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2019 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2019 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG-3.2EMU 3.9%Matthew Trickett 24 yd FG GOODAWAY 34 - HOME 26 · Q4 1:27
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:27 · Matthew Trickett 24 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 180Home team on offense−37.1Score differential−8.9Garbage-time factor−13.8Pregame prior+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−13.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:39: Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 18 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +11.3 pts (now 61%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:09: Dustin Crum run for 4 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK) — KENT win probability +9.7 pts (now 66%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:48: Chad Ryland kickoff for 61 yds , Jamal Parker return for 96 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK) — KENT win probability +11.7 pts (now 73%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:16: Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 30 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland PAT BLOCKED) — EMU win probability +8.3 pts (now 38%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:58: Mike Glass III pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — EMU win probability +24.5 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7KENT made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 10:14EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:17EMU 4th & 7 at KENT 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    54.7%−0.6
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00KENT 4th & 6 at KENT 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:15EMU 4th & 10 at KENT 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    45.2%−6.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:15KENT 4th & 5 at KENT 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:06KENT 4th & 8 at EMU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    39.3%−5.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:48EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 32, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.2%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    29.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:46KENT 4th & 13 at EMU 30, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−1.9
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.3%
    56% to make
    Punt
    65.5%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:46EMU 4th & 2 at midfield, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    32.2%−1.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:15EMU 4th & 8 at EMU 44, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00KENT 4th & 2 at KENT 28, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.4%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:23EMU 4th & 8 at EMU 35, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:31KENT 4th & 4 at KENT 30, up 11
    Close callPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.7%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:27KENT 4th & 7 at EMU 7, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    78.1%−8.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4KENT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:19EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:14KENT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:50KENT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:39EMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:09KENT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:16EMU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    37.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:58EMU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    32.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    32.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4157% → 58%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
56.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 6 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
56.5%
Shaq Vann run for 5 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
56.5%
Mike Glass III run for no gain to the EMich 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
56.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 7 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+27
56.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 27 yds to the KntSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
58.0%
Shaq Vann run for 30 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 1:5942% → 44%
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+33
57.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 33 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
57.2%
Will Matthews run for 7 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+2
57.2%
Will Matthews run for 2 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q1 12:13
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+6
57.3%
Will Matthews run for 6 yds to the EMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
57.2%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the EMich 25Similar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 15
OPP 25
+17
57.3%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Woody Barrett for 8 yds to the EMich 17 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (Kobie Beltram) to the EMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
56.1%
Xavier Williams run for 8 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
56.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 6 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-5
57.0%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Brian Dooley) to the EMich 26Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
56.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 1 yd to the EMich 27Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
56.6%
Mike Glass III run for 5 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q1 10:14
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
56.6%
Jake Julien punt for 52 yds, downed at the KntSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4TD
12 plays · 84 yds · 3:5343% → 49%
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+17
56.6%
Dustin Crum run for 17 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
56.5%
Xavier Williams run for 10 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
56.1%
Dustin Crum run for 8 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+8
55.8%
Xavier Williams run for 8 yds to the EMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
55.9%
Will Matthews run for 6 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+15
55.6%
CRUM, Dustin pass incomplete to MCKOY, Isaiah, PENALTY EMU pass interference (McGEE, Freddie) 15 yards to the EMU20, 1ST DOWN KENTST, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
55.6%
Dustin Crum run for 4 yds to the EMich 16Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+11
55.6%
Will Matthews run for 11 yds to the EMich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
55.6%
Will Matthews run for 4 yds to the EMich 1Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
55.6%
MATTHEWS, Will rush for loss of 1 yard to the EMU2 (BOGAN, Blake;BELTRAM, Kobie), PENALTY EMU offside (MYRICK, Terry) 0 yards to the EMU1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
55.6%
Will Matthews run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 3Similar
Q1 3:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
51.4%
Dustin Crum run for 3 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 2:3353% → 51%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
52.7%
Mike Glass III run for 5 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
52.9%
Shaq Vann run for 7 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
53.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 20 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
54.1%
Shaq Vann run for 4 yds to the KntSt 39Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+4
54.1%
Jairus Grissom run for 4 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
Q1 1:17
3RD & 2
OPP 35
-5
52.4%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 40Similar
Q1 1:17
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
51.2%
Jake Julien punt for 37 yds, downed at the KntSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:2849% → 49%
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+6
50.7%
