Try the model
OHIO

Ohio 66 at Bowling Green 24

BGSU
2019 · Week 13 · Nov 19, 2019 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+0.9BGSU 14.0%Louie Zervos 33 yd FG GOODAWAY 17 - HOME 14 · Q1 3:10
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:10 · Louie Zervos 33 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 37Pregame prior−37.4Home team on offense−1.4Score differential−0.8Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:22: Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 26 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK) — BGSU win probability +3.4 pts (now 13%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:33: Bryson Denley run for 21 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK) — BGSU win probability +5.1 pts (now 18%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q2 7:07: O'Shaan Allison run for 7 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +3.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:16: Nathan Rourke run for 8 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +6.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 14:09: O'Shaan Allison run for 53 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +4.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:22BGSU 4th & 6 at OHIO 26, tied
    Close callWent for it · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    13.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:10OHIO 4th & 8 at BGSU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    82.9%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:01BGSU 4th & 4 at BGSU 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00OHIO 4th & 9 at OHIO 23, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%
    average punt
  5. Q3 14:09BGSU 4th & 18 at BGSU 17, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:25BGSU 4th & 8 at midfield, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:28BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 21, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  8. Q4 15:00BGSU 4th & 5 at OHIO 29, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:38OHIO 4th & 3 at OHIO 32, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:58OHIO 4th & 5 at OHIO 24, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3OHIO made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 9:22BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:38OHIO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:23BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 5:23OHIO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 2:01OHIO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 12:33BGSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 7:07OHIO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 1:16OHIO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 14:09OHIO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 4:33OHIO Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 2:45OHIO Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q3 2:03OHIO Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1TD
16 plays · 84 yds · 5:389% → 13%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
9.3%
JONES, Davon rush for 1 yard to the BGSU17 (THOMPSON, K.), PENALTY BGSU illegal formation 5 yards to the BGSU11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 11
+9
9.3%
Davon Jones run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+5
9.3%
Davon Jones run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+1
9.3%
Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
9.3%
RB Marlow III run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 31
0
9.3%
Presley Motes pass incomplete, broken up by Austin ConradSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+7
9.3%
Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 7 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
9.3%
Grant Loy pass complete to RB Marlow III for 13 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
9.3%
Davon Jones run for 4 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+3
9.3%
Grant Loy run for 3 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+12
9.3%
Davon Jones run for 12 yds to the Ohio 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
9.3%
Grant Loy run for 4 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
9.3%
Bryson Denley run for no gain to the Ohio 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
9.3%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Austin Dorris, broken up by Jared DorsaSimilar
Q1 9:22
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+26
12.7%
Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 26 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2TD
4 plays · 66 yds · 0:3888% → 88%
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
12.5%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Ohio 39Similar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 5
OWN 39
+6
12.4%
Nathan Rourke run for 6 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
11.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 55 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:1012% → 15%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
11.9%
Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+44
11.9%
Grant Loy pass complete to Julian Ortega-Jones for 44 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
12.3%
Davon Jones run for 4 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+20
12.3%
Davon Jones run for 20 yds to the Ohio 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
12.4%
Grant Loy run for 5 yds to the Ohio 6Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+6
15.1%
Davon Jones run for 6 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4TD
3 plays · 63 yds · 0:5386% → 87%
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
14.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Jerome Buckner for 9 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+54
13.0%
O'Shaan Allison run for 54 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5FUMBLE
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
13.5%
Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 18 Davon Jones fumbled, forced by Javon Hagan, recovered by Ohio Marcus ColemanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6FG
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:5687% → 86%
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
12.9%
Julian Ross run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 14Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+3
12.9%
Julian Ross run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 11Similar
Q1 5:06
3RD & 3
OPP 11
-5
13.1%
OHIO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q1 5:06
3RD & 8
OPP 16
0
13.1%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah CoxSimilar
Q1 3:10
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+33
14.0%
Louie Zervos 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7FUMBLE
4 plays · 20 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
13.9%
Grant Loy pass complete to Austin Dorris for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+12
13.8%
Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 12 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
14.1%
RB Marlow III run for 13 yds to the BwGrn 45 RB Marlow III fumbled, forced by Marlin Brooks, recovered by Ohio Marlin BrooksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8TD
1 play · 45 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
11.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Jerome Buckner for 45 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
