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EMU

Eastern Michigan 45 at Northern Illinois 17

NIU
2019 · Week 13 · Nov 19, 2019 · Huskie Stadium
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Win probability · NIU
modelNIU aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playNIU scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:56 · Matt Ference punt for 40 yds , Dylan Drummond returns for 17 yds to the EMich 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 29Home team on offense−1.7Score differential−0.4Garbage-time factor−0.7Pregame prior+9.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:41: Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 36 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +8.2 pts (now 56%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:33: Marcus Childers run for 8 yds for a TD (John Richardson KICK) — NIU win probability +6.5 pts (now 54%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:37: Shaq Vann run for 8 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +14.6 pts (now 75%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:17: Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 36 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +15.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:11: Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 22 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +6.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6EMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 13:00NIU 4th & 2 at NIU 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:56NIU 4th & 19 at NIU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%−0.7
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:18EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 49, up 7
    Close callPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00NIU 4th & 3 at NIU 27, down 7
    Close callPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.9%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:33EMU 4th & 4 at EMU 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:00NIU 4th & 7 at NIU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:39NIU 4th & 10 at EMU 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%−1.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    20.9%−6.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:05EMU 4th & 7 at NIU 9, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.5%
    89% to make
    Punt
    82.3%−8.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 0:52NIU 4th & 3 at EMU 9, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2EMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 6:56EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:41EMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:33NIU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:37EMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:17EMU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:11EMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:33EMU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:52NIU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NIUDrive 1INT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
61.4%
Tre Harbison run for 5 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+12
61.4%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 12 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
61.4%
Marcus Childers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+1
61.4%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 1 yd to the NoIll 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+40
61.4%
Marcus Childers pass intercepted Brody Hoying return for 40 yds to the NoIll 21 Brody Hoying fumbled, recovered by NoIll Marcus ChildersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
61.4%
Marcus Childers run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 19Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 12
OWN 19
+6
61.4%
Tre Harbison run for 6 yds to the NoIll 25Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+4
61.3%
Marcus Childers run for 4 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
Q1 13:00
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
61.3%
Matt Ference punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 4:1639% → 43%
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
61.1%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 6 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+7
60.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 7 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
60.9%
Mike Glass III run for 3 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+10
60.9%
GLASS, Mike pass incomplete to LATU, Line, PENALTY NIU holding (WILLIAMS, Mykel) 10 yards to the NIU36, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+18
60.9%
Shaq Vann run for 18 yds to the NoIll 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
60.8%
Jairus Grissom run for 10 yds to the NoIll 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
60.8%
Line Latu run for 5 yds to the NoIll 3Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
60.8%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the NoIll 1Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
57.2%
Mike Glass III run for 1 yd for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 8 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
58.1%
Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the NoIll 26Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
58.1%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 4 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+12
58.0%
Marcus Childers run for 12 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
58.7%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 8
OWN 44
-5
58.8%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 39Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 13
OWN 39
0
58.3%
Marcus Childers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 13
OWN 39
-10
58.0%
JONES, Marcus rush for 17 yards to the EMU44 (HOYING, Brody;VINES, Jerodd), PENALTY NIU holding 10 yards to the NIU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 23
OWN 29
+4
57.8%
Marcus Childers run for 4 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
Q1 6:56
4TH & 19
OWN 33
+17
57.7%
Matt Ference punt for 40 yds , Dylan Drummond returns for 17 yds to the EMich 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0045% → 44%
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
55.3%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Arthur Jackson III, broken up by Jalen McKieSimilar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+1
55.5%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the EMich 45Similar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+4
55.7%
Mike Glass III run for 4 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q1 3:18
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
55.9%
Jake Julien punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4856% → 54%
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
55.5%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the NoIll 23Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+6
55.6%
Tre Harbison run for 6 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