Will Matthews run for 6 yds to the KntSt 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 9
+3
50.6%
Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the KntSt 12Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+16
50.7%
Xavier Williams run for 16 yds to the KntSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-8
49.6%
Dustin Crum sacked by Kevin McGill and Alex Merritt for a loss of 8 yards to the KntSt 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 20
+6
50.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 6 yds to the KntSt 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 26
+6
50.8%
Xavier Williams run for 6 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 32
+50
50.7%
Derek Adams punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EASTMICH 28 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding (Quian Williams) to the EMich 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7MISSED FG
9 plays · 68 yds · 3:1749% → 48%
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
49.1%
Shaq Vann run for no gain to the EMich 18Similar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 10
OWN 18
-5
49.0%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Mike Van Hoeven) to the EMich 13Similar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 15
OWN 13
0
48.9%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Bryson CannonSimilar
Q2 12:32
3RD & 15
OWN 13
+19
48.2%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 19 yds to the EMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+54
49.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 54 yds to the EASTMICH 14 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
52.2%
Line Latu run for 3 yds to the KntSt 11Similar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 7
OPP 11
-3
52.2%
Mike Glass III sacked by Mandela Lawrence-Burke for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 14Similar
Q2 12:32
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
51.2%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Eddie DaughertySimilar
Q2 9:15
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+32
48.1%
Chad Ryland 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0053% → 51%
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
47.4%
Joachim Bangda run for 2 yds to the KntSt 22Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+3
47.6%
Joachim Bangda run for 3 yds to the KntSt 25Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
47.4%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:15
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
48.6%
Derek Adams punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 4:2346% → 61%
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
46.4%
Mike Glass III run for 4 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
47.8%
Jairus Grissom run for 2 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+9
47.2%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
50
+2
48.7%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+5
48.7%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 5 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+13
48.6%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 13 yds to the KntSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
49.8%
Shaq Vann run for no gain to the KntSt 30Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+12
49.7%
Mike Glass III run for 12 yds to the KntSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
61.1%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 18 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 10FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 2:3346% → 52%
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
53.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 10 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
53.0%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 8 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+11
51.5%
Will Matthews run for 11 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+19
50.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 19 yds to the EMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
49.7%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoy, broken up by Jerodd VinesSimilar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-4
50.1%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Will Matthews for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 31Similar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 14
OPP 31
+6
52.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 6 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q2 1:06
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+42
48.5%
Matthew Trickett 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11INT
4 plays · 27 yds · 0:0050% → 54%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
50.2%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Shaq Vann for 3 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+24
50.4%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 24 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
53.8%
Mike Glass III pass intercepted Keith Sherald Jr. return for no gain to the KntSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 12TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 0:3251% → 66%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
48.7%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 17 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+45
46.8%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 45 yds to the EMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
44.3%
Will Matthews run for 4 yds to the EMich 4Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
34.5%
Dustin Crum run for 4 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
38.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:3227% → 38%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
26.6%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 7 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
27.5%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Line LatuSimilar
Q3 14:48
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
27.5%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q3 14:48
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+11
26.8%
Brody Hoying run for 11 yds to the EMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
28.5%
Shaq Vann run for 9 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 1
OPP 48
0
29.5%
Shaq Vann run for no gain to the KntSt 48Similar
Q3 14:48
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+14
29.2%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 14 yds to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
29.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 4 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+30
38.1%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 30 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16MISSED FG
11 plays · 42 yds · 3:2666% → 69%
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
33.9%
Will Matthews run for 6 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+17
33.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 17 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
32.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 3 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+7
32.7%
Will Matthews run for 7 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
32.6%
Xavier Williams run for 12 yds to the EMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-10
32.2%
CRUM, Dustin rush for 5 yards to the EMU22, out-of-bounds, PENALTY KENTST holding (GREGOIRE, Adam) 10 yards to the EMU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 20
OPP 37
0
32.8%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Antwan DixonSimilar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 20
OPP 37
0
33.0%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dustin Crum for no gain to the EMich 37Similar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 20
OPP 37
+7
33.5%
Xavier Williams run for 7 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q3 8:46
4TH & 13
OPP 30
+47
30.6%
Matthew Trickett 47 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Shawn SimeonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17DOWNS
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
30.5%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+9
30.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 9 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
31.8%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+7
31.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 7 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 1
