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BALL

Ball State 38 at Kent State 41

KENT
2019 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2019 · Dix Stadium
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Win probability · KENT
modelKENT aheadBALL aheadconfidence bandkey playKENT scoreBALL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:44 · Derek Adams punt for 46 yds, downed at the BalSt 2
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+24.0+12.00−12.0−24.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 14Home team on offense+0.0Pregame prior−2.7Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Time remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 7:27: Dustin Crum run for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK) — KENT win probability +17.2 pts (now 76%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 8:55: Drew Plitt run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Rimmler KICK) — BALL win probability +24.0 pts (now 57%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 7:55: Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 24 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK) — KENT win probability +24.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:14: Caleb Huntley run for 42 yds for a TD (Ryan Rimmler KICK) — BALL win probability +30.2 pts (now 53%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:19: Matthew Trickett 22 yd FG GOOD BALL ST Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined — KENT win probability +29.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENT made the numbers' call on 6 of 7BALL made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00BALL 4th & 6 at BALL 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:44KENT 4th & 18 at BALL 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:28BALL 4th & 1 at KENT 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    55.4%−0.2
    64% to make
    Punt
    55.0%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:18KENT 4th & 3 at KENT 30, down 7
    Close callPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.5%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:09BALL 4th & 18 at BALL 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%−0.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:51BALL 4th & 11 at KENT 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.6%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    50.3%−3.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:45KENT 4th & 1 at BALL 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    45.1%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:06BALL 4th & 1 at KENT 9, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    54.3%−2.4
    89% to make
    Punt
    48.6%−8.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:46KENT 4th & 12 at KENT 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−3.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:48KENT 4th & 5 at BALL 5, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.1%
    92% to make
    Punt
    35.1%−10.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:43BALL 4th & 1 at BALL 45, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsPunted · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%−2.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:19BALL 4th & 5 at KENT 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    31.8%−2.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:46KENT 4th & 10 at BALL 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    71.2%−1.0
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:46BALL 4th & 1 at BALL 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.3%−4.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:14BALL 4th & 1 at KENT 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    9.9%−5.8
    30% to make
    Punt
    8.9%−6.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:19KENT 4th & 5 at BALL 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−4.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.5%
    92% to make
    Punt
    25.6%−34.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5BALL made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 7:23BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:36KENT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:38BALL Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:34KENT Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:11KENT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:53BALL Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:27KENT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:55BALL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.6%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.7%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:55KENT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.8%−0.6
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 4:14BALL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.7%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BALLDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
47.2%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the BalSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+3
47.2%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
47.2%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Riley Miller, broken up by Elvis HinesSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
47.2%
Nathan Snyder punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
47.5%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 12 yds to the KntSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
47.5%
Will Matthews run for 14 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
47.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 9 yds to the BalSt 46Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+6
47.7%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 6 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
47.7%
Will Matthews run for 2 yds to the BalSt 38Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
47.7%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 8
OPP 38
0
47.7%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:44
4TH & 8
OPP 38
-10
47.5%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (-10 Yards) to the BalSt 48Similar
Q1 13:44
4TH & 18
OPP 48
0
47.5%
Derek Adams punt for 46 yds, downed at the BalSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 3TD
11 plays · 98 yds · 4:0552% → 55%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+9
48.2%
Caleb Huntley run for 9 yds to the BalSt 11Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 1
OWN 11
+54
48.0%
Caleb Huntley run for 54 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
47.5%
Walter Fletcher run for 5 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
47.5%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Antwan DavisSimilar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+4
47.6%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 4 yds to the KntSt 26Similar
Q1 11:28
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+2
