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NIU

Northern Illinois 39 at Ohio 36

OHIO
2019 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2019 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:18 · Ross Bowers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 10 yds to the Ohio 27 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 115Home team on offense+2.7Pregame prior+3.1Score differential+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 12:08: Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 30 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK) — NIU win probability +23.8 pts (now 81%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 8:25: Nathan Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 8 yds for a TD, (J. Ross Run For Two-point Conversion) — OHIO win probability +35.4 pts (now 65%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 5:15: Tre Harbison run for 3 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK) — NIU win probability +36.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:38: Nathan Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 47 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +39.4 pts (now 63%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: John Richardson 37 yd FG GOOD — NIU win probability +32.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 5 of 6NIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 12:53OHIO 4th & 7 at OHIO 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:49NIU 4th & 7 at OHIO 33, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.6%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    36.4%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:59OHIO 4th & 8 at OHIO 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:03NIU 4th & 5 at NIU 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:21NIU 4th & 6 at OHIO 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    32.5%−2.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:47OHIO 4th & 9 at NIU 39, up 4
    Close callPunted · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    65.5%−0.3
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:13NIU 4th & 6 at OHIO 41, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.6%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    23.1%
    32% to make
    Punt
    22.2%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:39NIU 4th & 8 at midfield, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:16OHIO 4th & 7 at OHIO 37, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:19OHIO 4th & 10 at OHIO 35, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%−2.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:18NIU 4th & 1 at OHIO 37, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    28.7%−5.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    28.3%−5.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00OHIO 4th & 2 at NIU 37, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    51.5%−4.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    50.8%−4.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 5 of 5NIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 4
  1. Q1 8:06OHIO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:14OHIO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:36OHIO Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:44NIU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    31.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    31.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:13NIU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    48.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    47.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:08NIU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.8%−1.0
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:25OHIO Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    46.9%−1.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    48.0%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:15NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.3%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.6%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:38OHIO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.8%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1PUNT TD
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2560% → 59%
Q1 14:18
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
59.5%
Nathan Rourke run for 4 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 1
OWN 29
-1
59.5%
O'Shaan Allison run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 28Similar
Q1 13:10
4TH & 2
OWN 28
-5
59.4%
Clock 13:10, PENALTY OHIO false start (KNOCK, D.) 5 yards to the OHIO23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:53
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+3
58.6%
TEAM punt blocked by Corey Lersch blocked by Corey Lersch Adam Buirge return for 3 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:4759% → 61%
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
58.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 22 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
58.8%
O'Shaan Allison run for 9 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+10
58.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for 10 yds to the NoIll 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
58.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for 5 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+10
58.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Adam Luehrman for 10 yds to the NoIll 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-9
58.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 9 yards to the NoIll 28Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 19
OPP 28
+21
58.1%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 21 yds to the NoIll 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
58.1%
O'Shaan Allison run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 8Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
60.5%
Nathan Rourke run for 8 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 3FG
11 plays · 42 yds · 2:1741% → 41%
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.4%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+25
59.4%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Dennis Robinson for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
50
0
58.7%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 10
50
+5
58.7%
Marcus Childers run for 5 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+9
58.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 9 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
58.5%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 7
OPP 33
0
58.0%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Cole TuckerSimilar
Q1 5:57
3RD & 7
OPP 33
0
58.5%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:49
4TH & 7
OPP 33
+51
58.7%
John Richardson 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4259% → 58%
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
58.6%
Julian Ross run for 2 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
58.5%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
58.2%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:59
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
57.9%
Michael Farkas punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:4741% → 41%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
58.8%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the NoIll 24Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+3
58.6%
Ross Bowers run for 3 yds to the NoIll 27Similar
Q1 3:39
3RD & 4
OWN 27
-1
58.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 26Similar
Q1 3:03
4TH & 5
OWN 26
+17
59.2%
Matt Ference punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 41 , DL Knock returns for 17 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6TD
15 plays · 59 yds · 5:3959% → 65%
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-4
59.2%
