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KENT

Kent State 33 at Toledo 35

TOL
2019 · Week 11 · Nov 5, 2019 · Glass Bowl
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Win probability · TOL
modelTOL aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playTOL scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:51 · Derek Adams punt for 41 yds, downed at the Toled 5
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+21.0+10.50−10.5−21.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 118Home team on offense+7.1Pregame prior+3.8Garbage-time factor−0.8Score differential+2.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.4Blowout margin+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:35: Dustin Crum pass complete to Xavier Williams for 28 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK) — KENT win probability +9.1 pts (now 41%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:36: Shakif Seymour run for 1 yd for a TD (Evan Davis KICK) — TOL win probability +11.4 pts (now 76%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:23: Dustin Crum run for 11 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK) — KENT win probability +15.0 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 11:49: Shakif Seymour run for 5 yds for a TD (Evan Davis KICK) — TOL win probability +19.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:27: Dustin Crum pass complete to Keenan Orr for 5 yds for a TD Timeout KENT ST, clock 05:27 (Two-Point Conversion failed) — KENT win probability +19.3 pts (now 37%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TOL made the numbers' call on 5 of 5KENT made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00KENT 4th & 8 at KENT 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:30TOL 4th & 1 at KENT 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    64.0%−0.4
    75% to make
    Punt
    62.8%−1.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:13KENT 4th & 9 at TOL 9, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    26.3%−3.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:13TOL 4th & 11 at TOL 38, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:36KENT 4th & 4 at KENT 44, down 11
    Close callPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:58KENT 4th & 22 at TOL 42, down 11
    Close callPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−0.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    22.6%
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.4%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:50KENT 4th & 3 at TOL 30, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.6%−1.0
    56% to make
    Punt
    19.3%−2.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:45TOL 4th & 13 at TOL 21, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%−3.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:51KENT 4th & 2 at TOL 46, down 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    21.6%−4.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%−2.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:37TOL 4th & 7 at TOL 19, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%−1.0
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:27KENT 4th & 5 at TOL 5, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.4%
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    13.3%−1.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    2.8%−11.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:31TOL 4th & 1 at KENT 40, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    66.8%−10.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    65.9%−11.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TOL made the numbers' call on 5 of 5KENT made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 9:10TOL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:05TOL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:34KENT Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:12TOL Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:35KENT Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:36TOL Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:23KENT Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:49TOL Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.4%−0.4
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:27KENT Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    34.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    33.9%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
60.2%
Will Matthews run for 3 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-3
60.2%
Will Matthews run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+2
60.2%
Dustin Crum run for 2 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
-3
60.2%
Derek Adams punt for 47 yds , Devin Maddox returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Toled 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 2TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 4:0460% → 63%
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
60.2%
Bryant Koback run for 4 yds to the Toled 27Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+22
60.2%
Eli Peters pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 22 yds to the Toled 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
60.4%
Bryant Koback run for 3 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+4
60.4%
Eli Peters pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 4 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+6
60.4%
Bryant Koback run for 6 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
60.5%
Eli Peters pass complete to Devin Maddox for 11 yds to the KntSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
60.5%
Shakif Seymour run for 1 yd to the KntSt 26Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+12
60.5%
Eli Peters pass complete to Bryce Mitchell for 12 yds to the KntSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
63.1%
Bryant Koback run for 14 yds for a TD (Evan Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3FUMBLE
4 plays · 34 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
