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AKR

Akron 0 at Northern Illinois 49

NIU
2019 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2019 · Huskie Stadium
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Win probability · NIU
modelNIU aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playNIU scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFUMBLETDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:12 · Jonah Wieland punt for 46 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 35Pregame prior+34.0Home team on offense+2.3Score differential+0.5Blowout margin+0.3Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:08: Tre Harbison run for 5 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK) — AKR win probability +0.5 pts (now 10%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:39: Tre Harbison run for 30 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK) — NIU win probability +4.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:44: Marcus Childers pass complete to Brett Bostad for 5 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK) — NIU win probability +4.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 4:12: Jordan Nettles run for 6 yds to the Akron 46 — NIU win probability +1.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. FUMBLE · Q3 9:56: Michiah Burton run for a loss of 2 yards Michiah Burton fumbled, recovered by NoIll Trayshon Foster for a TD, (John Richardson KICK) — NIU win probability +2.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6AKR made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00AKR 4th & 4 at AKR 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:10NIU 4th & 1 at AKR 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    91.2%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    90.8%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:03AKR 4th & 16 at AKR 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:34NIU 4th & 11 at NIU 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:12AKR 4th & 1 at AKR 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00NIU 4th & 4 at NIU 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:39AKR 4th & 29 at AKR 6, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−1.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:38AKR 4th & 11 at AKR 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00NIU 4th & 8 at AKR 44, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    96.3%−0.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:56AKR 4th & 6 at AKR 29, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:13AKR 4th & 9 at AKR 26, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:11AKR 4th & 6 at AKR 31, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:27NIU 4th & 6 at NIU 41, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:38AKR 4th & 9 at NIU 40, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:57NIU 4th & 5 at NIU 45, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:53AKR 4th & 5 at NIU 27, down 49
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 6:08NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:39NIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:44NIU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:13NIU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:17NIU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:43NIU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
91.4%
Brandon Lee run for 9 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
91.4%
TEAM run for no gain to the Akron 24 TEAM fumbled,Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+7
91.4%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Julian Hicks for 7 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
91.4%
Jonah Wieland punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2TD
14 plays · 74 yds · 7:0291% → 90%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
90.9%
Tre Harbison run for 4 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+8
90.9%
Tre Harbison run for 8 yds to the NoIll 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
90.9%
Marcus Childers run for 2 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+9
90.9%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 9 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
91.0%
Tre Harbison run for 6 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+18
91.0%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 18 yds to the Akron 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
91.0%
TEAM run for no gain to the Akron 40 TEAM fumbled, recovered by NoIll Tre HarbisonSimilar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 23
OPP 40
+5
91.0%
Tre Harbison run for 5 yds to the Akron 35Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 18
OPP 35
+17
90.9%
Marcus Childers run for 17 yds to the Akron 18Similar
Q1 13:10
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+3
91.0%
Marcus Childers run for 3 yds to the Akron 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
91.0%
Jordan Nettles run for 9 yds to the Akron 6Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 1
OPP 6
0
91.0%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Tyrice Richie, broken up by A.J. WattsSimilar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+1
91.0%
Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the Akron 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
90.4%
Tre Harbison run for 5 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
90.0%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Julian Hicks for 6 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+14
89.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 14 yds to the Akron 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
89.8%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Jeremiah KnightSimilar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
89.8%
Michiah Burton run for 2 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q1 6:03
3RD & 8
OWN 49
-8
89.9%
Zach Gibson sacked by Michael Kennedy for a loss of 8 yards to the Akron 41Similar
Q1 6:03
4TH & 16
OWN 41
0
90.2%
Jonah Wieland punt for 35 yds, downed at the NoIll 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
89.7%
Tre Harbison run for no gain to the NoIll 24Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+6
89.7%
Marcus Childers run for 6 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q1 3:34
3RD & 4
OWN 30
-7
89.6%
Marcus Childers sacked by Josh Ward for a loss of 7 yards to the NoIll 23Similar
Q1 3:34
4TH & 11
OWN 23
0
89.3%
Matt Ference punt for 41 yds, downed at the Akron 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1411% → 11%
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
88.9%
Brandon Lee run for no gain to the Akron 36Similar
Q1 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
89.0%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Julian Hicks for 9 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q1 0:12
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
88.7%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Michael Mathison, broken up by Matt LorbeckSimilar
Q1 0:12
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
89.0%
Jonah Wieland punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
89.2%
