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BGSU

Bowling Green 7 at Buffalo 49

BUF
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2019 · UB Stadium
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Win probability · BUF
modelBUF aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playBUF scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:40 · Matt Naranjo punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Ron Cook Jr. at the Buff 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 78Pregame prior+33.5Home team on offense+15.1Score differential+10.3Blowout margin+0.5Garbage-time factor+2.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:29: Jaret Patterson run for 35 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK) — BUF win probability +0.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:19: Jaret Patterson run for 30 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK) — BUF win probability +0.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:58: Davon Jones run for 14 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK) — BGSU win probability +2.7 pts (now 7%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:47: Jaret Patterson run for 9 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK) — BUF win probability +2.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:00: Jaret Patterson run for 1 yd for a TD BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Alex McNulty KICK) — BUF win probability +1.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BUF made the numbers' call on 5 of 6BGSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 14:34BGSU 4th & 6 at BUF 44, down 7
    Close callPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:23BUF 4th & 1 at BUF 20, up 7
    Close callPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:30BGSU 4th & 8 at BUF 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    4.9%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:29BUF 4th & 3 at BGSU 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    94.6%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    94.6%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 8:29BGSU 4th & 4 at BGSU 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:19BGSU 4th & 4 at BGSU 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00BUF 4th & 16 at BUF 45, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:25BGSU 4th & 12 at BUF 38, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    5.9%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    5.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:40BGSU 4th & 14 at BUF 45, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    2.9%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00BUF 4th & 1 at BGSU 1, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    97.4%−1.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    95.4%−3.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:54BGSU 4th & 5 at BUF 48, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:00BUF 4th & 8 at BGSU 44, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:30BGSU 4th & 3 at BGSU 27, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:18BGSU 4th & 2 at BGSU 29, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:03BUF 4th & 4 at BUF 31, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:48BGSU 4th & 4 at BGSU 23, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:22BGSU 4th & 8 at BGSU 27, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BUF made the numbers' call on 7 of 7BGSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:42BUF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:29BUF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:19BUF Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:58BGSU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:47BUF Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:00BUF Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:26BUF Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:22BUF Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BUFDrive 1TD
2 plays · 81 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+81
95.5%
Jaret Patterson run for 81 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 14:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
95.5%
RB Marlow III run for 5 yds to the Buff 43Similar
Q1 14:34
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+4
95.5%
Davon Jones run for 4 yds to the Buff 39Similar
Q1 14:34
3RD & 1
OPP 39
-5
95.5%
[SGUN], PENALTY BGSU false start (MARLOW, RB) 5 yards to the UB44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:34
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
95.5%
Grant Loy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:34
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
95.5%
Matt Naranjo punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Ron Cook Jr. at the Buff 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
95.4%
Kevin Marks run for 5 yds to the Buff 16Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+2
95.4%
Kevin Marks run for 2 yds to the Buff 18Similar
Q1 13:23
3RD & 3
OWN 18
+2
95.4%
Kevin Marks run for 2 yds to the Buff 20Similar
Q1 13:23
4TH & 1
OWN 20
+1
95.3%
Jackson Baltar punt for 39 yds , RB Marlow III returns for 1 yd to the BwGrn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4DOWNS
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
95.1%
Grant Loy run for 12 yds to the Buff 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
95.0%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to RB Marlow IIISimilar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
95.0%
Davon Jones run for 2 yds to the Buff 44Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 8
OPP 44
0
95.1%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to RB Marlow III, broken up by Cory Gross Jr.Similar
Q1 11:30
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
95.1%
TEAM puntSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 5TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 1:4295% → 95%
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
95.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Zac Lefebvre for 8 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+1
95.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 1 yd to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 1
OPP 33
-2
95.0%
Jaret Patterson run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q1 8:29
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+35
95.3%
Jaret Patterson run for 35 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.1%
Grant Loy pass complete to Bryson Denley for 4 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
95.1%
Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q1 8:29
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+1
95.1%
Grant Loy pass complete to Davon Jones for 1 yd to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q1 8:29
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
95.2%
Matt Naranjo punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 7TD
