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BGSU

Bowling Green 10 at Western Michigan 49

WMU
2019 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2019 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:12 · Matt Naranjo punt for 40 yds, downed at the WMich 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 159Pregame prior+7.5Home team on offense+36.1Score differential+30.6Blowout margin+16.7Garbage-time factor+10.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.7
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 5:09: Nate Needham 31 yd FG GOOD — BGSU win probability +1.7 pts (now 6%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:39: LeVante Bellamy run for 36 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK) — WMU win probability +2.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:41: LeVante Bellamy run for 75 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK) — WMU win probability +3.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:58: Bryson Denley run for 9 yds for a TD, (Nate Needham KICK) — BGSU win probability +3.2 pts (now 5%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:34: Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 44 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK) — WMU win probability +2.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5BGSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00BGSU 4th & 14 at BGSU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:25WMU 4th & 5 at WMU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:09BGSU 4th & 11 at WMU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    7.0%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:09WMU 4th & 2 at BGSU 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    92.4%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    91.9%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:21BGSU 4th & 7 at BGSU 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:56WMU 4th & 12 at BGSU 46, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    90.5%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:39WMU 4th & 2 at BGSU 36, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    87.5%−0.5
    42% to make
    Punt
    87.3%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:53BGSU 4th & 9 at BGSU 19, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:34BGSU 4th & 9 at WMU 48, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00BGSU 4th & 1 at BGSU 34, down 39
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:48WMU 4th & 9 at BGSU 9, up 39
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%
    89% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:12BGSU 4th & 7 at BGSU 11, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7BGSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 14:21WMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:39WMU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:23WMU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:41WMU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:58BGSU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:34WMU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:42WMU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:28WMU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+17
96.0%
Grant Loy pass complete to RB Marlow III for 17 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
96.0%
Grant Loy run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
96.0%
Grant Loy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 42
-10
96.0%
Grant Loy sacked by Treshaun Hayward for a loss of 10 yards to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 32
0
96.0%
Matt Naranjo punt for 53 yds, downed at the WMich 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
95.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 9 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+5
95.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the WMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
95.8%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the WMich 34Similar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 5
OWN 34
0
95.8%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Skyy MooreSimilar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 5
OWN 34
0
95.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the WMich 34Similar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
95.8%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:25
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
95.7%
Nick Mihalic punt for 48 yds , Jake Rogers returns for no gain to the BwGrn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3FG
15 plays · 68 yds · 6:125% → 6%
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
95.3%
Bryson Denley run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
95.3%
Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 5 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+1
95.3%
Grant Loy run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+8
95.3%
Grant Loy pass complete to RB Marlow III for 8 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
95.3%
Grant Loy pass complete to Bryson Denley for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 4
50
+11
95.3%
Grant Loy run for 11 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
95.3%
Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 7 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+2
95.3%
Trevon Raymore run for 2 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+3
95.3%
Trevon Raymore run for 3 yds to the WMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
95.3%
Grant Loy pass complete to RB Marlow III for 8 yds to the WMich 19Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+6
95.3%
Grant Loy pass complete to RB Marlow III for 6 yds to the WMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
95.3%
Grant Loy run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 14Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 11
OPP 14
0
95.3%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden Jr.Similar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 11
OPP 14
0
95.3%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Quintin MorrisSimilar
Q1 5:09
4TH & 11
OPP 14
+31
93.6%
Nate Needham 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4TD
13 plays · 58 yds · 5:4894% → 93%
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
93.7%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 9 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+5
93.8%
Davon Tucker run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
93.8%
Davon Tucker run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 4
OPP 38
0
93.8%
Davon Tucker run for no gain to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+11
93.8%
Davon Tucker run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
93.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 4
OPP 21
0
93.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+2
93.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 19Similar
Q1 5:09
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+3
93.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
93.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 4 yds to the BwGrn 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+3
92.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 3 yds to the BwGrn 9Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+9
93.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 9 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.6%
Grant Loy run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
92.5%
Bryson Denley run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
92.8%
Grant Loy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:21
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
92.9%
Matt Naranjo punt for 51 yds, downed at the WMich 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6PUNT
14 plays · 33 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
92.2%
Sean Tyler run for no gain to the WMich 21Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+9
92.2%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 9 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+3
92.2%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the WMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
92.3%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the WMich 35Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
92.3%
Sean Tyler run for no gain to the WMich 35Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 8
OWN 35
-5
92.1%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 30Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 13
OWN 30
+14
91.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 14 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
92.6%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Corey Crooms for 8 yds to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 2
OPP 48
0
92.7%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Keith Mixon Jr.Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+4
92.6%
Davon Tucker run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
92.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 12
OPP 46
0
92.5%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Giovanni RicciSimilar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 12
OPP 46
0
92.3%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Keith Mixon Jr.Similar
Q2 12:56
4TH & 12
OPP 46
0
92.0%
Nick Mihalic punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7INT
6 plays · 32 yds · 1:4510% → 11%
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
90.3%
Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for no gain to the BwGrn 20 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Treshaun Hayward) to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
90.1%
RB Marlow III run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+9
89.6%
Grant Loy pass complete to Bryson Denley for 9 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
89.4%
Bryson Denley run for 3 yds to the WMich 48Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+44
89.4%
Grant Loy pass intercepted Patrick Lupro return for 29 yds to the WMich 19 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (Ali Fayad) to the WMich 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 2:1991% → 94%
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
