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WMU

Western Michigan 27 at Eastern Michigan 34

EMU
2019 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2019 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:24 · Nick Mihalic punt for 38 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 97Pregame prior−11.4Home team on offense+0.9Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3Blowout margin+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:35: Preston Hutchinson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +14.0 pts (now 52%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:39: Jon Wassink pass complete to Corey Crooms for 38 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK) EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined — WMU win probability +14.4 pts (now 70%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 6:26: Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Quian Williams for 29 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — EMU win probability +36.1 pts (now 85%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:56: LeVante Bellamy run for 8 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — WMU win probability +37.6 pts (now 77%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:36: Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 34 yds for a TD, (J. Grissom Run For Two-point Conversion) — EMU win probability +46.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7WMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 4:52EMU 4th & 7 at WMU 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.6%
    85% to make
    Punt
    27.8%−1.8
    average punt
  2. Q2 8:52EMU 4th & 3 at WMU 34, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    26.2%−0.8
    47% to make
    Punt
    25.8%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:04EMU 4th & 5 at WMU 10, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    21.4%−3.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:04WMU 4th & 5 at WMU 25, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.8%
    average punt
  5. Q3 9:24WMU 4th & 8 at EMU 38, down 3
    Close callPunted · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.2%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    50.5%−0.7
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    50.4%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:16EMU 4th & 20 at EMU 10, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%−3.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 0:13EMU 4th & 3 at WMU 11, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.2%−1.3
    87% to make
    Punt
    22.5%−14.0
    average punt
  8. Q4 15:00WMU 4th & 2 at WMU 33, up 1
    Close callPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:15EMU 4th & 19 at WMU 35, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%−4.7
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.5%
    45% to make
    Punt
    40.4%−3.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:15WMU 4th & 7 at WMU 38, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−1.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:12EMU 4th & 6 at midfield, up 7
    Close callPunted · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:23WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:38WMU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:15EMU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:35EMU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:39WMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:26EMU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    75.0%−1.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    76.1%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:56WMU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    59.7%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    60.4%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:36EMU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    83.1%−1.3
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    84.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WMUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:3776% → 75%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
24.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+19
24.5%
Davon Tucker run for 19 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
24.5%
Davon Tucker run for 15 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
24.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 9 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+6
24.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for 6 yds to the EMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+16
24.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 16 yds to the EMich 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
24.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 8Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
24.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 8 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2FG
19 plays · 75 yds · 6:3125% → 28%
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+13
25.3%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Breck Turner for 13 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
25.3%
Breck Turner run for 7 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
25.4%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 8 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
25.5%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 7 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+4
25.6%
Shaq Vann run for 4 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
25.6%
Jairus Grissom pass complete to Shaq Vann for 8 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+5
25.6%
Jairus Grissom run for 5 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
25.6%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Quian Williams for 3 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+6
25.7%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Quian Williams for 6 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+1
25.6%
Preston Hutchinson run for 1 yd to the WMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
25.7%
Preston Hutchinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+5
27.0%
Preston Hutchinson run for 5 yds to the WMich 21Similar
Q1 7:03
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+5
26.7%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 5 yds to the WMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-10
27.0%
VANN, Shaq rush for 8 yards to the WMU8 (Ali Fayad;Drake Spears), PENALTY EMU holding (SOW, Sidy) 10 yards to the WMU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 20
OPP 26
+15
27.1%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Breck Turner for 15 yds to the WMich 11Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 5
OPP 11
-2
27.3%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Mathew Sexton for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 13Similar
Q1 6:03
3RD & 7
OPP 13
0
26.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Arthur Jackson IIISimilar
Q1 4:52
4TH & 7
OPP 13
+31
28.4%
Chad Ryland 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 3TD
20 plays · 79 yds · 9:0772% → 77%
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
28.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 7 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 3
OWN 28
-1
27.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 27Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+7
28.2%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 7 yds to the WMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
27.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+7