Nathan Rourke sacked by Antonio Jones-Davis for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 37Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 14
OWN 37
+14
58.2%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 14 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
59.5%
Julian Ross run for 1 yd to the NoIll 48Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+1
59.5%
Julian Ross run for 1 yd to the NoIll 47Similar
Q1 0:33
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+10
59.1%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 10 yds to the NoIll 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
59.6%
Isiah Cox pass incomplete to Cameron Odom, broken up by Trayshon FosterSimilar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
59.6%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Julian RossSimilar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+23
59.1%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 23 yds to the NoIll 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-15
60.4%
OHIO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Shane Hooks) to the NoIll 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
60.4%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 13 yds to the NoIll 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
60.4%
Julian Ross run for 3 yds to the NoIll 13Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+6
60.4%
Julian Ross run for 6 yds to the NoIll 7Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+3
59.5%
Julian Ross run for 3 yds to the NoIll 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
60.5%
Clock 12:25, ROURKE, N. pass incomplete to HOOKS, S., PENALTY NIU holding (HANEY, Devin) 2 yards to the NIU2, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
64.5%
DL Knock pass complete to Nathan Rourke for 2 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 7MISSED FG
6 plays · 49 yds · 1:5337% → 37%
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+45
62.9%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 45 yds to the Ohio 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
60.5%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-2
60.5%
Tre Harbison run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 32Similar
Q2 10:57
3RD & 12
OPP 32
+6
62.2%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 6 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q2 10:21
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+44
62.7%
John Richardson 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:3463% → 64%
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
62.8%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Ryan Luehrman, broken up by Devin HaneySimilar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
62.5%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah CoxSimilar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+34
61.8%
O'Shaan Allison run for 34 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
64.8%
Nathan Rourke run for 4 yds to the NoIll 36Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+4
65.0%
Nathan Rourke run for 4 yds to the NoIll 32Similar
Q2 8:31
3RD & 2
OPP 32
-7
64.8%
Nathan Rourke sacked by Vinny Labus for a loss of 7 yards to the NoIll 39Similar
Q2 7:47
4TH & 9
OPP 39
0
63.9%
Michael Farkas punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 9INT
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:3636% → 36%
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
64.0%
Jordan Nettles run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 18Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+19
64.4%
Ross Bowers pass intercepted Ilyaas Motley return for 14 yds to the NoIll 32 OHIO Penalty, illegal forward pass (Ilyaas Motley) to the NoIll 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10TD
6 plays · 30 yds · 3:1467% → 76%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
66.9%
Julian Ross run for no gain to the NoIll 30Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+8
66.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 8 yds to the NoIll 22Similar
Q2 5:51
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+14
66.3%
O'Shaan Allison run for 14 yds to the NoIll 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
67.3%
Nathan Rourke run for 5 yds to the NoIll 3Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
67.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to DL Knock for 1 yd to the NoIll 2Similar
Q2 3:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
76.4%
Austen Pleasants run for 2 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 11MISSED FG
15 plays · 44 yds · 3:3625% → 24%
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.5%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
75.7%
Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the NoIll 26Similar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
76.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 10 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
76.0%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Daniel CrawfordSimilar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
76.2%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 9 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+10
75.1%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 10 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
74.7%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Mitchell BrinkmanSimilar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-13
75.2%
Ross Bowers sacked by Amos Ogun-Semore for a loss of 13 yards to the OHIO 42 NORTHERNIL Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 23
OWN 42
+17
78.5%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Marcus Jones for 17 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q2 0:13
4TH & 6
OPP 41
+10
77.5%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 10 yds to the Ohio 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+49
75.6%
John Richardson 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:2124% → 23%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.0%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+23
76.2%
Tre Harbison run for 23 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
74.7%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Cole TuckerSimilar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
75.1%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 8
50
0
75.3%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Marcus JonesSimilar
Q3 13:39
4TH & 8
50
0
76.7%
Matt Ference punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:1577% → 77%
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
77.3%
O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the Ohio 19Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+15
77.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 15 yds to the Ohio 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
78.0%
O'Shaan Allison run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 33Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+4
78.3%
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q3 11:21
3RD & 7
OWN 37
0
78.2%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Shane HooksSimilar
Q3 11:16
4TH & 7
OWN 37
+55
77.4%
Michael Farkas punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the OHIO 16 NORTHERNIL Penalty, Offensive holding (8 Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14TD
3 plays · 92 yds · 1:1822% → 39%
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+70
77.6%
Marcus Childers run for 70 yds to the Ohio 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
74.2%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Michael Love for 3 yds to the Ohio 4Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
60.6%
Tre Harbison run for 4 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1869% → 67%
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
68.7%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Julian RossSimilar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
