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ETSU

East Tennessee State 7 at App State 42

APP
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2019 · Kidd Brewer Stadium
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Win probability · APP
modelAPP aheadETSU aheadconfidence bandkey playAPP scoreETSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:39 · Gabe Montgomery run for 7 yds to the AppSt 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:06: Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 6 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +1.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:35: Darrynton Evans run for 13 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +2.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:35: Trey Mitchell pass complete to Nate Adkins for 5 yds for a TD, (Tyler Keltner KICK) — ETSU win probability +4.5 pts (now 7%) (top driver: ETSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:51: Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 31 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +2.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:34: Jalen Virgil run for 15 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
APP made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ETSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 13:47ETSU 4th & 12 at APP 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:23APP 4th & 3 at APP 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:21ETSU 4th & 7 at APP 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00ETSU 4th & 13 at ETSU 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:54APP 4th & 8 at APP 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:01ETSU 4th & 8 at ETSU 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:06ETSU 4th & 8 at ETSU 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:07APP 4th & 9 at APP 41, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00ETSU 4th & 1 at APP 33, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−0.6
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:14APP 4th & 1 at ETSU 20, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.2
    75% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:29ETSU 4th & 4 at ETSU 25, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:33ETSU 4th & 6 at APP 36, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ETSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 2:58APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:06APP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:35APP Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:35ETSU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:51APP Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:34APP Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:52APP Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ETSUDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 29 yds · 1:132% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
97.8%
Quay Holmes run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+5
97.8%
Chance Thrasher pass complete to Nate Adkins for 5 yds Nate Adkins fumbled, forced by Shemar Jean-Charles,Similar
Q1 13:47
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+10
97.6%
Quay Holmes run for 10 yds to the ETnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
97.6%
Chance Thrasher pass complete to Keith Coffee for 8 yds to the ETnSt 48Similar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+5
97.6%
Quay Holmes run for 5 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-8
97.6%
Malik McGue run for a loss of 8 yards to the ETnSt 45Similar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 18
OWN 45
+6
97.6%
Chance Thrasher pass complete to Keith Coffee for 6 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
Q1 13:47
3RD & 12
OPP 49
0
97.6%
Chance Thrasher pass incomplete, broken up by Desmond FranklinSimilar
Q1 13:47
4TH & 12
OPP 49
0
97.6%
Garrett Taylor punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
97.2%
Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the AppSt 7Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+5
97.2%
Darrynton Evans run for 5 yds to the AppSt 12Similar
Q1 10:23
3RD & 3
OWN 12
0
97.1%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Darrynton Evans, broken up by Donovan ManuelSimilar
Q1 10:23
4TH & 3
OWN 12
0
97.1%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Malik McGue at the ETnSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-3
96.9%
Chance Thrasher run for a loss of 3 yards to the ETnSt 43 Chance Thrasher fumbled, recovered by ETnSt Chance ThrasherSimilar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 16
OWN 43
+9
97.0%
Chance Thrasher pass complete to Keith Coffee for 9 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 7
OPP 48
0
96.9%
Chance Thrasher pass incomplete to Nate Adkins, broken up by Akeem Davis-GaitherSimilar
Q1 9:21
4TH & 7
OPP 48
+1
97.0%
Garrett Taylor punt for 33 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for 1 yd to the AppSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4TD
14 plays · 84 yds · 4:5997% → 97%
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-3
96.8%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Darrynton Evans for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 13Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 13
OWN 13
+10
96.8%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 10 yds to the AppSt 23Similar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+8
96.7%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 8 yds to the AppSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
96.8%
Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+11
96.8%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Henry Pearson for 11 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
96.9%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Jalen VirgilSimilar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+23
96.8%
Darrynton Evans run for 23 yds to the ETnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-10
96.9%
Evans, D. rush for 6 yards to the ETSU26 (Nasir Player), PENALTY APP holding (Bird, Tyler) 10 yards to the ETSU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 20
OPP 42
-2
96.8%
Jalen Virgil run for a loss of 2 yards to the ETnSt 44Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 22
OPP 44
+27
96.8%
Zac Thomas run for 27 yds to the ETnSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
96.9%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Jalen VirgilSimilar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+6
96.9%
Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the ETnSt 11Similar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+10
96.9%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 10 yds to the ETnSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.7%
Zac Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 5PUNT
13 plays · 22 yds · 2:584% → 4%
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.4%
Quay Holmes run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 27Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
96.4%
EAST TENN ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the ETnSt 22Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+1
96.4%
Quay Holmes run for 1 yd to the ETnSt 23Similar
Q1 2:58
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+14
96.5%
Quay Holmes run for 14 yds to the ETnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
96.4%
Jacob Saylors run for 1 yd to the ETnSt 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+12
95.9%
Chance Thrasher run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
