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BALL

Ball State 29 at Eastern Michigan 23

EMU
2019 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2019 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadBALL aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreBALL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:36 · Jake Julien punt for 62 yds, downed at the BalSt 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differential
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 152Home team on offense−8.5Pregame prior+1.3Garbage-time factor−4.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3Score differential−2.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:12: Mike Glass III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +6.0 pts (now 66%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:41: Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 29 yds for a TD EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined, (Ryan Rimmler KICK) — BALL win probability +8.5 pts (now 44%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:32: Mike Glass III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chad Ryland PAT MISSED) — EMU win probability +11.5 pts (now 80%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:49: Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 46 yds for a TD, (Ryan Rimmler KICK) — BALL win probability +18.3 pts (now 44%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 11:36: Drew Plitt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Drew Plitt pass to Riley Miller for Two-Point Conversion) — BALL win probability +31.0 pts (now 74%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7BALL made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 12:51EMU 4th & 1 at BALL 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    57.1%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    56.7%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:57BALL 4th & 18 at EMU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%−0.5
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    41.5%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:57EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:12BALL 4th & 8 at BALL 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−0.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:27EMU 4th & 6 at BALL 35, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.0%−0.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    66.3%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:07EMU 4th & 6 at EMU 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:49BALL 4th & 6 at EMU 38, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    38.8%−1.4
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.0%−1.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:43EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 32, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.5%−2.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:23BALL 4th & 14 at BALL 41, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−4.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:58BALL 4th & 1 at EMU 39, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    34.9%−5.5
    36% to make
    Punt
    34.9%−5.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:36EMU 4th & 15 at EMU 20, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−3.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:49BALL 4th & 7 at BALL 21, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%−2.9
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:26BALL 4th & 9 at EMU 33, up 6
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.3 ptsPunted · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    89.4%
    49% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.1%−1.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:08EMU 4th & 10 at BALL 19, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.4%
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    13.2%−2.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    8.9%−6.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3BALL made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 3:10EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:55BALL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:12EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:41BALL Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:32EMU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    79.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:49BALL Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:36BALL Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    62.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    62.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1INT
13 plays · 68 yds · 2:0957% → 57%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
56.9%
Mike Glass III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+41
56.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 41 yds to the BalSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
56.9%
Mathew Sexton run for 4 yds to the BalSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+2
56.9%
Willie Parker run for 2 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+3
56.9%
Mike Glass III run for 3 yds to the BalSt 25Similar
Q1 12:51
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+2
57.2%
Mike Glass III run for 2 yds to the BalSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
57.4%
Mike Glass III run for 5 yds to the BalSt 18Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+6
57.4%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 6 yds to the BalSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
57.4%
Willie Parker run for 1 yd to the BalSt 11Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+4
57.4%
Mike Glass III run for 4 yds to the BalSt 7Similar
Q1 12:51
3RD & 5
OPP 7
0
57.3%
Mike Glass III pass intercepted, touchback. Bryce Cosby return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 2MISSED FG
11 plays · 62 yds · 2:5343% → 43%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
57.1%
PLITT, Drew pass incomplete to HALL, Justin, PENALTY EMU pass interference (McGEE, Freddie) 5 yards to the BALL25, 1ST DOWN BALL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
57.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the BalSt 29Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+33
56.9%
Caleb Huntley run for 33 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
56.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 6 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+7
56.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 7 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+21
56.3%
Walter Fletcher run for 21 yds to the EMich 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-15
56.0%
HUNTLEY, Caleb rush for loss of 4 yards to the EMU8 (BELTRAM, Kobie;RANSEY, Anthony), PENALTY BALL personal foul (SLAVEN, Kaleb) 15 yards to the EMU19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 19
+1
56.0%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 1 yd to the EMich 18Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
0
56.2%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
0
56.7%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 18
+35
57.1%
Ryan Rimmler 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
57.0%
Willie Parker run for 3 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+7
57.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 7 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
57.1%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for no gain to the EMich 30Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
57.0%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Willie ParkerSimilar
Q1 6:57
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
56.6%
Mike Glass III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:57
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
56.4%
Jake Julien punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 4FUMBLE
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
57.0%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+19
56.8%
Drew Plitt run for a loss of 7 yards to the BalSt 2 Drew Plitt fumbled, recovered by EMich Kobie Beltram , return for 19 yds to the BalSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5TD
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:4359% → 63%
Q1 3:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
58.7%
Karmi Mackey run for no gain to the BalSt 2Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
62.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Jairus Grissom for 2 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 6TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 3:0739% → 46%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+17
61.5%
Caleb Huntley run for 17 yds to the BalSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
61.1%
