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BGSU

Bowling Green 3 at Miami (OH) 44

M-OH
2019 · Week 12 · Nov 13, 2019 · Yager Stadium
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Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:33 · Matt Naranjo punt for 44 yds , Maurice Thomas returns for 14 yds to the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 11Pregame prior+36.0Home team on offense+0.3Score differential+0.1Blowout margin+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 8:22: Sam Sloman 27 yd FG GOOD — BGSU win probability +0.4 pts (now 14%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 6:13: Nate Needham 26 yd FG GOOD — BGSU win probability +0.5 pts (now 15%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:25: Brett Gabbert pass complete to Andrew Homer for 35 yds for a TD (Sam Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +3.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:31: Jaylon Bester run for 1 yd for a TD BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Sam Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +4.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 3:42: Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 60 yds for a TD (Sam Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +2.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 3 of 5BGSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 11
  1. Q1 13:39BGSU 4th & 9 at M-OH 33, tied
    Close callWent for it · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.6%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    13.6%
    49% to make
    Punt
    13.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:33BGSU 4th & 12 at BGSU 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:22M-OH 4th & 7 at BGSU 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    85.4%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:13BGSU 4th & 3 at M-OH 8, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.4%−0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    13.4%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:08M-OH 4th & 15 at M-OH 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:55BGSU 4th & 3 at M-OH 24, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.6%−0.2
    68% to make
    Punt
    13.9%−1.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:12BGSU 4th & 12 at M-OH 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.6
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.4%
    79% to make
    Punt
    13.3%−2.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:19BGSU 4th & 6 at M-OH 23, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.6%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    5.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−2.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:05BGSU 4th & 10 at BGSU 25, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00BGSU 4th & 2 at BGSU 33, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:24M-OH 4th & 1 at M-OH 46, up 34
    Close callPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:15BGSU 4th & 8 at BGSU 40, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00BGSU 4th & 14 at M-OH 30, down 41
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    56% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:52M-OH 4th & 6 at M-OH 26, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:18BGSU 4th & 3 at M-OH 43, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:31M-OH 4th & 11 at BGSU 31, up 41
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
M-OH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 13:39M-OH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:25M-OH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:31M-OH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:42M-OH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:40M-OH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:58M-OH Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
86.7%
Brett Gabbert pass intercepted Brandon Perce return for 1 yd to the MiaOh 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2INT TD
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1313% → 14%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
86.7%
Grant Loy run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 5
OPP 29
-4
86.7%
RB Marlow III run for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q1 14:52
3RD & 9
OPP 33
0
86.7%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Bryson DenleySimilar
Q1 13:39
4TH & 9
OPP 33
+79
86.5%
Grant Loy pass intercepted for a TD Mike Brown return for 79 yds for a TD (Sam Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
86.5%
Grant Loy run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q1 13:33
2ND & 7
OWN 25
-5
86.5%
RB Marlow III run for a loss of 5 yards to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q1 13:33
3RD & 12
OWN 20
0
86.6%
Grant Loy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:33
4TH & 12
OWN 20
+14
86.6%
Matt Naranjo punt for 44 yds , Maurice Thomas returns for 14 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 4FG
13 plays · 41 yds · 3:5287% → 86%
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
50
+5
86.5%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive offside (Walter Haire) to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 5
OPP 45
+4
86.6%
Jaylon Bester run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+6
86.6%
Jaylon Bester run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
86.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Dominique Robinson for 6 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+3
86.6%
Jaylon Bester run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+4
86.5%
Jaylon Bester run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
86.6%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Andrew Homer, broken up by Kholbe ColemanSimilar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+7
86.6%
Maurice Thomas run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+3
86.5%
Tyre Shelton run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
86.6%
Tyre Shelton run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 9Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
86.6%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Andrew HomerSimilar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
86.5%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack Sorenson, broken up by Jamari BozemanSimilar
Q1 8:22
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+27
86.2%
Sam Sloman 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5FG
8 plays · 60 yds · 2:0214% → 15%
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+53
85.9%
Bryson Denley run for 53 yds to the MiaOh 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
85.5%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (Julian Ortega-Jones) to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 15
OPP 20
0
85.6%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Bryson DenleySimilar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 15