-5
95.7%
EAST TENN ST Penalty, false start (Ben Blackmon) to the ETnSt 45Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 45
-2
95.9%
Quay Holmes run for a loss of 2 yards to the ETnSt 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 43
-5
96.0%
EAST TENN ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the ETnSt 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 22
OWN 38
+6
96.0%
Chance Thrasher run for 6 yds to the ETnSt 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 44
+3
96.0%
Quay Holmes run for 3 yds to the ETnSt 47Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 47
0
96.1%
Garrett Taylor punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
95.6%
Darrynton Evans run for 9 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+7
95.7%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 7 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
95.7%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Collin ReedSimilar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
95.6%
Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the AppSt 38Similar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
95.6%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Keishawn Watson, broken up by Tyree RobinsonSimilar
Q2 11:54
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
95.4%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 54 yds , Jacob Saylors returns for no gain to the ETnSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
95.3%
Quay Holmes run for 1 yd to the ETnSt 9Similar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 9
OWN 9
0
95.3%
Trey Mitchell pass incomplete to Braxton RichburgSimilar
Q2 10:01
3RD & 9
OWN 9
+1
95.4%
Quay Holmes run for 1 yd to the ETnSt 10Similar
Q2 10:01
4TH & 8
OWN 10
+14
95.4%
Garrett Taylor punt for 52 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for 14 yds to the ETnSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8TD
9 plays · 48 yds · 2:2795% → 96%
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
95.3%
Daetrich Harrington run for 9 yds to the ETnSt 39Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+5
95.3%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 5 yds to the ETnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
95.4%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 8 yds to the ETnSt 26Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+5
95.4%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 5 yds to the ETnSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
95.4%
Daetrich Harrington run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 19Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 8
OPP 19
-2
95.4%
Zac Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the ETnSt 21Similar
Q2 8:33
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+15
95.3%
Thomas, Zac pass incomplete to Hennigan, T. (Jeremy Lewis), PENALTY ETSU pass interference (Jeremy Lewis) 15 yards to the ETSU6, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
96.6%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 6 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
Q2 6:06
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
+15
96.3%
EAST TENN ST Penalty, personal foul (Blake Bockrath) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.2%
Trey Mitchell pass complete to Keith Coffee for 3 yds to the ETnSt 28Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
96.2%
Jacob Saylors run for 1 yd to the ETnSt 29Similar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-2
96.2%
Trey Mitchell sacked by George Blackstock and Nick Hampton for a loss of 2 yards to the ETnSt 27Similar
Q2 6:06
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
96.3%
Garrett Taylor punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
96.3%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
96.3%
Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the AppSt 40Similar
Q2 4:07
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+1
96.2%
Zac Thomas run for 1 yd to the AppSt 41Similar
Q2 4:07
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
96.0%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Malik McGue at the ETnSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 11END OF HALF
10 plays · 44 yds · 2:174% → 4%
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
96.0%
Quay Holmes run for 15 yds to the ETnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
95.9%
Quay Holmes run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETnSt 33Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+10
96.0%
Trey Mitchell pass complete to Nate Adkins for 10 yds to the ETnSt 43Similar
Q2 2:47
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+2
95.6%
Trey Mitchell run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+30
95.8%
Trey Mitchell pass complete to Braxton Richburg for 30 yds to the AppSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
95.4%
Trey Mitchell pass complete to Keith Coffee for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 27Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 12
OPP 27
0
95.4%
Trey Mitchell pass incomplete to Quay HolmesSimilar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 12
OPP 27
-10
95.8%
Quay Holmes rush for 6 yards to the APP21 (Fehr, Jordan), PENALTY ETSU holding (Cameron Parker) 10 yards to the APP37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 22
OPP 37
0
96.0%
Trey Mitchell pass incomplete to Keith CoffeeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:2596% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.9%
Darrynton Evans run for 4 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
95.9%
Darrynton Evans run for 11 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
96.1%
Darrynton Evans run for no gain to the AppSt 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
96.1%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 5 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+7
96.0%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 7 yds to the ETnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
96.1%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Thomas Hennigan, broken up by Karon DelinceSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
96.1%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Jalen VirgilSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+15
95.9%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 15 yds to the ETnSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
96.1%
Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds to the ETnSt 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+17
96.1%
Camerun Peoples run for 17 yds to the ETnSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
98.6%
Darrynton Evans run for 13 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 13TD
13 plays · 86 yds · 6:562% → 7%
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
98.3%
Trey Mitchell pass complete to Quay Holmes for a loss of 5 yards to the ETnSt 9Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 15
OWN 9
+5
98.3%
Quay Holmes run for 5 yds to the ETnSt 14Similar
Q3 11:31
3RD & 10
OWN 14
+17
98.3%
Trey Mitchell pass complete to Braxton Richburg for 17 yds to the ETnSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
98.2%
Trey Mitchell pass complete to Anthony Spagnoletti for 13 yds to the ETnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
98.1%
Quay Holmes run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETnSt 43Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+19
98.2%
Trey Mitchell pass complete to Braxton Richburg for 19 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
98.1%
