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M-OH

Miami (OH) 16 at Western Michigan 38

WMU
2019 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2019 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:17 · Nick Mihalic punt for 25 yds, downed at the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 20Pregame prior+31.6Home team on offense−0.1Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:33: Brett Gabbert pass intercepted for a TD Drake Spears return for 74 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK) — WMU win probability +6.4 pts (now 76%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q2 4:30: Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 46 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK) — WMU win probability +4.1 pts (now 85%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:06: Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 37 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK) — WMU win probability +6.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:46: Jaylon Bester run for 3 yds for a TD, (Sam Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +21.2 pts (now 33%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 7:22: LeVante Bellamy run for 17 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK) — WMU win probability +11.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9M-OH made the numbers' call on 6 of 12
  1. Q1 13:14WMU 4th & 3 at WMU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:17M-OH 4th & 3 at WMU 33, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.1%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    21.0%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:17WMU 4th & 10 at WMU 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:48M-OH 4th & 6 at WMU 31, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.3%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    22.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00WMU 4th & 2 at M-OH 19, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    73.1%−0.5
    77% to make
    Punt
    70.1%−3.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:32M-OH 4th & 2 at WMU 12, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    29.4%−0.4
    86% to make
    Punt
    26.5%−3.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:37WMU 4th & 6 at WMU 16, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:33M-OH 4th & 4 at M-OH 31, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:16M-OH 4th & 4 at WMU 29, down 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.6%−0.4
    58% to make
    Punt
    14.8%−4.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:06M-OH 4th & 7 at WMU 45, down 15
    Close callPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    12.5%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:53M-OH 4th & 3 at M-OH 25, down 15
    Close callPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:28WMU 4th & 12 at WMU 17, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%−1.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:06M-OH 4th & 9 at WMU 9, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.8%
    89% to make
    Punt
    5.7%−5.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:06WMU 4th & 18 at WMU 17, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−2.7
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:37M-OH 4th & 13 at M-OH 38, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−1.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%
    average punt
  16. Q3 5:00M-OH 4th & 8 at M-OH 48, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  17. Q3 2:58WMU 4th & 7 at WMU 15, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.2%−1.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:40WMU 4th & 20 at WMU 33, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%−7.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.6%
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:36M-OH 4th & 6 at M-OH 48, down 5
    Close callPunted · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%−0.6
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:13WMU 4th & 4 at M-OH 7, up 12
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.3%−0.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    91.5%−4.0
    average punt
  21. Q4 4:13M-OH 4th & 4 at WMU 40, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5M-OH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 6:33WMU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:30WMU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:06WMU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:46M-OH Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:22WMU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:50WMU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WMUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:4684% → 83%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
83.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+7
83.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 7 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+3
83.8%
Jon Wassink run for 3 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q1 13:14
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
83.4%
Nick Mihalic punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 2FG
9 plays · 36 yds · 2:5117% → 18%
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
83.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Tyre Shelton for 5 yds to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 5
OWN 36
0
83.3%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+9
83.2%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jaylon Bester for 9 yds to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
83.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Dominique Robinson for 15 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
83.1%
Davion Johnson run for 5 yds to the WMich 35Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+2
83.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Maurice Thomas for 2 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 3
OPP 33
0
83.1%
Maurice Thomas run for no gain to the WMich 33Similar
Q1 10:17
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+51
82.3%
Sam Sloman 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.9%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Skyy Moore, broken up by Zedrick RaymondSimilar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
82.9%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to LeVante BellamySimilar
Q1 10:17
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
82.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Davon Tucker for no gain to the WMich 25Similar
Q1 10:17
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
82.7%
Nick Mihalic punt for 25 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 4FG
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:3218% → 19%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
50
+9
82.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cam Blakely for 9 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+6