62.3%
Kavious Price run for 4 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+25
62.2%
Will Matthews run for 25 yds to the Toled 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
61.7%
Will Matthews run for 5 yds to the Toled 41 Will Matthews fumbled, forced by Terrance Taylor, recovered by Toled Saeed HoltSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 4TD
7 plays · 59 yds · 2:2563% → 68%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
63.1%
Shakif Seymour run for 3 yds to the Toled 44Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+27
63.2%
Shakif Seymour run for 27 yds to the KntSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
63.3%
Shakif Seymour run for 2 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
63.3%
Eli Peters pass incomplete to Bryce MitchellSimilar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+7
63.1%
Eli Peters pass complete to Bryant Koback for 7 yds to the KntSt 20Similar
Q1 8:30
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+1
62.8%
Bryant Koback run for 1 yd to the KntSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
68.1%
Eli Peters pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 19 yds for a TD (Evan Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5FG
9 plays · 71 yds · 2:4734% → 35%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
66.5%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 12 yds to the KntSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
66.4%
Xavier Williams run for 6 yds to the KntSt 38Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+4
66.0%
Xavier Williams run for 4 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+52
66.3%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 52 yds to the Toled 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
65.3%
Xavier Williams run for no gain to the Toled 6Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
65.3%
Dustin Crum run for a loss of 3 yards to the Toled 9Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
65.9%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q1 3:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
65.3%
Matthew Trickett 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
65.7%
Bryant Koback run for 14 yds to the Toled 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
66.2%
Bryant Koback run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 38Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 11
OWN 38
0
66.0%
Eli Peters pass incomplete to Desmond Phillips, broken up by Jamal ParkerSimilar
Q1 3:13
3RD & 11
OWN 38
0
65.6%
Eli Peters pass incomplete to Bryce MitchellSimilar
Q1 3:13
4TH & 11
OWN 38
0
65.0%
Thomas Cluckey punt for 40 yds, downed at the KntSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7TD
3 plays · 78 yds · 1:1134% → 38%
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
66.1%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 5 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+3
65.8%
Dustin Crum run for 3 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q1 0:34
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+70
61.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 70 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 8TD
13 plays · 81 yds · 5:1562% → 71%
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
61.7%
Shakif Seymour run for 7 yds to the Toled 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+6
62.0%
Eli Peters pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 6 yds to the Toled 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
61.9%
Eli Peters pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 8 yds to the Toled 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+4
62.8%
Shakif Seymour run for 4 yds to the Toled 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
62.8%
Eli Peters run for 3 yds to the Toled 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 0
0
61.5%
PETERS,Eli pass incomplete to MITCHELL,Bryce, PENALTY KENTST holding off-setting, PENALTY TOLEDO ineligible downfield on pass off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+11
62.9%
Bryant Koback run for 11 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
63.2%
Eli Peters pass complete to Nick Kovacs for 15 yds to the KntSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+24
63.5%
Eli Peters pass complete to Devin Maddox for 24 yds to the KntSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
63.5%
Bryant Koback run for 1 yd to the KntSt 2Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
63.5%
Bryant Koback run for no gain to the KntSt 2Similar
Q2 10:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
71.4%
Bryant Koback run for 2 yds for a TD (Evan Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:3231% → 41%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
69.0%
Dustin Crum run for no gain to the KntSt 35Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
69.3%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Antwan Dixon for no gain to the KntSt 35Similar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+25
70.0%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 25 yds to the Toled 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
67.9%
Xavier Williams run for 12 yds to the Toled 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
58.8%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Xavier Williams for 28 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 10TD
13 plays · 85 yds · 4:5462% → 76%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
62.3%
Shakif Seymour run for 6 yds to the Toled 21Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+1
62.6%
Shakif Seymour run for 1 yd to the Toled 22Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+31
61.7%
Eli Peters pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 31 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
64.5%
Shakif Seymour run for 3 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+6
64.5%
Eli Peters pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 6 yds to the KntSt 38Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+7
