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KENT

Kent State 38 at Ohio 45

OHIO
2019 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2019 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:50 · Dustin Crum run for 19 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 181Pregame prior+0.5Home team on offense+27.0Garbage-time factor+7.1Score differential+9.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.0Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:40: Will Matthews run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK) — KENT win probability +11.7 pts (now 55%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:13: Nathan Rourke run for 3 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +13.8 pts (now 67%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:55: De'Montre Tuggle run for 1 yd for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +14.2 pts (now 80%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:28: Dustin Crum pass complete to Raymond James for 27 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK) — KENT win probability +31.5 pts (now 53%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:51: Nathan Rourke run for 7 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +28.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 2 of 4KENT made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 10:08OHIO 4th & 5 at KENT 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    68.4%−0.9
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:45KENT 4th & 2 at KENT 43, up 4
    Close callPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.6%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:22KENT 4th & 1 at OHIO 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    29.2%−0.6
    86% to make
    Punt
    27.1%−2.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:45KENT 4th & 1 at OHIO 10, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.1%−1.3
    88% to make
    Punt
    26.7%−4.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:20OHIO 4th & 5 at KENT 26, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.3%−<0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    63.4%−3.9
    average punt
  6. Q3 5:34KENT 4th & 8 at OHIO 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    23.7%−0.4
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 0:23OHIO 4th & 5 at OHIO 47, up 7
    Close callPunted · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:01KENT 4th & 8 at KENT 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−2.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.6%
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:24OHIO 4th & 9 at KENT 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:12KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:50KENT 4th & 7 at KENT 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.2%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 5 of 6KENT made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 13:53KENT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:31OHIO Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:36KENT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:54OHIO Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:40KENT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:13OHIO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:55OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:28KENT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.4%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:51OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−1.6
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 2:49OHIO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 0:31KENT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:0734% → 35%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
66.0%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 11 yds to the KntSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
66.0%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+25
66.0%
Will Matthews run for 25 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
65.9%
Clock 14:23, CRUM, Dustin pass incomplete to MCKOY, Isaiah, PENALTY OHIO pass interference (BROOKS, M.) 15 yards to the OHIO24, 1ST DOWN KENTST, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
65.9%
Clock 14:19, PENALTY KENTST false start (WARNOCK, Nate) 5 yards to the OHIO29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:19
1ST & 15
OPP 29
+6
65.9%
Dustin Crum run for 6 yds to the Ohio 23Similar
Q1 13:53
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+23
65.5%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 23 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2FG
8 plays · 58 yds · 3:4566% → 65%
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
65.6%
O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the Ohio 26Similar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+16
65.4%
Nathan Rourke run for 16 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+36
65.2%
O'Shaan Allison run for 36 yds to the KntSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
65.2%
O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the KntSt 22Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-4
65.0%
Nathan Rourke sacked by Cepeda Phillips for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 26Similar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 14
OPP 26
+9
64.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 9 yds to the KntSt 17Similar
Q1 10:08
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+35
65.1%
Louie Zervos 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2335% → 36%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
64.7%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 7 yds to the KntSt 42Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 3
OWN 42
-3
64.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 39Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+4
64.5%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Jo-El Shaw for 4 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q1 8:45
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
64.3%
Derek Adams punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 1:0964% → 67%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
64.4%
O'Shaan Allison run for 9 yds to the Ohio 44Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+7
65.0%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 7 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
66.6%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 49 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5TD
17 plays · 83 yds · 5:5034% → 39%