Quay Holmes run for 4 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+11
97.9%
Trey Mitchell pass complete to Braxton Richburg for 11 yds to the AppSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
97.9%
Quay Holmes run for 6 yds to the AppSt 17Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+1
97.9%
Quay Holmes run for 1 yd to the AppSt 16Similar
Q3 11:31
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+11
98.1%
Trey Mitchell pass complete to Jamal Couch for 11 yds to the AppSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
93.5%
Trey Mitchell pass complete to Nate Adkins for 5 yds for a TD, (Tyler Keltner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 14TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4496% → 99%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
95.8%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Darrynton Evans for 24 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
96.1%
Darrynton Evans run for 6 yds to the ETnSt 45Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+16
96.2%
Darrynton Evans run for 16 yds to the ETnSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
96.2%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the ETnSt 23Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 4
OPP 23
0
96.2%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for no gain to the ETnSt 23Similar
Q3 4:35
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+5
96.0%
Zac Thomas run for 5 yds to the ETnSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
96.2%
Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 16Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 8
OPP 16
-15
96.2%
Anderson, R. rush for 1 yard to the ETSU15 (Tyree Robinson), PENALTY APP personal foul (Hodges, Cooper) 15 yards to the ETSU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 23
OPP 31
+31
99.1%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 31 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 15DOWNS
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:421% → 1%
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
98.9%
Jacob Saylors run for a loss of 2 yards to the ETnSt 30Similar
Q3 0:42
2ND & 12
OWN 30
0
98.9%
Trey Mitchell pass incomplete to Anthony SpagnolettiSimilar
Q3 0:42
3RD & 12
OWN 30
+13
98.9%
Trey Mitchell pass incomplete to Jamal Couch, QB hurry by Cobb, Trey, PENALTY APP pass interference (Jean-Charles, S) 13 yards to the ETSU43, 1ST DOWN ETSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
98.9%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, personal foul (Desmond Franklin) to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
98.8%
Anthony Spagnoletti run for 8 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+1
98.8%
Quay Holmes run for 1 yd to the AppSt 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 33
0
98.9%
Trey Mitchell pass incomplete to Quay HolmesSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 33
0
99.0%
Trey Mitchell pass incomplete to Jamal Couch, broken up by Caleb SpurlinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16TD
12 plays · 67 yds · 4:4099% → 100%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
99.2%
Daetrich Harrington run for 9 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+18
99.2%
Daetrich Harrington run for 18 yds to the ETnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
99.2%
Daetrich Harrington run for 4 yds to the ETnSt 36Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+7
99.2%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the ETnSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
99.2%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 27Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+1
99.2%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Henry Pearson for 1 yd to the ETnSt 26Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+5
99.2%
EAST TENN ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Jason Maduafokwa) to the ETnSt 21Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+1
99.2%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the ETnSt 20Similar
Q4 14:14
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+4
99.1%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the ETnSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
99.2%
Daetrich Harrington run for 6 yds to the ETnSt 10Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 4
OPP 10
-5
99.2%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (Ryan Neuzil) to the ETnSt 15Similar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+15
99.9%
Jalen Virgil run for 15 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Trey Mitchell pass incomplete to Jacob Saylors, broken up by Akeem Davis-GaitherSimilar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+1
99.9%
Quay Holmes run for 1 yd to the ETnSt 20Similar
Q4 9:29
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Trey Mitchell pass complete to Quay Holmes for 5 yds to the ETnSt 25Similar
Q4 9:29
4TH & 4
OWN 25
+33
99.9%
Garrett Taylor punt for 48 yds , Malik Williams returns for 33 yds to the ETnSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18TD
5 plays · 40 yds · 2:13100% → 100%
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+21
99.9%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 21 yds to the ETnSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
99.9%
Nakendrick Clark run for 4 yds to the ETnSt 15Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 6
OPP 15
-2
99.9%
Nakendrick Clark run for a loss of 2 yards to the ETnSt 17Similar
Q4 5:52
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+17
99.9%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Christian Wells for 17 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 19FUMBLE
12 plays · 66 yds · 4:190% → 0%
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.9%
Cameron Lewis sacked by Tommy Dawkins for a loss of 4 yards to the ETnSt 21Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+19
99.9%
Dj Twitty run for 19 yds to the ETnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.9%
Cameron Lewis run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 42Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+6
99.9%
Cameron Lewis run for 6 yds to the ETnSt 48Similar
Q4 5:52
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+12
99.9%
Cameron Lewis run for 12 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
99.9%
Cameron Lewis run for 2 yds to the AppSt 38Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+2
99.9%
Dj Twitty run for 2 yds to the AppSt 36Similar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
100.0%
Cameron Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:33
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+15
100.0%
Cameron Lewis pass complete to Malik McGue for 15 yds to the AppSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
100.0%
Cameron Lewis run for 5 yds to the AppSt 17 Cameron Lewis fumbled, forced by Hansky Paillant, recovered by AppSt Kaleb Dawson , return for 8 yds to the AppSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20END OF GAME
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
100.0%
Nakendrick Clark run for 12 yds to the AppSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
100.0%
Gabe Montgomery run for 7 yds to the AppSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:35
Trey Mitchell pass complete to Nate Adkins for 5 yds for a TD, (Tyler Keltner KICK)
-4.5
TD · Q3 0:51
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 31 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)
+2.9
TD · Q3 11:35
Darrynton Evans run for 13 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)
+2.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com