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EMU

Eastern Michigan 16 at Central Michigan 42

CMU
2019 · Week 6 · Oct 5, 2019 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
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Win probability · CMU
modelCMU aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playCMU scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+1.2CMU 99.8%Tommy Lazzaro run for 6 yds for a TD,(Ryan Tice KICK)AWAY 16 - HOME 42 · Q4 2:55
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:55 · Tommy Lazzaro run for 6 yds for a TD, (Ryan Tice KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 159Home team on offense+34.7Score differential+22.9Pregame prior−0.6Garbage-time factor+13.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.3Blowout margin+13.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:38: David Moore pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 80 yds for a TD, (Ryan Tice KICK) — CMU win probability +11.2 pts (now 55%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:31: David Moore pass complete to Jonathan Ward for 64 yds for a TD, (Ryan Tice KICK) — CMU win probability +10.8 pts (now 68%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:50: Kobe Lewis run for 28 yds for a TD, (Ryan Tice KICK) — CMU win probability +11.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:11: Mike Glass III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +6.9 pts (now 12%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:45: Jonathan Ward run for 86 yds for a TD, (Ryan Tice KICK) — CMU win probability +6.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 6EMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 12:21EMU 4th & 3 at CMU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    57.3%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    57.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:19CMU 4th & 4 at EMU 32, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.1%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    46.8%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:43EMU 4th & 13 at CMU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%−0.6
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    48.9%−2.0
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:09CMU 4th & 2 at EMU 26, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.3%−0.5
    64% to make
    Punt
    44.8%−3.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:38EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:31EMU 4th & 7 at EMU 42, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%−1.0
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:18CMU 4th & 10 at CMU 44, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:02EMU 4th & 20 at EMU 32, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−3.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:21CMU 4th & 1 at CMU 41, up 18
    Close callPunted · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.8%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:55EMU 4th & 8 at EMU 35, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−1.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:55CMU 4th & 1 at EMU 31, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    81.0%−3.4
    54% to make
    Punt
    79.3%−5.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:31EMU 4th & 5 at CMU 7, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.5%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    9.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−8.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:59EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 10, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.6%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:55CMU 4th & 6 at EMU 6, up 19
    Close callWent for it · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    97.5%−1.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:50EMU 4th & 15 at EMU 43, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6EMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 12:21CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:38CMU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:31CMU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:50CMU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:11EMU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:45CMU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:36EMU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:55CMU Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CMUDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:3937% → 40%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+37
37.4%
David Moore pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 37 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
37.4%
Jonathan Ward run for 3 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+22
37.4%
David Moore pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 22 yds to the EMich 13 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
37.4%
David Moore run for 4 yds to the EMich 9Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 9
0
37.4%
David Moore pass incomplete to JaCorey SullivanSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+6
37.4%
David Moore pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 6 yds to the EMich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
39.6%
Jonathan Ward run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ryan Tice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2DOWNS
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
39.2%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 11 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
39.1%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 6 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 4
OWN 42
-7
39.0%
Mike Glass III sacked by Jacques Bristol for a loss of 7 yards to the EMich 35Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+18
39.3%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 18 yds to the CMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
38.9%
Breck Turner run for no gain to the CMich 47Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
39.0%
Mike Glass III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+7
39.1%
Mike Glass III run for 7 yds to the CMich 40 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, IF ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 12:21
