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M-OH

Miami (OH) 27 at Ball State 41

BALL
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2019 · Scheumann Stadium
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Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+23.2BALL 60.4%Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds for a TD(Ryan Rimmler KICK)AWAY 27 - HOME 27 · Q4 14:54
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:54 · Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds for a TD (Ryan Rimmler KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 132Home team on offense+3.3Pregame prior+2.4Score differential−1.1Garbage-time factor−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:09: Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 10 yds for a TD (Sam Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +7.3 pts (now 51%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:53: Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 40 yds for a TD (Ryan Rimmler PAT MISSED) — BALL win probability +9.3 pts (now 44%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:54: Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds for a TD (Ryan Rimmler KICK) — BALL win probability +23.2 pts (now 60%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:25: Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 40 yds for a TD (Ryan Rimmler KICK) — BALL win probability +23.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:20: Caleb Huntley run for 30 yds for a TD (Ryan Rimmler KICK) — BALL win probability +14.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 8 of 8M-OH made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00BALL 4th & 21 at BALL 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:43M-OH 4th & 2 at BALL 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    40.7%−0.5
    40% to make
    Punt
    40.6%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:41M-OH 4th & 3 at BALL 14, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.0%−0.2
    84% to make
    Punt
    39.0%−3.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:41BALL 4th & 4 at BALL 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:41BALL 4th & 10 at BALL 42, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:41BALL 4th & 1 at BALL 49, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    38.9%−2.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:17M-OH 4th & 2 at BALL 32, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.4%−0.6
    51% to make
    Punt
    56.6%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:35BALL 4th & 2 at M-OH 38, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    37.8%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    36.9%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:55M-OH 4th & 6 at M-OH 31, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−1.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:06M-OH 4th & 6 at BALL 42, up 13
    Close callPunted · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    69.2%−1.8
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.2%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:53M-OH 4th & 6 at M-OH 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−0.9
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:10BALL 4th & 3 at M-OH 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    36.7%−3.5
    36% to make
    Punt
    36.9%−3.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:54BALL 4th & 2 at M-OH 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    33.1%−2.4
    92% to make
    Punt
    19.3%−16.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:40BALL 4th & 10 at BALL 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−2.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:15M-OH 4th & 1 at M-OH 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.1%−3.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:20M-OH 4th & 10 at BALL 30, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.0%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    6.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    5.2%−1.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 5 of 6M-OH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:53M-OH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:50BALL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:09M-OH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:34BALL Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:53BALL Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    38.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:54BALL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:25BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.0%−0.4
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:20BALL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BALLDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
59.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Caleb Huntley for 12 yds to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
59.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 9 yds to the BalSt 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 46
0
59.8%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Riley MillerSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+10
59.8%
MIAMI OH Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
59.8%
Walter Fletcher run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 45
0
59.8%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 45
-10
59.8%
Drew Plitt sacked by Bart Baratti and Ivan Pace Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the BalSt 45Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 21
OWN 45
+2
59.8%
Nathan Snyder punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 13 , Maurice Thomas returns for 2 yds to the MiaOh 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 2TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 2:5440% → 43%
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+13
59.8%
Jaylon Bester run for 13 yds to the MiaOh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
59.8%
Jaylon Bester run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+16
59.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 16 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+31
59.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Luke Mayock for 31 yds to the BalSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
59.5%
Tyre Shelton run for 3 yds to the BalSt 25Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+9
59.5%
Jaylon Bester run for 9 yds to the BalSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
57.4%
Jaylon Bester run for 16 yds for a TD (Sam Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 3TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:0358% → 61%
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
58.0%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the BalSt 27Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
58.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 8 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 0
+3
58.0%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 38 BALL ST Penalty, personal foul off-setting ( Yards) to the BalSt 38Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+5
58.3%
Drew Plitt run for 5 yds to the BalSt 43Similar
Q1 9:53
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+21
58.4%
Drew Plitt run for 21 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
58.6%
Caleb Huntley run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+13
58.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Nolan Givan for 13 yds to the MiaOh 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
58.8%
Walter Fletcher run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 14Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+5
58.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 5 yds to the MiaOh 9Similar
Q1 9:53
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+6
58.6%
Caleb Huntley run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
61.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds for a TD (Ryan Rimmler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 4FG
15 plays · 57 yds · 6:0241% → 44%
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
59.4%
Jaylon Bester run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+5
59.4%