90.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+10
90.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 10 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
91.1%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Skyy MooreSimilar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+2
91.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+6
90.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q2 2:39
4TH & 2
OPP 36
+36
93.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 36 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:466% → 6%
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
93.7%
Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 2 yds to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 8
OWN 20
0
93.7%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Bryson DenleySimilar
Q2 2:39
3RD & 8
OWN 20
-1
93.9%
Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 19Similar
Q2 1:53
4TH & 9
OWN 19
0
93.9%
Matt Naranjo punt for 46 yds, downed at the WMich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 1:1894% → 96%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
93.5%
Jon Wassink run for no gain to the WMich 35Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-5
93.4%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 30Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+5
93.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 5 yds to the WMich 35Similar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+20
93.2%
Jon Wassink run for 20 yds to the BwGrn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+18
93.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 18 yds to the BwGrn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
93.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Corey Crooms for 9 yds to the BwGrn 18Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+15
93.9%
Davon Tucker run for 15 yds to the BwGrn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.2%
Davon Tucker run for 3 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11END OF HALF
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:163% → 3%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
97.2%
Bryson Denley run for 16 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+18
97.0%
Grant Loy pass complete to RB Marlow III for 18 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
96.6%
Grant Loy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-15
96.7%
Grant Loy sacked by Ali Fayad and Andre Carter for a loss of 15 yards to the BwGrn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:1996% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.6%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Skyy MooreSimilar
Q3 14:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+75
98.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 75 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:432% → 5%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
98.2%
Grant Loy run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q3 14:41
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
98.1%
Bryson Denley run for no gain to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q3 14:41
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+58
98.1%
Grant Loy run for 58 yds to the WMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
97.8%
Bryson Denley run for 4 yds to the WMich 9Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+9
94.7%
Bryson Denley run for 9 yds for a TD, (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 1:2497% → 99%
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
96.9%
WASSINK, J. pass incomplete to MIXON JR., K., PENALTY BGSU holding (ANDERSON, J.) 10 yards to the BGSU49, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
96.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+4
96.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Cam Cooper for 4 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+44
99.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 44 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
98.6%
Bryson Denley run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+19
98.5%
Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 19 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
98.5%
Grant Loy sacked by Treshaun Hayward for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 13
OWN 48
+4
98.6%
Grant Loy pass complete to Bryson Denley for 4 yds to the WMich 48Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 9
OPP 48
-10
98.6%
LOY, Grant pass complete to MORRIS, Quintin for 6 yards to the WMU42 (CARTER, A.), PENALTY BGSU holding (COLEMAN, Kholbe) 10 yards to the BGSU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 19
OWN 42
+10
98.4%
Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 10 yds to the WMich 48Similar
Q3 11:34
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
98.6%
Matt Naranjo punt for 35 yds, downed at the WMich 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 2:4499% → 100%
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
99.1%
Davon Tucker run for 7 yds to the WMich 20Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+34
99.1%
Davon Tucker run for 34 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
99.2%
Davon Tucker run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+16
99.2%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 16 yds to the BwGrn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
99.2%
Sean Tyler run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+4
99.2%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
99.8%
Sean Tyler run for 16 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 17INT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
99.3%
Grant Loy run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+2
99.3%
Grant Loy pass complete to Bryson Denley for 2 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+14
99.3%
Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 14 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.2%
Grant Loy pass intercepted Alex Grace return for no gain to the BwGrn 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18TD
7 plays · 46 yds · 2:42100% → 100%
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.8%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Skyy Moore, broken up by Karl BrooksSimilar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+7
99.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.8%
Davon Tucker run for no gain to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+13
99.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to DaShon Bussell for 13 yds to the BwGrn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
99.8%
Davon Tucker run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 18Similar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+18
99.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 18 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:280% → 0%
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Trevon Raymore run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
99.9%
Trevon Raymore run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q3 1:28
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
99.9%
Grant Loy pass complete to Presley Motes for 2 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Matt Naranjo punt for 52 yds, downed at the WMich 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20DOWNS
15 plays · 78 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
99.9%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the WMich 16Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+4
99.9%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the WMich 20Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+4
99.9%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the WMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+28
99.9%
Griffin Alstott run for 13 yds to the BwGrn 37 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, personal foul (Jerry Roberts) to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
99.9%
Sean Tyler run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 3
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Griffin Alstott pass incomplete to Corey CroomsSimilar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+9
99.9%
Sean Tyler run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 28 Sean Tyler fumbled, forced by Jordan Anderson, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
99.9%
Davon Tucker run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+8
99.9%
Sean Tyler run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
99.9%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+13
99.9%
Sean Tyler run for 13 yds to the BwGrn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
Sean Tyler run for no gain to the BwGrn 3Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
99.9%
Sean Tyler run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 5Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-4
99.9%
Griffin Alstott run for a loss of 4 yards to the BwGrn 9Similar
Q4 14:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
99.9%
Jaret Curtis run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
99.9%
Trevon Raymore run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+2
100.0%
Nigel Sealey run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 17Similar
Q4 6:12
3RD & 1
OWN 17
-4
99.9%
Nigel Sealey run for a loss of 4 yards to the BwGrn 11 Nigel Sealey fumbled, forced by Timothy Collins, recovered by BwGrn Grant LoySimilar
Q4 6:12
4TH & 7
OWN 11
0
100.0%
Matt Naranjo punt for 40 yds, downed at the WMich 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 22END OF GAME
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
100.0%
Ra'Sean Davie run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+2
100.0%
Ra'Sean Davie run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+5
100.0%
Trae Allen run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
100.0%
Trae Allen run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 6
OPP 35
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:58
Bryson Denley run for 9 yds for a TD, (Nate Needham KICK)
-3.2
TD · Q3 14:41
LeVante Bellamy run for 75 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)
+3.1
TD · Q2 2:39
LeVante Bellamy run for 36 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)
+2.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com