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
66.2%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 21 yds to the KntSt 38 KENT ST Penalty, personal foul (Kavious Price) to the KntSt 23Similar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 4
OWN 23
+10
66.0%
Will Matthews run for 10 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
66.0%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoySimilar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+13
66.1%
Dustin Crum run for 13 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
65.5%
Will Matthews run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 45Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+22
65.7%
Dustin Crum run for 22 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
65.0%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoySimilar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+7
65.0%
Jo-El Shaw run for 7 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+5
65.2%
Jo-El Shaw run for 5 yds to the Ohio 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
64.8%
Jo-El Shaw run for 1 yd to the Ohio 20Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+3
64.7%
Jo-El Shaw run for 3 yds to the Ohio 17Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+5
65.1%
Dustin Crum run for 5 yds to the Ohio 12Similar
Q1 3:22
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+6
65.5%
Will Matthews run for 6 yds to the Ohio 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
64.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 2 yds to the Ohio 4Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-8
64.1%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Antwan Dixon for a loss of 8 yards to the Ohio 12Similar
Q1 1:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
61.3%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 12 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4262% → 67%
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
62.1%
Julian Ross run for 4 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
62.1%
Nathan Rourke run for 6 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
62.0%
Julian Ross run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+1
61.7%
Tyler Walton run for 1 yd to the Ohio 35Similar
Q2 14:31
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+14
60.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to K.J. Minter for 14 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
66.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Jerome Buckner for 51 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7FG
12 plays · 66 yds · 3:0334% → 38%
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
65.8%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 7 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+6
65.0%
Dustin Crum run for 6 yds to the KntSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
65.2%
Clock 13:13, CRUM, Dustin pass incomplete to CARRIGAN, Mike, PENALTY OHIO pass interference (MOTLEY, I.) 15 yards to the OHIO48, 1ST DOWN KENTST, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
64.1%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+11
64.2%
Dustin Crum run for 11 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
64.0%
Jo-El Shaw run for 7 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+11
63.2%
Jo-El Shaw run for 11 yds to the Ohio 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
63.2%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 5 yds to the Ohio 14Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 5
OPP 14
0
63.1%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+4
63.8%
Jo-El Shaw run for 4 yds to the Ohio 10Similar
Q2 10:45
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+27
61.8%
Matthew Trickett 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8MISSED FG
11 plays · 49 yds · 4:2564% → 64%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
64.1%
Julian Ross run for 4 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
64.3%
Julian Ross run for 7 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+21
64.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 21 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
66.2%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Tyler WaltonSimilar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+5
66.1%
Julian Ross run for 5 yds to the KntSt 38Similar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+7
65.8%
Nathan Rourke run for 7 yds to the KntSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
66.5%
O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the KntSt 31Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+2
66.4%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the KntSt 26 O'Shaan Allison fumbled, forced by Theo Majette, recovered by Ohio Ryan LuehrmanSimilar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 5
OPP 26
0
65.7%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:20
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+43
64.3%
Louie Zervos 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 3:4039% → 55%
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
60.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 11 yds to the KntSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
59.8%
Will Matthews run for 1 yd to the KntSt 38Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+12
59.5%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
50
-15
58.0%
Clock 05:32, CRUM, Dustin pass complete to MCKOY, Isaiah for 39 yards to the OHIO11, out-of-bounds (MOTLEY, I.), PENALTY KENTST pass interference (MCKOY, Isaiah) 15 yards to the KENTST35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 25
OWN 35
+17
60.4%
Will Matthews run for 17 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 8
OPP 48
-4
57.7%
Will Matthews run for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 44 Will Matthews fumbled, forced by Will Evans, recovered by KntSt Dustin CrumSimilar
Q2 3:59
3RD & 16
OWN 44
+54
60.2%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 54 yds to the Ohio 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
56.3%
Will Matthews run for no gain to the Ohio 2Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
44.6%
Will Matthews run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10TD
14 plays · 72 yds · 2:1850% → 67%
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
49.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 14 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
51.3%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to De'Montre Tuggle for 4 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+12