Marcus Childers run for 2 yds to the NoIll 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+5
89.2%
Jordan Nettles run for 5 yds to the NoIll 16Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+12
89.1%
CHILDERS, Marcu pass incomplete to TEARS, Spencer, PENALTY AKRON pass interference (HOOKS,JALEN) 12 yards to the NIU28, 1ST DOWN NIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
89.4%
Marcus Childers run for 2 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
89.4%
Marcus Childers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+4
89.1%
Marcus Childers run for 4 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 34
+9
89.0%
Matt Ference punt for 50 yds , Alvin Davis returns for 9 yds to the Akron 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7INT
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:0011% → 12%
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.7%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Jeremiah KnightSimilar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+19
88.8%
Brandon Lee run for 19 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+50
88.2%
Zach Gibson pass intercepted Devin Haney return for 40 yds to the NORTHERNIL 16 NORTHERNIL Penalty, IB (10 Yards) to the Akron 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8TD
1 play · 30 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
92.4%
Tre Harbison run for 30 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · -19 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
91.4%
AKRON Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Akron 20Similar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
91.4%
Zach Gibson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+5
91.5%
Brandon Lee run for 5 yds to the Akron 25Similar
Q2 11:39
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
91.5%
AKRON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Akron 20Similar
Q2 11:39
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
91.5%
TEAM run for no gain to the Akron 11 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Akron Zach GibsonSimilar
Q2 11:39
4TH & 24
OWN 11
-5
91.6%
WIELAND,JONAH punt 59 yards to the NIU30, TUCKER, Cole return to the NIU30, fumble by TUCKER, Cole recovered by AKRON TEAM at NIU30, PENALTY AKRON illegal formation 5 yards to the AKRON6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:39
4TH & 29
OWN 6
+10
91.8%
Jonah Wieland punt for 42 yds , Cole Tucker returns for 10 yds to the Akron 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10TD
8 plays · 38 yds · 3:3592% → 96%
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
92.4%
NETTLES, Jordan rush for no gain to the AKRON38 (WATTS,A.J.), PENALTY AKRON personal foul 15 yards to the AKRON23, 1ST DOWN NIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
92.5%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the Akron 20Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+5
92.5%
Tre Harbison run for 5 yds to the Akron 15Similar
Q2 7:29
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+3
91.5%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the Akron 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
91.7%
Tre Harbison run for 7 yds to the Akron 5Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 3
OPP 5
0
91.7%
Tre Harbison run for no gain to the Akron 5Similar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+5
96.3%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Brett Bostad for 5 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
95.3%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Julian HicksSimilar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-6
95.4%
Zach Gibson sacked by Matt Lorbeck for a loss of 6 yards to the Akron 21Similar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 16
OWN 21
+5
95.5%
GIBSON,ZACH rush for 4 yards to the AKRON25 (WYNNE, Quintin;KELLY, Marcus), PENALTY NIU offside defense 5 yards to the AKRON26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 11
OWN 26
0
95.5%
Zach Gibson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 11
OWN 26
+13
95.5%
Jonah Wieland punt for 39 yds , Cole Tucker returns for 13 yds to the NoIll 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12FUMBLE
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
96.8%
Jordan Nettles run for 6 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+1
96.8%
Jordan Nettles run for 1 yd to the Akron 45Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+11
96.6%
Tre Harbison run for 11 yds to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
96.8%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+2
96.8%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+16
96.7%
Marcus Jones run for 1 yd to the Akron 14 Marcus Jones fumbled, recovered by Akron DeMarkus Glover , return for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 14 DeMarkus Glover fumbled, recovered by Akron Alvin Davis AKRON Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Akron 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+19
96.2%
Michiah Burton run for 19 yds to the Akron 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
96.0%
GIBSON,ZACH pass complete to HICKS,JULIAN for 16 yards to the AKRON49, out-of-bounds, PENALTY AKRON holding 5 yards to the AKRON28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 15
OWN 28
-1
96.2%
Michiah Burton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.8%
Tre Harbison run for 6 yds to the NoIll 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
96.9%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
96.8%
Tre Harbison run for 5 yds to the NoIll 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
97.0%
Tre Harbison run for no gain to the NoIll 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+16
97.0%
Tre Harbison run for 16 yds to the Akron 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
97.1%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the Akron 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+2
97.0%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+2
97.0%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 39
-5
96.7%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Akron 44Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
96.7%
Matt Ference punt for 41 yds, downed at the Akron 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15FUMBLE TD
1 play · -3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
99.5%
Michiah Burton run for a loss of 2 yards Michiah Burton fumbled, recovered by NoIll Trayshon Foster for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Nate StewartSimilar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.4%
Brandon Lee run for 4 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q3 9:56
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.4%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Julian HicksSimilar
Q3 9:56
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.4%
Jonah Wieland punt for 41 yds, downed at the NoIll 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 17TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 5:47100% → 100%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.6%
Tre Harbison run for 4 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+11
99.6%
Tre Harbison run for 11 yds to the NoIll 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.6%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the NoIll 47Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+21