47.8%
Drew Plitt run for 2 yds to the KntSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
47.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 8 yds to the KntSt 16Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+4
47.5%
Justin Hall run for 4 yds to the KntSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
47.5%
Walter Fletcher run for 11 yds to the KntSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
47.5%
Drew Plitt run for no gain to the KntSt 1Similar
Q1 7:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
44.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Rimmler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
45.8%
Xavier Williams run for 4 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 6
OWN 27
-5
45.9%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (Nate Warnock) to the KntSt 22Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 11
OWN 22
0
45.8%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Mike Carrigan, broken up by Amechi Uzodinma IISimilar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 11
OWN 22
+8
45.4%
Dustin Crum run for 8 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q1 7:18
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
45.5%
Derek Adams punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Riley Miller at the BalSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:0055% → 54%
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
45.3%
Walter Fletcher run for 7 yds to the BalSt 32Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
44.9%
Walter Fletcher run for 2 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q1 6:09
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
45.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
44.9%
Drew Plitt sacked by Theo Majette for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 34Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+8
45.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 8 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
Q1 6:09
3RD & 5
OWN 42
-13
44.8%
Drew Plitt sacked by Mandela Lawrence-Burke for a loss of 13 yards to the BalSt 29Similar
Q1 6:09
4TH & 18
OWN 29
0
46.0%
Nathan Snyder punt for 49 yds , Raymond James returns for no gain to the KntSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6TD
3 plays · 78 yds · 0:3445% → 51%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
45.0%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 11 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+16
45.2%
Will Matthews run for 16 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
51.1%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 51 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 7FG
10 plays · 65 yds · 2:3951% → 53%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
49.0%
Caleb Huntley run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 20Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+11
49.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 11 yds to the BalSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
48.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 34 Caleb Huntley fumbled, forced by Mandela Lawrence-Burke, recovered by BalSt Caleb HuntleySimilar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+53
48.7%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 39 yds to the KENTST 27 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, roughing passer (Dominic Hill) to the KntSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
47.2%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin Hall, broken up by Jeremiah SalaamSimilar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+4
47.2%
Walter Fletcher run for 4 yds to the KntSt 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 9
-5
47.8%
BALL ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 14Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 14
0
48.0%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 11
OPP 14
+31
47.4%
Ryan Rimmler 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8DOWNS
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:0048% → 49%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
48.0%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+1
47.8%
Xavier Williams run for 1 yd to the KntSt 18Similar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+11
47.2%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 11 yds to the KntSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
48.2%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 15 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
49.4%
Xavier Williams run for 8 yds to the BalSt 48Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 2
OPP 48
-4
50.0%
Antwan Dixon run for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 48Similar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+5
49.1%
Xavier Williams run for 5 yds to the BalSt 47Similar
Q2 14:45
4TH & 1
OPP 47
-1
48.9%
Xavier Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 9TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 2:5554% → 61%
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
46.3%
Caleb Huntley run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 46Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+21
46.8%
Drew Plitt run for 6 yds to the KENTST 48 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, targeting (Cepeda Phillips) to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
45.6%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Walter Fletcher for 10 yds to the KntSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
45.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 9 yds to the KntSt 14Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 1
OPP 14
0
45.4%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the KntSt 14Similar
Q2 12:33
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+8
46.0%
Caleb Huntley run for 8 yds to the KntSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
39.3%
Walter Fletcher run for 6 yds for a TD (Ryan Rimmler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 10TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5839% → 51%
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
39.0%
Will Matthews run for 5 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
39.4%
Will Matthews run for 1 yd to the KntSt 31Similar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
38.8%
Dustin Crum run for 10 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
40.0%
Dustin Crum run for 10 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+28
40.7%
Dustin Crum run for 28 yds to the BalSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
50.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 21 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 11DOWNS
10 plays · 52 yds · 2:2355% → 54%
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
44.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 9 yds to the BalSt 48Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+7
44.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 7 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
