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WMU

Western Michigan 37 at Ohio 34

OHIO
2019 · Week 12 · Nov 12, 2019 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:02 · Nick Mihalic punt for 35 yds, fair catch by DL Knock at the Ohio 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingTime remaining
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 27Home team on offense−0.9Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Time remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 13:20: Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 61 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK) — WMU win probability +24.0 pts (now 76%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:07: De'Montre Tuggle run for 4 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +27.4 pts (now 63%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:51: Skyy Moore run for 2 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK) — WMU win probability +29.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:09: Nathan Rourke pass complete to Tyler Tupa for 12 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +49.3 pts (now 67%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds for a TD — WMU win probability +59.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 5 of 6WMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 7:07WMU 4th & 5 at OHIO 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.3%
    92% to make
    Punt
    43.0%−1.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:10OHIO 4th & 12 at OHIO 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:02WMU 4th & 14 at WMU 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:51OHIO 4th & 6 at WMU 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:52WMU 4th & 6 at OHIO 6, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    42.3%−4.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:21OHIO 4th & 3 at WMU 42, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    51.0%−2.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.3%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:53WMU 4th & 10 at WMU 9, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%−1.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:17WMU 4th & 2 at OHIO 7, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.2%−0.1
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    52.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    46.2%−6.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:54WMU 4th & 10 at WMU 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−1.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:47WMU 4th & 13 at WMU 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%−2.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:32OHIO 4th & 3 at OHIO 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%−0.8
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:56OHIO 4th & 5 at WMU 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%−1.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    35.2%−13.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:17OHIO 4th & 6 at WMU 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.2%
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    13.1%−9.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    8.3%−13.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:54WMU 4th & 7 at WMU 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%−2.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 0:08WMU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 11:18OHIO Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:09OHIO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:17WMU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:20WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:07OHIO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:51WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.9%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.3%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:09OHIO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.7%−7.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WMUDrive 1FG
17 plays · 70 yds · 7:5350% → 50%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
50.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+7
50.1%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 7 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q1 13:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
50.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 6 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
50.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+13
50.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to DaShon Bussell for 13 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
50.2%
Davon Tucker run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 48 Davon Tucker fumbled,Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+1
50.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the Ohio 47Similar
Q1 10:52
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+26
50.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 26 yds to the Ohio 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
50.0%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the Ohio 18Similar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+6
50.0%
Jon Wassink run for 6 yds to the Ohio 12Similar
Q1 9:29
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+4
50.2%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the Ohio 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
50.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the Ohio 4Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
49.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 5Similar
Q1 7:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
50.1%
Jon Wassink pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for no gain to the Ohio 5Similar
Q1 7:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
49.9%
Thiago Kapps 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:5250% → 49%
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
50.1%
Nathan Rourke run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 30Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+3
49.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for 3 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 8
OWN 33
-4
49.4%
O'Shaan Allison run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 29Similar
Q1 5:10
4TH & 12
OWN 29
0
48.9%
Michael Farkas punt for 49 yds, downed at the WMich 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:5350% → 49%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
50.5%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Skyy MooreSimilar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+1
50.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the WMich 23Similar
Q1 4:10
3RD & 9
OWN 23
-5
50.8%
Clock 04:10, PENALTY WMU false start (MOORE, S.) 5 yards to the WMU18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 14
OWN 18
0
50.9%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:02
4TH & 14
OWN 18
0
51.3%
Nick Mihalic punt for 35 yds, fair catch by DL Knock at the Ohio 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0451% → 50%
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
50.9%
O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the Ohio 47Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
50.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 4 yds to the WMich 49Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
50.8%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron OdomSimilar
Q1 2:51
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
49.6%
Michael Farkas punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5MISSED FG
19 plays · 91 yds · 7:4949% → 52%
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-2
50.6%
Davon Tucker run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 1Similar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 12
OWN 1
+14
50.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to DaShon Bussell for 14 yds to the WMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
50.0%
Jon Wassink run for 7 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q1 1:06
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+14
49.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 14 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
49.2%
Jon Wassink run for 2 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+8
48.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 8 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
48.0%
Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 5
OPP 49
0
47.7%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:51
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+18
48.0%
Davon Tucker run for 18 yds to the Ohio 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
47.0%
Davon Tucker run for 3 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+3
46.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the Ohio 25Similar
Q2 12:23
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+4
47.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the Ohio 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+19
46.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 19 yds to the Ohio 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
46.5%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the Ohio 1Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
46.4%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the Ohio 1Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
46.9%
Jon Wassink run for no gain to the Ohio 1Similar
Q2 9:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
48.2%
Clock 09:55, PENALTY WMU false start (ASBURY, J.) 5 yards to the OHIO6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+22
48.3%
Thiago Kapps 22 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 38 yds · 4:3149% → 49%
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
49.0%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 18 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
50.1%
Julian Ross run for 4 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+2
51.2%
Julian Ross run for 2 yds to the Ohio 44Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+7
50.6%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Julian Ross for 7 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
50.6%
Julian Ross run for 7 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 3
OPP 42
0
50.8%
Julian Ross run for no gain to the WMich 42Similar
Q2 6:27
3RD & 3
OPP 42
-1
50.4%
Julian Ross run for 9 yds to the WMich 33 OHIO Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the WMich 43Similar
Q2 5:55
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+1
50.4%
Julian Ross run for 1 yd to the WMich 42Similar
Q2 5:21
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
49.1%
Michael Farkas punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Keith Mixon Jr. at the WMich 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2152% → 50%
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
48.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the WMich 10Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 9
OWN 10
-1
48.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 9Similar
Q2 3:59
3RD & 10
OWN 9
0
49.2%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:53
4TH & 10
OWN 9
0
50.1%
Nick Mihalic punt for 39 yds , DL Knock returns for no gain to the WMich 48 DL Knock fumbled, recovered by WMich Drake Spears OHIO Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8TD
14 plays · 52 yds · 3:3455% → 71%
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
45.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 8 yds to the Ohio 44Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 2
OPP 44
0
44.5%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Keith Mixon Jr., broken up by De'Vante MitchellSimilar
Q2 3:06
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+5
44.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
44.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the Ohio 36Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+10
43.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Corey Crooms for 10 yds to the Ohio 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
41.6%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 2 yds to the Ohio 24Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+9
41.6%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 9 yds to the Ohio 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
41.2%
Davon Tucker run for 5 yds to the Ohio 10Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+1
41.1%
Davon Tucker run for 1 yd to the Ohio 9Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+2
42.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 2 yds to the Ohio 7Similar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+5
44.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the Ohio 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
29.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 2 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
35.0%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 6 yds to the Ohio 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 3:3434% → 51%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
34.4%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron OdomSimilar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
34.0%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Jerome BucknerSimilar
Q3 14:43
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+21
32.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 21 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
36.0%
Clock 14:29, ROURKE, N. pass complete to BUCKNER, J. for 6 yards to the WMU47, out-of-bounds (CURTIS, A.), PENALTY WMU 12 men on the field 5 yards to the WMU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:13
1ST & 5
OPP 48
+4
36.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for 4 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q3 13:36
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+6
35.9%
O'Shaan Allison run for 6 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
35.6%
O'Shaan Allison run for 5 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+21
36.4%
Nathan Rourke run for 8 yds to the WMich 25 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (Treshaun Hayward) to the WMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
36.2%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+4
36.2%
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the WMich 8Similar
Q3 11:18
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+8
50.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 8 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:2154% → 53%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
45.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 27Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 12
OWN 27
+2
46.4%
Jon Wassink run for 2 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q3 9:59
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
45.9%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Giovanni RicciSimilar
Q3 9:54
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
47.2%
Nick Mihalic punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 14 , DL Knock returns for no gain to the Ohio 29 OHIO Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:3246% → 69%
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
46.3%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 4 yds to the Ohio 18Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+22
46.4%
Nathan Rourke run for 22 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
49.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 14 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
51.1%
Nathan Rourke run for 11 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+25
52.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Adam Luehrman for 25 yds to the WMich 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
69.4%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 10 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:1837% → 34%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
62.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the WMich 29Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-3
63.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 26Similar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 13
OWN 26
0
65.5%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Skyy Moore, broken up by Ilyaas MotleySimilar
Q3 5:47
4TH & 13
OWN 26
0
66.4%
Nick Mihalic punt for 49 yds, downed at the Ohio 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0266% → 64%
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
65.8%
Julian Ross run for 2 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
66.0%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Julian Ross, broken up by Ali FayadSimilar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
63.9%
Nathan Rourke run for 5 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q3 4:32
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+30
64.1%