12.0%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Quintin Morris, broken up by Jarren HamptonSimilar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
11.9%
Davon Jones run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+2
11.9%
Grant Loy pass complete to Davon Jones for 2 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q1 2:01
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
11.8%
Matt Naranjo punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jerome Buckner at the Ohio 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:2287% → 87%
Q1 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
12.7%
Nathan Rourke run for no gain to the Ohio 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+1
12.8%
Nathan Rourke run for 1 yd to the Ohio 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
13.0%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron OdomSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 23
0
13.2%
Michael Farkas punt for 45 yds, fair catch by RB Marlow III at the BwGrn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 1:5513% → 18%
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+23
12.6%
Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 23 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
13.2%
Grant Loy pass incomplete, broken up by Cole BakerSimilar
Q2 14:28
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+12
13.1%
Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 12 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
13.5%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Julian Ortega-JonesSimilar
Q2 14:28
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+6
13.5%
Davon Jones run for 6 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q2 14:28
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+6
13.1%
Grant Loy run for 6 yds to the Ohio 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
18.3%
Bryson Denley run for 21 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12TD
16 plays · 73 yds · 5:2184% → 87%
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
16.3%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron Odom, broken up by Jordan AndersonSimilar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
16.4%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Jerome BucknerSimilar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+11
16.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 11 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
15.8%
O'Shaan Allison run for 16 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
15.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 6 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+2
15.4%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+2
15.5%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
15.5%
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+16
15.2%
O'Shaan Allison run for 16 yds to the BwGrn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-5
15.2%
OHIO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 15
OPP 21
+3
15.3%
Julian Ross run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 18Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 12
OPP 18
-4
15.3%
Nathan Rourke run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 12 OHIO Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the BwGrn 22Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 16
OPP 22
+15
15.4%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 15 yds to the BwGrn 7Similar
Q2 7:07
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+7
12.6%
O'Shaan Allison run for 7 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13PUNT
11 plays · 14 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
13.2%
Davon Jones run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
13.4%
Grant Loy pass complete to Davon Jones for no gain to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q2 7:07
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
13.1%
Grant Loy run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
13.4%
Jordan Wayne-Prather run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+27
13.3%
Grant Loy pass complete to Julian Ortega-Jones for 27 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
14.3%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 44Similar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+3
14.0%
Grant Loy pass complete to RB Marlow III for 3 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 12
OPP 41
0
14.1%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Quintin MorrisSimilar
Q2 7:07
3RD & 12
OPP 41
-20
13.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 20 yards to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q2 7:07
4TH & 32
OWN 39
0
12.8%
Matt Naranjo punt for 28 yds, downed at the Ohio 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 1:2186% → 93%
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
13.7%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+15
14.0%
ROURKE, N. pass incomplete to SNOW, C. (BOZEMAN, Jamari), PENALTY BGSU pass interference 15 yards to the OHIO48, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+35
13.3%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 35 yds to the BwGrn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
13.0%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 5 yds to the BwGrn 12Similar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 5
OPP 12
-5
13.0%
OHIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 17Similar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+9
13.0%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 9 yds to the BwGrn 8Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+8
6.7%
Nathan Rourke run for 8 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15FG
13 plays · 66 yds · 1:149% → 11%
Q2 1:16
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+6
9.4%
Grant Loy pass complete to RB Marlow III for 6 yds to the BwGrn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
9.4%
Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 6 yds to the BwGrn 19Similar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
9.5%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Austin Dorris, broken up by Javon HaganSimilar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+19
9.4%
Grant Loy pass complete to Julian Ortega-Jones for 19 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
10.0%
Grant Loy run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+19
13.7%
Grant Loy pass complete to RB Marlow III for 19 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
14.2%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
14.1%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Julian Ortega-JonesSimilar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+15
13.9%
LOY, Grant pass incomplete to ORTEGA-JONES, J (TUGGLE, D.), PENALTY OHIO pass interference 15 yards to the OHIO21, 1ST DOWN BGSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+38
11.3%
Mason Lawler 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 0:4690% → 95%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
10.4%
Jerome Buckner run for 3 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+7
10.0%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 7 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
5.1%
O'Shaan Allison run for 53 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · -8 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
6.7%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q3 14:09
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+8
6.7%
Bryson Denley run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-6
6.8%
Grant Loy sacked by Austin Conrad for a loss of 6 yards to the BwGrn 22Similar
Q3 14:09
