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EMU

Eastern Michigan 42 at Akron 14

AKR
2019 · Week 12 · Nov 12, 2019 · InfoCision Stadium
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Win probability · AKR
modelAKR aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playAKR scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD-0.6AKR 1.2%Mike Glass III run for 1 yd for a TD(Chad Ryland KICK)AWAY 35 - HOME 0 · Q3 4:21
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:21 · Mike Glass III run for 1 yd for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 94Home team on offense−44.8Pregame prior−13.7Score differential−27.8Garbage-time factor−13.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:46: Shaq Vann run for 6 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +2.3 pts (now 82%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:41: Shaq Vann run for 19 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +4.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:17: Shaq Vann run for 5 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +5.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:51: Willie Parker run for 11 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +4.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:21: Mike Glass III run for 1 yd for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AKR made the numbers' call on 6 of 9EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 14:49AKR 4th & 5 at EMU 14, tied
    Close callWent for it · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    14.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    14.4%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 14:49EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    85.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:22AKR 4th & 17 at EMU 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    19.4%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00AKR 4th & 2 at AKR 38, down 7
    Close callPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:41AKR 4th & 5 at AKR 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:56AKR 4th & 2 at EMU 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    10.0%−0.3
    62% to make
    Punt
    8.7%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:51AKR 4th & 30 at AKR 15, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:21EMU 4th & 1 at AKR 1, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    98.5%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:13AKR 4th & 14 at EMU 47, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:49EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 21, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 31, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:39AKR 4th & 1 at EMU 48, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.7%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:39AKR 4th & 4 at EMU 39, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AKR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2EMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 0:46EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:41EMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:17EMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:51EMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:21EMU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:24AKR Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:01EMU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:09AKR Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1DOWNS
10 plays · 46 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
15.5%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 12 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
15.5%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Julian Hicks for 6 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+9
15.5%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Julian Hicks for 9 yds to the EMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
15.5%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Julian Hicks for 6 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+4
15.5%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Timothy Scippio for 4 yds to the EMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
15.5%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for 1 yd to the EMich 18Similar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 9
OPP 18
-7
15.5%
Kato Nelson sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the EMich 25Similar
Q1 14:49
3RD & 16
OPP 25
+11
15.5%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for 11 yds to the EMich 14Similar
Q1 14:49
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+4
15.5%
Kato Nelson run for 4 yds to the EMich 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2DOWNS
9 plays · 32 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
15.5%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the EMich 11Similar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+4
15.5%
Shaq Vann run for 4 yds to the EMich 15Similar
Q1 14:49
3RD & 4
OWN 15
+11
15.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 11 yds to the EMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
15.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 9 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+9
15.5%
Shaq Vann run for 9 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
15.5%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Arthur Jackson IIISimilar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-5
15.5%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 39Similar
Q1 14:49
3RD & 15
OWN 39
+10
15.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 10 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q1 14:49
4TH & 5
OWN 49
-10
15.5%
Jake Julien run for a loss of 10 yards to the EMich 41 Jake Julien fumbled, recovered by EMich Jake JulienSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
21.0%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for 3 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+8
21.0%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for 8 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
21.1%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Julian Hicks, broken up by Thad AbramSimilar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-5
21.1%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 35Similar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 15
OPP 35
-2
20.4%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Brandon Lee for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 37Similar
Q1 5:22
4TH & 17
OPP 37
0
19.9%
Kato Nelson punt for no gain, downed at the EMich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 1:5079% → 82%
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
21.1%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 8 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+26
20.6%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 26 yds to the Akron 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+17
20.2%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 17 yds to the Akron 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
20.2%
Mike Glass III run for 6 yds to the Akron 6Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+6
17.8%
Shaq Vann run for 6 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:3619% → 19%
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
19.1%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Peter Hayes-PatrickSimilar
Q1 0:36
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
19.0%
Kato Nelson run for 6 yds to the Akron 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+2
19.4%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Julian Hicks for 2 yds to the Akron 38Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
19.1%
Jonah Wieland punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 3:3481% → 86%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
19.2%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 5 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 5
OWN 26
0
18.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Mathew Sexton for no gain to the EMich 26Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+24
19.2%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 24 yds Mathew Sexton fumbled, forced by Randy Cochran Jr., recovered by EMich Mathew Sexton , return to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
50
+11
18.2%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 11 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
18.2%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the Akron 38Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+19
18.3%
Mike Glass III run for 19 yds to the Akron 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
14.3%
Shaq Vann run for 19 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
15.4%
Brandon Lee run for 5 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 5
OWN 29
0
15.7%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Jeremiah Knight, broken up by Russell Vaden IVSimilar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
15.4%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 5
OWN 29
0
15.2%
Jonah Wieland punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8TD
11 plays · 57 yds · 5:2786% → 91%
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
14.1%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the EMich 44Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+8
14.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 8 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+2
14.1%
Mike Glass III run for 2 yds to the Akron 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
14.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 20 yds to the Akron 26 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Akron 41Similar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+13
14.0%
Jairus Grissom run for 13 yds to the Akron 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
13.9%
Mike Glass III run for 2 yds to the Akron 21Similar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 5
OPP 41
+5
13.9%
Shaq Vann run for 5 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+5
14.1%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 5 yds to the Akron 16Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+11
14.3%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 11 yds to the Akron 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
9.2%
Shaq Vann run for 5 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9DOWNS
9 plays · 48 yds · 1:1910% → 13%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