Q1 1:48
3RD & 1
OWN 29
-2
55.5%
Tre Harbison run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 27Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 27
+1
54.0%
Matt Ference punt for 50 yds , Dylan Drummond returns for 1 yd to the EMich 28 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, IB (10 Yards) to the EMich 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7TD
9 plays · 86 yds · 3:0946% → 56%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
54.4%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 8 yds to the EMich 22Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 2
OWN 22
-3
53.8%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 19Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+10
54.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 10 yds to the EMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
54.0%
Mike Glass III run for 8 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+10
53.4%
GLASS, Mike pass incomplete to OAKES, Gunnar, PENALTY NIU holding (THOMAS, Dillon) 10 yards to the EMU47, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
53.1%
Jairus Grissom run for 5 yds to the NoIll 48Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+12
52.0%
Shaq Vann run for 12 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
43.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 36 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 5:0846% → 54%
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
45.9%
Tre Harbison run for 5 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+5
46.6%
Tre Harbison run for 5 yds to the NoIll 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
47.0%
Tre Harbison run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 5
50
+11
47.1%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 11 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
47.2%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 4 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+11
47.7%
Tre Harbison run for 11 yds to the EMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
47.7%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the EMich 21Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+7
47.7%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 7 yds to the EMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
47.7%
Tre Harbison run for 6 yds to the EMich 8Similar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+8
54.3%
Marcus Childers run for 8 yds for a TD (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
49.4%
Breck Turner run for 9 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
48.6%
Breck Turner run for 5 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-15
47.9%
GLASS, Mike pass complete to JACKSON, Arthur for 15 yards to the NIU46 (WILLIAMS, Mykel), PENALTY EMU illegal block 15 yards to the EMU24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 25
OWN 24
+9
49.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 9 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 16
OWN 33
+15
49.9%
Shaq Vann run for 15 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q2 6:33
3RD & 1
OWN 48
-3
47.9%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 45Similar
Q2 6:33
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
48.9%
Jake Julien punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:0248% → 47%
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
48.4%
Tre Harbison run for 7 yds to the NoIll 27Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+15
49.0%
Marcus Childers run for 15 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
50.4%
Tre Harbison run for no gain to the NoIll 42Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-1
49.5%
Tre Harbison run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 41Similar
Q2 3:02
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+4
48.2%
Marcus Childers run for 4 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
47.0%
Matt Ference punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11END OF HALF
7 plays · 43 yds · 0:4455% → 58%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
45.3%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 5 yds to the EMich 19Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+7
44.8%
Shaq Vann run for 7 yds to the EMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
44.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 5 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+14
43.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 14 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
41.5%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Line LatuSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+12
42.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 12 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:2357% → 75%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
43.0%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Arthur Jackson IIISimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
43.5%
Shaq Vann run for 4 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
43.4%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the EMich 24Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+15
44.6%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 15 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
41.1%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 9 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+8
40.7%
Mike Glass III run for 8 yds to the NoIll 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
40.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 3 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+30
40.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 30 yds to the NoIll 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
40.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 3 yds to the NoIll 8Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
25.5%
Shaq Vann run for 8 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 13FG
10 plays · 49 yds · 2:5830% → 32%
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
29.6%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+6
29.8%
Tre Harbison run for 6 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 2
OWN 43
-10
30.9%
HARBISON, Tre rush for 22 yards to the EMU35 (HOYING, Brody;VINES, Jerodd), PENALTY NIU holding (COX, Marques) 10 yards to the NIU33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+13
28.6%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 13 yds to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+38
31.3%
Marcus Childers run for 38 yds to the EMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
32.7%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Cole TuckerSimilar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
32.7%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Spencer Tears, broken up by CJ HuntSimilar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 10
OPP 16
0
31.4%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Mitchell Brinkman, broken up by Carter StagnerSimilar
Q3 8:39
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+34
32.1%
John Richardson 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:2269% → 84%