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
39.1%
Mike Glass III pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 3MISSED FG
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:5342% → 44%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
42.1%
Jonathan Ward run for 4 yds to the CMich 44Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+5
42.3%
David Moore pass complete to Jonathan Ward for 5 yds to the CMich 49Similar
Q1 9:12
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+1
42.1%
David Moore run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
50
+12
42.3%
David Moore run for 12 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
42.3%
David Moore pass incomplete to JaCorey SullivanSimilar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+6
42.3%
Jonathan Ward run for 6 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q1 9:12
3RD & 4
OPP 32
0
42.2%
David Moore pass incomplete to Kalil PimpletonSimilar
Q1 6:19
4TH & 4
OPP 32
+50
44.0%
Ryan Tice 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 2:3657% → 56%
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
43.4%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+12
43.6%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 12 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+22
43.1%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 7 yds to the CENTMICH 49 for a 1ST down CENTRAL MICH Penalty, illegal helmet contact (Kyron McKinnie-Harper) to the CMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+13
42.3%
Mike Glass III run for 13 yds to the CMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
42.2%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Arthur Jackson III, broken up by Darius BracySimilar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-3
42.3%
Jairus Grissom run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 24Similar
Q1 3:53
3RD & 13
OPP 24
0
45.1%
Mike Glass III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:43
4TH & 13
OPP 24
+42
44.4%
Chad Ryland 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 5MISSED FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:3444% → 46%
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
43.5%
Kalil Pimpleton run for 19 yds to the CMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
44.4%
David Moore pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 11 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
44.7%
Kobe Lewis run for 2 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+9
44.6%
David Moore pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 9 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
45.0%
David Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+6
45.0%
Kobe Lewis run for 6 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q1 3:43
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+2
44.6%
Kobe Lewis run for 2 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q1 0:09
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+44
45.8%
Ryan Tice 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6INT
5 plays · 40 yds · 0:0054% → 56%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+26
45.8%
Willie Parker run for 26 yds to the CMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
44.2%
Mike Glass III run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+10
44.6%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Thomas Odukoya for 10 yds to the CMich 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+5
44.3%
Mike Glass III run for 5 yds to the CMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
43.6%
Mike Glass III pass intercepted, touchback. Alonzo McCoy return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 7TD
1 play · 80 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
54.8%
David Moore pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 80 yds for a TD, (Ryan Tice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
53.8%
Willie Parker run for 3 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
53.7%
Willie Parker run for 4 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q2 12:38
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
53.7%
Mike Glass III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:38
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
54.3%
Jake Julien punt for 40 yds , Kalil Pimpleton returns for no gain to the CMich 26 Kalil Pimpleton fumbled, recovered by CMich Kalil PimpletonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 9TD
2 plays · 74 yds · 0:3457% → 68%
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
56.7%
Jonathan Ward run for 10 yds to the CMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
67.6%
David Moore pass complete to Jonathan Ward for 64 yds for a TD, (Ryan Tice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
65.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 14 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
64.7%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Dylan Drummond) to the EMich 34Similar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+8
65.6%
Willie Parker run for 8 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
64.6%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
65.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Willie Parker for no gain to the EMich 42Similar
Q2 10:31
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
65.4%
Jake Julien punt for 48 yds, downed at the CMich 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 34 yds · 3:1170% → 76%
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
70.4%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 5 yds to the CMich 15Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+18
70.5%
David Moore pass complete to Bernhard Raimann for 18 yds to the CMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
69.4%
David Moore pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 5 yds to the CMich 38Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+4
70.0%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 4 yds to the CMich 42Similar
Q2 7:13
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+2
69.3%
David Moore run for 2 yds to the CMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
70.1%
David Moore pass incomplete to Kumehnnu GwillySimilar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
70.0%