Caleb Huntley run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 32Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+7
61.6%
Drew Plitt run for 7 yds to the BalSt 39Similar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+11
61.0%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
50
0
60.2%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Riley MillerSimilar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 10
50
+4
60.6%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+39
60.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 39 yds to the EMich 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
59.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 6 yds to the EMich 1Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
53.9%
Drew Plitt run for 1 yd for a TD EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Ryan Rimmler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7TD
16 plays · 78 yds · 5:3857% → 66%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
57.4%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Steven Nielsen) to the EMich 17Similar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 15
OWN 17
+23
57.3%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 23 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
58.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Jairus Grissom for 15 yds to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
59.2%
Breck Turner run for 1 yd to the BalSt 44Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+16
59.1%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 16 yds to the BalSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
59.5%
Breck Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 29Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 11
OPP 29
0
59.9%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Mathew SextonSimilar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 11
OPP 29
+18
58.9%
Mike Glass III run for 18 yds to the BalSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
60.0%
Mathew Sexton run for 2 yds to the BalSt 9Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+7
60.0%
Breck Turner run for 7 yds to the BalSt 2Similar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+1
59.3%
Mike Glass III run for 1 yd to the BalSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
60.0%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Karmi Mackey) to the BalSt 6Similar
Q2 11:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
60.0%
Willie Parker run for 5 yds to the BalSt 1Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
66.0%
Mike Glass III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0036% → 35%
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
64.0%
BALL ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 20Similar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
64.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 5 yds to the BalSt 25Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
64.2%
Justin Hall run for 2 yds to the BalSt 27Similar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
64.8%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Riley Miller BALL ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 9:12
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
65.3%
Nathan Snyder punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9FG
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:2565% → 68%
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
65.3%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 13 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
66.8%
GLASS, Mike pass incomplete to LATU, Line (PHILLIPS, Antonio), PENALTY BALL pass interference (PHILLIPS, Antonio) 15 yards to the BALL39, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
67.1%
Breck Turner run for 4 yds to the BalSt 35Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
67.2%
Line Latu run for 10 yds to the BalSt 25 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the BalSt 35Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
67.2%
Line Latu run for no gain to the BalSt 35Similar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
66.5%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q2 5:27
4TH & 6
OPP 35
+52
68.4%
Chad Ryland 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 10TD
12 plays · 90 yds · 3:4132% → 44%
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
68.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the BalSt 11Similar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+11
68.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 11 yds to the BalSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
68.3%
Caleb Huntley run for 9 yds to the BalSt 31Similar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+4
66.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 4 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
67.5%
Walter Fletcher run for 5 yds to the BalSt 40Similar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+12
66.6%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 12 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
66.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 5 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+10
65.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 10 yds to the EMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
65.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 6
OPP 29
0
64.7%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+29
56.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 29 yds for a TD EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined, (Ryan Rimmler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:3061% → 60%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
61.2%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 11 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
61.6%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Mathew SextonSimilar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+4
61.2%
Breck Turner run for 4 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
61.7%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q2 1:07
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
60.2%
Jake Julien punt for 38 yds, downed at the BalSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
60.8%
Drew Plitt sacked by Turan Rush for a loss of 5 yards to the BalSt 20Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+1
61.4%
Walter Fletcher run for 1 yd to the BalSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
60.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 7 yds to the BalSt 40Similar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+7
58.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 7 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
58.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 4 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+7
58.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 7 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
58.0%
Drew Plitt sacked by Turan Rush for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 42 Drew Plitt fumbled, recovered by BalSt Drew Plitt , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-1
58.1%
Walter Fletcher run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 43Similar
Q3 14:49
3RD & 11
OPP 43
+5
59.8%
PLITT, Drew pass incomplete to GIVAN, Nolan, PENALTY EMU offside (RUSH, Turan) 5 yards to the EMU38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:49
3RD & 6
OPP 38
0
58.5%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Riley Miller, broken up by Kobie BeltramSimilar
Q3 14:49
4TH & 6
OPP 38
0
59.9%
Drew Plitt punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:2463% → 80%
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
62.6%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 24 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
65.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Bryce Kemp for 11 yds to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+22
65.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Bryce Kemp for 22 yds to the BalSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
66.7%
Willie Parker run for 5 yds to the BalSt 18Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 5
OPP 18
-2
66.7%
Willie Parker run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 20Similar
Q3 8:47
3RD & 7
OPP 20
-5
66.8%
GLASS, Mike pass complete to JACKSON, Arthur for 20 yards to the BALL0, clock 08:47, PENALTY EMU illegal formation (NIELSEN, Steven) 5 yards to the BALL25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:47
3RD & 12
OPP 25
-5
65.9%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Steven Nielsen) to the BalSt 30Similar
Q3 8:47
3RD & 17
OPP 30
+28
64.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 28 yds to the BalSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
68.2%
Mike Glass III run for 1 yd to the BalSt 1Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.7%