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+39
31.3%
Shaq Vann run for 24 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST down NORTHERNIL Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
15.6%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 36 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 15FUMBLE
9 plays · 13 yds · 0:0019% → 20%
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
19.1%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
19.2%
Tre Harbison run for 7 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
19.5%
Marcus Childers run for 3 yds to the NoIll 38Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+6
20.1%
Jordan Nettles run for 6 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q3 8:17
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+4
20.7%
Marcus Childers run for 4 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
20.8%
Tre Harbison run for no gain to the NoIll 48Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
20.6%
Marcus Childers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:17
3RD & 10
OWN 48
-8
19.9%
Marcus Childers sacked by Kobie Beltram for a loss of 8 yards to the NoIll 38 Marcus Childers fumbled, recovered by EMich Kobie Beltram , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16FG
5 plays · 29 yds · 2:1689% → 95%
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+26
10.9%
Jairus Grissom run for 26 yds to the NoIll 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
10.5%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the NoIll 9Similar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
10.5%
Mike Glass III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:21
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
10.7%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for no gain to the NoIll 9Similar
Q3 2:05
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+27
4.6%
Chad Ryland 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 17INT
7 plays · 42 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
6.6%
Marcus Childers run for 11 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
6.8%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Daniel Crawford, broken up by Brody HoyingSimilar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+11
6.7%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 11 yds to the NoIll 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+20
7.1%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 20 yds to the EMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
7.9%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Spencer TearsSimilar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+48
7.7%
Marcus Childers pass intercepted Brody Hoying return for 48 yds to the NoIll 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18TD
1 play · 22 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
1.3%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 22 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 19INT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:112% → 2%
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.1%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Spencer Tears, broken up by Kevin McGillSimilar
Q3 0:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
2.0%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Cole TuckerSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+19
1.9%
Marcus Jones run for 19 yds to the NoIll 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
2.2%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Spencer Tears, broken up by Kevin McGillSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-2
2.1%
Marcus Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 42
+25
2.0%
Marcus Childers pass intercepted Vince Calhoun return for 25 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20TD
7 plays · 33 yds · 4:0099% → 100%
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
0.8%
Mike Glass III run for 7 yds to the NoIll 26Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+7
0.7%
Shaq Vann run for 7 yds to the NoIll 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-3
0.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 22Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 13
OPP 22
+6
0.8%
Shaq Vann run for 6 yds to the NoIll 16Similar
Q4 13:33
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+8
0.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 8 yds to the NoIll 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
0.8%
Line Latu run for 2 yds to the NoIll 6 for a 1ST down NORTHERNIL Penalty, personal foul (Nick Rattin) to the NoIll 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.3%
Jairus Grissom run for 3 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 21TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 8:410% → 0%
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
0.3%
Tre Harbison run for 6 yds to the NoIll 31Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
0.3%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for no gain to the NoIll 31Similar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
0.3%
Tre Harbison run for no gain to the NoIll 31Similar
Q4 9:33
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+15
0.3%
CHILDERS, Marcu pass incomplete to CRAWFORD, Danie (VADEN, Russell), PENALTY EMU personal foul 15 yards to the NIU46, 1ST DOWN NIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
0.3%
Tre Harbison run for 8 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 2
OPP 46
-1
0.3%
Tre Harbison run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 47Similar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+5
0.3%
Marcus Jones run for 5 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
0.3%
Marcus Jones run for 6 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+2
0.3%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+2
0.3%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the EMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
0.3%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 7 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+9
0.3%
Tre Harbison run for 9 yds to the EMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
0.3%
Tre Harbison run for 5 yds to the EMich 11Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+1
0.3%
Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the EMich 10Similar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+1
0.3%
Marcus Childers run for 1 yd to the EMich 9Similar
Q4 0:52
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+9
0.1%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 9 yds for a TD (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 48Similar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 12
OPP 48
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:17
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 36 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)
-15.6
TD · Q3 11:37
Shaq Vann run for 8 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)
-14.6
TD · Q2 11:41
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 36 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)
-8.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com