David Moore pass incomplete to Bernhard Raimann, broken up by Brody HoyingSimilar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
76.8%
David Moore pass incomplete to Tony Poljan, broken up by Kobie BeltramSimilar
Q2 5:18
4TH & 10
OWN 44
+3
75.8%
Brady Buell punt for 40 yds , Dylan Drummond returns for 3 yds to the EMich 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
69.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 12 yds to the EMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
68.9%
Willie Parker run for no gain to the EMich 31Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+11
70.2%
Dylan Drummond run for 11 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
68.7%
Willie Parker run for 1 yd to the EMich 43Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
69.0%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Mathew Sexton, broken up by Kyron McKinnie-HarperSimilar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 9
OWN 43
-11
69.4%
Mike Glass III sacked by Sean Adesanya for a loss of 11 yards to the EMich 32Similar
Q2 5:02
4TH & 20
OWN 32
0
70.8%
Jake Julien punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Kalil Pimpleton at the CMich 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:2977% → 79%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
77.4%
David Moore pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 6 yds to the CMich 38Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 4
OWN 38
-4
77.5%
MOORE, David pass incomplete to PIMPLETON, K., PENALTY CMU IM (EIPPER, Steve) 4 yards to the CMU34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 8
OWN 0
+3
77.4%
Jonathan Ward run for 3 yds to the CMich 37 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the CMich 37Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+4
79.2%
Jonathan Ward run for 4 yds to the CMich 41Similar
Q2 0:21
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
78.6%
Brady Buell punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
77.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
77.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 11 yds to the EMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-6
77.0%
Mike Glass III sacked by Troy Brown for a loss of 6 yards to the EMich 27Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 16
OWN 27
0
78.4%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Mathew SextonSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 16
OWN 27
+8
78.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Breck Turner for 8 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
78.3%
Jake Julien punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 16TD
11 plays · 64 yds · 5:0584% → 97%
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
84.4%
Jonathan Ward run for 5 yds to the CMich 41Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+9
84.7%
David Moore pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
50
0
84.8%
David Moore pass incomplete to Jonathan Ward, broken up by Kevin McGillSimilar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 10
50
+10
84.7%
Kobe Lewis run for 10 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
84.9%
Jonathan Ward run for 1 yd to the EMich 39Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+8
84.8%
David Moore pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 8 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 1
OPP 31
0
84.3%
David Moore run for no gain to the EMich 31Similar
Q3 12:55
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+3
83.4%
Kobe Lewis run for 3 yds to the EMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
84.8%
David Moore run for 5 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 5
OPP 23
0
84.8%
David Moore pass complete to Tony Poljan for no gain Tony Poljan fumbled, forced by Blake Bogan, recovered by CMich Tony PoljanSimilar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+28
96.7%
Kobe Lewis run for 28 yds for a TD, (Ryan Tice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:395% → 12%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
95.3%
GLASS, Mike sacked for loss of 14 yards to the EMU11 (JOHNSON, LaQuan), PENALTY CMU face mask (JOHNSON, LaQuan) 15 yards to the EMU40, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
95.1%
Line Latu run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 39Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+25
95.2%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 25 yds to the CMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
95.1%
PARKER, Willie rush for 9 yards to the CMU27 (JAMISON, D.), PENALTY EMU holding (DONNELLON, Jake) 10 yards to the CMU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 20
OPP 46
+5
94.3%
GLASS, Mike pass incomplete to LATU, Line, PENALTY CMU offside (ELDRIDGE, J.) 5 yards to the CMU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+16
94.3%
Mike Glass III run for 16 yds to the CMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
94.5%
Mike Glass III run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 29 Mike Glass III fumbled, forced by Kaden Keon, recovered by EMichSimilar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 14
OPP 29
+27
94.2%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 27 yds to the CMich 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
94.7%
Willie Parker run for 1 yd to the CMich 1Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.8%
Mike Glass III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 18INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.5%
David Moore pass complete to Jonathan Ward for 4 yds to the CMich 29Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
91.7%
David Moore pass intercepted Noski LaFleur return for 13 yds to the CMich 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
88.4%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Quian Williams, broken up by Montrae BraswellSimilar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+1
88.4%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 1 yd to the CMich 11Similar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 9
OPP 11
+4
89.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Breck Turner for 4 yds to the CMich 7Similar
Q3 3:31
4TH & 5
OPP 7
0
89.4%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Arthur Jackson III, broken up by Kyron McKinnie-HarperSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 20TD
