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OHIO

Ohio 34 at Ball State 21

BALL
2019 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2019 · Scheumann Stadium
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Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 14:47 · O'Shaan Allison run for 3 yds to the BalSt 25 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+51.5+25.80−25.8−51.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 6Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Pregame prior+7.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 5:00: Louie Zervos 23 yd FG GOOD — OHIO win probability +5.7 pts (now 53%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:47: De'Montre Tuggle run for 11 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +15.6 pts (now 75%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:29: Walter Fletcher run for 73 yds for a TD, (Ryan Rimmler KICK) — BALL win probability +16.7 pts (now 44%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:33: De'Montre Tuggle run for 1 yd for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +19.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:45: Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 14 yds for a TD, (Ryan Rimmler KICK) — BALL win probability +5.7 pts (now 7%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 7 of 8OHIO made the numbers' call on 2 of 8
  1. Q1 14:47OHIO 4th & 2 at BALL 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    41.6%−0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    41.3%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 14:47OHIO 4th & 1 at BALL 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    41.6%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    41.2%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:04BALL 4th & 5 at BALL 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00OHIO 4th & 3 at BALL 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    42.4%−0.7
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:53BALL 4th & 12 at BALL 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%−0.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:20OHIO 4th & 2 at BALL 2, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.6%−1.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    38.9%−4.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:13BALL 4th & 5 at BALL 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:00OHIO 4th & 1 at BALL 5, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%
    67% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.2%−2.7
    92% to make
    Punt
    39.2%−8.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:54BALL 4th & 4 at BALL 36, down 6
    Close callPunted · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.0%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:10OHIO 4th & 6 at BALL 46, up 6
    Close callPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    54.3%−1.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:58BALL 4th & 5 at BALL 25, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:09BALL 4th & 7 at OHIO 7, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    15.3%−6.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:09OHIO 4th & 4 at BALL 45, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    82.3%−3.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%−1.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:21BALL 4th & 8 at BALL 21, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:34OHIO 4th & 9 at BALL 45, up 13
    Close callPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    95.7%−0.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:43BALL 4th & 13 at BALL 24, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 2 of 3OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:10OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:01BALL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:47OHIO Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:29BALL Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:33OHIO Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:12OHIO Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−0.4
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:45BALL Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.8%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BALLDrive 1FUMBLE
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
57.7%
Caleb Huntley run for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 36 Caleb Huntley fumbled, forced by Keye Thompson, recovered by Ohio Marlin BrooksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2TD
10 plays · 36 yds · 5:3742% → 45%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
57.7%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron OdomSimilar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
57.7%
Nathan Rourke run for no gain to the BalSt 36Similar
Q1 14:47
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+8
57.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 8 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q1 14:47
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+3
57.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for 3 yds to the BalSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
57.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the BalSt 21Similar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+5
57.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for 5 yds to the BalSt 16Similar
Q1 14:47
3RD & 1
OPP 16
0
57.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the BalSt 16Similar
Q1 14:47
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+12
57.7%
Nathan Rourke run for 12 yds to the BalSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
57.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for 3 yds to the BalSt 1Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
55.1%
Nathan Rourke run for 1 yd for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
55.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 22Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+3
55.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 25Similar
Q1 9:04
3RD & 4
OWN 25
-1
55.7%
Drew Plitt sacked by Austin Conrad for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 24Similar
Q1 9:04
4TH & 5
OWN 24
0
55.4%
Nathan Snyder punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4INT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
54.1%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+11
54.1%
Nathan Rourke run for 11 yds to the BalSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
53.9%
O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the BalSt 44Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
53.9%
O'Shaan Allison run for 5 yds to the BalSt 39Similar
Q1 7:10
3RD & 5
OPP 39
0
54.1%
Nathan Rourke pass intercepted Antonio Phillips return for no gain to the BalSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 5TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 1:2954% → 60%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+24
54.4%
Walter Fletcher run for 24 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
55.2%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+15
55.2%
Walter Fletcher run for 15 yds to the Ohio 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+20
55.7%
Walter Fletcher run for 20 yds to the Ohio 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
55.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the Ohio 1Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
59.6%
Drew Plitt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Rimmler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 3:0143% → 43%
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