10.0%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for 9 yds to the Akron 35Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+5
10.3%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for 5 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+25
10.5%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 25 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
12.8%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 37Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+6
12.3%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for 6 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+4
12.4%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for 4 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q2 2:56
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+1
12.5%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for 1 yd to the EMich 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
8.6%
Shaq Vann run for 7 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 3
OWN 33
0
8.6%
Mike Glass III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+5
8.6%
Shaq Vann run for 5 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:0993% → 97%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
7.3%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the EMich 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
7.3%
Mike Glass III run for 5 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
7.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 7 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
7.0%
Shaq Vann run for 7 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+5
6.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+11
6.9%
Shaq Vann run for 11 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+17
6.9%
Shaq Vann run for 17 yds to the Akron 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
6.7%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 7 yds to the Akron 15Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 15
0
6.7%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Dylan Drummond, broken up by Bubba ArslanianSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+4
6.9%
Mike Glass III run for 4 yds to the Akron 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
2.8%
Willie Parker run for 11 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · -20 yds · 0:004% → 3%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
3.6%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 32Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+6
3.4%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Nick Johns for 6 yds to the Akron 38Similar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-10
3.5%
NELSON,KATO rush for no gain to the AKRON38 (HUNT, CJ;MYRICK, Terry), PENALTY AKRON holding 10 yards to the AKRON28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 17
OWN 28
-10
3.4%
NELSON,KATO pass complete to SCIPPIO,T. for no gain to the AKRON28 (McGILL, Kevin), PENALTY AKRON holding 10 yards to the AKRON18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 27
OWN 18
-3
3.4%
Kato Nelson sacked by Vince Calhoun for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 15Similar
Q3 9:51
4TH & 30
OWN 15
0
3.4%
Jonah Wieland punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the Akron 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 48 yds · 2:2698% → 99%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+41
2.1%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 41 yds to the Akron 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
2.0%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the Akron 4Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
2.0%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the Akron 3Similar
Q3 6:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
1.8%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the Akron 1Similar
Q3 4:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.2%
Mike Glass III run for 1 yd for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
0.9%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Jeremiah Knight, broken up by Hunter AndrewsSimilar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+29
0.9%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 29 yds to the EMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
1.0%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Jeremiah KnightSimilar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
1.0%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Julian HicksSimilar
Q3 4:13
3RD & 10
OPP 43
-4
1.0%
Kato Nelson sacked by Kobie Beltram for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 47Similar
Q3 4:13
4TH & 14
OPP 47
0
0.9%
Jonah Wieland punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Line Latu at the EMich 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
0.7%
Shaq Vann run for 4 yds to the EMich 16Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+5
0.7%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Jairus Grissom for 5 yds to the EMich 21Similar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 1
OWN 21
0
0.7%
Shaq Vann run for no gain to the EMich 21Similar
Q3 2:49
4TH & 1
OWN 21
0
0.8%
Jake Julien punt for 66 yds, downed at the Akron 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 16TD
1 play · 87 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+87
1.2%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Timothy Scippio for 87 yds for a TD (Cory Smigel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:1999% → 99%
Q3 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
0.9%
Shaq Vann run for 5 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 31
0
0.6%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
0.7%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
0.8%
Jake Julien punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Akron 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18INT
10 plays · 27 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
1.2%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Jeremiah KnightSimilar
Q4 14:39
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+1
1.2%
Kato Nelson run for 1 yd to the Akron 44Similar
Q4 14:39
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+8
1.2%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Julian Hicks for 8 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q4 14:39
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+3
1.3%
Kato Nelson run for 3 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
1.4%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Julian HicksSimilar
Q4 14:39
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
1.3%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Michiah Burton for 5 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q4 14:39
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+1
1.3%
Michiah Burton run for 1 yd to the EMich 39Similar
Q4 14:39
4TH & 4
OPP 39
+9
1.2%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 9 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
1.4%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Julian HicksSimilar
Q4 14:39
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
1.4%
Kato Nelson pass intercepted Brody Hoying return for no gain to the EMich 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19TD
10 plays · 98 yds · 5:28100% → 100%
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
0.4%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the EMich 3Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+16
0.4%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 16 yds to the EMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
0.4%
Shaq Vann run for 4 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+1
0.4%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the EMich 24Similar
Q4 7:41
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+6
0.2%
Shaq Vann run for 6 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
0.2%
Breck Turner run for 6 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+44
0.2%
Mike Glass III run for 44 yds to the Akron 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
0.2%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the Akron 17Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+17
0.1%
Shaq Vann run for 17 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20TD
13 plays · 77 yds · 3:440% → 0%
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
0.1%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Darryl Long for 15 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
0.1%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for 5 yds to the Akron 43Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 5
OWN 43
-10
0.1%
HAYES-PATRICK rush for no gain to the AKRON43 (BURKS, Brandon), PENALTY AKRON holding 10 yards to the AKRON33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 15
OWN 33
-5
0.1%
NELSON,KATO pass complete to KNIGHT,J. for no gain to the AKRON33 (McGEE, Freddie), PENALTY AKRON ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the AKRON28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 20
OWN 28
+9
0.1%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Julian Hicks for 9 yds to the Akron 37Similar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+19
0.1%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 19 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
0.1%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Michiah Burton for 11 yds to the EMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
0.1%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Julian HicksSimilar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+27
0.1%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 27 yds to the EMich 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
0.1%
Michiah Burton run for 5 yds to the EMich 1Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
0.1%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Timothy Scippio, broken up by Freddie McGee IIISimilar
Q4 1:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.1%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Julian Hicks for 1 yd for a TD (Cory Smigel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21END OF GAME
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
0.1%
Darius Boone run for 1 yd to the Akron 48Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+4
0.1%
Darius Boone run for 4 yds to the Akron 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:17
Shaq Vann run for 5 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)
-5.2
TD · Q3 9:51
Willie Parker run for 11 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)
-4.2
TD · Q2 10:41
Shaq Vann run for 19 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)
-4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com