Michael Farkas punt for 35 yds, downed at the OHIO 33 OHIO Penalty, illegal shift (-5 Yards) to the WMich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15TD
4 plays · 62 yds · 1:0438% → 63%
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
62.0%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Corey Crooms, broken up by Mark BrooksSimilar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+12
62.2%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Sean Tyler for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
50
+34
59.1%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 34 yds to the Ohio 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
37.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 16 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16FG
7 plays · 53 yds · 3:1346% → 58%
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
46.0%
Nathan Rourke run for 6 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+42
48.6%
O'Shaan Allison run for 42 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
52.8%
Nathan Rourke run for 3 yds to the WMich 18Similar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 7
OPP 18
-1
52.6%
Nathan Rourke run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 19Similar
Q3 0:38
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+3
49.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 3 yds to the WMich 16Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 5
OPP 16
+33
57.8%
Louie Zervos 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3648% → 76%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
51.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 8 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q4 14:36
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
49.1%
Davon Tucker run for 3 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
50.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 3 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
48.3%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to DaShon BussellSimilar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+61
24.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 61 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:0630% → 63%
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
30.3%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Jerome Buckner for 14 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
33.4%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 9 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+1
34.5%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 1 yd to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
34.3%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Tyler Tupa for 15 yds to the WMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+14
36.1%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 14 yds to the WMich 12 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
35.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to De'Montre Tuggle for 8 yds to the WMich 4Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+4
63.3%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 4 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19TD
13 plays · 72 yds · 5:1249% → 88%
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
51.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+7
51.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 7 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q4 9:03
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+3
48.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
48.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+5
47.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the WMich 49Similar
Q4 8:03
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+3
46.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
46.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the Ohio 44Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
44.8%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to DaShon Bussell, broken up by Xavior MotleySimilar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+41
45.6%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 41 yds to the Ohio 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
42.2%
Davon Tucker run for 2 yds to the Ohio 1Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
42.0%
Davon Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 2Similar
Q4 4:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
12.1%
Skyy Moore run for 2 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20DOWNS
15 plays · 60 yds · 3:3422% → 21%
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
22.0%
Nathan Rourke run for 12 yds to the Ohio 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
25.1%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah CoxSimilar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+19
23.3%
Nathan Rourke run for 19 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+14
28.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 14 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
29.4%
Nathan Rourke run for 3 yds to the WMich 18Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+4
29.8%
Nathan Rourke run for 4 yds to the WMich 14Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+5
24.3%
O'Shaan Allison run for 5 yds to the WMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
26.6%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Jerome Buckner, broken up by A.J. ThomasSimilar
Q4 1:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
26.5%
Nathan Rourke run for 2 yds to the WMich 7Similar
Q4 1:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
23.6%
O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the WMich 6Similar
Q4 1:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
0
21.0%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Tyler Tupa, broken up by Drake SpearsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:1694% → 96%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
5.7%
Davon Tucker run for no gain to the WMich 6Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+3
3.4%
Davon Tucker run for 3 yds to the WMich 9Similar
Q4 0:59
3RD & 7
OWN 9
0
3.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the WMich 9Similar
Q4 0:54
4TH & 7
OWN 9
0
3.7%
Nick Mihalic punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jerome Buckner at the Ohio 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22TD
4 plays · 53 yds · 0:3811% → 67%
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+27
11.3%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Jerome Buckner for 27 yds to the WMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
16.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for 9 yds to the WMich 17Similar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+5
17.3%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 5 yds to the WMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
66.6%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Tyler Tupa for 12 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23END OF 4TH QUARTER
3 plays · 24 yds · 0:0850% → 57%
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
49.7%
Davon Tucker run for 24 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
43.2%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 24FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0065% → 79%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
64.7%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Tyler TupaSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+5
64.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for 5 yds to the WMich 20Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
62.4%
O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the WMich 20Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+37
79.3%
Louie Zervos 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 25TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:0029% → 88%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+20
70.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 20 yds to the Ohio 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
70.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the Ohio 4Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
11.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds for a TD
-59.1
TD · Q4 0:09
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Tyler Tupa for 12 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)
+49.3
TD · Q4 4:51
Skyy Moore run for 2 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)
-29.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com