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OHIO

Ohio 52 at Akron 3

AKR
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 26, 2019 · InfoCision Stadium
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Win probability · AKR
modelAKR aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playAKR scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:25 · Michael Farkas punt for 49 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 11Pregame prior−43.9Home team on offense−0.1Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 7:20: Cory Smigel 25 yd FG GOOD — AKR win probability +0.8 pts (now 8%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 14:55: Louie Zervos 40 yd FG GOOD — OHIO win probability +0.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:15: Nathan Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 9 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +2.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:44: Nathan Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 11 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +1.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:06: O'Shaan Allison run for 7 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +1.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AKR made the numbers' call on 10 of 11OHIO made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 15:00AKR 4th & 10 at AKR 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:25OHIO 4th & 4 at OHIO 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:31AKR 4th & 5 at AKR 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:47AKR 4th & 10 at AKR 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:20AKR 4th & 7 at OHIO 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    6.6%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:59AKR 4th & 12 at AKR 23, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  7. Q1 2:48AKR 4th & 10 at AKR 41, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:55OHIO 4th & 2 at AKR 23, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.7%−0.2
    70% to make
    Punt
    90.7%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 14:06AKR 4th & 18 at AKR 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:15AKR 4th & 8 at AKR 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:59OHIO 4th & 8 at AKR 48, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:04AKR 4th & 5 at AKR 21, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:58AKR 4th & 15 at AKR 30, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:18OHIO 4th & 8 at OHIO 26, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  15. Q3 9:21AKR 4th & 10 at OHIO 39, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 9:55OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:59OHIO Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:15OHIO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:44OHIO Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:06OHIO Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:03OHIO Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:41OHIO Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
5.9%
Kato Nelson run for 9 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
5.9%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for 4 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
5.9%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
5.9%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
5.9%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 38
+1
5.9%
Jonah Wieland punt for 35 yds , Isiah Cox returns for 1 yd to the Ohio 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
6.4%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+7
6.4%
O'Shaan Allison run for 7 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 1
OWN 37
-3
6.4%
Nathan Rourke run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 34Similar
Q1 13:25
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
6.4%
Michael Farkas punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
7.0%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for 5 yds to the Akron 22Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 5
OWN 22
0
7.0%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for no gain to the Akron 22Similar
Q1 11:31
3RD & 5
OWN 22
0
7.0%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:31
4TH & 5
OWN 22
+4
7.0%
Jonah Wieland punt for 35 yds , Isiah Cox returns for 4 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4TD
1 play · 53 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
6.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to DL Knock for 53 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
7.1%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Timothy Scippio AKRON Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
7.1%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Timothy Scippio, broken up by Jared DorsaSimilar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
7.1%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:47
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
7.0%
Jonah Wieland punt for 40 yds, downed at the Ohio 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6FUMBLE
1 play · -11 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-10
7.2%
Nathan Rourke sacked by Davon'te Jest for a loss of 10 yards to the Ohio 17 Nathan Rourke fumbled, recovered by Akron Davon'te Jest , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7FG
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:448% → 8%
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+10
7.6%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 10 yds to the Ohio 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
7.6%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 9Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
7.6%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for 2 yds to the Ohio 7Similar
Q1 9:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
7.5%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
8.3%
Cory Smigel 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:1592% → 92%
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
8.1%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 1 yd to the Ohio 28Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+7
8.2%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 7 yds to the Ohio 35Similar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+25
8.1%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 25 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
8.0%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to De'Montre Tuggle for 6 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 4
OPP 34
-5
7.9%
OHIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Akron 39Similar
Q1 4:59
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+39
7.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 39 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
8.1%
AKRON Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Akron 20Similar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
8.1%
Michiah Burton run for 3 yds to the Akron 23Similar
Q1 4:59
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
8.1%
Zach Gibson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:59
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
8.0%
Zach Gibson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:59
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+4
7.9%
Jonah Wieland punt for 41 yds , Isiah Cox returns for 4 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10FUMBLE
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
7.9%