44.3%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Riley Miller, broken up by Jeremiah SalaamSimilar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+27
44.3%
Malik Dunner run for 27 yds to the KntSt 18 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
43.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the KntSt 14Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+4
43.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the KntSt 10Similar
Q2 5:06
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+1
44.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the KntSt 9Similar
Q2 5:06
4TH & 1
OPP 9
0
46.2%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the KntSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 12TD
7 plays · 91 yds · 2:1447% → 62%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
47.3%
Dustin Crum run for 3 yds to the KntSt 12Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+7
47.5%
Xavier Williams run for 7 yds to the KntSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+64
47.8%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 64 yds to the BalSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
52.3%
Xavier Williams run for 2 yds to the BalSt 15Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+10
52.3%
Xavier Williams run for 5 yds to the BalSt 10 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, illegal use of hands (5 Yards) to the BalSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
52.3%
Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the BalSt 2Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
62.2%
Xavier Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:1841% → 59%
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
58.9%
Walter Fletcher run for 15 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
57.3%
Drew Plitt run for 2 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+16
57.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 16 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
55.9%
PLITT, Drew pass incomplete to TYLER, Yo'Heinz (HINES, Elvis), PENALTY KENTST pass interference (HINES, Elvis) 9 yards to the KENTST33, 1ST DOWN BALL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
41.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Walter Fletcher for 33 yds for a TD (Ryan Rimmler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0048% → 46%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
47.9%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoySimilar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
47.3%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Kavious PriceSimilar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 10
OWN 26
-2
46.2%
Dustin Crum sacked by Jimmy Daw for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 24Similar
Q2 0:46
4TH & 12
OWN 24
0
45.5%
Derek Adams punt for 76 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
45.6%
Walter Fletcher run for 5 yds to the BalSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16FG
10 plays · 72 yds · 3:0647% → 55%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
46.7%
Will Matthews run for no gain to the KntSt 23Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+47
46.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 47 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
51.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 8 yds to the BalSt 22Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+3
51.6%
Dustin Crum run for 3 yds to the BalSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+14
51.6%
Xavier Williams run for 14 yds to the BalSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
51.6%
Dustin Crum run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 7Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
51.6%
Xavier Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 9Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
50.1%
Xavier Williams run for 4 yds to the BalSt 5Similar
Q3 11:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
54.8%
Matthew Trickett 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
49.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Nolan Givan for 9 yds to the BalSt 45Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 1
OWN 45
-5
46.8%
BALL ST Penalty, false start (Curtis Blackwell) to the BalSt 40Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
47.6%
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the BalSt 45Similar
Q3 11:43
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
47.5%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q3 11:43
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
49.0%
Nathan Snyder punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Raymond James at the KntSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18TD
9 plays · 84 yds · 2:5753% → 76%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
53.4%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Kavious PriceSimilar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+34
53.0%
Will Matthews run for 34 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
50
+12
57.1%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 12 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-3
57.5%
Will Matthews run for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 41Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 13
OPP 41
+5
55.7%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Keenan Orr for 5 yds to the BalSt 36Similar
Q3 10:24
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+9
56.6%
Dustin Crum run for 9 yds to the BalSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
58.5%
Xavier Williams run for 12 yds to the BalSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+13
58.5%
Xavier Williams run for 13 yds to the BalSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
75.6%
Dustin Crum run for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0035% → 33%
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
50
0
64.6%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Antwan Davis, broken up by Elvis HinesSimilar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 10
50
+4
65.7%
Walter Fletcher run for 4 yds to the KntSt 46Similar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+1
65.1%
Drew Plitt run for 1 yd to the KntSt 45Similar
Q3 7:19
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
67.4%
Nathan Snyder punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 38 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
73.5%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 1 yd to the KntSt 21Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
73.3%
Will Matthews run for no gain to the KntSt 21Similar
Q3 5:46
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+37
72.2%
Dustin Crum run for 37 yds to the BalSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
76.3%
Will Matthews run for 2 yds to the BalSt 40Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+1
76.2%
Will Matthews run for 1 yd to the BalSt 39Similar
Q3 5:46
3RD & 7
OPP 39
-3
75.3%