82.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cam Blakely for 6 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
82.0%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete, broken up by Justin TranquillSimilar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+4
82.0%
Jaylon Bester run for 4 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 6
OPP 31
0
82.1%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:48
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+49
81.0%
Sam Sloman 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5DOWNS
20 plays · 68 yds · 7:4882% → 78%
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
81.6%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-12 Yards) to the WMich 13Similar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
81.6%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 1 yd to the WMich 14Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+8
81.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for 8 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q1 7:48
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+5
81.6%
Jon Wassink run for 5 yds to the WMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
81.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+4
81.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q1 7:48
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+4
81.7%
Jon Wassink run for 4 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
81.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 36Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 12
OWN 36
0
81.6%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Skyy MooreSimilar
Q1 7:48
3RD & 12
OWN 36
+8
81.5%
Jon Wassink pass intercepted by Sterling Weatherford at the MIAMI47, Sterling Weatherford return to the WMU17 (Luke Juriga), PENALTY MIAMI pass interference 8 yards to the WMU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
82.0%
Davon Tucker run for 3 yds to the WMich 47Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+4
82.0%
Davon Tucker run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q1 7:48
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+7
82.0%
Davon Tucker run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
82.1%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Corey Crooms for 6 yds to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+9
82.1%
Jon Wassink run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
82.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 8 yds to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 19
-5
78.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+5
78.1%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 5 yds to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 19
0
77.6%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Giovanni RicciSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 6DOWNS
8 plays · 69 yds · 0:0025% → 26%
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+46
75.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to James Maye for 46 yds to the WESTMICH 35 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
73.3%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Ralph Holley for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 37Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+2
73.5%
Maurice Thomas run for 2 yds to the WMich 35Similar
Q2 13:32
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+15
73.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Andrew Homer for 15 yds to the WMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
73.2%
Jaylon Bester run for 4 yds to the WMich 16Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
73.2%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Andrew HomerSimilar
Q2 13:32
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+4
73.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 4 yds to the WMich 12Similar
Q2 13:32
4TH & 2
OPP 12
0
74.1%
Brett Gabbert run for no gain to the WMich 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
73.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the WMich 16Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 6
OWN 16
0
73.6%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Skyy MooreSimilar
Q2 10:37
3RD & 6
OWN 16
0
73.2%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Giovanni Ricci, broken up by Myles ReidSimilar
Q2 10:37
4TH & 6
OWN 16
+1
72.8%
Nick Mihalic punt for 42 yds , Maurice Thomas returns for 1 yd to the MiaOh 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 8INT TD
8 plays · 32 yds · 3:0830% → 24%
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
70.3%
Tyre Shelton run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+15
70.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to James Maye for 15 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
69.7%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 46Similar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 15
OPP 46
+7
70.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Luke Mayock for 7 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+9
69.7%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jaylon Bester for 9 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
69.6%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Tyre SheltonSimilar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
69.5%
Brett Gabbert run for 5 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q2 6:33
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+74
75.9%
Brett Gabbert pass intercepted for a TD Drake Spears return for 74 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.9%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to James MayeSimilar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
78.0%
Davion Johnson run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q2 6:33
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
77.9%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Cam Blakely, broken up by Patrick LuproSimilar
Q2 6:33
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+55
78.7%
Kyle Kramer punt for 40 yds, downed at the WESTMICH 29 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, kick catching interference (15 Yards) to the WMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10TD
3 plays · 56 yds · 1:1980% → 85%
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
80.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 14 yds to the MiaOh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-4
80.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 14
OPP 46
+46
84.7%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 46 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11MISSED FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 2:1415% → 17%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
84.7%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Luke Mayock for 5 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+14
84.4%
Jaylon Bester run for 14 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
