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BALL

Ball State 31 at Western Michigan 35

WMU
2019 · Week 11 · Nov 5, 2019 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadBALL aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreBALL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+40WMU 83.8%LeVante Bellamy run for 16 yds for aTD (Thiago Kapps KICK)AWAY 24 - HOME 28 · Q4 5:21
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:21 · LeVante Bellamy run for 16 yds for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 150Pregame prior+1.9Home team on offense+14.3Garbage-time factor+8.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.9Score differential+0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 14:46: Malik Dunner 100 Yd Kickoff Return (Ryan Rimmler Kick) — BALL win probability +14.2 pts (now 30%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 11:03: Drew Plitt 1 Yd Run (Ryan Rimmler Kick) — BALL win probability +27.8 pts (now 66%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 5:21: LeVante Bellamy run for 16 yds for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK) — WMU win probability +40.0 pts (now 84%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:24: Walter Fletcher run for 4 yds for a TD (Ryan Rimmler KICK) — BALL win probability +46.2 pts (now 83%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:05: LeVante Bellamy run for 9 yds for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK) — WMU win probability +55.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6BALL made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 3:45WMU 4th & 5 at BALL 23, tied
    Close callWent for it · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    66.8%
    70% to make
    Punt
    65.3%−1.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:32BALL 4th & 3 at BALL 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:15WMU 4th & 1 at WMU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    65.9%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:52BALL 4th & 2 at WMU 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    28.1%−1.4
    38% to make
    Punt
    28.2%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:49BALL 4th & 5 at WMU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    24.9%−3.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:40BALL 4th & 18 at BALL 34, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−1.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:20WMU 4th & 7 at BALL 19, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.1%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.6%
    77% to make
    Punt
    76.1%−3.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:04BALL 4th & 18 at BALL 33, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%−2.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:11WMU 4th & 5 at WMU 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:41BALL 4th & 1 at WMU 21, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    30.4%−2.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    23.8%−8.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:14WMU 4th & 5 at WMU 49, up 4
    Close callPunted · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.7%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:21WMU 4th & 2 at BALL 16, down 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.8 ptsWent for it · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.4%−3.8
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    44.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    24.1%−20.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:34BALL 4th & 10 at BALL 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.3%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.7%−2.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5BALL made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:06WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:30BALL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:26WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:54WMU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:46BALL Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:03BALL Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.5%−0.6
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:21WMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.7%−0.4
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:24BALL Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.7%−0.5
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:05WMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.3%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WMUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 2:4471% → 71%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
70.7%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Skyy MooreSimilar
Q1 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+12
70.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 12 yds to the WMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
70.6%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to LeVante BellamySimilar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+5
70.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the WMich 36Similar
Q1 13:21
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+60
70.4%
Jon Wassink run for 60 yds to the BalSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
70.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the BalSt 1Similar
Q1 12:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
70.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the BalSt 1Similar
Q1 12:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
71.4%
LeVante Bellamy 1 Yd Run (Thiago Kapps Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 2TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 3:2529% → 31%
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
71.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 12 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
71.0%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Caleb HuntleySimilar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
71.0%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 5 yds to the BalSt 43Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+5
71.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 5 yds to the BalSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+17
71.0%
Justin Hall run for 17 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-4
70.7%
Walter Fletcher run for a loss of 4 yards to the WMich 39Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 14
OPP 39
+5
71.1%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Treshaun Hayward) to the WMich 34Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+31
70.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 31 yds to the WMich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
70.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the WMich 5Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
68.7%
Caleb Huntley 5 Yd Run (Ryan Rimmler Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 3DOWNS
12 plays · 56 yds · 4:3570% → 69%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+18
69.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to DaShon Bussell for 18 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
69.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 7 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+5
70.0%
BALL ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Tuni Ropati) to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
70.0%
Davon Tucker run for 2 yds to the BalSt 47Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+8
70.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 8 yds to the BalSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
70.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 2 yds to the BalSt 37Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+9
69.9%
Wassink, Jon pass incomplete to Hall, Jaylen, PENALTY BALLST holding (Uzodinma II, Amechi) 9 yards to the BALLST28, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTMICH.Similar
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
70.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 29Similar
Q1 5:02
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+5
70.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the BalSt 24Similar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+1
69.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the BalSt 23Similar
Q1 3:45
4TH & 5
OPP 23
0
69.0%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Giovanni RicciSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:0032% → 32%