57.4%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 8 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+11
56.7%
Nathan Rourke run for 11 yds to the BalSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
56.5%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 7 yds to the BalSt 39Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 3
OPP 39
0
56.3%
De'Montre Tuggle run for no gain to the BalSt 39Similar
Q1 3:01
3RD & 3
OPP 39
0
56.5%
Nathan Rourke run for no gain to the BalSt 39Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 39
0
56.7%
Michael Farkas punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BalSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
58.1%
TEAM run for no gain to the BalSt 13 TEAM fumbled, recovered by BalSt Walter FletcherSimilar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 12
OWN 13
0
58.1%
Walter Fletcher run for no gain to the BalSt 13Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 12
OWN 13
0
57.4%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Antwan Davis, broken up by Jarren HamptonSimilar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 12
OWN 13
0
57.0%
Nathan Snyder punt for 9 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BalSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8FG
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:0645% → 45%
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
54.8%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to De'Montre TuggleSimilar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+8
55.0%
Nathan Rourke run for 8 yds to the BalSt 14Similar
Q2 13:26
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+10
55.4%
Nathan Rourke run for 10 yds to the BalSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
55.1%
De'Montre Tuggle run for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 7Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
55.1%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
55.7%
Nathan Rourke run for 5 yds to the BalSt 2Similar
Q2 10:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
54.8%
Louie Zervos 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
56.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+1
57.3%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the BalSt 35Similar
Q2 10:13
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
55.9%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Antwan Davis, broken up by Xavior MotleySimilar
Q2 10:13
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
55.6%
Nathan Snyder punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10FG
9 plays · 67 yds · 4:0145% → 53%
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+25
54.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 25 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
52.9%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah Cox, broken up by Amechi Uzodinma IISimilar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+4
53.0%
Nathan Rourke run for 4 yds to the BalSt 43Similar
Q2 9:01
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+29
53.2%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 29 yds to the BalSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
52.2%
O'Shaan Allison run for 7 yds to the BalSt 7Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+1
52.2%
O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the BalSt 6Similar
Q2 9:01
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+1
53.0%
O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the BalSt 5Similar
Q2 5:00
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+23
46.6%
Louie Zervos 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
50.1%
Walter Fletcher run for 10 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
50.6%
Walter Fletcher run for 4 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+2
51.5%
Walter Fletcher run for 2 yds to the BalSt 36Similar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
51.0%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q2 4:54
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
49.8%
Nathan Snyder punt for 42 yds , DL Knock returns for no gain to the Ohio 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 32 yds · 1:0353% → 55%
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+28
47.4%
O'Shaan Allison run for 28 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
50
0
44.2%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah CoxSimilar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 10
50
+4
44.4%
Nathan Rourke run for 4 yds to the BalSt 46Similar
Q2 2:10
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
43.5%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Ryan Luehrman, broken up by Tyler PottsSimilar
Q2 2:10
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
44.9%
Michael Farkas punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0047% → 45%
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
46.8%
Walter Fletcher run for no gain to the BalSt 20Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
46.6%
Drew Plitt run for 5 yds to the BalSt 25Similar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
46.4%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Antwan DavisSimilar
Q2 1:58
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
45.4%
Nathan Snyder punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0055% → 54%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
45.4%
ALLISON, O. rush for 8 yards to the OHIO33 (THOMAS, Jaylin), PENALTY OHIO illegal formation 5 yards to the OHIO20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+4
46.2%
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the Ohio 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 5:1356% → 75%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
43.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 24 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
41.5%
O'Shaan Allison run for 3 yds to the BalSt 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+1
41.2%
O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the BalSt 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+17
41.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 17 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
40.9%
O'Shaan Allison run for 9 yds to the BalSt 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+3
40.8%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 3 yds to the BalSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
40.8%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 4 yds to the BalSt 14Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+3
40.8%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 3 yds to the BalSt 11Similar
Q3 9:47
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+11
25.1%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 11 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 16TD
2 plays · 73 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+73
44.4%
Walter Fletcher run for 73 yds for a TD, (Ryan Rimmler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 4:5661% → 82%
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
39.3%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 14 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
37.4%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 2 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+7
37.2%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 7 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+21
37.2%
Nathan Rourke run for 21 yds to the BalSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
36.5%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 3 yds to the BalSt 18Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+3
36.5%
Nathan Rourke run for 3 yds to the BalSt 15Similar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+14
