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M-OH

Miami (OH) 23 at Kent State 16

KENT
2019 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2019 · Dix Stadium
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Win probability · KENT
modelKENT aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playKENT scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:15 · Derek Adams punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Maurice Thomas at the MiaOh 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 80Home team on offense−3.5Pregame prior+8.1Garbage-time factor−1.9Score differential−1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:00: Matthew Trickett 20 yd FG GOOD — KENT win probability +4.3 pts (now 58%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q3 11:29: Brett Gabbert pass complete to Luke Mayock for 11 yds for a TD, (Sam Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +12.6 pts (now 63%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 6:03: Craig Elmore run for 12 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK) — KENT win probability +29.1 pts (now 52%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. TD · Q4 3:19: Jaylon Bester run for 47 yds for a TD, (Sam Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +20.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:32: Matthew Trickett 42 yd FG GOOD — KENT win probability +10.6 pts (now 16%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENT made the numbers' call on 8 of 10M-OH made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:22KENT 4th & 8 at KENT 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:54M-OH 4th & 6 at KENT 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.5%
    70% to make
    Punt
    41.4%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:18M-OH 4th & 11 at M-OH 27, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:23KENT 4th & 5 at M-OH 5, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.5%
    92% to make
    Punt
    50.1%−4.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:37M-OH 4th & 9 at KENT 9, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    40.1%−4.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:37KENT 4th & 8 at KENT 46, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:55M-OH 4th & 14 at M-OH 37, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%−1.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:15KENT 4th & 1 at KENT 22, down 6
    Close callPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:47M-OH 4th & 4 at midfield, up 6
    Close callPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.1%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:35KENT 4th & 20 at KENT 8, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−4.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.7%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:57M-OH 4th & 10 at KENT 32, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.0%
    51% to make
    Punt
    53.9%−2.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:29KENT 4th & 11 at KENT 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−1.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:53M-OH 4th & 5 at M-OH 35, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.3%−0.8
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:18KENT 4th & 13 at KENT 15, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−2.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:11M-OH 4th & 2 at M-OH 11, up 10
    Close callPunted · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.3%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:33KENT 4th & 9 at M-OH 35, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.1%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    23.1%−1.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:32KENT 4th & 10 at M-OH 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−1.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.2%
    66% to make
    Punt
    5.0%−3.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:22M-OH 4th & 14 at KENT 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENT made the numbers' call on 0 of 1M-OH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q3 11:29M-OH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 6:03KENT Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.5 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.2%−1.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.7%
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 3:19M-OH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−1.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
63.5%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 12 yds to the KntSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
63.5%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Kavious PriceSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-6
63.5%
Will Matthews run for 4 yds to the KntSt 41 KENT ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Adam Dulka) to the KntSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 31
+5
63.5%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 5 yds to the KntSt 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+1
63.5%
Will Matthews run for 1 yd to the KntSt 37Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
63.5%
Derek Adams punt for 62 yds, downed at the MiaOh 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 2FG
8 plays · 91 yds · 3:3137% → 38%
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+53
63.5%
Tyre Shelton run for 53 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
63.2%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Maurice Thomas for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 48Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+6
63.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Tyre Shelton for 6 yds to the KntSt 42Similar
Q1 12:53
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+22
63.2%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 22 yds to the KntSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-3
63.1%
Jaylon Bester run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 23Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 13
OPP 23
+15
63.2%
Jaylon Bester run for 15 yds to the KntSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
63.1%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack Sorenson, broken up by Jamal ParkerSimilar
Q1 9:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+36
62.1%
Sam Sloman 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
62.8%
Will Matthews run for 2 yds to the KntSt 37Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
62.9%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Kavious PriceSimilar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
62.7%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Kavious PriceSimilar
Q1 9:22
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
62.5%
Derek Adams punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 4FG
6 plays · 49 yds · 2:5138% → 39%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+33
62.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Dominique Robinson for 33 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
62.0%
Tyre Shelton run for 12 yds to the KntSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
61.8%
Jaylon Bester run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 29Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 12
OPP 29
-1
61.8%
Jaylon Bester run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 30Similar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 13