Tyler Walton run for 1 yd to the Ohio 41Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+18
7.9%
Nathan Rourke run for 18 yds to the Akron 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
7.9%
O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the Akron 41 O'Shaan Allison fumbled, forced by Dylan Meeks, recovered by Akron A.J. WattsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
8.5%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Timothy ScippioSimilar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
8.4%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:48
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
8.3%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Jeremiah KnightSimilar
Q1 2:48
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
8.1%
Jonah Wieland punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12FG
6 plays · 59 yds · 2:2792% → 93%
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+13
8.4%
Nathan Rourke run for 13 yds to the Ohio 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+38
8.4%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 38 yds to the Akron 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
8.2%
Nathan Rourke run for 8 yds to the Akron 23Similar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+1
8.1%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 1 yd to the Akron 22Similar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 1
OPP 22
-1
8.2%
De'Montre Tuggle run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 23Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+40
7.5%
Louie Zervos 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 0:418% → 8%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
8.0%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for 2 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+11
8.0%
NELSON,KATO pass incomplete to SCIPPIO,T., PENALTY OHIO pass interference 11 yards to the AKRON43, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
8.3%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Jeremiah Knight, broken up by Keye ThompsonSimilar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
8.1%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 10
OWN 43
-8
7.9%
Zach Gibson sacked by Dylan Conner for a loss of 8 yards to the Akron 35Similar
Q2 14:06
4TH & 18
OWN 35
0
7.7%
Jonah Wieland punt for 35 yds , Isiah Cox returns for no gain to the Ohio 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 4:1193% → 95%
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+21
7.5%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 6 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
7.3%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 5 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+4
7.2%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 4 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q2 13:26
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+19
7.3%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 19 yds to the Akron 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
7.2%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Shane Hooks, broken up by Jordyn RileySimilar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+5
7.3%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 5 yds to the Akron 16Similar
Q2 13:26
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+7
7.3%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 7 yds to the Akron 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
7.2%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
5.0%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 9 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
5.6%
Zach Gibson sacked by Amos Ogun-Semore for a loss of 9 yards to the Akron 16Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+1
5.6%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michiah Burton for 1 yd to the Akron 17Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+10
5.6%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michiah Burton for 10 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q2 9:15
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
5.6%
Jonah Wieland punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Isiah Cox at the Ohio 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
5.6%
OHIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 20Similar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+8
5.7%
Julian Ross run for 8 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+11
5.6%
Nathan Rourke run for 11 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
5.5%
Nathan Rourke run for 3 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+8
5.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
50
+2
5.4%
Julian Ross run for 2 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
5.4%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Shane HooksSimilar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
5.6%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Tyler WaltonSimilar
Q2 6:59
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
5.8%
Michael Farkas punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Knight at the Akron 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:276% → 6%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
5.7%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for 2 yds to the Akron 18Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 8
OWN 18
0
5.6%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Timothy Scippio, broken up by Justin BirchetteSimilar
Q2 3:31
3RD & 8
OWN 18
-9
5.6%
GIBSON,ZACH pass complete to SCIPPIO,T. for 10 yards to the AKRON28 (BROOKS, M.), PENALTY AKRON holding 9 yards to the AKRON9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:31
3RD & 17
OWN 9
+12
5.5%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 12 yds to the Akron 21Similar
Q2 2:04
4TH & 5
OWN 21
+10
6.3%
Jonah Wieland punt for 43 yds , Isiah Cox returns for 10 yds to the Ohio 31 OHIO Penalty, illegal block (15 Yards) to the Ohio 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 1:1695% → 97%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
5.5%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 1 yd to the Ohio 32Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+38
5.6%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 38 yds to the Akron 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
4.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to De'Montre Tuggle for 6 yds to the Akron 24Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+13
4.6%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 13 yds to the Akron 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
2.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 11 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
2.0%
Michiah Burton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:4897% → 99%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
3.1%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah CoxSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
3.1%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 9 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
2.9%
O'Shaan Allison run for 3 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
3.1%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 9 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+46
2.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for 46 yds to the Akron 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
2.8%
O'Shaan Allison run for 6 yds to the Akron 7Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+7
1.1%