64.1%
Bryant Koback run for 7 yds to the KntSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
65.0%
Eli Peters pass incomplete to Bryce Mitchell, broken up by Elvis HinesSimilar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+18
64.9%
Bryant Koback run for 5 yds to the KntSt 26 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, personal foul (Alex Hoag) to the KntSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
65.0%
Eli Peters pass incomplete to Reggie GilliamSimilar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+3
65.0%
Shakif Seymour run for 3 yds to the KntSt 10Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+9
64.2%
Shakif Seymour run for 9 yds to the KntSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.6%
Shakif Seymour run for 1 yd for a TD (Evan Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
74.2%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 13 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
73.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for no gain to the KntSt 38Similar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
73.6%
Dustin Crum run for 6 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q2 3:36
3RD & 4
OWN 44
0
73.1%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Mike Carrigan, broken up by Chris McDonaldSimilar
Q2 3:36
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
74.3%
Derek Adams punt for 45 yds, downed at the Toled 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 12FUMBLE
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+15
75.7%
Shakif Seymour run for 15 yds to the Toled 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
75.9%
Eli Peters run for 1 yd to the Toled 30 Eli Peters fumbled, recovered by KntSt Matt BahrSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -12 yds · 0:5028% → 24%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
72.1%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Kavious Price, broken up by Tycen AndersonSimilar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+4
72.1%
Joachim Bangda run for 4 yds to the Toled 26Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 6
OPP 26
-16
72.1%
Kavious Price run for a loss of 16 yards to the Toled 42Similar
Q2 0:58
4TH & 22
OPP 42
0
75.7%
Dustin Crum punt for 32 yds, downed at the Toled 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 14END OF HALF
6 plays · 35 yds · 0:3076% → 79%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+24
76.1%
Ronnie Jones run for 24 yds to the Toled 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+16
76.3%
Ronnie Jones run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
50
0
79.6%
Eli Peters pass incomplete to Desmond PhillipsSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
50
-5
79.4%
JONES,Ronnie rush for 5 yards to the KENTST45 (WEST, Zayin), PENALTY TOLEDO holding (ROSI,Nick) 5 yards to the TOLEDO45, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 15INT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
76.9%
Shakif Seymour run for 18 yds to the Toled 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
77.9%
Shakif Seymour run for 2 yds to the Toled 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
78.0%
Eli Peters pass incomplete to Devin MaddoxSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 45
-2
76.8%
Eli Peters pass intercepted Jamal Parker return for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 43 TOLEDO Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16FG
9 plays · 38 yds · 3:4824% → 26%
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
76.3%
Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 7
OWN 35
-1
76.0%
Xavier Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 34Similar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+8
77.2%
Dustin Crum run for 8 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
75.7%
Xavier Williams run for 5 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+16
75.0%
Joachim Bangda run for 16 yds to the Toled 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
74.7%
Joachim Bangda run for 4 yds to the Toled 33Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+1
73.4%
Joachim Bangda run for 1 yd to the Toled 32Similar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+2
74.5%
Will Matthews run for 2 yds to the Toled 30Similar
Q3 9:50
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+47
73.7%
Matthew Trickett 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0076% → 74%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
76.3%
Shakif Seymour run for 5 yds to the Toled 29Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 5
OWN 29
-1
76.6%
Shakif Seymour run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 28Similar
Q3 9:45
3RD & 6
OWN 28
-7
75.5%
Eli Peters sacked by Cepeda Phillips for a loss of 7 yards to the Toled 21Similar
Q3 9:45
4TH & 13
OWN 21
0
74.1%
Thomas Cluckey punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
72.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 5 yds to the Toled 49Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+3
72.3%
Dustin Crum run for 3 yds to the Toled 46Similar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 2
OPP 46
0
72.6%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Kavious Price, broken up by Saeed HoltSimilar
Q3 7:51
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
74.0%
Derek Adams punt for 41 yds, downed at the Toled 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
77.4%
Eli Peters pass incomplete to Devin Maddox, broken up by Nick FaulknerSimilar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+11
77.2%
Eli Peters pass complete to Bryce Mitchell for 11 yds to the Toled 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
77.7%
Shakif Seymour run for 2 yds to the Toled 18Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+6
77.6%
Shakif Seymour run for 6 yds to the Toled 24Similar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 2
OWN 24
-5
76.9%
TOLEDO Penalty, false start (Brandon Heidecker) to the Toled 19Similar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 7
OWN 19
0
76.6%