OPP 49
-1
32.6%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:46
4TH & 2
50
0
31.0%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Eddie DaughertySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18FUMBLE
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
50
0
25.9%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Kavious PriceSimilar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 10
50
0
25.9%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoy, broken up by Freddie McGee IIISimilar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 10
50
+11
26.5%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 11 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
25.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 3 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+7
25.8%
Will Matthews run for 7 yds to the EMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
25.3%
Dustin Crum run for no gain to the EMich 29Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-5
25.5%
Dustin Crum sacked by Terry Myrick for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 34Similar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 15
OPP 34
+9
26.3%
Dustin Crum run for 9 yds to the EMich 22 Dustin Crum fumbled, forced by Shawn Simeon, recovered by EMich Blake Bogan KENT ST Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19PUNT
11 plays · 22 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
26.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 4 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 6
OWN 0
0
25.4%
GLASS, Mike pass incomplete to DRUMMOND, Dylan, PENALTY EMU face mask off-setting, PENALTY KENTST personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+5
26.4%
Shaq Vann run for 5 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+1
26.2%
Mike Glass III run for 1 yd to the EMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
26.6%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Arthur Jackson IIISimilar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
26.4%
Shaq Vann run for no gain to the EMich 32Similar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+10
24.9%
GLASS, Mike pass incomplete to LATU, Line, PENALTY KENTST holding (NUNEZ, Mario) 10 yards to the EMU42, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
27.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 5 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+3
28.6%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 2
50
-4
28.4%
Hassan Beydoun run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 44 Hassan Beydoun fumbled, recovered by EMich Mike Glass IIISimilar
Q3 4:15
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
25.4%
Jake Julien punt for 52 yds, downed at the KntSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:1377% → 77%
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-1
22.7%
Will Matthews run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 3Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 3
+17
22.7%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 17 yds to the KntSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
21.7%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoySimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
21.8%
Xavier Williams run for 7 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+1
22.0%
Xavier Williams run for 1 yd to the KntSt 28Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+6
22.6%
Derek Adams punt for 45 yds , Line Latu returns for 6 yds to the EMich 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0021% → 19%
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
21.2%
Mike Glass III run for 4 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+5
21.7%
Shaq Vann run for 5 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q4 13:23
3RD & 1
OWN 42
-2
22.5%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 40Similar
Q4 13:23
4TH & 3
OWN 40
-5
20.2%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the EMich 35Similar
Q4 13:23
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
18.9%
Jake Julien punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Raymond James at the KntSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
17.6%
Dustin Crum run for 5 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+3
17.3%
Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q4 11:31
3RD & 2
OWN 32
-2
17.8%
Xavier Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 30Similar
Q4 11:31
4TH & 4
OWN 30
+14
18.3%
Derek Adams punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 36 , Line Latu returns for 14 yds to the EMich 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 23TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 1:4416% → 45%
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
16.2%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 5 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+11
17.1%
GLASS, Mike pass intercepted by HINES, Elvis at the KENTST49, HINES, Elvis return to the KENTST49 (LATU, Line), PENALTY KENTST pass interference (HINES, Elvis) 11 yards to the KENTST48, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
18.1%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 15 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
19.8%
Shaq Vann run for 9 yds to the KntSt 24Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+18
20.1%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 18 yds to the KntSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
44.6%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 24FG
20 plays · 69 yds · 6:2672% → 96%
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
28.5%
Joachim Bangda run for 9 yds to the KntSt 33Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+2
26.9%
Joachim Bangda run for 2 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
27.5%
Joachim Bangda run for 12 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
25.3%
Joachim Bangda run for 5 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+6
24.6%
Dustin Crum run for 6 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
24.5%
Joachim Bangda run for 2 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+1
24.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 1 yd Kavious Price fumbled, forced by Blake Bogan, recovered by KntSt Mike CarriganSimilar
Q4 4:34
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+14
17.3%
CRUM, Dustin sacked for loss of 5 yards to the EMU47 (SIMEON, Shawn), PENALTY EMU personal foul (SIMEON, Shawn) 14 yards to the EMU28, 1ST DOWN KENTST, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
16.0%
Dustin Crum run for 4 yds to the EMich 24Similar
Q4 4:34
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+1
16.0%
Dustin Crum run for 1 yd to the EMich 23Similar
Q4 4:34
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+14
16.8%
Joachim Bangda run for 14 yds to the EMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
16.0%
Joachim Bangda run for 2 yds to the EMich 7Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
6.8%
Joachim Bangda run for 4 yds to the EMich 3Similar
Q4 1:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-4
6.1%
Joachim Bangda run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 7Similar
Q4 1:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
3.9%
Matthew Trickett 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 25INT
6 plays · 51 yds · 0:175% → 9%
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
4.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 23 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+24
5.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 24 yds to the KntSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
8.9%
GLASS, Mike pass complete to VANN, Shaq for 21 yards to the KENTST7, out-of-bounds (PRICE, Jabbar), PENALTY EMU IR (DAUGHERTY, Eddie) 5 yards to the KENTST33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 15
OPP 33
+9
7.1%
Mike Glass III run for 9 yds to the KntSt 24Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 6
OPP 24
0
8.5%
Mike Glass III pass intercepted Keith Sherald Jr. return for no gain to the KntSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-2
4.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:58
Mike Glass III pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+24.5
TD · Q3 14:48
Chad Ryland kickoff for 61 yds , Jamal Parker return for 96 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)
-11.7
TD · Q2 3:39
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 18 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)
+11.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com