83.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Tyre Shelton for 5 yds to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+16
83.2%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cam Blakely for 16 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
82.4%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Dominique RobinsonSimilar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+1
82.4%
Brett Gabbert run for 1 yd to the WMich 34Similar
Q2 2:31
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+5
82.7%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 5 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q2 2:16
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+47
83.2%
Sam Sloman 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 1:1084% → 92%
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
84.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Sean Tyler for 7 yds to the WMich 36Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+4
84.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to DaShon Bussell for 4 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
85.2%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Skyy Moore, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (Emmanuel Rugamba) 15 yards to the MIAMI45, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
85.4%
Jon Wassink sacked by Andrew Sharp and Doug Costin for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 12
OPP 47
0
85.9%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Giovanni Ricci, broken up by Myles ReidSimilar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 12
OPP 47
+10
85.9%
Jon Wassink pass intercepted by Sterling Weatherford at the MIAMI23, Sterling Weatherford return to the MIAMI46 (Jaylon Moore), PENALTY MIAMI holding (Emmanuel Rugamba) 10 yards to the MIAMI37, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
92.1%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 37 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:008% → 9%
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
91.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to James Maye for 10 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
91.6%
Tyre Shelton run for 12 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
90.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Tyre Shelton for 3 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
89.3%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jalen Walker, broken up by Patrick LuproSimilar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
90.7%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jalen WalkerSimilar
Q2 1:06
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
91.2%
Kyle Kramer punt for 43 yds, downed at the WMich 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
92.2%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the WMich 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
88.8%
Jaylon Bester run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 11
OWN 17
0
89.1%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Luke MayockSimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 11
OWN 17
+8
89.2%
Jaylon Bester run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 3
OWN 25
0
89.2%
Kyle Kramer punt for 56 yds, downed at the WMich 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
89.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the WMich 21Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+1
89.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the WMich 22Similar
Q3 13:28
3RD & 7
OWN 22
-5
89.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for a loss of 5 yards to the WMich 17Similar
Q3 13:28
4TH & 12
OWN 17
0
88.7%
Nick Mihalic punt for 29 yds, downed at the WMich 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 17FG
9 plays · 37 yds · 3:2412% → 13%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
88.2%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Cam BlakelySimilar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+7
88.4%
Davion Johnson run for 7 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+15
88.0%
Brett Gabbert run for 15 yds to the WMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
87.3%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Cam Blakely, PENALTY WMU pass interference (Anton Curtis) 15 yards to the WMU9, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
87.3%
Davion Johnson run for 3 yds to the WMich 6Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
87.3%
Jaylon Bester run for no gain to the WMich 6Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
88.0%
Brett Gabbert run for 2 yds to the WMich 4Similar
Q3 11:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
88.4%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 9Similar
Q3 8:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
86.9%
Sam Sloman 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
89.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 22Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-5
88.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jordan Asbury for a loss of 5 yards to the WMich 17Similar
Q3 8:06
3RD & 18
OWN 17
0
88.3%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Keith Mixon Jr.Similar
Q3 8:06
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+52
87.8%
Nick Mihalic punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jalen Walker at the WESTMICH 46 MIAMI OH Penalty, IB (15 Yards) to the MiaOh 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
88.0%
Brett Gabbert run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
87.6%
Jaylon Bester run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
87.1%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Cam Blakely, broken up by Patrick LuproSimilar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 6
OWN 45
-7
87.6%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Najee Clayton for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q3 6:37
4TH & 13
OWN 38
0
89.2%
Kyle Kramer punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
89.8%
Jon Wassink pass intercepted Emmanuel Rugamba return for no gain to the MiaOh 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
87.8%
Brett Gabbert run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 6
50
+2
87.4%
Jaylon Bester run for 2 yds to the WMich 48Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 4
OPP 48
-4
87.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to James Maye for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q3 5:00
4TH & 8
OWN 48
+7
88.7%
Kyle Kramer punt for 47 yds , DaShon Bussell returns for 7 yds to the WMich 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
90.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the WMich 13Similar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+2
90.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the WMich 15Similar
Q3 2:58
3RD & 7
OWN 15
0
90.2%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the WMich 15Similar
Q3 2:58
4TH & 7
OWN 15
0
89.7%
Nick Mihalic punt for 44 yds, downed at the MiaOh 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 23TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 1:5812% → 33%
