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M-OH

Miami (OH) 24 at Ohio 21

OHIO
2019 · Week 11 · Nov 6, 2019 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:51 · Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Shane Hooks
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 148Pregame prior+0.6Home team on offense−13.2Garbage-time factor−8.6Score differential−1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 13:39: Nathan Rourke 1 Yd Run (Louie Zervos Kick) — OHIO win probability +24.3 pts (now 69%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 12:52: Jaylon Bester 7 Yd Run (Sam Sloman Kick) — M-OH win probability +24.3 pts (now 74%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:58: Nathan Rourke 9 Yd Run (Louie Zervos Kick) — OHIO win probability +29.0 pts (now 68%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 3:48: Sam Sloman 53 Yd Field Goal — M-OH win probability +19.6 pts (now 73%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:45: Jaylon Bester run for no gain to the Ohio 34 — M-OH win probability +17.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 2 of 5M-OH made the numbers' call on 2 of 7
  1. Q1 3:47M-OH 4th & 9 at OHIO 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    32.6%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:41OHIO 4th & 3 at M-OH 33, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.8%−0.5
    49% to make
    Punt
    66.5%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:02M-OH 4th & 13 at M-OH 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−0.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:06M-OH 4th & 1 at M-OH 28, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.4%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:42OHIO 4th & 9 at OHIO 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:52M-OH 4th & 7 at OHIO 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    38.7%−0.8
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.7%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:12OHIO 4th & 4 at M-OH 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    65.4%
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:08OHIO 4th & 21 at OHIO 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%−5.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:24M-OH 4th & 14 at M-OH 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%−4.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.4%
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:48M-OH 4th & 7 at OHIO 35, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.3%−1.6
    45% to make
    Punt
    44.0%−5.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:51OHIO 4th & 23 at OHIO 34, down 3
    Numbers favored punt by 2.5 ptsWent for it · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.1%−2.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:07M-OH 4th & 17 at OHIO 41, up 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 6.0 ptsPunted · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%−5.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    91.3%
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.2%−6.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3M-OH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 9:59M-OH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:29OHIO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:43M-OH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:39OHIO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:52M-OH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:58OHIO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1FUMBLE
12 plays · 74 yds · 6:1070% → 69%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
69.7%
Nathan Rourke run for 15 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
69.7%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron OdomSimilar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+20
69.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 20 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
69.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+3
69.8%
O'Shaan Allison run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+7
69.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
69.8%
O'Shaan Allison run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 15Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 1
OPP 15
0
69.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the MiaOh 15Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+2
69.5%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-3
69.7%
Nathan Rourke sacked by Sterling Weatherford for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 16Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 13
OPP 16
+15
69.4%
O'Shaan Allison run for 15 yds O'Shaan Allison fumbled, forced by Sterling Weatherford, recovered by MiaOh Kameron ButlerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 2PUNT
12 plays · 41 yds · 4:5331% → 32%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
68.6%
Tyre Shelton run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+5
68.2%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Andrew Homer for 5 yds to the MiaOh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
68.4%
Tyre Shelton run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
68.0%
Jaylon Bester run for no gain to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+10
68.2%
Gabbert, Brett pass sacked for loss of 2 yards to the MIAMIOH35 (Popp, Eric), PENALTY OHIO holding 10 yards to the MIAMIOH47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MIAMIOH.Similar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
67.5%
MIAMI OH Penalty, False Start (Tommy Doyle) to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+6
67.9%
Maurice Thomas run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+12
67.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Luke Mayock for 12 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
67.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jaylon Bester for 6 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 4
OPP 34
0
66.5%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Dominique RobinsonSimilar
Q1 4:16
3RD & 4
OPP 34
-5
66.8%
Jaylon Bester run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ohio 39Similar
Q1 3:47
4TH & 9
OPP 39
0
67.7%
Kyle Kramer punt for 34 yds, fair catch by DL Knock at the Ohio 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3MISSED FG
11 plays · 62 yds · 5:5968% → 68%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+11
67.7%
Julian Ross run for 11 yds to the Ohio 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+12
67.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Tyler Tupa for 12 yds to the Ohio 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
67.8%
Julian Ross run for 1 yd to the Ohio 29Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+4
67.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Jerome Buckner for 4 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q1 1:10
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+14
67.4%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Jerome Buckner for 14 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