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
68.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 27Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 7
OWN 27
-1
68.1%
Drew Plitt run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 26Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+5
68.1%
Drew Plitt run for 5 yds to the BalSt 31Similar
Q1 1:32
4TH & 3
OWN 31
+10
68.2%
Nathan Snyder punt for 53 yds , Keith Mixon Jr. returns for 10 yds to the WMich 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 2:5269% → 73%
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
68.5%
Sean Tyler run for 8 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q1 0:53
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+6
69.1%
Sean Tyler run for 6 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
69.1%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Skyy MooreSimilar
Q1 0:13
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
68.7%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q2 14:44
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+7
68.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 7 yds to the WMich 49Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+5
68.4%
Davon Tucker run for 5 yds to the BalSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
69.5%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Skyy MooreSimilar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
69.4%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Keith Mixon Jr.Similar
Q2 13:26
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+46
73.2%
Jon Wassink 46 Yd Run (Thiago Kapps Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 6FG
14 plays · 58 yds · 4:2427% → 30%
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+10
72.6%
Malik Dunner run for 10 yds to the BalSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
72.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 14 yds to the BalSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
71.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Walter Fletcher for 15 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
71.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 7 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 3
OPP 39
0
70.9%
Walter Fletcher run for no gain to the WMich 39Similar
Q2 11:09
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+1
72.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the WMich 38Similar
Q2 10:52
4TH & 2
OPP 38
+6
72.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 6 yds to the WMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
71.3%
Justin Hall run for 5 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 5
OPP 27
-10
71.4%
Plitt, Drew rush for 1 yard to the WESTMICH26, PENALTY BALLST holding (Givan, Nolan) 10 yards to the WESTMICH37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 15
OPP 37
0
73.0%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Malik DunnerSimilar
Q2 9:29
3RD & 15
OPP 37
+10
73.8%
Drew Plitt run for 10 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q2 8:49
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+44
69.8%
Ryan Rimmler 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 7TD
5 plays · 82 yds · 1:3670% → 80%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
70.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the WMich 18Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+2
70.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the WMich 20Similar
Q2 7:08
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+33
70.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 33 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
79.9%
Keith Mixon Jr. 47 Yd Run (Thiago Kapps Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:0722% → 19%
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
78.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 17 yds to the BalSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
77.6%
Drew Plitt sacked by Kailien Guillory for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 40Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 12
OWN 40
-2
78.2%
Walter Fletcher run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 38Similar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 14
OWN 38
-4
79.0%
Drew Plitt sacked by Andre Carter for a loss of 4 yards to the BalSt 34Similar
Q2 4:40
4TH & 18
OWN 34
+30
80.8%
Nathan Snyder punt for 34 yds, downed at the WESTMICH 32 BALL ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-4 Yards) to the WMich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9MISSED FG
12 plays · 44 yds · 3:0480% → 82%
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
80.1%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 1 yd to the WMich 38Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+13
80.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 13 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
81.4%
Davon Tucker run for 1 yd to the BalSt 48Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+12
81.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 12 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
82.1%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the BalSt 32Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+10
83.2%
Sean Tyler run for 10 yds to the BalSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
83.3%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the BalSt 21Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+2
83.4%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the BalSt 19Similar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 7
OPP 19
0
82.9%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Giovanni RicciSimilar
Q2 1:20
4TH & 7
OPP 19
+36
82.0%
Thiago Kapps 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 10FUMBLE
9 plays · 13 yds · 1:0617% → 16%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
82.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Walter Fletcher for 2 yds to the BalSt 22Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+19
83.0%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 19 yds to the BalSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
82.2%
Plitt, Drew pass incomplete to Dunner, Malik, PENALTY BALLST holding (Pinter, Danny) 10 yards to the BALLST31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 20
OWN 31
+12
83.4%
Walter Fletcher run for 12 yds to the BalSt 43Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 8
OWN 43
-5
82.6%
BALL ST Penalty, False Start (Malik Dunner) to the BalSt 38Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 13
OWN 38
0
83.3%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Hassan LittlesSimilar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 13
OWN 38
0
83.7%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 13
OWN 38
-5
84.2%
BALL ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 33Similar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 18
OWN 33
-6
84.3%
Nathan Snyder punt for 43 yds , Keith Mixon Jr. returns for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 18 Keith Mixon Jr. fumbled, recovered by WMich Dawson SchickSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 3:0870% → 68%
Q3 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
69.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 15 yds to the WMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
69.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the WMich 26Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+9
69.6%
Jon Wassink run for 9 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
69.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 32Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+11
69.2%
Jon Wassink pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 11 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 2
OWN 43
-3
70.6%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 40Similar
Q3 11:11
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
68.3%
Nick Mihalic punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13DOWNS
11 plays · 59 yds · 4:1830% → 32%
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
69.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 6 yds to the BalSt 26Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
69.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the BalSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
70.0%
Caleb Huntley run for 11 yds to the BalSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+16
68.6%
Walter Fletcher run for 16 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
66.9%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Malik DunnerSimilar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+5