4 plays · 93 yds · 1:2392% → 98%
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
91.5%
Jonathan Ward run for 3 yds to the CMich 10Similar
Q3 2:08
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+4
92.6%
Jonathan Ward run for 4 yds to the CMich 14Similar
Q3 0:45
3RD & 3
OWN 14
+86
98.7%
Jonathan Ward run for 86 yds for a TD, (Ryan Tice KICK)Similar
Q3 0:45
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
+15
98.4%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, illegal use of hands (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:092% → 7%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.2%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Mathew Sexton for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 24Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+15
98.2%
GLASS, Mike pass incomplete to JACKSON, Arthur (BRACY, Darius), PENALTY CMU pass interference (BRACY, Darius) 15 yards to the EMU39, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+29
98.1%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Vince Calhoun for 14 yds to the CENTMICH 47 for a 1ST down CENTRAL MICH Penalty, personal foul (Alonzo McCoy) to the CMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+23
98.0%
Jairus Grissom run for 23 yds to the CMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
98.0%
Breck Turner run for 4 yds to the CMich 5Similar
Q4 13:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
93.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 5 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22FUMBLE
17 plays · 73 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-14
96.7%
LEWIS, Kobe rush for 22 yards to the CMU48 (VANN, Shaq), PENALTY CMU holding (POLJAN, Tony) 14 yards to the CMU12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 24
OWN 12
-3
96.0%
LEWIS, Kobe rush for 7 yards to the CMU19 (MYRICK, Terry), PENALTY CMU IB (LAW, Drayton) 3 yards to the CMU9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 27
OWN 9
-1
95.9%
Kobe Lewis run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 8Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 28
OWN 8
-4
95.9%
Kobe Lewis run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 6 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, personal foul (Danny Motowski) to the CMich 4Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 32
OWN 4
+3
95.9%
Kobe Lewis run for 3 yds to the CMich 7Similar
Q4 13:30
4TH & 29
OWN 7
+15
95.5%
BUELL, Brady punt 36 yards to the CMU43, fair catch by DRUMMOND, Dylan, PENALTY EMU roughing the kicker (RAMIREZ, Jose) 15 yards to the CMU22, 1ST DOWN CMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
96.6%
Kobe Lewis run for 1 yd to the CMich 23Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+13
96.6%
Kobe Lewis run for 13 yds to the CMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
96.7%
Kobe Lewis run for 13 yds to the CMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
96.9%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 7 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+6
96.9%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 6 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
96.9%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 8 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+18
96.9%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 6 yds to the EMich 24 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (12 Yards) to the EMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
96.9%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 3 yds to the EMich 9Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+3
96.9%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 3 yds to the EMich 6Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+2
96.8%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 2 yds to the EMich 1 Kumehnnu Gwilly fumbled, forced by Vince Calhoun, recovered by EMich Jerodd VinesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 23DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
97.8%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
97.8%
Mike Glass III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 10
OWN 1
+9
97.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Breck Turner for 9 yds to the EMich 10Similar
Q4 5:59
4TH & 1
OWN 10
0
97.7%
Willie Parker run for no gain to the EMich 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 24TD
4 plays · 10 yds · 2:0399% → 100%
Q4 4:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
98.7%
Tommy Lazzaro run for 2 yds to the EMich 8Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
98.7%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 2 yds to the EMich 6Similar
Q4 4:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.6%
Tommy Lazzaro run for no gain to the EMich 6Similar
Q4 2:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.8%
Tommy Lazzaro run for 6 yds for a TD, (Ryan Tice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 25DOWNS
9 plays · 19 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
99.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 12 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-6
99.9%
Preston Hutchinson sacked by Keegan Cossou for a loss of 6 yards to the EMich 30Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 16
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Arthur Jackson IIISimilar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 16
OWN 30
+18
99.9%
Preston Hutchinson run for 3 yds to the EMich 33 for a 1ST down CENTRAL MICH Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for no gain to the EMich 48Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-8
99.9%
Preston Hutchinson sacked by Joshuwa Eldridge for a loss of 8 yards to the EMich 40Similar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 18
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 3 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q4 2:50
4TH & 15
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 26Uncategorized
1 play · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:50
Kobe Lewis run for 28 yds for a TD, (Ryan Tice KICK)
+11.9
TD · Q2 12:38
David Moore pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 80 yds for a TD, (Ryan Tice KICK)
+11.2
TD · Q2 10:31
David Moore pass complete to Jonathan Ward for 64 yds for a TD, (Ryan Tice KICK)
+10.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com