OPP 30
+7
62.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Tyre Shelton for 7 yds to the KntSt 23Similar
Q1 5:54
4TH & 6
OPP 23
+41
60.9%
Sam Sloman 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5INT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0061% → 60%
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
60.8%
Dustin Crum run for 13 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-4
61.1%
Xavier Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 34Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 14
OWN 34
-2
60.7%
Xavier Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 32Similar
Q1 5:54
3RD & 16
OWN 32
0
60.4%
Dustin Crum pass intercepted Travion Banks return for no gain to the MiaOh 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 1:0340% → 40%
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
59.8%
Jaylon Bester run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+4
59.4%
Jaylon Bester run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
59.5%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Luke MayockSimilar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
59.7%
Tyre Shelton run for no gain to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 10
OWN 28
-5
60.0%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 15
OWN 23
+4
60.1%
Tyre Shelton run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q1 3:18
4TH & 11
OWN 27
+35
60.4%
Kyle Kramer punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 40 , Raymond James returns for 35 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7FG
9 plays · 35 yds · 1:5761% → 62%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
61.1%
Dustin Crum run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+9
61.9%
Dustin Crum run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
61.9%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Mike Carrigan, broken up by Emmanuel RugambaSimilar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+7
61.8%
Xavier Williams run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 15Similar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+5
61.0%
Xavier Williams run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
61.9%
Xavier Williams run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 8Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
61.8%
Will Matthews run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
60.8%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoy, broken up by Emmanuel RugambaSimilar
Q2 14:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
61.8%
Matthew Trickett 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 8FG
11 plays · 66 yds · 2:4640% → 45%
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.2%
Jaylon Bester run for no gain to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
60.2%
GABBERT, Brett pass incomplete to ROBINSON, D. (PARKER, Jamal), PENALTY KENTST pass interference (PARKER, Jamal) 15 yards to the MIAMI40, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
59.1%
Tyre Shelton run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+26
59.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Dominique Robinson for 26 yds to the KntSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
58.4%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Dominique RobinsonSimilar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+23
58.4%
Brett Gabbert run for 23 yds to the KntSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
58.3%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Dominique RobinsonSimilar
Q2 14:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
58.3%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Dominique Robinson, broken up by Jamal ParkerSimilar
Q2 14:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
59.0%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Dominique Robinson, broken up by Jamal ParkerSimilar
Q2 11:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+28
55.4%
Sam Sloman 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
57.2%
Will Matthews run for 2 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-2
57.4%
Will Matthews run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 25Similar
Q2 11:37
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+19
56.4%
Dustin Crum run for 19 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
58.5%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 39Similar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 15
OWN 39
0
57.5%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 15
OWN 39
+6
57.4%
Will Matthews run for 6 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
Q2 11:37
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+1
57.2%
Woody Barrett run for 1 yd to the KntSt 46Similar
Q2 11:37
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
57.0%
Derek Adams punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
55.2%
Tyre Shelton run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+7
54.8%
Maurice Thomas run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+23
54.5%
Maurice Thomas run for 23 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
52.6%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
53.0%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:55
3RD & 10
OWN 41
-4
53.6%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Mandela Lawrence-Burke for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q2 8:55
4TH & 14
OWN 37
0
55.3%
Kyle Kramer punt for 50 yds, downed at the KntSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0054% → 52%
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
53.5%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Will Matthews for 4 yds to the KntSt 17Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 6
OWN 17
-5
53.6%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (Nate Warnock) to the KntSt 12Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 11
OWN 12
+10
53.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 10 yds to the KntSt 22Similar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 1
OWN 22
0
53.3%
Will Matthews run for no gain to the KntSt 22Similar
Q2 6:15
4TH & 1
OWN 22
0
52.3%
Derek Adams punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Maurice Thomas at the MiaOh 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-10
50.2%
MIAMI OH Penalty, Offensive holding (Lonnie Phelps) to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
51.0%
Jaylon Bester run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 4
OWN 29
0
50.0%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Maurice ThomasSimilar
Q2 4:47
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+15
50.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 15 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
48.9%
Maurice Thomas run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
49.0%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Dominique Robinson, broken up by Jamal ParkerSimilar
Q2 4:47
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+3
49.2%
Brett Gabbert run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:47
4TH & 4
50
0
50.0%
Kyle Kramer punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Raymond James at the KntSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 0:2752% → 49%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
51.5%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 10
OWN 18
-4
51.4%
Jo-El Shaw run for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 14Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 14
OWN 14
-6