OPP 20
+8
85.6%
Grant Loy run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 12Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+4
86.0%
Grant Loy pass complete to Julian Ortega-Jones for 4 yds to the MiaOh 8Similar
Q1 6:13
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+26
85.5%
Nate Needham 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
85.9%
SHELTON, Tyre rush for 3 yards to the MIAMI24 (LAUTANEN, Nico), PENALTY MIAMI holding (MEHELIC, Adam) 10 yards to the MIAMI11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:08
1ST & 20
OWN 11
0
85.9%
Jaylon Bester run for no gain to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 20
OWN 11
0
85.9%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Davion JohnsonSimilar
Q1 6:08
3RD & 20
OWN 11
+5
85.8%
Jaylon Bester run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 16Similar
Q1 6:08
4TH & 15
OWN 16
+8
85.6%
Kyle Kramer punt for 43 yds , Jake Rogers returns for 8 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7MISSED FG
10 plays · 27 yds · 4:1815% → 15%
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
85.0%
Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 2 yds to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+8
84.9%
Trevon Raymore run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
84.9%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (Jack Kramer) to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 15
OPP 46
+12
85.2%
Bryson Denley run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+3
84.6%
Grant Loy run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
84.7%
Grant Loy run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+3
84.6%
Grant Loy run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q1 1:48
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+2
85.0%
Grant Loy run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 3
OPP 24
+42
85.1%
Nate Needham 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 8FUMBLE
3 plays · -9 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
85.5%
Davion Johnson run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
85.5%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-9
85.2%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Karl Brooks for a loss of 9 yards to the MiaOh 16 Brett Gabbert fumbled, recovered by BwGrn Chris Oliver , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9MISSED FG
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:5216% → 15%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
84.1%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Bryson DenleySimilar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-2
84.1%
Bryson Denley run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 18Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 12
OPP 18
0
84.8%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Julian Ortega-JonesSimilar
Q2 13:12
4TH & 12
OPP 18
+35
85.5%
Mason Lawler 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 10TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:4785% → 90%
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
85.3%
Davion Johnson run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
85.4%
Davion Johnson run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+12
85.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Nick Manson for 12 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+19
85.9%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 19 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
89.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Andrew Homer for 35 yds for a TD (Sam Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11INT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
88.5%
Trevon Raymore run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
88.3%
Grant Loy run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
88.3%
Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 4 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
88.4%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Quintin MorrisSimilar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
88.4%
Trevon Raymore run for no gain to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+4
88.6%
Grant Loy pass intercepted Travion Banks return for 4 yds to the BwGrn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 12TD
5 plays · 48 yds · 1:3490% → 95%
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
90.0%
Tyre Shelton run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+17
90.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Tyre Shelton for 17 yds to the BwGrn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+24
90.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 24 yds to the BwGrn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
90.2%
Brett Gabbert run for no gain to the BwGrn 1Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.1%
Jaylon Bester run for 1 yd for a TD BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Sam Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13DOWNS
9 plays · 52 yds · 3:126% → 6%
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
93.8%
Bryson Denley run for 17 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
93.5%
Trevon Raymore run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+29
93.5%
Grant Loy pass complete to Christian Sims for 29 yds to the MiaOh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
92.9%
Grant Loy run for no gain to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
93.0%
Grant Loy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:31
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+4
93.3%
Grant Loy run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q2 4:19
4TH & 6
OPP 23
0
94.1%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Austin Dorris, broken up by Travion BanksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 14TD
2 plays · 77 yds · 0:2996% → 98%
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+17
95.9%
Tyre Shelton run for 17 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
98.2%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 60 yds for a TD (Sam Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:371% → 1%
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.3%
Trevon Raymore run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
99.3%
Grant Loy run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Austin Dorris BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 3:05
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Matt Naranjo punt for 34 yds, downed at the MiaOh 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16TD
1 play · 59 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
98.8%
Jaylon Bester run for 59 yds for a TD (TEAM PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 17END OF HALF
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
99.1%
Bryson Denley run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+7
99.2%
Bryson Denley run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q2 2:31