68.7%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Tyler TupaSimilar
Q1 0:26
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+13
68.4%
Nathan Rourke run for 13 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
68.9%
Nathan Rourke run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+2
69.2%
Julian Ross run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 1
OPP 31
-2
68.5%
Julian Ross run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q2 12:41
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+50
67.5%
Louie Zervos 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:3435% → 33%
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
65.5%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Quentin HardySimilar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-15
65.7%
Gabbert, Brett rush for 5 yards to the MIAMIOH38, PENALTY MIAMIOH personal foul (Doyle, Tommy) 15 yards to the MIAMIOH18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 25
OWN 18
+1
66.0%
Jaylon Bester run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 24
OWN 19
+11
66.5%
Jaylon Bester run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q2 11:02
4TH & 13
OWN 30
0
66.9%
Kyle Kramer punt for 23 yds, downed at the Ohio 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5FUMBLE
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:4968% → 67%
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
68.3%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Ryan LuehrmanSimilar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
68.0%
Julian Ross run for no gain to the Ohio 47Similar
Q2 10:08
3RD & 10
OWN 47
-2
66.8%
Nathan Rourke sacked by Lonnie Phelps for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 45 Nathan Rourke fumbled, forced by Lonnie Phelps, recovered by MiaOh Doug Costin , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 6TD
1 play · 45 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
55.9%
Jaylon Bester 45 Yd Run (Sam Sloman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:2658% → 68%
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.1%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah CoxSimilar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
57.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to De'Montre Tuggle for 8 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q2 9:10
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
58.1%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 6 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+50
58.0%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 50 yds to the MiaOh 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
59.4%
De'Montre Tuggle run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 12Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 11
OPP 12
+8
59.0%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 4Similar
Q2 6:29
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+4
67.9%
Tyler Walton 4 Yd pass from Nathan Rourke (Louie Zervos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1137% → 36%
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
63.1%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Andrew Homer, broken up by Javon HaganSimilar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+6
63.2%
Maurice Thomas run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q2 5:24
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+3
63.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Maurice Thomas for 3 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q2 5:06
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
64.0%
Kyle Kramer punt for 44 yds , DL Knock returns for no gain to the Ohio 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:1866% → 63%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
65.9%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 2 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+4
65.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to De'Montre Tuggle for 4 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 4
OWN 34
-5
65.2%
De'Montre Tuggle run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ohio 29Similar
Q2 2:42
4TH & 9
OWN 29
+30
63.1%
Michael Farkas punt for 44 yds , Maurice Thomas returns for 30 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4841% → 40%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
59.0%
Jaylon Bester run for 3 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
58.8%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
58.5%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
60.4%
Kyle Kramer punt for 22 yds, fair catch by DL Knock at the Ohio 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 37 yds · 1:2365% → 65%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
64.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 8 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+3
65.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 3 yds to the Ohio 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
64.9%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Julian RossSimilar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
64.6%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Jerome BucknerSimilar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+20
64.3%
Nathan Rourke run for 10 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
67.2%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah CoxSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
66.6%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 3 yds to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+3
66.1%
Julian Ross run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
64.7%
Michael Farkas punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
60.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:1739% → 58%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
61.1%
Tyre Shelton run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
59.9%
Brett Gabbert run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+10
59.1%
Jaylon Bester run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
57.9%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Maurice Thomas for 4 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+2
57.2%
Tyre Shelton run for 2 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+5
57.7%
Tyre Shelton run for 5 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
57.0%
OHIO Penalty, Defensive Offside (Chukwudi Chukwu) to the Ohio 36Similar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 5
OPP 36
+12
56.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Quentin Hardy for 12 yds to the Ohio 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
56.0%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Dominique RobinsonSimilar
Q3 10:04
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
56.1%
Jaylon Bester run for 3 yds to the Ohio 21Similar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+21
41.8%
Jack Sorenson 21 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Sam Sloman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 3:3247% → 43%
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
46.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to De'Montre Tuggle for 2 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