Tyre Shelton run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q1 4:43
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+8
59.4%
Jaylon Bester run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
58.7%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
58.9%
Tyre Shelton run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q1 4:43
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+9
59.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Tyre Shelton for 9 yds to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
58.4%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Maurice Thomas, broken up by Ray WilbornSimilar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+2
58.5%
Brett Gabbert run for 2 yds to the BalSt 43Similar
Q1 4:43
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+6
58.6%
Brett Gabbert run for 6 yds to the BalSt 37Similar
Q1 4:43
4TH & 2
OPP 37
+16
59.1%
Jaylon Bester run for 1 yd to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Tuni Ropati) to the BalSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
58.1%
Tyre Shelton run for 6 yds to the BalSt 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+1
56.7%
Jaylon Bester run for 1 yd to the BalSt 14Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 14
0
57.3%
Jaylon Bester run for no gain to the BalSt 14Similar
Q2 13:41
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+32
56.2%
Sam Sloman 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.3%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
57.2%
Walter Fletcher run for 1 yd to the BalSt 26Similar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
56.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 5 yds to the BalSt 31Similar
Q2 13:41
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
56.6%
Nathan Snyder punt blocked by Lonnie Phelps blocked by Lonnie PhelpsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 6TD
1 play · 10 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 12:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
49.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 10 yds for a TD (Sam Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 7PUNT TD
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:2849% → 40%
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
49.1%
Drew Plitt run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 23Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+19
49.0%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 19 yds to the BalSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
50.0%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Riley Miller, broken up by Ryan McWoodSimilar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
49.8%
Drew Plitt run for no gain to the BalSt 42Similar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
49.2%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Riley Miller, broken up by Sterling WeatherfordSimilar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 10
OWN 42
+32
40.2%
Nathan Snyder punt blocked by Emmanuel Rugamba blocked by Emmanuel Rugamba Lonnie Phelps return for 32 yds for a TD (Sam Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 8TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:0740% → 46%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
39.8%
Caleb Huntley run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 23Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+1
39.6%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Nolan Givan for 1 yd to the BalSt 24Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+16
39.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 16 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
40.8%
PLITT, Drew rush for 5 yards to the BALL45 (BARATTI, Bart), PENALTY BALL holding (BLACKWELL, C.) 10 yards to the BALL30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+7
39.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 7 yds to the BalSt 37Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+12
39.8%
Drew Plitt run for 12 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 1
OWN 49
0
41.2%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the BalSt 49Similar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+1
41.2%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
50
+30
41.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Kyle Schrank for 30 yds to the MiaOh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
42.1%
Walter Fletcher run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 13Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+1
42.1%
Walter Fletcher run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 12Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+3
41.6%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
42.1%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Riley MillerSimilar
Q2 10:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
42.1%
Walter Fletcher run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 7Similar
Q2 4:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
45.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 7 yds for a TD (Ryan Rimmler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9FG
6 plays · 51 yds · 2:1156% → 62%
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+43
43.9%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 43 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
42.2%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Andrew Homer for 7 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+1
41.9%
Tyre Shelton run for 1 yd to the BalSt 32Similar
Q2 4:28
3RD & 2
OPP 32
0
42.6%
Jaylon Bester run for no gain to the BalSt 32Similar
Q2 2:17
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+50
37.9%
Sam Sloman 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 10DOWNS
12 plays · 37 yds · 1:3638% → 37%
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
38.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 5 yds to the BalSt 30Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
38.6%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Walter Fletcher for 2 yds to the BalSt 32Similar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
38.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Walter Fletcher for 4 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
38.7%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 8 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 2
OWN 44
0
39.6%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+10
39.1%
Walter Fletcher run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
40.1%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Malik DunnerSimilar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
39.9%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Nolan GivanSimilar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+8
38.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 8 yds to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 2
OPP 38
0
37.4%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Riley MillerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
31.7%
Brett Gabbert run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
33.6%
Jaylon Bester run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+2
33.6%
Jackson Williamson pass complete to Davion Johnson for 2 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
34.0%
Jackson Williamson pass incomplete to Jack Sorenson, broken up by Amechi Uzodinma IISimilar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 6
OWN 31
+6
34.9%
Kyle Kramer punt for 47 yds , Riley Miller returns for 6 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13FUMBLE
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
35.3%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the BalSt 32Similar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 6
OWN 32
-2
35.6%
Drew Plitt sacked by Doug Costin for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 25 Drew Plitt fumbled, recovered by BalSt Caleb Huntley , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 13:17
3RD & 13
OWN 25
+12
33.8%
Drew Plitt run for 12 yds to the BalSt 46 Drew Plitt fumbled, forced by Kobe Burse, recovered by MiaOh Sterling Weatherford , return for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0072% → 70%
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
28.2%
