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EMU

Eastern Michigan 34 at Toledo 37

TOL
2019 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2019 · Glass Bowl
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Win probability · TOL
modelTOL aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playTOL scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:18 · Jake Julien punt for 43 yds , Devin Maddox returns for 6 yds to the Toled 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 80Home team on offense+9.9Score differential+4.2Pregame prior+4.9Garbage-time factor+1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.8Time remaining+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:54: Bryant Koback run for 5 yds for a TD, (Evan Davis KICK) — TOL win probability +3.1 pts (now 63%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 9:50: Evan Davis 26 yd FG GOOD — TOL win probability +2.5 pts (now 73%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:21: Bryant Koback run for 54 yds for a TD, (Evan Davis KICK) — TOL win probability +4.8 pts (now 85%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:05: Mike Glass III run for 4 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — TOL win probability +2.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:18: Shaq Vann run for 3 yds for a TD, (S. Vann Run For Two-point Conversion) — TOL win probability +2.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TOL made the numbers' call on 3 of 7EMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00EMU 4th & 13 at EMU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:49EMU 4th & 5 at TOL 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    38.8%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:53EMU 4th & 12 at EMU 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−0.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00TOL 4th & 2 at EMU 19, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    70.2%−0.7
    77% to make
    Punt
    65.7%−5.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:50TOL 4th & 2 at EMU 9, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.2%−1.3
    89% to make
    Punt
    66.4%−8.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:28TOL 4th & 8 at TOL 27, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.5%−1.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:23EMU 4th & 8 at TOL 11, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    19.7%−4.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:27TOL 4th & 1 at TOL 34, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%−1.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:18EMU 4th & 15 at EMU 42, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:31TOL 4th & 11 at TOL 20, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−2.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:38EMU 4th & 2 at TOL 43, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    20.5%−1.9
    28% to make
    Punt
    21.2%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00TOL 4th & 7 at EMU 26, up 13
    Close callWent for it · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.8%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    91.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    85.9%−5.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:16EMU 4th & 2 at TOL 10, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.1%
    55% to convert
    Field goal
    11.6%−0.5
    88% to make
    Punt
    5.2%−6.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:29TOL 4th & 4 at TOL 39, up 13
    Close callPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.8%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:03EMU 4th & 2 at TOL 16, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.2
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−2.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TOL made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:54TOL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
59.3%
Mike Glass III run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-2
59.3%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
59.3%
Mike Glass III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
59.3%
Jake Julien punt for 45 yds, downed at the Toled 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 2TD
16 plays · 67 yds · 6:4159% → 63%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
59.4%
Bryant Koback run for 6 yds to the Toled 39Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+1
59.5%
Bryant Koback run for 1 yd to the Toled 40Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+3
59.4%
Eli Peters pass complete to Bryce Mitchell for 3 yds to the Toled 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
59.5%
Bryant Koback run for 6 yds to the Toled 49Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+7
59.5%
Bryant Koback run for 7 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
59.5%
Shakif Seymour run for 2 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
59.5%
Shakif Seymour run for no gain to the EMich 42Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+16
59.5%
Shakif Seymour run for 16 yds to the EMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
59.6%
Shakif Seymour run for 4 yds to the EMich 22Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 6
OPP 22
0
59.6%
Eli Peters pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+6
59.5%
Eli Peters pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 6 yds to the EMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
59.6%
Shakif Seymour run for 4 yds to the EMich 12Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+2
59.6%
Bryant Koback run for 2 yds to the EMich 10Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+5
59.9%
Bryant Koback run for 5 yds to the EMich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
63.0%
Bryant Koback run for 5 yds for a TD, (Evan Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
61.7%
Shaq Vann run for no gain to the EMich 39Similar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
61.8%
Hassan Beydoun run for 5 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+9
61.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 9 yds to the Toled 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
61.3%
Shaq Vann run for 5 yds to the Toled 42Similar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 5
OPP 42
0