Eli Peters pass incomplete to Desmond PhillipsSimilar
Q3 6:37
4TH & 7
OWN 19
0
75.5%
Thomas Cluckey punt for 35 yds , Kwincy Hall returns for no gain to the KntSt 45 Kwincy Hall fumbled, forced by Samuel Womack, recovered by KntSt Miles DanielSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 3:1524% → 42%
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
76.2%
Xavier Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 43Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 12
OWN 43
+11
77.5%
Dustin Crum run for 11 yds to the Toled 46Similar
Q3 4:38
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+11
74.8%
Xavier Williams run for 11 yds to the Toled 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
73.6%
Xavier Williams run for 13 yds to the Toled 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
73.1%
Xavier Williams run for 12 yds to the Toled 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
73.1%
Dustin Crum run for 5 yds to the Toled 5Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-6
73.1%
Dustin Crum sacked by Jalynn Williams for a loss of 6 yards to the Toled 11Similar
Q3 1:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
58.1%
Dustin Crum run for 11 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 21TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 4:2763% → 88%
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
63.2%
Ronnie Jones run for 2 yds to the Toled 23Similar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+15
63.0%
PETERS,Eli pass incomplete to McKINLEY-LEWIS, PENALTY KENTST pass interference (HINES, Elvis) 15 yards to the TOLEDO38, 1ST DOWN TOLEDO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
65.0%
Eli Peters pass complete to Devin Maddox for 7 yds to the Toled 45Similar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+18
66.8%
Ronnie Jones run for 18 yds to the KntSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
67.9%
Eli Peters pass complete to Bryce Mitchell for 11 yds to the KntSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-7
68.9%
Eli Peters run for a loss of 7 yards to the KntSt 33 Eli Peters fumbled, recovered by Toled Eli PetersSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 17
OPP 33
+9
66.6%
Shakif Seymour run for 9 yds to the KntSt 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+12
67.2%
PETERS,Eli pass intercepted by GAMBLE, Kesean at the KENTST19, GAMBLE, Kesean return to the KENTST30, PENALTY KENTST roughing passer (PHILLIPS, C.) 12 yards to the KENTST12, 1ST DOWN TOLEDO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
68.9%
Shakif Seymour run for 7 yds to the KntSt 5Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+5
88.1%
Shakif Seymour run for 5 yds for a TD (Evan Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 22TD
17 plays · 70 yds · 6:1617% → 37%
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
83.0%
Will Matthews run for 2 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+8
82.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 8 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-4
82.2%
Dustin Crum sacked by Jamal Hines for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 36Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 14
OWN 36
-4
83.7%
Dustin Crum run for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 32Similar
Q4 9:54
3RD & 18
OWN 32
+28
87.5%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Will Matthews for 28 yds to the Toled 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
82.7%
Will Matthews run for 4 yds to the Toled 36Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 6
OPP 36
-1
82.4%
Will Matthews run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 37Similar
Q4 9:54
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+8
83.3%
Dustin Crum run for 8 yds to the Toled 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
81.1%
Will Matthews run for 13 yds to the Toled 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
81.1%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 6 yds to the Toled 10Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+7
81.1%
Will Matthews run for 7 yds to the Toled 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
81.1%
Will Matthews run for 1 yd to the Toled 2Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
81.1%
Will Matthews run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 3Similar
Q4 9:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
82.8%
Will Matthews run for a loss of 2 yards to the Toled 5Similar
Q4 5:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
63.5%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Keenan Orr for 5 yds for a TD Timeout KENT ST, clock 05:27 (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 23END OF GAME
12 plays · 34 yds · 4:2175% → 89%
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
74.6%
Shakif Seymour run for 9 yds to the Toled 38Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+13
76.9%
Shakif Seymour run for 13 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
77.6%
Shakif Seymour run for 6 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+3
77.9%
Ronnie Jones run for 3 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q4 5:22
3RD & 1
OPP 40
0
77.4%
Shakif Seymour run for no gain to the KntSt 40Similar
Q4 2:31
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+10
80.2%
Shakif Seymour run for 10 yds to the KntSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
84.2%
Shakif Seymour run for 2 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 8
OPP 28
-5
91.2%
Team run for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 33Similar
Q4 1:01
3RD & 13
OPP 33
-4
88.5%
Team run for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:27
Dustin Crum pass complete to Keenan Orr for 5 yds for a TD Timeout KENT ST, clock 05:27 (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-19.3
TD · Q4 11:49
Shakif Seymour run for 5 yds for a TD (Evan Davis KICK)
+19.1
TD · Q3 1:23
Dustin Crum run for 11 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)
-15
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com