67.1%
Walter Fletcher run for 5 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q3 8:32
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+7
67.3%
Walter Fletcher run for 7 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
65.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the WMich 26Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+5
65.0%
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the WMich 21Similar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 1
OPP 21
0
66.3%
Drew Plitt run for no gain to the WMich 21Similar
Q3 6:41
4TH & 1
OPP 21
0
67.8%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the WMich 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 4:1972% → 73%
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
72.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the WMich 22Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+7
71.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 7 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q3 5:26
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+4
71.7%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 4 yds to the WMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
72.2%
Jon Wassink pass complete to DaShon Bussell for 8 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 2
OWN 41
0
74.9%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Skyy MooreSimilar
Q3 4:13
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+3
73.9%
Davon Tucker run for 3 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
75.1%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Giovanni RicciSimilar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+7
74.2%
Sean Tyler run for 7 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 3
OPP 49
-2
74.5%
Sean Tyler run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 49Similar
Q3 2:14
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
72.8%
Nick Mihalic punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 15TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 5:5931% → 66%
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
69.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 7 yds to the BalSt 27Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+4
67.3%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the BalSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
67.9%
Justin Hall run for 10 yds to the BalSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
66.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q3 0:09
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+6
64.9%
Walter Fletcher run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 1
50
+7
64.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 7 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:29
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
63.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the WMich 42Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+16
63.8%
Walter Fletcher run for 16 yds to the WMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
61.2%
Walter Fletcher run for 2 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 8
OPP 24
0
61.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Malik Dunner for no gain to the WMich 24Similar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+10
64.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Walter Fletcher for 10 yds to the WMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
61.0%
BALL ST Penalty, False Start (Kaleb Slaven) to the WMich 19Similar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 15
OPP 19
+18
61.9%
Drew Plitt run for 18 yds to the WMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
34.1%
Drew Plitt 1 Yd Run (Ryan Rimmler Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16TD
14 plays · 67 yds · 5:3044% → 84%
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
44.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the WMich 36Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
44.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the WMich 36Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+16
41.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 16 yds to the BalSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-7
47.2%
Jon Wassink sacked by James Jennette III for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 45Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 17
OWN 45
0
41.7%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Skyy MooreSimilar
Q4 8:39
3RD & 17
OWN 45
+17
39.6%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 17 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
47.0%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Giovanni RicciSimilar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+9
46.4%
LeVante Bellamy run for 9 yds to the BalSt 29Similar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+5
46.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the BalSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
48.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the BalSt 22Similar
Q4 6:26
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+3
46.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the BalSt 19Similar
Q4 5:46
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+3
43.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the BalSt 16Similar
Q4 5:21
4TH & 2
OPP 16
+16
83.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 16 yds for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 17TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 1:4329% → 83%
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
70.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 16 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
67.5%
Caleb Huntley run for 7 yds to the BalSt 47Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+32
67.3%
Caleb Huntley run for 32 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
63.0%
Walter Fletcher run for 7 yds to the WMich 14 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Treshaun Hayward) to the WMich 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
63.6%
Walter Fletcher run for 3 yds to the WMich 4Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
17.4%
Walter Fletcher run for 4 yds for a TD (Ryan Rimmler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 2:0537% → 94%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
37.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 16 yds to the BalSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
38.5%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+15
38.1%
Wassink, Jon pass incomplete to Mixon Jr., Keith, PENALTY BALLST pass interference (Jones, Nic) 15 yards to the BALLST29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTMICH.Similar
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
40.2%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the BalSt 26Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+6
40.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 6 yds to the BalSt 20Similar
Q4 1:28
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+1
35.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the BalSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
38.4%
Jon Wassink run for 10 yds to the BalSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
94.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 9 yds for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:2323% → 19%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
76.6%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Walter FletcherSimilar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
78.4%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Walter FletcherSimilar
Q4 0:43
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
79.7%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Walter FletcherSimilar
Q4 0:34
4TH & 10
OWN 29
+5
80.6%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Nolan Givan for 5 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20Uncategorized
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:1095% → 96%
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
94.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 36Similar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 12
OPP 36
+13
95.5%
Jon Wassink run for 13 yds to the BalSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:05
LeVante Bellamy run for 9 yds for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK)
+55.7
TD · Q4 3:24
Walter Fletcher run for 4 yds for a TD (Ryan Rimmler KICK)
-46.2
TD · Q4 5:21
LeVante Bellamy run for 16 yds for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK)
+40
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com