50.2%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Jo-El Shaw for a loss of 6 yards to the KntSt 8Similar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 20
OWN 8
0
49.4%
Derek Adams punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 14MISSED FG
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:3057% → 55%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
43.1%
GABBERT, Brett pass incomplete to WALKER, Jalen, PENALTY KENTST roughing passer (HILL, Dominic) 15 yards to the KENTST32, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
42.4%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
42.4%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 10
OPP 32
0
43.4%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jalen WalkerSimilar
Q2 0:57
4TH & 10
OPP 32
+50
44.7%
Sam Sloman 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15FG
10 plays · 64 yds · 0:5751% → 58%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+20
51.2%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 20 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
56.1%
Dustin Crum run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 1
OPP 24
-3
56.1%
Jo-El Shaw run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+8
52.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 8 yds to the MiaOh 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
54.9%
CRUM, Dustin pass incomplete to PRICE, Kavious, PENALTY MIAMI holding (RAYMOND, Z.) 10 yards to the MIAMI9, 1ST DOWN KENTST, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
54.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 5 yds to the MiaOh 4Similar
Q2 0:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
54.1%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+20
58.4%
Matthew Trickett 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 3:2647% → 63%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
52.7%
Tyre Shelton run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+44
51.7%
Tyre Shelton run for 44 yds to the KntSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
49.3%
Jaylon Bester run for no gain to the KntSt 21Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-5
49.6%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (Matt Skibinski) to the KntSt 26Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 15
OPP 26
+18
50.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cam Blakely for 18 yds to the KntSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
49.3%
Jaylon Bester run for 4 yds to the KntSt 4Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-7
49.3%
Jaylon Bester run for 3 yds to the KntSt 1 MIAMI OH Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the KntSt 11Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
49.6%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Dominique RobinsonSimilar
Q3 11:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
36.9%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Luke Mayock for 11 yds for a TD, (Sam Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0037% → 35%
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
37.3%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 4 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q3 11:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
37.8%
Xavier Williams run for 1 yd to the KntSt 30Similar
Q3 11:29
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-6
36.8%
Dustin Crum sacked by Kameron Butler and Doug Costin for a loss of 6 yards to the KntSt 24Similar
Q3 11:29
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
35.2%
Derek Adams punt for 46 yds, downed at the MiaOh 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0063% → 62%
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
36.7%
Tyre Shelton run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
35.4%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 1
OWN 39
-4
36.0%
Jaylon Bester run for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q3 9:53
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+10
38.0%
Kyle Kramer punt for 57 yds , Raymond James returns for 10 yds to the KntSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0035% → 33%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
34.6%
Dustin Crum sacked by Ben Kimpler for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 17Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 11
OWN 17
-2
34.4%
Will Matthews run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 15Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 13
OWN 15
0
33.2%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Kavious PriceSimilar
Q3 8:18
4TH & 13
OWN 15
0
32.5%
Derek Adams punt for 38 yds , Maurice Thomas returns for no gain to the MiaOh 46 Maurice Thomas fumbled, recovered by KntSt Kavious PriceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20FUMBLE
17 plays · 43 yds · 0:0037% → 39%
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
37.2%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete, broken up by Sterling WeatherfordSimilar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-10
36.9%
MATTHEWS, Will rush for loss of 2 yards to the MIAMI48 (BARATTI, Bart), PENALTY KENTST holding (GIBBS, Bryce) 10 yards to the KENTST44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 20
OWN 44
+15
34.6%
CRUM, Dustin pass incomplete to MCKOY, Isaiah, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (RAYMOND, Z.) 15 yards to the MIAMI41, 1ST DOWN KENTST, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
37.2%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+5
37.0%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 5 yds to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+7
36.8%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 7 yds to the MiaOh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
38.7%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 8 yds to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 2
OPP 21
0
38.7%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Antwan DixonSimilar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+3
37.0%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 3 yds to the MiaOh 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
38.7%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 4 yds to the MiaOh 14Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+11
38.7%
Dustin Crum run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
38.8%
Jo-El Shaw run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 6Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-7
38.7%
Dustin Crum run for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaOh 13Similar
Q3 7:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+5
35.9%
CRUM, Dustin pass incomplete to MCKOY, Isaiah, PENALTY MIAMI offside defense (BUTLER, Kameron) 5 yards to the MIAMI8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
36.9%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 13Similar
Q3 7:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+11
35.9%
CRUM, Dustin pass incomplete to MCKOY, Isaiah, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (RAYMOND, Z.) 11 yards to the MIAMI2, 1ST DOWN KENTST, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
38.8%
Jo-El Shaw run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 3 Jo-El Shaw fumbled, forced by Sterling Weatherford, recovered by MiaOh Sterling WeatherfordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0070% → 68%
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
29.9%
Brett Gabbert run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+2
30.2%