O'Shaan Allison run for 7 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
1.2%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Julian HicksSimilar
Q3 11:58
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
1.1%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for 2 yds to the Akron 37Similar
Q3 11:58
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-7
1.1%
Zach Gibson sacked by Jack McCrory and Xavior Motley for a loss of 7 yards to the Akron 30Similar
Q3 11:58
4TH & 15
OWN 30
+3
1.1%
Jonah Wieland punt for 39 yds , Isiah Cox returns for 3 yds to the Ohio 33 OHIO Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Ohio 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
1.1%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah Cox, broken up by John LakoSimilar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+2
1.1%
Nathan Rourke run for 2 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q3 10:18
3RD & 8
OWN 26
0
1.1%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah CoxSimilar
Q3 10:18
4TH & 8
OWN 26
0
1.2%
Michael Farkas punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Knight at the Akron 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 23PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
1.0%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for 2 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+9
1.0%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for 9 yds to the Akron 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
1.0%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for 7 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+3
1.0%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for 3 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
1.1%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for 1 yd to the Ohio 48Similar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+5
1.0%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for 5 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q3 9:21
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+4
1.0%
Michiah Burton run for 4 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
1.1%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Julian Hicks, broken up by Justin BirchetteSimilar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
1.0%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Julian HicksSimilar
Q3 9:21
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
1.0%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Julian Hicks, broken up by Justin BirchetteSimilar
Q3 9:21
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
1.0%
Jonah Wieland punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 24TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 7:5399% → 100%
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
0.6%
Julian Ross run for no gain to the Ohio 20Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+16
0.6%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to K.J. Minter for 16 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
0.6%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Shane Hooks, broken up by John LakoSimilar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
0.6%
Julian Ross run for 4 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q3 4:56
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+16
0.6%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 16 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
0.6%
Nathan Rourke sacked by Josh Ward and Dylan Meeks for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 49Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 15
OPP 49
+8
0.6%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 8 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q3 4:56
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+21
0.6%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Camryn Snow for 21 yds to the Akron 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
0.6%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to K.J. Minter for 6 yds to the Akron 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+1
0.4%
Julian Ross run for 1 yd to the Akron 13Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+8
0.4%
Julian Ross run for 8 yds to the Akron 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
0.4%
Julian Ross run for 2 yds to the Akron 3Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
0.4%
Julian Ross run for 2 yds to the Akron 1Similar
Q4 12:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.3%
Nathan Rourke run for 1 yd for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 25INT
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
0.2%
Michiah Burton run for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 20Similar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
0.2%
Zach Gibson pass intercepted Tyler Tupa return for no gain to the Ohio 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 26TD
9 plays · 55 yds · 4:32100% → 100%
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
0.2%
Ja'Vahri Portis run for 8 yds to the Akron 47Similar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+23
0.2%
Joe Mischler pass complete to Camryn Snow for 23 yds to the Akron 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
0.2%
Ja'Vahri Portis run for 6 yds to the Akron 18Similar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 4
OPP 18
0
0.2%
Joe Mischler pass incomplete to Camryn Snow, broken up by A.J. WattsSimilar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+4
0.2%
Joe Mischler run for 4 yds to the Akron 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
0.2%
Ja'Vahri Portis run for 3 yds to the Akron 11Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+8
0.2%
Ja'Vahri Portis run for 8 yds to the Akron 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.2%
Ja'Vahri Portis run for 3 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 27INT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
0.1%
Michiah Burton run for 9 yds to the Akron 24Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 1
OWN 24
0
0.1%
Robbie Kelley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+2
0.1%
Robbie Kelley run for 2 yds to the Akron 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
0.1%
Michiah Burton run for 2 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+9
0.1%
Robbie Kelley pass intercepted Isaac Gill return for 9 yds to the Akron 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 28END OF GAME
7 plays · 26 yds · 1:28100% → 100%
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
0.1%
Jake Neatherton run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 37Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+2
0.1%
Drew Keszei run for 2 yds to the Akron 35Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+21
0.2%
Drew Keszei pass complete to Bingo Long for 21 yds to the Akron 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
0.2%
Jake Neatherton run for 1 yd to the Akron 13Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+1
0.2%
Jake Neatherton run for 1 yd to the Akron 12Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+3
0.2%
Jake Neatherton run for 3 yds to the Akron 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:15
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 9 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)
-2.2
TD · Q2 0:44
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 11 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)
-1.9
TD · Q3 12:06
O'Shaan Allison run for 7 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)
-1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com