6 plays · 67 yds · 2:1895% → 96%
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+20
95.3%
Jaret Patterson run for 20 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
95.4%
[SGUN], PATTERSON, Jare rush for 2 yards to the BGSU45 (BROOKS, Karl), PENALTY UB holding (NOSWORTHY, Paul) 10 yards to the UB43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 20
OWN 43
+2
95.3%
Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the Buff 45Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 18
OWN 45
+25
95.3%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Daniel Lee for 25 yds to the BwGrn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
95.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Daniel LeeSimilar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+30
96.1%
Jaret Patterson run for 30 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.0%
Grant Loy run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
95.9%
Darius Wade pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:19
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+3
96.0%
Darius Wade pass complete to Davon Jones for 3 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q1 4:19
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
96.0%
Matt Naranjo punt for 40 yds, downed at the Buff 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 3:0896% → 96%
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
96.0%
Kevin Marks run for no gain to the Buff 29Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+10
96.0%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Daniel Lee for 10 yds to the Buff 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
96.1%
Kevin Marks run for 1 yd to the Buff 40Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+4
96.1%
Dylan McDuffie run for 4 yds to the Buff 44Similar
Q1 3:08
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+7
96.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 7 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
96.2%
Jaret Patterson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 49
0
96.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Antonio NunnSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 49
-4
96.3%
Jaret Patterson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Buff 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 45
0
96.1%
Jackson Baltar punt for 38 yds, fair catch by RB Marlow III at the BwGrn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10TD
10 plays · 83 yds · 3:094% → 7%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+35
96.5%
Darius Wade pass complete to Quintin Morris for 35 yds to the Buff 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
96.3%
Davon Jones run for 10 yds to the Buff 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
96.3%
Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the Buff 35Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
96.1%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Quintin MorrisSimilar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+3
96.3%
Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the Buff 32Similar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 4
OPP 32
+5
96.4%
[SGUN], PENALTY UB offside (TERRY, Tim) 5 yards to the UB27, 1ST DOWN BGSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
96.1%
Darius Wade run for 3 yds to the Buff 24Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+2
96.1%
Davon Jones run for 2 yds to the Buff 22Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+8
96.3%
Davon Jones run for 8 yds to the Buff 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
93.5%
Davon Jones run for 14 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11DOWNS
7 plays · -2 yds · 1:306% → 5%
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
93.8%
Bryson Denley run for 6 yds to the Buff 30Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+2
93.5%
Davon Jones run for 2 yds to the Buff 28Similar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 2
OPP 28
-10
93.7%
JONES, Davon rush for 3 yards to the UB25 (ONWUKA, Chibuez), PENALTY BGSU holding (BLAIR, Tim) 10 yards to the UB38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 12
OPP 38
0
94.5%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Quintin Morris, broken up by Matt OtwinowskiSimilar
Q2 9:25
4TH & 12
OPP 38
0
94.6%
Darius Wade pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 12TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 3:2895% → 98%
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
95.0%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Antonio NunnSimilar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+11
95.0%
Jaret Patterson run for 11 yds to the Buff 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
95.1%
Jaret Patterson run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+6
95.1%
Jaret Patterson run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
95.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 13 yds to the BwGrn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
95.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Zac Lefebvre for 3 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+15
95.1%
Jaret Patterson run for 15 yds to the BwGrn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
97.7%
Jaret Patterson run for 9 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
96.8%
Bryson Denley run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+21
96.8%
Darius Wade pass complete to Julian Ortega-Jones for 21 yds to the Buff 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
96.7%
Julian Ortega-Jones run for a loss of 6 yards to the Buff 46 Bryson DenleySimilar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 15
OPP 46
+1
97.0%
Darius Wade pass complete to Davon Jones for 1 yd to the Buff 45Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 14
OPP 45
0
97.0%
Darius Wade pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:40
4TH & 14
OPP 45
0
97.0%
Matt Naranjo punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Ron Cook Jr. at the Buff 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 14TD
12 plays · 84 yds · 3:2098% → 99%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
97.8%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 7 yds to the Buff 23Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 3
OWN 23
0
97.8%
Dylan McDuffie run for no gain to the Buff 23Similar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+11
97.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Carlton Todd for 11 yds to the Buff 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
97.8%
Jaret Patterson run for 8 yds to the Buff 42Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+52
97.9%
Jaret Patterson run for 52 yds to the BwGrn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
98.2%
Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 4Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.2%
Jaret Patterson run for no gain to the BwGrn 4Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
98.1%