51.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to De'Montre Tuggle for 12 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-10
52.3%
Clock 01:28, ROURKE, N. pass complete to COX, I. for 20 yards to the KENTST22 (PARKER, Jamal), PENALTY OHIO holding (MESERVY, H.) 10 yards to the OHIO48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 20
OWN 48
0
50.1%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Tyler WaltonSimilar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 20
OWN 48
0
49.6%
De'Montre Tuggle run for no gain to the Ohio 48Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 20
OWN 48
+24
47.1%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 24 yds to the KntSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
52.5%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah CoxSimilar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+19
52.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 19 yds to the KntSt 9 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
52.7%
Clock 00:39, ROURKE, N. pass complete to WALTON, T. for 5 yards to the KENTST4 (SHERALD JR., K.), PENALTY KENTST pass interference (PETERS, Akeam) 6 yards to the KENTST3, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
66.5%
Nathan Rourke run for 3 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:0765% → 65%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
64.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 11 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
65.3%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron Odom, broken up by Jamal ParkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 7:0563% → 80%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
62.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to De'Montre Tuggle for 8 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
64.4%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 5 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
63.9%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 5 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+5
65.3%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 5 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
64.8%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 8
50
+4
64.9%
Nathan Rourke run for 4 yds to the KntSt 46Similar
Q3 11:21
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+18
64.6%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 18 yds to the KntSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
66.2%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 3 yds to the KntSt 25Similar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+1
66.2%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 1 yd to the KntSt 24Similar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+11
64.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 11 yds to the KntSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
66.3%
Nathan Rourke run for 8 yds to the KntSt 5Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+4
66.3%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 4 yds to the KntSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
80.4%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 1 yd for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 29 yds · 2:1527% → 27%
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
73.2%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
73.6%
Dustin Crum run for 8 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q3 7:21
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+4
71.9%
Dustin Crum run for 4 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
71.5%
Clock 07:05, CRUM, Dustin pass incomplete to MCKOY, Isaiah, PENALTY OHIO pass interference (BROOKS, M.) 15 yards to the OHIO38, 1ST DOWN KENTST, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
70.9%
Dustin Crum run for 5 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 5
OPP 33
-15
68.8%
KENT ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Nathan Monnin) to the Ohio 48Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 20
OPP 48
+2
73.1%
Will Matthews run for 2 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 18
OPP 46
+10
73.6%
Will Matthews run for 10 yds to the Ohio 36Similar
Q3 5:34
4TH & 8
OPP 36
0
73.0%
Derek Adams punt for 30 yds, downed at the Ohio 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 41 yds · 5:0077% → 82%
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
76.7%
Nathan Rourke run for 7 yds to the Ohio 13Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 3
OWN 13
+5
77.1%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 5 yds to the Ohio 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+14
77.5%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 14 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
78.1%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Ryan LuehrmanSimilar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+2
77.8%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 2 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q3 2:43
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+8
77.2%
Nathan Rourke run for 8 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
81.4%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 5 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+2
81.9%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 2 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q3 0:58
3RD & 3
OWN 49
-2
82.8%
Nathan Rourke run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 47Similar
Q3 0:23
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
81.5%
Michael Farkas punt for 43 yds, downed at the KntSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1123% → 18%
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-6
77.3%
Dustin Crum sacked by Austin Conrad for a loss of 6 yards to the KntSt 4Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 4
+13
78.1%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 13 yds to the KntSt 17Similar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 3
OWN 17
-5
78.4%
Jo-El Shaw run for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 12Similar
Q4 14:01
4TH & 8
OWN 12
+4
81.8%
Derek Adams punt for 41 yds , Isiah Cox returns for 4 yds to the KntSt 49 Isiah Cox fumbled, forced by Keith Sherald Jr., recovered by Ohio Xavior MotleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2486% → 84%
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
85.7%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 6 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 4
OPP 43
-5
85.9%