Dustin Crum sacked by Christian Albright for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 42Similar
Q3 5:46
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
72.7%
Derek Adams punt for 39 yds, downed at the BalSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 21TD
20 plays · 97 yds · 8:3328% → 57%
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
71.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the BalSt 7Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 6
OWN 7
0
72.1%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the BalSt 7Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 6
OWN 7
+10
73.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 10 yds to the BalSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
71.1%
Walter Fletcher run for 3 yds to the BalSt 20Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+3
71.3%
Walter Fletcher run for 3 yds to the BalSt 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+5
75.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Walter Fletcher for 5 yds to the BalSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
73.7%
Walter Fletcher run for 11 yds to the BalSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
72.3%
Justin Hall run for 8 yds to the BalSt 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+3
70.2%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+5
70.0%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 5 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+8
69.9%
Justin Hall run for 8 yds to the KntSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
70.0%
Walter Fletcher run for 8 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+5
67.5%
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the KntSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
67.5%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the KntSt 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+11
67.5%
Caleb Huntley run for 11 yds to the KntSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
67.5%
Walter Fletcher run for no gain to the KntSt 11Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+4
67.5%
Walter Fletcher run for 4 yds to the KntSt 7Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+6
69.7%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 6 yds to the KntSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
67.5%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the KntSt 1Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.5%
Drew Plitt run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Rimmler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 22TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 0:4961% → 88%
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
50
0
61.1%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Xavier WilliamsSimilar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 10
50
+26
60.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 26 yds to the BalSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
63.0%
Dustin Crum run for no gain to the BalSt 24Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+24
87.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 24 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 23TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:3220% → 53%
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
79.9%
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the BalSt 40Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
77.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q4 7:46
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
78.2%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the BalSt 44Similar
Q4 7:46
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+5
79.8%
Malik Dunner run for 5 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
77.1%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz Tyler, broken up by Alex HoagSimilar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+7
78.2%
Caleb Huntley run for 7 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q4 7:46
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+2
77.4%
Walter Fletcher run for 2 yds to the KntSt 42Similar
Q4 4:14
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+42
47.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 42 yds for a TD (Ryan Rimmler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 24FG
16 plays · 67 yds · 3:4957% → 94%
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
56.8%
Will Matthews run for 5 yds to the KntSt 33Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 5
OWN 33
0
59.0%
Dustin Crum run for no gain to the KntSt 33Similar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 5
OWN 33
-6
55.3%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (Nate Warnock) to the KntSt 27Similar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 11
OWN 27
+38
53.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 38 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
64.0%
Will Matthews run for 4 yds to the BalSt 31Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+2
64.1%
Xavier Williams run for 2 yds to the BalSt 29Similar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+8
62.0%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 8 yds to the BalSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+12
67.4%
Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the BalSt 18 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, Defensive holding (Chris Crumb) to the BalSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
67.4%
Xavier Williams run for 2 yds to the BalSt 7Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
67.9%
Dustin Crum run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 9Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
64.5%
Will Matthews run for 4 yds to the BalSt 5Similar
Q4 0:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
94.0%
Matthew Trickett 22 yd FG GOOD BALL ST Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 25FUMBLE
5 plays · 30 yds · 0:0013% → 14%
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
87.0%
PLITT, Drew pass incomplete to DAVIS, Antwan, PENALTY BALL illegal formation 5 yards to the BALL28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:18
1ST & 15
OWN 28
+15
88.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 15 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
85.7%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:18
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+26
86.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Walter Fletcher for 26 yds to the KntSt 37 lat. to Justin Hall for a loss of 3 yards Justin Hall fumbled, recovered by KntSt Mandela Lawrence-BurkeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:14
Caleb Huntley run for 42 yds for a TD (Ryan Rimmler KICK)
-30.2
FG · Q4 0:19
Matthew Trickett 22 yd FG GOOD BALL ST Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined
+29.5
TD · Q4 7:55
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 24 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)
+24.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com