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AKR

Akron 17 at Miami (OH) 20

M-OH
2019 · Week 13 · Nov 20, 2019 · Yager Stadium
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Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:31 · Jonah Wieland punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jack Sorenson at the MiaOh 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 145Pregame prior+12.0Home team on offense+3.5Garbage-time factor+0.7Score differential+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.9Blowout margin+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:45: Jaylon Bester run for 1 yd for a TD (Sam Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +2.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:29: Brett Gabbert pass intercepted for a TD John Lako return for 64 yds for a TD (Cory Smigel KICK) — AKR win probability +5.4 pts (now 11%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 0:14: Sam Sloman 23 yd FG GOOD — M-OH win probability +1.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:17: Kato Nelson pass complete to Timothy Scippio for 34 yds for a TD (Cory Smigel KICK) — AKR win probability +16.8 pts (now 29%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:40: Jaylon Bester run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 25 — M-OH win probability +13.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 5 of 8AKR made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00AKR 4th & 1 at AKR 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:41M-OH 4th & 11 at AKR 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    94.8%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:14AKR 4th & 13 at AKR 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:31M-OH 4th & 4 at AKR 26, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.5%−<0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    92.1%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:57AKR 4th & 16 at M-OH 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:32AKR 4th & 3 at AKR 28, down 7
    Close callPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:50M-OH 4th & 4 at AKR 23, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.7%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    92.0%−1.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:01AKR 4th & 2 at AKR 44, down 14
    Close callPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00M-OH 4th & 9 at M-OH 33, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:59AKR 4th & 15 at AKR 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:37M-OH 4th & 14 at M-OH 48, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:09AKR 4th & 4 at AKR 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:14M-OH 4th & 5 at AKR 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.7%
    92% to make
    Punt
    83.5%−6.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:17M-OH 4th & 8 at M-OH 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%−2.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:31AKR 4th & 4 at AKR 41, down 3
    Close callPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:35M-OH 4th & 2 at M-OH 28, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.3%−1.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
M-OH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2AKR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 11:32M-OH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:45M-OH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:29AKR Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:17AKR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
94.3%
Kato Nelson sacked by Kameron Butler for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+13
94.3%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Peter Hayes-Patrick for 13 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
94.3%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 7 yds to the Akron 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+2
94.3%
Kato Nelson run for 2 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
94.3%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for no gain to the Akron 45Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
94.3%
Jonah Wieland punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 2PUNT
15 plays · 43 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
93.5%
Jalen Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 10
OWN 18
-5
93.5%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 13Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 15
OWN 13
+13
93.5%
Jaylon Bester run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 16 AKRON Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 2
OWN 26
0
93.5%
Tyre Shelton run for no gain to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+14
93.5%
Jaylon Bester run for 14 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
93.6%
Jaylon Bester run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+3
93.6%
Jaylon Bester run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+4
93.6%
Tyre Shelton run for 4 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
93.6%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+8
93.6%
Maurice Thomas run for 8 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+3
93.6%
Maurice Thomas run for 3 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
93.6%
Jaylon Bester run for 4 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 6
OPP 34
-5
93.6%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Ja'Quize Cross and Jalen Hooks for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 39Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 11
OPP 39
0
93.6%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to James MayeSimilar
Q1 11:41
4TH & 11
OPP 39
0
93.5%
Kyle Kramer punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Knight at the Akron 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:098% → 8%
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
92.1%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 10
OWN 6
-5
92.1%
Kato Nelson sacked by Andrew Sharp for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 1Similar
Q1 5:14
3RD & 15
OWN 1
+2
92.0%
Kato Nelson run for 2 yds to the Akron 3Similar
Q1 5:14
4TH & 13
OWN 3
+9
92.0%
Jonah Wieland punt for 38 yds , Maurice Thomas returns for 9 yds to the Akron 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 4FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5692% → 92%
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
92.1%
Tyre Shelton run for 2 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q1 4:27
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+6
92.1%
Tyre Shelton run for 6 yds to the Akron 24Similar
Q1 4:27
3RD & 2
OPP 24
-2
92.0%
Jaylon Bester run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 26Similar
Q1 2:31
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+44
91.5%
Sam Sloman 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5FG
9 plays · 59 yds · 2:349% → 10%
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
91.4%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Julian Hicks for 15 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
91.1%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+12
91.2%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 12 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+40
91.0%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 40 yds to the MiaOh 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-4
90.8%
Kato Nelson sacked by Sterling Weatherford for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 12Similar
Q1 2:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
90.8%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Jeremiah KnightSimilar