Jackson Williamson pass incomplete to Jalen Walker, broken up by Amechi Uzodinma IISimilar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-3
28.2%
Tyre Shelton run for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 49Similar
Q3 12:06
3RD & 13
OPP 49
+7
29.0%
Jackson Williamson pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 7 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
Q3 12:06
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
29.8%
Kyle Kramer punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Riley Miller at the BalSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 15TD
10 plays · 92 yds · 3:3832% → 44%
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
31.9%
Walter Fletcher run for 2 yds to the BalSt 10Similar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+7
32.0%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Malik Dunner for 7 yds to the BalSt 17Similar
Q3 10:31
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+3
31.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
32.3%
Drew Plitt run for 3 yds to the BalSt 23Similar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+9
32.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 9 yds to the BalSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
32.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 11 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
33.5%
Malik Dunner run for 4 yds to the BalSt 47Similar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+13
34.3%
Walter Fletcher run for 13 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
34.6%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+40
43.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 40 yds for a TD (Ryan Rimmler PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0063% → 61%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
36.6%
Tyre Shelton run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-2
36.4%
Jackson Williamson pass complete to Jaylon Bester for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+4
38.1%
Jackson Williamson run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q3 6:53
4TH & 6
OWN 29
-3
38.9%
Kyle Kramer punt for 48 yds , Hassan Littles returns for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 17TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 5:0338% → 60%
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
37.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the BalSt 22Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+8
37.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 8 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
38.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+21
38.7%
Drew Plitt run for 21 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
42.6%
Walter Fletcher run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+6
42.4%
Drew Plitt run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q3 4:57
3RD & 3
OPP 39
0
42.4%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
Q3 2:10
4TH & 3
OPP 39
+26
41.0%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 26 yds to the MiaOh 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
45.5%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 10Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+5
45.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 5 yds to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q3 0:29
3RD & 2
OPP 5
0
37.2%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+5
60.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds for a TD (Ryan Rimmler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
53.1%
Jackson Williamson pass intercepted Amechi Uzodinma II return for no gain to the BalSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0059% → 56%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
58.5%
Walter Fletcher run for 2 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q4 14:40
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
58.5%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Walter Fletcher, broken up by Doug CostinSimilar
Q4 14:40
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+10
56.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Nolan Givan for 10 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
60.3%
Caleb Huntley run for 6 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q4 14:40
2ND & 4
OWN 44
-6
62.4%
Drew Plitt sacked by Andrew Sharp for a loss of 6 yards to the BalSt 38Similar
Q4 14:40
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
58.0%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Nolan Givan, broken up by Sterling WeatherfordSimilar
Q4 14:40
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
55.9%
Nathan Snyder punt for 34 yds, downed at the MiaOh 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 20INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:0048% → 47%
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
52.5%
Jackson Williamson run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+4
52.6%
Jaylon Bester run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q4 12:11
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
52.9%
Jackson Williamson pass intercepted Amechi Uzodinma II return for no gain to the BalSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 21TD
4 plays · 62 yds · 1:4260% → 87%
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
60.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 14 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
63.2%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+4
63.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 4 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+40
87.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 40 yds for a TD (Ryan Rimmler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 22DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
81.9%
Tyre Shelton run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+5
81.5%
Jaylon Bester run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+1
81.8%
Jaylon Bester run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q4 9:15
4TH & 1
OWN 31
-1
82.4%
Jaylon Bester run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 23TD
1 play · 30 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
96.6%
Caleb Huntley run for 30 yds for a TD (Ryan Rimmler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · 53 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+45
95.3%
Jackson Williamson pass complete to James Maye for 45 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
94.2%
Jackson Williamson pass incomplete to Tyre SheltonSimilar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
94.3%
Jackson Williamson pass incomplete to Quentin HardySimilar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
94.8%
Jackson Williamson pass incomplete to James MayeSimilar
Q4 7:20
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+8
95.0%
Jackson Williamson run for 8 yds to the BalSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 25END OF GAME
10 plays · 51 yds · 0:0096% → 97%
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
96.3%
Walter Fletcher run for 4 yds to the BalSt 26Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+7
96.3%
Walter Fletcher run for 7 yds to the BalSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
96.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 12 yds to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
96.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 15 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
96.7%
Walter Fletcher run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+2
96.7%
Walter Fletcher run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q4 6:39
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+9
96.6%
Caleb Huntley run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
96.8%
Walter Fletcher run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 4
OPP 21
-5
96.8%
BALL ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 9
OPP 26
-1
96.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:25
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 40 yds for a TD (Ryan Rimmler KICK)
+23.8
TD · Q4 14:54
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds for a TD (Ryan Rimmler KICK)
+23.2
TD · Q4 7:20
Caleb Huntley run for 30 yds for a TD (Ryan Rimmler KICK)
+14.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com