Jaret Patterson run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 1Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.4%
Jaret Patterson run for 1 yd for a TD BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Alex McNulty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 36 yds · 0:002% → 3%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
97.8%
Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 19Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+2
97.8%
Davon Jones run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+6
97.7%
Darius Wade run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
97.8%
Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+1
97.5%
Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+16
97.3%
Darius Wade pass complete to Austin Dorris for 16 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
97.5%
Davon Jones run for 5 yds to the Buff 48Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 5
OPP 48
0
96.8%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Quintin MorrisSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 5
OPP 48
0
96.8%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Austin DorrisSimilar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
96.9%
Matt Naranjo punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 46 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+14
99.6%
Jaret Patterson run for 14 yds to the Buff 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
99.6%
[PSTL], PENALTY BGSU offside (BROOKS, Karl) 5 yards to the UB29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 5
OWN 29
+7
99.6%
Jaret Patterson run for 7 yds to the Buff 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Daniel Lee, broken up by JaJuan HudsonSimilar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+18
99.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 18 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
99.6%
Jaret Patterson run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+1
99.6%
Jaret Patterson run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 6
OPP 42
-2
99.6%
Jaret Patterson run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q3 11:00
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
99.6%
Jackson Baltar punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.7%
Davon Jones run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+3
99.7%
Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
99.7%
Davon Jones run for no gain to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q3 6:30
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
99.7%
Matt Naranjo punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Antonio Nunn at the Buff 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 18TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 5:01100% → 100%
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
99.8%
Dylan McDuffie run for 2 yds to the Buff 39Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+35
99.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 35 yds to the BwGrn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
99.8%
Dylan McDuffie run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
99.8%
Dylan McDuffie run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 7Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+1
99.8%
Dylan McDuffie run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 6Similar
Q3 4:27
3RD & 2
OPP 6
0
99.8%
Dylan McDuffie run for no gain to the BwGrn 6Similar
Q3 4:27
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+3
99.8%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive offside (Karl Brooks) to the BwGrn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.8%
Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 1Similar
Q4 14:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Jaret Patterson run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
99.9%
Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 7
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Davon Jones run for no gain to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+5
99.9%
Davon Jones run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q4 14:18
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Grant Tinnerman punt for 56 yds, downed at the Buff 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
99.9%
Dylan McDuffie run for 6 yds to the Buff 21Similar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+4
99.9%
Kevin Marks run for 4 yds to the Buff 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Kevin Marks run for 5 yds to the Buff 30Similar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
99.9%
Kevin Marks run for 1 yd to the Buff 31Similar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Trevor Bycznski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:03
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Jackson Baltar punt for 52 yds, downed at the BwGrn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
99.9%
Davon Jones run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+2
99.9%
Davon Jones run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q4 8:48
3RD & 4
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Davon JonesSimilar
Q4 8:48
4TH & 4
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Matt Naranjo punt for 50 yds, downed at the Buff 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 22TD
2 plays · 73 yds · 0:43100% → 100%
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+70
99.9%
Kevin Marks run for 70 yds to the BwGrn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Kevin Marks run for 3 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Davon Jones run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
99.9%
Davon Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q4 6:22
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
TEAM run for no gain to the BwGrn 27 TEAM fumbled, recovered by BwGrn Kholbe ColemanSimilar
Q4 6:22
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+3
99.9%
Matt Naranjo punt for 48 yds , Ron Cook Jr. returns for 3 yds to the Buff 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 24END OF GAME
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
99.9%
Kevin Marks run for 1 yd to the Buff 29Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+6
99.9%
Kevin Marks run for 6 yds to the Buff 35Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+5
99.9%
Kevin Marks run for 5 yds to the Buff 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
100.0%
Kevin Marks run for 2 yds to the Buff 42Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+9
100.0%
Theo Anderson run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
100.0%
Theo Anderson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:58
Davon Jones run for 14 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)
-2.7
TD · Q2 5:47
Jaret Patterson run for 9 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK)
+2.5
TD · Q2 0:00
Jaret Patterson run for 1 yd for a TD BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Alex McNulty KICK)
+1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com