46.9%
Nathan Rourke run for 2 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q3 8:25
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+21
45.6%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 6 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, Roughing Passer (Doug Costin) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
50
+1
49.6%
Nathan Rourke run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 9
OPP 49
-3
49.0%
De'Montre Tuggle run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 48Similar
Q3 6:40
3RD & 11
OWN 48
-10
45.6%
Tuggle, De'Montre rush for 8 yards to the MIAMIOH44, PENALTY OHIO holding (Hayes, Steven) 10 yards to the OHIO38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 21
OWN 38
0
43.8%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron OdomSimilar
Q3 6:08
4TH & 21
OWN 38
0
42.8%
Michael Farkas punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Maurice Thomas at the MiaOh 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:3659% → 58%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
41.1%
Tyre Shelton run for no gain to the MiaOh 16Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
41.0%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 10
OWN 16
-4
41.7%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Jack McCrory and Cole Baker for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 12Similar
Q3 4:24
4TH & 14
OWN 12
0
41.9%
Kyle Kramer punt for 42 yds, downed at the Ohio 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16TD
11 plays · 54 yds · 5:4146% → 69%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
45.8%
Nathan Rourke run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 44Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+10
43.6%
Nathan Rourke run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+7
46.3%
Julian Ross run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
46.2%
Tyler Walton run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+7
45.7%
Nathan Rourke run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+4
45.7%
Julian Ross run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
45.1%
MIAMI OH Penalty, Defensive Holding (Zedrick Raymond) to the MiaOh 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
45.0%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 8 yds to the MiaOh 9Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+4
44.9%
Julian Ross run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
44.6%
Julian Ross run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 1Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
68.9%
Nathan Rourke 1 Yd Run (Louie Zervos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 17TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:3843% → 74%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+63
57.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to James Maye for 63 yds to the Ohio 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
50.2%
OHIO Penalty, Defensive Offside (Sam McKnight) to the Ohio 7Similar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 5
OPP 7
+7
25.9%
Jaylon Bester 7 Yd Run (Sam Sloman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2734% → 68%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
34.4%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 32 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
39.9%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+5
39.4%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+5
39.5%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
41.7%
OHIO Penalty, False Start (Nick Sink) to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 15
OPP 35
+22
36.6%
Nathan Rourke run for 22 yds to the MiaOh 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
39.4%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 9Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+9
68.4%
Nathan Rourke 9 Yd Run (Louie Zervos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19FG
11 plays · 40 yds · 5:0244% → 73%
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
55.6%
Tyre Shelton run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
54.4%
Jaylon Bester run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
54.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 16 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
48.3%
Jaylon Bester run for 5 yds to the Ohio 44Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 5
OPP 44
-1
47.4%
Jaylon Bester run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 45Similar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+7
48.1%
Tyre Shelton run for 7 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-4
47.0%
Jaylon Bester run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 42Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 14
OPP 42
+7
49.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 7 yds to the Ohio 35Similar
Q4 3:53
3RD & 7
OPP 35
0
47.1%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Quentin HardySimilar
Q4 3:48
4TH & 7
OPP 35
+53
27.5%
Sam Sloman 53 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20DOWNS
11 plays · -1 yds · 1:4439% → 26%
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
38.6%
Nathan Rourke run for 7 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 3
OWN 42
0
42.6%
De'Montre Tuggle run for no gain to the Ohio 42Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+5
37.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to De'Montre Tuggle for 5 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
39.2%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron OdomSimilar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-8
38.2%
Nathan Rourke sacked by Ryan McWood and Kameron Butler for a loss of 8 yards to the Ohio 39Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 18
OWN 39
-5
29.3%
OHIO Penalty, False Start (Brett Kitrell) to the Ohio 34Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 23
OWN 34
0
28.5%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:51
4TH & 23
OWN 34
0
26.1%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Shane HooksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:3891% → 93%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
8.9%
Jaylon Bester run for no gain to the Ohio 34Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+3
7.7%
Jaylon Bester run for 3 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q4 0:40
3RD & 7
OPP 31
-5
6.1%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Cole Baker and Ilyaas Motley for a loss of 5 yards to the Ohio 36 Brett Gabbert fumbled, recovered by MiaOhSimilar
Q4 0:15
4TH & 12
OPP 36
-5
7.0%
MIAMI OH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 41Similar
Q4 0:07
4TH & 17
OPP 41
0
7.3%
Kyle Kramer punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22Uncategorized
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
13.4%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Jerome BucknerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:58
Nathan Rourke 9 Yd Run (Louie Zervos Kick)
+29
TD · Q4 13:39
Nathan Rourke 1 Yd Run (Louie Zervos Kick)
+24.3
TD · Q4 12:52
Jaylon Bester 7 Yd Run (Sam Sloman Kick)
-24.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com