61.2%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Quian Williams, broken up by Samuel WomackSimilar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 5
OPP 42
0
61.4%
Mike Glass III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:49
4TH & 5
OPP 42
0
61.7%
Jake Julien punt for 33 yds, downed at the Toled 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 4FUMBLE
4 plays · 91 yds · 0:0063% → 64%
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
62.7%
Eli Peters pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 3 yds to the Toled 12Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 7
OWN 12
0
62.8%
Eli Peters pass incomplete to Desmond PhillipsSimilar
Q1 4:21
3RD & 7
OWN 12
+82
62.5%
Eli Peters pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 82 yds to the EMich 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
64.2%
Bryant Koback run for 5 yds Bryant Koback fumbled, forced by Tariq Speights, recovered by EMichSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
63.3%
Mike Glass III run for 2 yds to the EMich 22Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-11
63.4%
Jairus Grissom run for 1 yd to the EMich 23 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-12 Yards) to the EMich 11Similar
Q1 2:53
3RD & 19
OWN 11
+7
63.9%
Shaq Vann run for 7 yds to the EMich 18Similar
Q1 2:53
4TH & 12
OWN 18
+39
64.2%
Jake Julien punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TOLEDO 38 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Toled 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 6FG
13 plays · 48 yds · 6:0965% → 73%
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
64.9%
Shakif Seymour run for 4 yds to the Toled 47Similar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+15
65.0%
PETERS,Eli pass incomplete to MITCHELL,Bryce, PENALTY EMU pass interference (McGILL, Kevin) 15 yards to the EMU38, 1ST DOWN TOLEDO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
65.3%
PETERS,Eli pass incomplete, PENALTY TOLEDO IE (DOERGER,Luke) 5 yards to the EMU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:59
1ST & 15
OPP 43
+7
64.7%
Shakif Seymour run for 7 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+9
71.4%
Shakif Seymour run for 9 yds to the EMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
71.3%
Shakif Seymour run for 4 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+1
71.3%
Ronnie Jones run for 1 yd to the EMich 22Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+3
70.9%
Shakif Seymour run for 3 yds to the EMich 19Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+2
70.4%
Shakif Seymour run for 2 yds to the EMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
71.3%
Eli Peters run for 1 yd to the EMich 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+6
71.3%
Bryant Koback run for 6 yds to the EMich 10Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+1
70.9%
Bryant Koback run for 1 yd to the EMich 9Similar
Q2 9:50
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+26
73.4%
Evan Davis 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 79 yds · 2:1828% → 30%
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+41
71.6%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 41 yds to the Toled 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
69.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 9 yds to the Toled 29Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+3
68.9%
Mike Glass III run for 3 yds to the Toled 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
68.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 2 yds to the Toled 24Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+24
70.4%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 24 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
74.0%
Bryant Koback run for 4 yds to the Toled 29Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-2
74.0%
Bryant Koback run for a loss of 2 yards to the Toled 27Similar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
73.2%
Eli Peters pass incomplete to Bryce MitchellSimilar
Q2 7:28
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
72.7%
Thomas Cluckey punt for 47 yds, downed at the EMich 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9FG
7 plays · 63 yds · 2:3926% → 26%
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+39
73.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 39 yds to the Toled 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-4
71.3%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the Toled 39Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 14
OPP 39
+26
72.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 26 yds to the Toled 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
71.0%
Shaq Vann run for no gain to the Toled 13Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
71.0%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Line LatuSimilar
Q2 6:02
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+2
72.2%
Mike Glass III run for 2 yds to the Toled 11Similar
Q2 3:23
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+29
74.2%
Chad Ryland 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:5676% → 78%
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
76.4%
Shakif Seymour run for 4 yds to the Toled 29Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
76.5%
Eli Peters pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:23
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
75.8%
Eli Peters run for 5 yds to the Toled 34Similar
Q2 2:27
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+36
78.1%
Thomas Cluckey punt for 36 yds, downed at the TOLEDO 30 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the EMich 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
78.0%
Shaq Vann run for 17 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
77.3%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Arthur Jackson IIISimilar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
77.7%
Mike Glass III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 10
OWN 47
-5
78.0%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, delay of game (Mike Glass III) to the EMich 42Similar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 15
OWN 42
0
78.9%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q2 2:18
4TH & 15
OWN 42
+6
79.2%
Jake Julien punt for 43 yds , Devin Maddox returns for 6 yds to the Toled 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · -1 yds · 0:5480% → 80%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
80.1%