Tyre Shelton run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 7Similar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 6
OWN 7
+4
31.2%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 4 yds to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q3 3:11
4TH & 2
OWN 11
+59
31.8%
Kyle Kramer punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KENTST 40 KENT ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the KntSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 22MISSED FG
9 plays · 35 yds · 2:3827% → 24%
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
27.2%
Dustin Crum run for 5 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+6
27.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 6 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
28.7%
Will Matthews run for 7 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 48
0
28.9%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoySimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+16
28.1%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 16 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
29.7%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+1
29.6%
Will Matthews run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 35
0
29.0%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q4 13:33
4TH & 9
OPP 35
+52
24.2%
Matthew Trickett 52 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by null Mike Brown return for 15 yds to the MiaOh 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 23FUMBLE
13 plays · 65 yds · 4:3176% → 88%
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
24.3%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (Tommy Doyle) to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+3
26.4%
Tyre Shelton run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+21
22.9%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Dominique Robinson for 21 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
20.9%
Jalen Walker run for 13 yds to the KntSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
20.5%
Brett Gabbert run for 4 yds to the KntSt 26Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+7
15.6%
Tyre Shelton run for 7 yds to the KntSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
15.6%
Jaylon Bester run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 21Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+1
16.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Maurice Thomas for 1 yd to the KntSt 20Similar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 11
OPP 20
0
16.4%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jalen WalkerSimilar
Q4 9:02
4TH & 11
OPP 20
+10
14.1%
SLOMAN, Sam field goal attempt from 38 GOOD, clock 09:02, PENALTY KENTST roughing holder (MAJETTE, Theo) 10 yards to the KENTST10, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
11.8%
Jaylon Bester run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 12 Jaylon Bester fumbled, forced by Qwuantrezz Knight, recovered by KntSt Dominic HillSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 24TD
11 plays · 88 yds · 2:5417% → 52%
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+18
17.2%
Dustin Crum run for 8 yds to the KntSt 20 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the KntSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
18.1%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Kavious PriceSimilar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
17.1%
Dustin Crum run for 2 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q4 8:57
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+17
17.1%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 17 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
19.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Will Matthews for 6 yds to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+9
21.2%
Will Matthews run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
20.7%
Will Matthews run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+4
23.4%
Will Matthews run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
23.4%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Will MatthewsSimilar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+13
22.8%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 13 yds to the MiaOh 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
51.9%
Craig Elmore run for 12 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 25TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:4469% → 94%
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
30.7%
Tyre Shelton run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
29.9%
Tyre Shelton run for no gain to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q4 6:03
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+16
30.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Quentin Hardy for 16 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
26.5%
Jalen Walker run for no gain to the KntSt 47Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+47
6.3%
Jaylon Bester run for 47 yds for a TD, (Sam Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 26FG
11 plays · 47 yds · 1:419% → 16%
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
9.0%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoySimilar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+8
8.7%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 8 yds to the KntSt 36Similar
Q4 3:13
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+3
9.1%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 3 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+36
9.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 36 yds to the MiaOh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-10
13.3%
MATTHEWS, Will rush for 18 yards to the MIAMI7 (WEATHERFORD, S.), PENALTY KENTST holding (GREGOIRE, Adam) 10 yards to the MIAMI35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 20
OPP 35
0
11.8%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 20
OPP 35
0
11.7%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q4 3:13
3RD & 20
OPP 35
+10
9.8%
Will Matthews run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q4 1:32
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+42
15.8%
Matthew Trickett 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 0:1095% → 94%
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
4.9%
Jaylon Bester run for 2 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 8
OPP 41
-4
4.9%
Jaylon Bester run for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 45Similar
Q4 1:22
3RD & 12
OPP 45
-2
4.7%
Jaylon Bester run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 47Similar
Q4 1:22
4TH & 14
OPP 47
0
5.9%
Kyle Kramer punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
8.3%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 15 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST down to Kavious Price for no gain to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-7
8.8%
Dustin Crum sacked by Lonnie Phelps for a loss of 7 yards to the KntSt 28Similar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 17
OWN 28
-5
8.1%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (Kavious Price) to the KntSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:03
Craig Elmore run for 12 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)
+29.1
TD · Q4 3:19
Jaylon Bester run for 47 yds for a TD, (Sam Sloman KICK)
-20.2
TD · Q3 11:29
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Luke Mayock for 11 yds for a TD, (Sam Sloman KICK)
-12.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com