Mike Glass III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chad Ryland PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 15TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 2:3724% → 44%
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
76.5%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+5
76.5%
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the BalSt 38Similar
Q3 7:26
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+5
76.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
75.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 6 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+5
74.8%
Walter Fletcher run for 5 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
56.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 46 yds for a TD, (Ryan Rimmler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0062% → 61%
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
62.0%
Breck Turner run for 4 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
62.3%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Thomas OdukoyaSimilar
Q3 4:43
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+5
60.7%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 5 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q3 4:43
4TH & 1
OWN 32
+38
60.5%
Jake Julien punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Riley Miller at the EASTMICH 25 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, illegal formation (Terry Myrick) to the BalSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0040% → 37%
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
60.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive holding (Desmond Kelly) to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
57.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 1 yd to the BalSt 46Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 9
OWN 46
-10
57.6%
PLITT, Drew rush for loss of 1 yard to the BALL45, out-of-bounds (BELTRAM, Kobie), PENALTY BALL holding (HUNTLEY, Caleb) 10 yards to the BALL36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 19
OWN 36
0
61.0%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Walter FletcherSimilar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 19
OWN 36
+5
62.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Walter Fletcher for 5 yds to the BalSt 41Similar
Q3 3:23
4TH & 14
OWN 41
+29
62.9%
Nathan Snyder punt for 43 yds , Dylan Drummond returns for 29 yds to the EMich 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
66.3%
Line Latu pass incomplete to Bryson CannonSimilar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
64.9%
Breck Turner run for 3 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q3 1:14
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
64.8%
Mike Glass III pass intercepted Antonio Phillips return for no gain to the BalSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 19TD
12 plays · 61 yds · 3:5341% → 74%
Q3 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
58.6%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 8 yds to the BalSt 47Similar
Q3 0:29
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+5
56.5%
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
56.5%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
56.5%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+6
57.1%
Drew Plitt run for 6 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q4 13:58
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+2
59.9%
Drew Plitt run for 2 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+21
57.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 21 yds to the EMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
55.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the EMich 12Similar
Q4 13:58
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+11
55.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 11 yds to the EMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
56.7%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the EMich 1Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
25.6%
Drew Plitt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Drew Plitt pass to Riley Miller for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0039% → 36%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.2%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
38.8%
Breck Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 23Similar
Q4 11:36
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-3
37.0%
Mike Glass III sacked by Jimmy Daw for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 20Similar
Q4 11:36
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
35.7%
Jake Julien punt for 62 yds, downed at the BalSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0072% → 69%
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
28.2%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the BalSt 18Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+3
28.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 21Similar
Q4 9:49
3RD & 7
OWN 21
0
29.2%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Riley MillerSimilar
Q4 9:49
4TH & 7
OWN 21
0
30.8%
Nathan Snyder punt for 34 yds, downed at the EMich 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22INT
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:0038% → 34%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
38.3%
Willie Parker run for 3 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 7
OWN 48
-8
39.2%
Mike Glass III sacked by Christian Albright for a loss of 8 yards to the EMich 40Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 15
OWN 40
+4
33.6%
Mike Glass III pass intercepted Ray Wilborn return for 4 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 23PUNT
19 plays · 34 yds · 5:5179% → 96%
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
21.3%
Caleb Huntley run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 32Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+2
21.7%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Cody Rudy for 2 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q4 7:17
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+11
22.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 11 yds to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
19.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 5
50
+4
18.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 4 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q4 7:17
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+2
18.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
18.2%
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+4
18.1%
Walter Fletcher run for 4 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+1
10.1%
Drew Plitt run for 1 yd to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
9.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+1
5.0%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the EMich 30Similar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+2
5.2%
Walter Fletcher run for 2 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q4 1:26
4TH & 4
OPP 28
-5
4.2%
BALL ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the EMich 33Similar
Q4 1:26
4TH & 9
OPP 33
0
4.3%
Nathan Snyder punt for 33 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24FUMBLE
10 plays · 70 yds · 1:1113% → 11%
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
12.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Breck Turner for 11 yds to the EMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
13.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 11 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
14.7%
Mike Glass III run for 2 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+13
14.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 13 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
17.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 13 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
16.3%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 11 yds to the BalSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
18.4%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
16.2%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Arthur Jackson IIISimilar
Q4 0:14
3RD & 10
OPP 19
0
14.0%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Mathew SextonSimilar
Q4 0:08
4TH & 10
OPP 19
-4
11.4%
Mike Glass III sacked by Jordan Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the BalSt 9 Mike Glass III fumbled, recovered by BalSt Amechi Uzodinma II , return for 0 yards , return for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
4.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:36
Drew Plitt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Drew Plitt pass to Riley Miller for Two-Point Conversion)
-31
TD · Q3 4:49
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 46 yds for a TD, (Ryan Rimmler KICK)
-18.3
TD · Q3 7:32
Mike Glass III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chad Ryland PAT MISSED)
+11.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com