maine 4Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
97.2%
TEAM run for no gain to the Maine 24 TEAM fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Justin TomlinSimilar
Q4 3:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 24
+1
97.5%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the Maine 23Similar
Q4 3:46
4TH & 0
OPP 23
+40
98.3%
Tyler Bass 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 25TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:271% → 6%
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.1%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Shawn Bowman for 5 yds to the Maine 30Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.1%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to Andre MillerSimilar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+12
99.1%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Earnest Edwards for 12 yds to the Maine 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.0%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to Devin YoungSimilar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.0%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Shawn Bowman for 4 yds to the Maine 46Similar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
99.0%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to Shawn BowmanSimilar
Q4 3:46
4TH & 6
OWN 46
+8
99.0%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Shawn Bowman for 8 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
94.4%
Jaquan Blair 46 Yd pass from Chris Ferguson (Chris Ferguson Pass to Jaquan Blair for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 26END OF GAME
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:3897% → 97%
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
96.5%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the Maine 34Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+2
96.7%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the Maine 32Similar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 6
OPP 32
-10
96.5%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Maine 42Similar
Q4 0:41
3RD & 16
OPP 42
+2
97.3%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the Maine 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:47
Devin Young 21 Yd pass from Earnest Edwards (Kenny Doak Kick)
-9.5
FG · Q3 3:01
Tyler Bass 31 yd FG GOOD
+6.4
TD · Q4 13:33
Matt LaRoche 11 Yd Run (Tyler Bass Kick)
+5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com