99.6%
Jordan Nettles run for 21 yds to the Akron 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
99.6%
Jordan Nettles run for 4 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 6
OPP 28
-7
99.6%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the Akron 25 NORTHERNIL Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Akron 35Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 13
OPP 35
+7
99.6%
Tre Harbison run for 7 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+7
99.6%
Marcus Childers run for 7 yds to the Akron 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
99.6%
Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the Akron 20Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+2
99.6%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the Akron 18Similar
Q3 3:13
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+18
99.8%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 18 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
Brandon Lee run for 1 yd to the Akron 26 Brandon Lee fumbled, recovered by Akron Brandon LeeSimilar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.8%
Zach Gibson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:13
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
99.8%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Michael MathisonSimilar
Q3 3:13
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.8%
Jonah Wieland punt for 22 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the Akron 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 19TD
8 plays · 48 yds · 3:58100% → 100%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
99.8%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Michael Love for 9 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+4
99.8%
Jordan Nettles run for 4 yds to the Akron 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
99.8%
Jordan Nettles run for 2 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+17
99.8%
Jordan Nettles run for 17 yds to the Akron 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
99.8%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Michael Love for 9 yds to the Akron 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 7
+2
99.8%
Jordan Nettles run for 2 yds to the Akron 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
99.8%
Jordan Nettles run for 2 yds to the Akron 3Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Corey Lersch for 3 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Robbie Kelley pass incomplete to Maverick WolfleySimilar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+4
99.9%
Robbie Kelley pass complete to Nate Stewart for 4 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q4 13:11
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Robbie Kelley pass incomplete to Julian Hicks, broken up by Jalen McKieSimilar
Q4 13:11
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Jonah Wieland punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Michael Love at the NoIll 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
99.9%
Rahveon Valentine run for 13 yds to the NoIll 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.9%
Rahveon Valentine run for 1 yd to the NoIll 38Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+1
99.9%
Rahveon Valentine run for 1 yd to the NoIll 39Similar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+2
99.9%
Rahveon Valentine run for 2 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q4 12:27
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Matt Ference punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Knight at the Akron 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 22INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:140% → 0%
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Robbie Kelley pass incomplete to Nate StewartSimilar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+31
100.0%
Robbie Kelley pass intercepted for a TD Nick Rattin return for 31 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+25
99.9%
Brandon Lee run for 25 yds to the NoIll 41 Brandon Lee fumbled, recovered by Akron Brandon Lee for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
99.9%
Brandon Lee run for 2 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 8
OPP 39
-1
99.9%
Brandon Lee run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 40Similar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 9
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Robbie Kelley pass incomplete to Nate StewartSimilar
Q4 9:38
4TH & 9
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Robbie Kelley pass incomplete to Michael MathisonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
99.9%
Jordan Nettles run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 38Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+4
99.9%
Rondarius Gregory run for 4 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
Q4 7:57
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+3
99.9%
Rondarius Gregory run for 3 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
Q4 7:57
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Matt Ference punt for 31 yds, downed at the Akron 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 25DOWNS
12 plays · 53 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
100.0%
Michiah Burton run for 3 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+6
100.0%
T.J. DeShields pass complete to Timothy Scippio for 6 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q4 5:53
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+4
100.0%
Michiah Burton run for 4 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
100.0%
Michiah Burton run for 1 yd to the Akron 38Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+14
100.0%
Michiah Burton run for 14 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
100.0%
T.J. DeShields run for no gain to the NoIll 48Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+8
100.0%
Brandon Lee run for 8 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q4 5:53
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+8
100.0%
Peter Hayes-Patrick run for 8 yds to the NoIll 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
100.0%
T.J. DeShields pass complete to Peter Hayes-Patrick for 5 yds to the NoIll 27Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 5
OPP 27
0
100.0%
T.J. DeShields pass incomplete to Jeremiah KnightSimilar
Q4 5:53
3RD & 5
OPP 27
0
100.0%
T.J. DeShields pass incomplete to Jeremiah KnightSimilar
Q4 5:53
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+4
100.0%
T.J. DeShields run for 4 yds to the NoIll 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 22Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 11
OWN 22
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:44
Marcus Childers pass complete to Brett Bostad for 5 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)
+4.6
TD · Q2 11:39
Tre Harbison run for 30 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)
+4.2
FUMBLE · Q3 9:56
Michiah Burton run for a loss of 2 yards Michiah Burton fumbled, recovered by NoIll Trayshon Foster for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)
+2.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com