27.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for 7 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
27.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 6
50
+10
27.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 10 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
27.3%
Davon Tucker run for 6 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+2
27.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+2
28.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
28.2%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 5 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+3
28.1%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the EMich 22Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+3
28.5%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the EMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
28.1%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Giovanni RicciSimilar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+9
28.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 9 yds to the EMich 10Similar
Q2 12:36
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+2
28.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the EMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
28.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the EMich 3Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
28.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the EMich 2Similar
Q2 10:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
23.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4MISSED FG
13 plays · 65 yds · 4:3425% → 23%
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+34
24.5%
Jairus Grissom pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 34 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-6
25.9%
Preston Hutchinson run for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 47Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 16
OPP 47
0
25.3%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q2 10:38
3RD & 16
OPP 47
+13
24.7%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 13 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q2 8:52
4TH & 3
OPP 34
+5
24.5%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Quian Williams for 5 yds to the WMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
26.0%
Shaq Vann run for 5 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+9
26.0%
Jairus Grissom run for 9 yds to the WMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-2
26.0%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 17Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 12
OPP 17
+7
26.0%
Jairus Grissom pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 7 yds to the WMich 10Similar
Q2 8:52
3RD & 5
OPP 10
0
25.3%
Jairus Grissom pass incomplete to Quian Williams, broken up by A.J. ThomasSimilar
Q2 6:04
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+28
23.4%
Chad Ryland 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
23.1%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+3
23.2%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
23.3%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Keith Mixon Jr.Similar
Q2 6:04
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+16
23.8%
Nick Mihalic punt for 54 yds , Dylan Drummond returns for 16 yds to the EMich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6TD
13 plays · 63 yds · 4:1923% → 33%
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
22.7%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 15 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
23.9%
Shaq Vann run for 5 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+6
23.9%
Shaq Vann run for 6 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
23.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 14 yds to the WMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
24.7%
Breck Turner run for 2 yds to the WMich 21Similar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+6
24.7%
Preston Hutchinson run for 6 yds to the WMich 15Similar
Q2 4:34
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+5
24.0%
Preston Hutchinson run for 5 yds to the WMich 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
24.4%
Shaq Vann run for 7 yds to the WMich 3Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
24.4%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the WMich 1Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
33.1%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 1 yd for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 7END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
31.2%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the WMich 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2533% → 52%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
33.1%
Preston Hutchinson run for 3 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
33.3%
Breck Turner run for 6 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
34.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 5 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
34.1%
Preston Hutchinson run for 4 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 43
-5
35.6%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Steven Nielsen) to the EMich 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+37
33.8%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 37 yds to the WMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+19
37.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 19 yds to the WMich 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
51.9%
Preston Hutchinson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:1154% → 53%
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
46.2%
LeVante Bellamy run for 17 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
43.7%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 7 yds to the WMich 49Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+11
42.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 11 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
42.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
42.6%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Giovanni RicciSimilar
Q3 11:35
3RD & 8
OPP 38
0
43.1%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Jaylen Hall, broken up by Freddie McGee IIISimilar
Q3 9:24
4TH & 8
OPP 38
0
47.0%
Nick Mihalic punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:0050% → 47%
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
49.8%
Preston Hutchinson sacked by Timothy Collins for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 15Similar
Q3 9:16
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+2
49.4%
Jairus Grissom run for 2 yds to the EMich 17Similar
Q3 9:16
3RD & 13
OWN 17
-7
48.0%
Preston Hutchinson sacked by Patrick Lupro and Andre Carter for a loss of 7 yards to the EMich 10Similar
Q3 9:16
4TH & 20
OWN 10
0
47.3%
Jake Julien punt for 53 yds , Keith Mixon Jr. returns for no gain to the WMich 38 Keith Mixon Jr. fumbled, forced by Mathew Sexton,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 2:3653% → 70%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
47.4%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 36Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+39
49.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 39 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
43.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 9 yds to the EMich 16Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+3
43.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the EMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-15
43.5%
LeVante Bellamy rush for 5 yards to the EMU8 (MYRICK, Terry), PENALTY WMU personal foul (Jacob Gideon) 15 yards to the EMU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 25
OPP 28
-10
44.4%