Q1 2:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
-4
91.0%
Kato Nelson run for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 16Similar
Q2 14:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 16
+33
89.9%
Cory Smigel 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 6TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:2590% → 92%
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.3%
Tyre Shelton run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
90.4%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+2
90.2%
Davion Johnson run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q2 14:57
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+10
90.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cam Blakely for 10 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+36
90.4%
Jaylon Bester run for 36 yds to the Akron 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
91.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Tyre Shelton for 8 yds to the Akron 21Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+21
92.0%
Tyre Shelton run for 21 yds for a TD (Sam Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
91.3%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for 4 yds to the Akron 25Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 6
OWN 25
-5
91.2%
AKRON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Akron 20Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+10
91.3%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Julian Hicks for 10 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q2 11:32
3RD & 1
OWN 30
-2
91.2%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 28Similar
Q2 11:32
4TH & 3
OWN 28
0
91.6%
Jonah Wieland punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Maurice Thomas at the MiaOh 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 8TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 2:3291% → 94%
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
91.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Andrew Homer for 8 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+26
91.6%
Jaylon Bester run for 26 yds to the Akron 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
91.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 16 yds to the Akron 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
91.8%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+10
91.8%
Tyre Shelton run for 10 yds to the Akron 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
91.8%
Tyre Shelton run for 3 yds to the Akron 1Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
91.8%
Tyre Shelton run for no gain to the Akron 1Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.8%
Jaylon Bester run for 1 yd for a TD (Sam Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -22 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.3%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Nate Stewart, broken up by Bart BarattiSimilar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-6
93.3%
Kato Nelson sacked by Kameron Butler for a loss of 6 yards to the Akron 19Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 16
OWN 19
-13
93.5%
Kato Nelson sacked by Ivan Pace Jr. for a loss of 13 yards to the Akron 6 AKRON Penalty, intentional grounding (Kato Nelson) to the Akron 6Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 29
OWN 6
-3
93.7%
AKRON Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Kato Nelson) to the Akron 3Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 32
OWN 3
+10
93.7%
Jonah Wieland punt for 48 yds , Maurice Thomas returns for 10 yds to the Akron 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 10MISSED FG
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:4794% → 94%
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
93.9%
Tyre Shelton run for 12 yds to the Akron 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
93.9%
Tyre Shelton run for no gain to the Akron 29Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+6
93.8%
Jaylon Bester run for 6 yds to the Akron 23Similar
Q2 5:37
3RD & 4
OPP 23
0
93.8%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jaylon Bester, broken up by A.J. WattsSimilar
Q2 3:50
4TH & 4
OPP 23
+41
93.5%
Sam Sloman 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 2:497% → 7%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
93.2%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Julian Hicks, broken up by Travion BanksSimilar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+7
93.2%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Julian Hicks for 7 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+6
93.1%
Kato Nelson run for 6 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
93.1%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 35Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
93.2%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Peter Hayes-PatrickSimilar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+9
93.5%
Kato Nelson run for 9 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q2 1:01
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
93.1%
Jonah Wieland punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 12INT
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
93.9%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jaylon Bester for 8 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 2
OWN 41
0
94.2%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jaylon BesterSimilar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+9
94.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Andrew Homer for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
50
0
94.2%
Brett Gabbert pass intercepted Corey Thomas Jr. return for no gain to the Akron 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
93.3%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Peter Hayes-PatrickSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+5
93.6%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for 5 yds to the Akron 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
93.5%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
93.5%
Jaylon Bester run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
93.3%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Andrew HomerSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 33
+37
92.9%
Kyle Kramer punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MIAMIOH 40 AKRON Penalty, Offensive holding (Randy Cochran Jr.) to the Akron 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -15 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
93.0%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for 3 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
92.9%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Timothy ScippioSimilar
Q3 13:59
3RD & 7
OWN 33
-8
93.1%
Kato Nelson sacked by Ivan Pace Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the Akron 25Similar
Q3 13:59
4TH & 15
OWN 25
0
93.5%
Jonah Wieland punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Maurice Thomas at the MiaOh 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
93.6%
Tyre Shelton run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
93.8%
Brett Gabbert run for no gain to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q3 12:37
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+11
93.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 11 yds to the Akron 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
93.9%
Brett Gabbert run for 4 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
93.9%
Davion Johnson run for no gain to the Akron 44Similar
Q3 12:37
3RD & 6
OPP 44
-8
93.6%
Brett Gabbert sacked by John Lako for a loss of 8 yards to the MIAMIOH 48 MIAMI OH Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 12:37