Bryant Koback run for 3 yds to the Toled 24Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 7
OWN 24
-10
80.0%
KOBACK,Bryant rush for 10 yards to the TOLEDO34, out-of-bounds (BELTRAM, Kobie), PENALTY TOLEDO holding (HEIDECKER,B.) 10 yards to the TOLEDO14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 17
OWN 14
+1
77.6%
Eli Peters pass complete to Reggie Gilliam for 1 yd to the Toled 15Similar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 16
OWN 15
+5
79.2%
Bryant Koback run for 5 yds to the Toled 20Similar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 11
OWN 20
0
80.0%
Thomas Cluckey punt for 51 yds, downed at the EMich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 9 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
78.5%
Willie Parker run for 9 yds to the EMich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 14TD
4 plays · 44 yds · 1:1681% → 82%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
81.3%
Bryant Koback run for 15 yds to the EMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+22
81.3%
Bryant Koback run for 22 yds to the EMich 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
82.4%
Shakif Seymour run for 7 yds for a TD, (TEAM PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15DOWNS
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0021% → 22%
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
78.7%
Mike Glass III run for 14 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
77.6%
Shaq Vann run for 7 yds to the Toled 44Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 3
OPP 44
0
77.1%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Mathew Sexton, broken up by Samuel WomackSimilar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+1
77.5%
Mike Glass III run for 1 yd to the Toled 43Similar
Q3 13:38
4TH & 2
OPP 43
0
78.0%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Dylan Drummond, broken up by Tycen AndersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 16TD
5 plays · 57 yds · 2:0183% → 85%
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
83.4%
Bryant Koback run for 15 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
83.5%
Bryant Koback run for 12 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
83.5%
Bryant Koback run for 5 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+6
83.5%
Shakif Seymour run for 6 yds to the EMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
84.8%
Bryce Mitchell 19 Yd pass from Eli Peters (Eli Peters Pass to Drew Rosi for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17FUMBLE
4 plays · 29 yds · 0:0017% → 20%
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
82.8%
GLASS, Mike pass incomplete to BEYDOUN, Hassan, PENALTY TOLEDO roughing passer (JOHNSON,Desjuan) 15 yards to the EMU40, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
81.4%
Shaq Vann run for 8 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+10
80.4%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 10 yds Line Latu fumbled, forced by Jordan Hendy, recovered by Toled Jamal HinesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 18TD
1 play · 54 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
85.2%
Bryant Koback run for 54 yds for a TD, (Evan Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:1617% → 18%
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
83.1%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 21 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
81.4%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the EMich 47Similar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+21
81.6%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 21 yds to the Toled 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
79.9%
Mike Glass III run for 3 yds to the Toled 29Similar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 7
OPP 29
0
79.6%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q3 9:21
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+10
81.1%
GLASS, Mike pass incomplete to LATU, Line (HENDY,Jordan), PENALTY TOLEDO holding (HENDY,Jordan) 10 yards to the TOLEDO19, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
79.6%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Shaq VannSimilar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+7
79.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 7 yds to the Toled 12Similar
Q3 9:21
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+5
80.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 5 yds to the Toled 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
79.6%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the Toled 4Similar
Q3 9:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
79.6%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Mathew Sexton, broken up by Jordan FisherSimilar
Q3 5:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
82.5%
Mike Glass III run for 4 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 20DOWNS
15 plays · 47 yds · 5:0288% → 91%
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
87.5%
Shakif Seymour run for 4 yds to the Toled 31Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
87.5%
Shakif Seymour run for no gain to the Toled 31Similar
Q3 5:02
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+6
86.9%
Eli Peters pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 6 yds to the Toled 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
87.8%
Shakif Seymour run for 5 yds to the Toled 42Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+2
88.2%
Shakif Seymour run for 2 yds to the Toled 44Similar
Q3 5:02
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+9
87.6%
Bryant Koback run for 9 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
88.4%
Bryant Koback run for 1 yd to the EMich 46Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 9
OPP 46
-15
88.3%
KOBACK,Bryant rush for 3 yards to the EMU43 (HOYING, Brody;SPEIGHTS, Tariq), PENALTY TOLEDO illegal block (ROSI,Drew) 15 yards to the TOLEDO39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 24
OWN 39
0
87.9%
Eli Peters pass incomplete to Danzel McKinley-LewisSimilar
Q3 5:02
3RD & 24
OWN 39
+32
87.3%
Bryant Koback run for 32 yds to the EMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
92.4%
Eli Peters pass incomplete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis, broken up by Jerodd VinesSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
92.3%
Shakif Seymour run for no gain to the EMich 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+3