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+6
99.0%
Bryson Denley run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
99.1%
Bryson Denley run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Bryson DenleySimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.9%
Grant Loy run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
98.9%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Quintin Morris, broken up by Sterling WeatherfordSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
98.9%
Matt Naranjo punt for 43 yds, downed at the MiaOh 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
99.0%
Davion Johnson run for 13 yds to the MiaOh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.0%
Davion Johnson run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+2
99.0%
Brett Gabbert run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q3 14:24
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+3
99.0%
Jaylon Bester run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q3 14:24
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
98.9%
Kyle Kramer punt for 30 yds, downed at the BwGrn 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
99.3%
Trevon Raymore run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+9
99.3%
Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 9 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.3%
Bryson Denley run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
99.3%
Grant Loy pass complete to Bryson Denley for no gain to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
99.3%
Grant Loy run for no gain to the BwGrn 40 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 11:15
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
99.3%
Matt Naranjo punt for 28 yds, downed at the MiaOh 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 21TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 2:46100% → 100%
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.5%
Tyre Shelton run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+47
99.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to James Maye for 47 yds to the BwGrn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
99.6%
Maurice Thomas run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 10Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+5
99.6%
Maurice Thomas run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.7%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Quentin Hardy for 5 yds for a TD (Sam Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22INT
15 plays · 45 yds · 5:580% → 0%
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.7%
Bryson Denley run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
99.7%
Grant Loy pass complete to Bryson Denley for 6 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q3 5:58
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
99.7%
Bryson Denley run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.7%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to RB Marlow IIISimilar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.7%
Bryson Denley run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q3 5:58
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+8
99.7%
Grant Loy pass complete to Jake Rogers for 8 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.7%
Bryson Denley run for no gain to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+27
99.7%
Grant Loy pass complete to Bryson Denley for 27 yds to the MiaOh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
99.6%
Trevon Raymore run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+1
99.7%
Trevon Raymore run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q3 1:37
3RD & 4
OPP 20
-8
99.8%
Bryson Denley run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 18 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive holding (RB Marlow III) to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q3 1:37
3RD & 12
OPP 28
-2
99.8%
Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 14
OPP 30
+9
99.8%
Grant Loy pass intercepted Travion Banks return for 9 yds to the MiaOh 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.8%
Zach Kahn run for no gain to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+6
99.8%
Zach Kahn run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 4
OWN 28
-2
99.8%
Zach Kahn run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 6
OWN 26
+17
99.8%
Kyle Kramer punt for 41 yds , Jake Rogers returns for 17 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 24DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
50
+4
99.9%
Trevon Raymore run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Trevon Raymore run for no gain to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+3
99.9%
Grant Loy pass complete to Christian Sims for 3 yds to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q4 12:18
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Grant Loy pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 25DOWNS
10 plays · 30 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
99.9%
Jackson Williamson run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 3
50
+4
99.9%
Jackson Williamson run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
99.9%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 15
OWN 49
+5
99.9%
Jackson Williamson run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+3
99.9%
Zach Kahn run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q4 10:31
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+13
99.9%
Jackson Williamson pass complete to Nick Manson for 13 yds to the BwGrn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Zach Kahn run for no gain to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-5
99.9%
Zach Kahn run for a loss of 5 yards to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q4 10:31
3RD & 15
OPP 35
+4
99.9%
Zach Kahn run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q4 10:31
4TH & 11
OPP 31
+4
99.9%
Zach Kahn run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 26END OF GAME
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
99.9%
Trevon Raymore run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+2
99.9%
Trevon Raymore run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q4 3:44
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+10
99.9%
Trevon Raymore run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
99.9%
Trevon Raymore run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+5
99.9%
Trevon Raymore run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q4 3:44
3RD & 4
OWN 47
-1
99.9%
Trevon Raymore run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:31
Jaylon Bester run for 1 yd for a TD BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Sam Sloman KICK)
+4.9
TD · Q2 11:25
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Andrew Homer for 35 yds for a TD (Sam Sloman KICK)
+3.9
TD · Q2 3:42
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 60 yds for a TD (Sam Sloman KICK)
+2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com