4TH & 14
OWN 48
+13
93.0%
Kyle Kramer punt for 46 yds , Jeremiah Knight returns for 13 yds to the Akron 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
93.1%
Brandon Lee run for 2 yds to the Akron 21Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 8
OWN 21
0
93.1%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Nate Stewart, broken up by Emmanuel RugambaSimilar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 8
OWN 21
+4
93.2%
Kato Nelson run for 4 yds to the Akron 25Similar
Q3 9:09
4TH & 4
OWN 25
0
93.3%
Jonah Wieland punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Maurice Thomas at the MiaOh 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18INT TD
7 plays · 32 yds · 3:1694% → 89%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
93.9%
GABBERT, Brett pass incomplete to SORENSON, Jack (DAVIS,ALVIN), PENALTY AKRON holding (DAVIS,ALVIN) 10 yards to the MIAMI42, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
94.2%
Brett Gabbert run for no gain to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
94.1%
Tyre Shelton run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+19
93.9%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 19 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-3
94.2%
Jaylon Bester run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 39Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 13
OPP 39
+3
94.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Tyre Shelton for 3 yds to the Akron 36Similar
Q3 4:29
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+64
88.7%
Brett Gabbert pass intercepted for a TD John Lako return for 64 yds for a TD (Cory Smigel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19FG
12 plays · 77 yds · 4:1588% → 91%
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
87.9%
Tyre Shelton run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+13
88.1%
Tyre Shelton run for 13 yds to the MiaOh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
88.5%
Jaylon Bester run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+3
89.2%
Jaylon Bester run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q3 4:29
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+3
88.6%
Brett Gabbert run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+17
89.3%
Davion Johnson run for 17 yds to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+25
89.7%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Davion Johnson for 25 yds to the Akron 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
89.6%
Davion Johnson run for 1 yd to the Akron 8Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
89.6%
Jaylon Bester run for 3 yds to the Akron 5Similar
Q3 4:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
89.0%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Andrew HomerSimilar
Q3 0:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
90.6%
Sam Sloman 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5710% → 29%
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.5%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
90.6%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 12 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
89.7%
Kato Nelson run for 3 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+17
89.2%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 17 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
88.4%
Kato Nelson run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+34
71.5%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Timothy Scippio for 34 yds for a TD (Cory Smigel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0080% → 78%
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
79.8%
Jaylon Bester run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
79.8%
Jaylon Bester run for no gain to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 8
OWN 26
0
78.3%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack Sorenson, broken up by Jalen HooksSimilar
Q4 13:17
4TH & 8
OWN 26
0
77.5%
Kyle Kramer punt for 52 yds, downed at the Akron 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
76.5%
Kato Nelson run for 7 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+6
74.9%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Julian Hicks for 6 yds to the Akron 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
75.5%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Julian Hicks for 2 yds to the Akron 37Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-5
75.2%
Kato Nelson sacked by Doug Costin for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 32Similar
Q4 11:31
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+9
78.0%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Timothy Scippio for 9 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q4 11:31
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
76.6%
Jonah Wieland punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jack Sorenson at the MiaOh 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0078% → 76%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
77.9%
Jaylon Bester run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+1
78.6%
Davion Johnson run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
77.1%
Brett Gabbert run for no gain to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q4 8:35
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
75.9%
Kyle Kramer punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Knight at the Akron 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 24PUNT
11 plays · 2 yds · 1:4729% → 26%
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
71.5%
Kato Nelson run for 7 yds to the Akron 43Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+5
68.7%
Kato Nelson run for 5 yds to the Akron 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
68.5%
Kato Nelson sacked by Dean Lemon for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 47Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 11
OWN 47
-2
71.1%
Kato Nelson sacked by Ivan Pace Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 45Similar
Q4 4:38
3RD & 13
OWN 45
+14
73.9%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 14 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
67.6%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 3
OPP 34
-10
65.5%
NELSON,KATO pass incomplete to KNIGHT,J., PENALTY AKRON holding (GRAY,XAVIOR) 10 yards to the MIAMI44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 13
OPP 44
-9
70.2%
Kato Nelson sacked by Ivan Pace Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the Akron 47Similar
Q4 4:38
3RD & 22
OWN 47
-9
73.7%
Kato Nelson sacked by Davion Johnson for a loss of 9 yards to the Akron 38 AKRON Penalty, intentional grounding (Kato Nelson) to the Akron 38Similar
Q4 4:38
3RD & 31
OWN 38
0
74.5%
Jonah Wieland punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 25END OF GAME
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:3288% → 95%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
88.2%
Jaylon Bester run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+3
88.2%
Jaylon Bester run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+9
88.1%
Jaylon Bester run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
92.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q4 0:08
2ND & 11
OWN 36
-2
95.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:17
Kato Nelson pass complete to Timothy Scippio for 34 yds for a TD (Cory Smigel KICK)
-16.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:40
Jaylon Bester run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 25
+13.7
TD · Q3 4:29
Brett Gabbert pass intercepted for a TD John Lako return for 64 yds for a TD (Cory Smigel KICK)
-5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com