92.1%
Eli Peters pass complete to Shakif Seymour for 3 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 26
0
91.3%
Eli Peters pass incomplete to Shakif SeymourSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 4:5811% → 10%
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
89.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 4 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+6
88.2%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 6 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
88.0%
Shaq Vann run for no gain to the EMich 36Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
88.3%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 4 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q4 13:16
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+9
88.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 9 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
87.4%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 11 yds to the Toled 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+22
87.2%
Shaq Vann run for 22 yds to the Toled 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
85.9%
Mike Glass III run for 9 yds to the Toled 9Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 1
OPP 9
-1
85.9%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 10Similar
Q4 13:16
3RD & 2
OPP 10
0
87.0%
Mike Glass III run for no gain to the Toled 10Similar
Q4 13:16
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+7
87.5%
Shaq Vann run for 7 yds to the Toled 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
89.9%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds for a TD, (S. Vann Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 3:4695% → 97%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
94.6%
Bryant Koback run for no gain to the Toled 21Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+8
94.5%
Bryant Koback run for 8 yds to the Toled 29Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+4
94.7%
Bryant Koback run for 4 yds to the Toled 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
94.7%
Bryant Koback run for 3 yds to the Toled 36Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+3
94.8%
Shakif Seymour run for 3 yds to the Toled 39Similar
Q4 4:29
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
97.0%
Eli Peters pass incomplete to Devin Maddox, broken up by Kobie BeltramSimilar
Q4 4:29
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
96.7%
Thomas Cluckey punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 23TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 1:447% → 6%
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
93.3%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Mathew SextonSimilar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+17
93.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 17 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
92.7%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
92.5%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Arthur Jackson IIISimilar
Q4 4:19
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+24
92.6%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 24 yds to the Toled 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
91.7%
Mike Glass III run for 2 yds to the Toled 26Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 8
OPP 26
0
91.7%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Quian WilliamsSimilar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+26
94.1%
Shaq Vann run for 26 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 24FUMBLE
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
97.4%
Bryant Koback run for 6 yds to the Toled 16Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+10
97.4%
Shakif Seymour run for 10 yds to the Toled 24 Shakif Seymour fumbled, forced by Noski LaFleur, recovered by EMich Woo ScottSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 25MISSED FG
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:566% → 4%
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
93.6%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the Toled 23Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+3
93.7%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the Toled 20Similar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+4
93.5%
Mike Glass III run for 4 yds to the Toled 16Similar
Q4 1:03
4TH & 2
OPP 16
+33
96.5%
Chad Ryland 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 26END OF GAME
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.1%
Bryant Koback run for 4 yds to the Toled 24Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+4
99.2%
Bryant Koback run for 4 yds to the Toled 28 Bryant Koback fumbled, forced by Vince Calhoun, recovered by ToledSimilar
Q4 1:03
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+6
99.2%
Ronnie Jones run for 6 yds to the Toled 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 27FG
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:003% → 2%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
97.0%
GLASS, Mike pass incomplete to OAKES, Gunnar (ANDERSON,Tycen), PENALTY TOLEDO personal foul (ANDERSON,Tycen) 12 yards to the TOLEDO13, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
97.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 5 yds to the Toled 8Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+1
97.0%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the Toled 7Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 7
0
97.5%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Mathew SextonSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+24
97.9%
Chad Ryland 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 28TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:0097% → 95%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
97.0%
Bryant Koback run for 10 yds to the EMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
95.8%
Eli Peters pass incomplete to Bryce MitchellSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
96.0%
Bryant Koback run for no gain to the EMich 15Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+15
95.4%
Eli Peters pass complete to Drew Rosi for 15 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:21
Bryant Koback run for 54 yds for a TD, (Evan Davis KICK)
+4.8
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+4.6
TD · Q1 6:54
Bryant Koback run for 5 yds for a TD, (Evan Davis KICK)
+3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com