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-5
6.6%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 17Similar
Q3 14:09
3RD & 18
OWN 17
0
6.6%
Grant Loy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:09
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+12
6.6%
Matt Naranjo punt for 46 yds , Jerome Buckner returns for 12 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19FUMBLE
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
4.5%
Nathan Rourke run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 4
OPP 45
0
4.3%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+4
4.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 4 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
4.4%
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 6
OPP 37
-6
4.3%
Nathan Rourke run for a loss of 6 yards to the BwGrn 48 Nathan Rourke fumbled, forced by Jerry Roberts, recovered by BwGrn Ty ReddingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
6.9%
Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 7
OPP 49
-1
7.0%
Grant Loy run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 8
50
0
6.8%
Grant Loy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:25
4TH & 8
50
0
6.6%
Matt Naranjo punt for 49 yds, downed at the Ohio 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21TD
8 plays · 99 yds · 4:2796% → 99%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
4.0%
O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the Ohio 2Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+11
4.0%
O'Shaan Allison run for 11 yds to the Ohio 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
4.0%
Nathan Rourke run for 9 yds to the Ohio 22Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+5
3.9%
O'Shaan Allison run for 5 yds to the Ohio 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+38
3.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 38 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
3.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 6 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+7
3.6%
Julian Ross run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
1.3%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Julian Ross for 22 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-4
2.3%
Bryson Denley run for a loss of 4 yards to the BwGrn 13Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 14
OWN 13
+8
2.2%
Grant Loy pass complete to Jordan Wayne-Prather for 8 yds to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 6
OWN 21
0
2.2%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Jordan Wayne-PratherSimilar
Q3 4:28
4TH & 6
OWN 21
+13
2.2%
Matt Naranjo punt for 45 yds , Isiah Cox returns for 13 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 23TD
2 plays · 53 yds · 0:1899% → 100%
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
1.5%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+53
0.5%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 53 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 24FUMBLE
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
0.7%
Grant Loy sacked by Sam McKnight for a loss of 7 yards to the BwGrn 18 Grant Loy fumbled, recovered by Ohio Kaieem Caesar , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 25TD
2 plays · 18 yds · 0:36100% → 100%
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
0.5%
Ja'Vahri Portis run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 11Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+11
0.5%
Ja'Vahri Portis run for 11 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 26DOWNS
12 plays · 50 yds · 2:030% → 0%
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
0.4%
OHIO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
0.4%
Davon Jones run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+6
0.4%
Davon Jones run for 6 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
0.4%
Grant Loy pass complete to Jordan Wayne-Prather for 5 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 5
OPP 43
0
0.4%
Bryson Denley run for no gain to the Ohio 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+4
0.3%
Bryson Denley run for 4 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+5
0.3%
OHIO Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Ohio 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
0.4%
Bryson Denley run for no gain to the Ohio 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+5
0.4%
Grant Loy pass complete to Jordan Wayne-Prather for 5 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 29
0
0.3%
Bryson Denley run for no gain to the Ohio 29Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 29
+4
0.3%
Grant Loy pass complete to Jordan Wayne-Prather for 4 yds to the Ohio 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.4%
Jake Neatherton run for no gain to the Ohio 25Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.4%
Jake Neatherton run for 8 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
0.4%
OHIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 28Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+4
0.4%
Jake Neatherton run for 4 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q4 12:38
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
0.4%
Michael Farkas punt for 41 yds, fair catch by RB Marlow III at the BwGrn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 28INT
8 plays · 46 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
0.2%
Bryson Denley run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+4
0.2%
Bryson Denley run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
0.2%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+3
0.2%
Bryson Denley run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+6
0.2%
Bryson Denley run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q4 9:56
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+10
0.2%
Grant Loy pass complete to Austin Dorris for 10 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+21
0.2%
Bryson Denley run for 21 yds to the Ohio 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
0.2%
Grant Loy pass intercepted John Gregory return for no gain to the Ohio 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 29PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
0.3%
Kurtis Rourke run for 6 yds to the Ohio 11Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 4
OWN 11
+8
0.2%
Ja'Vahri Portis run for 8 yds to the Ohio 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-7
0.2%
Kurtis Rourke run for 6 yds to the Ohio 25 OHIO Penalty, personal foul (-13 Yards) to the Ohio 12Similar
Q4 5:58
1ST & 17
OWN 12
+6
0.2%
Ja'Vahri Portis run for 6 yds to the Ohio 18Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 11
OWN 18
-2
0.2%
Kurtis Rourke run for 8 yds to the Ohio 26 OHIO Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Ohio 16Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 13
OWN 16
+4
0.2%
Ja'Vahri Portis run for 4 yds to the Ohio 20Similar
Q4 5:58
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+4
0.2%
Joe Mischler run for 4 yds to the Ohio 24Similar
Q4 5:58
4TH & 5
OWN 24
0
0.2%
Michael Farkas punt for 46 yds , RB Marlow III returns for no gain to the BwGrn 32 RB Marlow III fumbled, recovered by Ohio Jack McCrorySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 11
OPP 33
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:16
Nathan Rourke run for 8 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)
-6.3
TD · Q2 12:33
Bryson Denley run for 21 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)
+5.1
TD · Q3 14:09
O'Shaan Allison run for 53 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)
-4.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com