Jon Wassink rush for 4 yards to the EMU24, PENALTY WMU holding (Jordan Asbury) 10 yards to the EMU38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 35
OPP 38
+38
30.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Corey Crooms for 38 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK) EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12FG
12 plays · 64 yds · 4:2633% → 43%
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
33.4%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Quian Williams for 6 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+11
35.5%
Shaq Vann run for 11 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
36.4%
Shaq Vann run for 4 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
36.9%
Shaq Vann run for no gain to the EMich 46Similar
Q3 4:39
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+16
35.4%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 16 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+20
37.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Line Latu for 20 yds to the WMich 18 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
40.0%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Sam Dervil) to the WMich 23Similar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+1
39.5%
Jairus Grissom pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 1 yd to the WMich 22Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 14
OPP 22
+11
39.1%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Quian Williams for 11 yds to the WMich 11Similar
Q3 4:39
3RD & 3
OPP 11
0
37.6%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Bryson Cannon, broken up by A.J. ThomasSimilar
Q3 0:13
4TH & 3
OPP 11
+28
43.4%
Chad Ryland 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:1359% → 59%
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
41.1%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 5 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
38.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
38.8%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete, broken up by Hunter AndrewsSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
40.9%
Nick Mihalic punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14MISSED FG
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:5942% → 40%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
42.4%
Preston Hutchinson run for 2 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+6
42.3%
Shaq Vann run for 6 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+35
44.8%
Shaq Vann run for 35 yds to the WMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-8
49.1%
Preston Hutchinson sacked by Ralph Holley for a loss of 8 yards to the WMich 34Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 18
OPP 34
-1
45.8%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Line Latu for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 35Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 19
OPP 35
0
42.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q4 11:15
4TH & 19
OPP 35
+53
40.1%
Chad Ryland 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0060% → 57%
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
39.8%
Davon Tucker run for 3 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
37.8%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete, broken up by Turan RushSimilar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
39.5%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Skyy Moore, broken up by Jerodd VinesSimilar
Q4 11:15
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
42.8%
Nick Mihalic punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 83 yds · 3:5943% → 85%
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
43.0%
Jairus Grissom run for 1 yd to the EMich 18Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+7
42.8%
Shaq Vann run for 7 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q4 10:25
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+8
42.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 8 yds to the EMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
43.9%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+19
43.8%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 19 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
49.3%
Breck Turner run for 2 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+4
49.2%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 4 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q4 10:25
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+11
48.6%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 11 yds to the WMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
84.7%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Quian Williams for 29 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17TD
12 plays · 64 yds · 4:2332% → 77%
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
67.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+6
64.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 6 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
64.6%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 11 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
63.2%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
63.3%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:19
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+12
64.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 12 yds to the EMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
60.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+6
60.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 6 yds to the EMich 19Similar
Q4 6:19
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+2
62.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the EMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
60.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 9 yds to the EMich 8Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+8
23.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 8 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 1:1546% → 96%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
45.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 3 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+18
45.8%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 18 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
50.7%
Shaq Vann run for 4 yds to the WMich 49Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+8
52.4%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 8 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
49.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 7 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+34
95.7%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 34 yds for a TD, (J. Grissom Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.0%
Jon Wassink pass intercepted Jeff Hubbard return for no gain to the EMich 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 0:1694% → 96%
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
93.8%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q4 0:19
2ND & 7
OWN 49
-2
96.9%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 47Similar
Q4 0:15
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+3
96.7%
Preston Hutchinson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:12
4TH & 6
50
0
96.3%
Jake Julien punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:36
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 34 yds for a TD, (J. Grissom Run For Two-point Conversion)
+46.7
TD · Q4 1:56
LeVante Bellamy run for 8 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-37.6
TD · Q4 6:26
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Quian Williams for 29 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+36.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com