Clock 13:16, PENALTY OHIO false start (TUGGLE, D.) 5 yards to the KENTST48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
86.1%
De'Montre Tuggle run for no gain to the KntSt 48Similar
Q4 12:31
3RD & 9
OPP 48
0
85.0%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron Odom, broken up by Elvis HinesSimilar
Q4 12:24
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
83.6%
Michael Farkas punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18TD
12 plays · 94 yds · 2:4919% → 53%
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+24
80.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 9 yds to the KntSt 15 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, roughing passer (Alvin Floyd) to the KntSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
79.4%
Dustin Crum run for no gain to the KntSt 30Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
80.6%
Clock 11:40, CRUM, Dustin pass incomplete to DIXON, Antwan, PENALTY OHIO offside defense (EVANS, W.) 5 yards to the KENTST35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+9
78.8%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 9 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
78.0%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 5 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+3
76.9%
Will Matthews run for 3 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
Q4 10:47
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+6
77.1%
Will Matthews run for 6 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
76.6%
Dustin Crum run for 1 yd to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, Defensive holding (Ilyaas Motley) to the Ohio 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
74.7%
Clock 10:10, PENALTY KENTST false start (GIBBS, Bryce) 5 yards to the OHIO36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 15
OPP 36
0
78.1%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 15
OPP 36
+9
78.1%
Dustin Crum run for 9 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q4 9:28
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+27
46.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Raymond James for 27 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:3758% → 91%
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
57.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 16 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
61.4%
De'Montre Tuggle run for no gain to the Ohio 41Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
59.7%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Tyler WaltonSimilar
Q4 8:29
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+10
57.6%
Clock 08:29, ROURKE, N. pass incomplete to WALTON, T., PENALTY KENTST holding (KNIGHT, Q.) 10 yards to the KENTST49, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
63.4%
Clock 08:23, ROURKE, N. pass incomplete to HOOKS, S., PENALTY KENTST pass interference (HINES, Elvis) 15 yards to the KENTST34, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
65.0%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 16 yds to the KntSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-10
65.0%
Nathan Rourke run for 5 yds to the KntSt 13 OHIO Penalty, illegal block (Isiah Cox) to the KntSt 28Similar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 20
OPP 28
+12
63.7%
Nathan Rourke run for 12 yds to the KntSt 16Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 8
OPP 16
0
64.6%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah Cox, broken up by Jamal ParkerSimilar
Q4 6:37
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+9
62.6%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 9 yds to the KntSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
90.9%
Nathan Rourke run for 7 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:3915% → 13%
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.6%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Kavious PriceSimilar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
85.0%
Jo-El Shaw run for no gain to the KntSt 25Similar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
86.0%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoy, broken up by Javon HaganSimilar
Q4 5:12
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
86.9%
Derek Adams punt for 26 yds, downed at the Ohio 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21TD
4 plays · 51 yds · 2:1391% → 98%
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
90.7%
Nathan Rourke run for 2 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+29
92.4%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 29 yds to the KntSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
93.3%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 1 yd to the KntSt 19Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+19
97.7%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 19 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 22TD
14 plays · 65 yds · 2:005% → 15%
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
95.0%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-9
95.0%
Dustin Crum sacked by Kaieem Caesar for a loss of 9 yards to the KntSt 26Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 19
OWN 26
+12
97.5%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Will Matthews for 12 yds to the KntSt 38Similar
Q4 1:50
4TH & 7
OWN 38
+19
97.4%
Dustin Crum run for 19 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
97.1%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoySimilar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+12
97.2%
Will Matthews run for 12 yds to the Ohio 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
96.7%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 9 yds to the Ohio 22Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+5
96.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 5 yds to the Ohio 17 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
96.6%
Dustin Crum run for 2 yds to the Ohio 15Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+7
96.7%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 7 yds to the Ohio 8Similar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+8
85.1%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 8 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
96.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:28
Dustin Crum pass complete to Raymond James for 27 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)
-31.5
TD · Q4 5:51
Nathan Rourke run for 7 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)
+28.3
TD · Q3 7:55
De'Montre Tuggle run for 1 yd for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)
+14.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com