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
88.3%
Brett Gabbert run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q3 0:44
2ND & 9
OWN 42
-5
88.4%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Ken Aguirre and Timothy Collins for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 37
+15
90.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for no gain to the MIAMI37 (Anton Curtis), PENALTY WMU roughing passer 15 yards to the WMU48, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
87.6%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Antonio Balabani and Ralph Holley for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+46
88.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Dominique Robinson for 46 yds to the WMich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
67.0%
Jaylon Bester run for 3 yds for a TD, (Sam Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:0077% → 74%
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
77.1%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+11
77.4%
Sean Tyler run for 11 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
79.0%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the WMich 44Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
78.9%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Giovanni Ricci, broken up by Emmanuel RugambaSimilar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 9
OWN 44
-11
76.8%
Jon Wassink sacked by Lonnie Phelps and Bart Baratti for a loss of 11 yards to the WMich 33 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, intentional grounding (Jon Wassink) to the WMich 33Similar
Q4 13:40
4TH & 20
OWN 33
0
74.4%
Nick Mihalic punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jalen Walker at the MiaOh 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
72.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to James Maye for 9 yds to the MiaOh 35 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+9
69.9%
Tyre Shelton run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
69.7%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Ali Fayad for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+5
71.2%
Jaylon Bester run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q4 11:36
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
69.4%
Jackson Williamson pass incomplete to James Maye, broken up by Anton CurtisSimilar
Q4 11:36
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
73.0%
Kyle Kramer punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 26TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:3779% → 94%
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
79.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 2 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+8
79.1%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Corey Crooms for 8 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+35
79.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 35 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
83.2%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+16
83.2%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 16 yds to the MiaOh 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
95.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 17 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
Q4 7:22
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-50
94.3%
Nick Mihalic kickoff 65 yards to the MIAMI0, Jalen Walker return to the MIAMI15 (Jake Moertl), PENALTY WMU offside 50 yards to the MIAMI15, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 27INT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:366% → 8%
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.6%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Dominique Robinson, broken up by Patrick LuproSimilar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
93.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Davion Johnson for 5 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q4 6:39
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+24
92.3%
Brett Gabbert pass intercepted Patrick Lupro return for 24 yds to the MiaOh 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 28FG
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:1796% → 98%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
95.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+1
96.7%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 10Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+3
96.6%
Jon Wassink run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 7Similar
Q4 4:13
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+24
98.4%
Thiago Kapps 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 29DOWNS
10 plays · 28 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.7%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jaylon Bester for 8 yds to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
96.4%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Dominique RobinsonSimilar
Q4 4:13
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
96.5%
Jaylon Bester run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
96.4%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jaylon Bester for 4 yds to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+15
96.4%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Cam Blakely, PENALTY WMU pass interference (Anton Curtis) 15 yards to the WMU46, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
96.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Dominique Robinson for 6 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 4
OPP 40
0
95.8%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to James Maye, broken up by Kareem AliSimilar
Q4 4:13
3RD & 4
OPP 40
0
96.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jaylon Bester for no gain to the WMich 40Similar
Q4 4:13
4TH & 4
OPP 40
-7
96.4%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Ali Fayad for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 30TD
5 plays · 53 yds · 0:1999% → 100%
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
98.7%
Davon Tucker run for 1 yd to the WMich 48Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+5
98.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+47
99.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 47 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 31INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.6%
Brett Gabbert pass intercepted Najee Clayton return for 5 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 32END OF GAME
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 12
OPP 31
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 14
OPP 33
-1
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:46
Jaylon Bester run for 3 yds for a TD, (Sam Sloman KICK)
-21.2
TD · Q4 7:22
LeVante Bellamy run for 17 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)
+11.8
TD · Q2 6:33
Brett Gabbert pass intercepted for a TD Drake Spears return for 74 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)
+6.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com