37.3%
Nathan Rourke run for 14 yds to the BalSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
17.7%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 1 yd for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 18MISSED FG
15 plays · 72 yds · 5:1625% → 21%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
24.5%
Walter Fletcher run for 5 yds to the BalSt 26Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+1
25.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 1 yd to the BalSt 27Similar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+7
24.2%
Drew Plitt run for 7 yds to the BalSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
25.3%
Will Jones run for 13 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
26.4%
Will Jones run for 4 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 6
OPP 49
-5
27.2%
Drew Plitt sacked by Marcus Coleman and Keye Thompson for a loss of 5 yards to the BalSt 46Similar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 11
OWN 46
+13
24.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 13 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
27.3%
BALL ST Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 46Similar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 15
OPP 46
+36
26.3%
Malik Dunner run for 36 yds to the Ohio 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-10
25.3%
FLETCHER, W. rush for 10 yards to the OHIO0, clock 00:03, PENALTY BALL holding (GIVAN, Nolan) 10 yards to the OHIO20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 20
0
24.3%
Walter Fletcher run for no gain to the Ohio 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 20
+13
23.7%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 13 yds to the Ohio 7Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
23.7%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Antwan Davis, broken up by Jarren HamptonSimilar
Q4 14:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
21.0%
Ryan Rimmler 24 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Kaieem CaesarSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 35 yds · 0:0084% → 85%
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+29
15.6%
O'Shaan Allison run for 29 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
14.2%
O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the Ohio 48 O'Shaan Allison fumbled, forced by Christian Albright, recovered by Ohio O'Shaan AllisonSimilar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+7
14.4%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to De'Montre Tuggle for 7 yds to the BalSt 45Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 4
OPP 45
0
14.3%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
15.5%
Michael Farkas punt for 40 yds, downed at the BalSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
17.4%
Walter Fletcher run for 4 yds to the BalSt 9Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+1
17.2%
Walter Fletcher run for 1 yd to the BalSt 10Similar
Q4 11:21
3RD & 5
OWN 10
+9
16.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 9 yds to the BalSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
18.0%
Walter Fletcher run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 17Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 12
OWN 17
+4
17.7%
Drew Plitt run for 4 yds to the BalSt 21Similar
Q4 11:21
3RD & 8
OWN 21
0
17.1%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:21
4TH & 8
OWN 21
+2
16.9%
Nathan Snyder punt for 45 yds , DL Knock returns for 2 yds to the Ohio 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21TD
12 plays · 64 yds · 4:3892% → 99%
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
8.2%
Nathan Rourke run for 11 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
7.8%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 7 yds to the BalSt 46Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+9
6.4%
Ja'Vahri Portis run for 9 yds to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
6.4%
Nathan Rourke run for 3 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+11
6.4%
Ja'Vahri Portis run for 11 yds to the BalSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
6.4%
Ja'Vahri Portis run for 8 yds to the BalSt 15Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 2
OPP 15
-5
6.4%
OHIO Penalty, false start (Ja'Vahri Portis) to the BalSt 20Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+4
6.4%
Ja'Vahri Portis run for 4 yds to the BalSt 16Similar
Q4 4:47
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+4
4.7%
Ja'Vahri Portis run for 4 yds to the BalSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
0.8%
Nathan Rourke run for 12 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 22TD
8 plays · 88 yds · 1:211% → 7%
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+33
1.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 18 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, roughing passer (Will Evans) to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
1.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 9 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q4 4:06
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+18
1.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 18 yds to the Ohio 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
1.4%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz Tyler, broken up by Ilyaas MotleySimilar
Q4 4:06
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+6
1.3%
Drew Plitt run for 6 yds to the Ohio 22Similar
Q4 4:06
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+8
1.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 8 yds to the Ohio 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
7.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 14 yds for a TD, (Ryan Rimmler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:1097% → 97%
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
3.0%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 2 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+2
2.8%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 2 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 6
OPP 42
-3
2.8%
Nathan Rourke run for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 45Similar
Q4 2:34
4TH & 9
OPP 45
0
3.0%
Michael Farkas punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BalSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 24DOWNS
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
1.7%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 3 yds to the BalSt 7Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 7
OWN 7
-1
1.7%
Drew Plitt sacked by Dylan Conner and Jack McCrory for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 6Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 8
OWN 6
+21
1.6%
Drew Plitt run for 6 yds to the BalSt 12 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, personal foul (Justin Birchette) to the BalSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
1.8%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+3
1.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 3 yds to the BalSt 30Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 7
OWN 30
-6
1.8%
Drew Plitt sacked by Tariq Drake for a loss of 6 yards to the BalSt 24Similar
Q4 1:43
4TH & 13
OWN 24
+7
1.8%
Drew Plitt run for 7 yds to the BalSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
1.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:33
De'Montre Tuggle run for 1 yd for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)
-19.6
TD · Q3 9:29
Walter Fletcher run for 73 yds for a TD, (Ryan Rimmler KICK)
+16.7
TD · Q3 9:47
De'Montre Tuggle run for 11 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)
-15.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com