68.5%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah Cox, broken up by Dillon Thomas OHIO Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 9:24
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
67.3%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Ryan Luehrman OHIO Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 9:19
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
66.6%
Michael Farkas punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16TD
13 plays · 76 yds · 5:5734% → 55%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
66.2%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 10 yds to the NoIll 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
65.4%
Tre Harbison run for 7 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 3
OWN 41
-7
62.9%
Ross Bowers sacked by Will Evans for a loss of 7 yards to the NoIll 34Similar
Q3 7:29
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+20
67.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 20 yds to the Ohio 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
62.2%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+6
62.3%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 6 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 1
OPP 37
0
62.2%
Tre Harbison run for no gain to the Ohio 37Similar
Q3 5:18
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+10
64.4%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 10 yds to the Ohio 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
60.2%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 9 yds to the Ohio 18Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 1
OPP 18
0
60.2%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Tyrice RichieSimilar
Q3 4:13
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+13
61.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Michael Love for 13 yds to the Ohio 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
60.2%
Tre Harbison run for 4 yds to the Ohio 1Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
45.4%
Tre Harbison run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 33 yds · 3:0553% → 53%
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
53.3%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 9 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+4
57.1%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 4 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
56.5%
Nathan Rourke run for 12 yds to the NoIll 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
56.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for 5 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 5
OPP 40
-15
56.8%
Clock 01:16, ROURKE, N. pass complete to WALTON, T. for 11 yards to the NIU29, out-of-bounds (MCKIE, Jalen), PENALTY OHIO pass interference (HOOKS, S.) 15 yards to the OHIO45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 20
OWN 45
+12
51.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 12 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q3 0:26
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+6
55.0%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 6 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 37
0
53.1%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah Cox, broken up by Trayshon FosterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 2:4552% → 81%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
47.7%
Tre Harbison run for 5 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+2
45.6%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+28
45.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 28 yds to the Ohio 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
42.1%
Tre Harbison run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 30Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 12
OPP 30
0
42.4%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 12
OPP 30
+30
18.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 30 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:3725% → 65%
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
24.6%
Nathan Rourke run for 15 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
26.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 11 yds to the NoIll 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
28.2%
Nathan Rourke run for 10 yds to the NoIll 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
27.7%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron OdomSimilar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+19
27.4%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 19 yds to the NoIll 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
29.5%
Julian Ross run for 8 yds to the NoIll 10Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+2
29.3%
Julian Ross run for 2 yds to the NoIll 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
64.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 8 yds for a TD, (J. Ross Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1047% → 88%
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
52.9%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+11
52.3%
Tre Harbison run for 11 yds to the NoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
48.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 4 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
47.0%
Tre Harbison run for no gain to the NoIll 43Similar
Q4 6:18
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+6
48.1%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 6 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
45.6%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Tyrice RichieSimilar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
46.6%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Cole Tucker, broken up by Ilyaas MotleySimilar
Q4 5:43
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+48
48.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 48 yds to the Ohio 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
12.1%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 1:3222% → 63%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+19
22.2%
Nathan Rourke run for 19 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
25.2%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron Odom, broken up by Dillon ThomasSimilar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+10
23.9%
Nathan Rourke run for 10 yds to the NoIll 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
63.3%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 47 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 22FG
14 plays · 56 yds · 3:3849% → 95%
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
50.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for no gain to the NoIll 25Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
50.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 14 yds to the NoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+22
47.0%
Tre Harbison run for 22 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
42.4%
Tre Harbison run for 11 yds to the Ohio 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
39.9%
Tre Harbison run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 29Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+7
38.0%
Tre Harbison run for 7 yds to the Ohio 22Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+4
39.1%
Tre Harbison run for 4 yds to the Ohio 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
36.7%
Tre Harbison run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 19Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+37
4.6%
John Richardson 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:38
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 47 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)
+39.4
TD · Q4 5:15
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)
-36.5
TD · Q4 8:25
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 8 yds for a TD, (J. Ross Run For Two-point Conversion)
+35.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com