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CMU

Central Michigan 15 at Western Michigan 31

WMU
2019 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2019 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadCMU aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreCMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+3.6WMU 98.4%Jon Wassink run for 1 yd for a TD,(Thiago Kapps KICK)AWAY 0 - HOME 24 · Q3 2:34
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:34 · Jon Wassink run for 1 yd for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 121Pregame prior+13.4Home team on offense+28.4Score differential+19.8Garbage-time factor+10.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+3.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:19: Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 43 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK) — WMU win probability +5.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:34: Jon Wassink run for 1 yd for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK) — WMU win probability +3.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:27: Kobe Lewis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — CMU win probability +2.6 pts (now 4%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:34: Sean Tyler run for 11 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK) — WMU win probability +1.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:29: JaCorey Sullivan 34 Yd pass from David Moore (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — CMU win probability +2.2 pts (now 3%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6CMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 11:33CMU 4th & 3 at WMU 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    14.3%−<0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    13.8%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:19WMU 4th & 3 at CMU 8, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.9%−0.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    83.5%−1.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:43CMU 4th & 1 at CMU 13, down 10
    Close callPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:19CMU 4th & 1 at WMU 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    9.2%−1.4
    60% to make
    Punt
    5.9%−4.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:48CMU 4th & 1 at WMU 15, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    9.6%−0.8
    83% to make
    Punt
    5.4%−5.0
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00WMU 4th & 2 at CMU 35, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    90.4%−1.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    90.1%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:34WMU 4th & 1 at CMU 1, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    93.9%−1.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    91.2%−3.8
    average punt
  8. Q4 15:00WMU 4th & 27 at WMU 48, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:27WMU 4th & 16 at WMU 19, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−0.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:14CMU 4th & 11 at WMU 11, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−1.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:17WMU 4th & 9 at WMU 35, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:13CMU 4th & 2 at WMU 2, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%−1.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−2.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4CMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 11:33WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:19WMU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:34WMU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:27CMU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:34WMU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:29CMU Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    2.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CMUDrive 1INT
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
88.4%
Jonathan Ward run for 11 yds to the CMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
88.4%
Jonathan Ward run for 11 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-15
88.4%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the CMich 26Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
88.4%
David Moore pass complete to Tony Poljan for 11 yds to the CMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
88.4%
David Moore run for 9 yds to the CMich 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+3
88.4%
Jonathan Ward run for 3 yds to the CMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
88.4%
David Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
88.4%
David Moore pass intercepted Patrick Lupro return for no gain to the WMich 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 1:2288% → 88%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+21
87.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 21 yds to the CMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
88.0%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 43Similar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 15
OPP 43
+33
87.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 33 yds to the CMich 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
88.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 11Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
88.2%
LeVante Bellamy run for 11 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 3DOWNS
11 plays · 66 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
88.0%
David Moore pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 11 yds to the CMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
87.9%
Jonathan Ward run for 3 yds to the CMich 39Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
87.9%
Jonathan Ward run for 3 yds to the CMich 42Similar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+15
87.9%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the WMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+27
87.8%
David Moore pass complete to Tony Poljan for 27 yds to the WMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
87.8%
Jonathan Ward run for 3 yds to the WMich 13Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 7
OPP 0
0
87.8%
MOORE, David pass incomplete to SCOTT, Tyrone (TRANQUILL, J.), PENALTY CMU ineligible downfield on pass off-setting, PENALTY WMU pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+1
87.8%
David Moore pass complete to Tony Poljan for 1 yd to the WMich 12Similar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+3
87.8%
David Moore run for 3 yds to the WMich 9Similar
Q1 11:33
4TH & 3
OPP 9
0
87.9%
Kobe Lewis run for no gain to the WMich 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4FG
14 plays · 83 yds · 4:4088% → 87%
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+15
87.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 15 yds to the WMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
87.6%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the WMich 29Similar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 5
OWN 29
+4
87.7%
Jon Wassink run for 4 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+14
87.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 14 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+26
87.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 26 yds to the CMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
87.9%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the CMich 22Similar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 5
OPP 22
0
87.9%
Jon Wassink run for no gain to the CMich 22Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 5
OPP 22
0
87.9%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Sean TylerSimilar
Q1 7:59
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+7
87.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 7 yds to the CMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
87.9%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Defensive offside (Troy Hairston) to the CMich 10Similar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 5
OPP 10
+1
87.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the CMich 9Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+1
87.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the CMich 8Similar
Q1 7:59
3RD & 3
OPP 8
0
87.8%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:19
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+25
87.4%
Thiago Kapps 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 5PUNT
13 plays · 30 yds · 4:0913% → 13%
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
87.2%
David Moore pass complete to Keonta Nixon for 9 yds to the CMich 34Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
86.9%
Jonathan Ward run for 7 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
86.9%
David Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+10
87.0%
David Moore pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 10 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
86.7%
David Moore pass incomplete to Tony PoljanSimilar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
86.8%
David Moore pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 6 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+5
86.8%
David Moore pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 5 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
86.7%
Kobe Lewis run for 6 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 32
-3
85.8%
David Moore pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 35Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 7
OPP 35
-10
86.6%
David Moore sacked by Justin Tranquill for a loss of 10 yards to the WMich 45 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, intentional grounding (David Moore) to the WMich 45Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 17
OPP 45
0
87.2%
Brady Buell punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Keith Mixon Jr. at the WMich 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6INT
18 plays · 66 yds · 2:1387% → 87%
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
87.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 7 yds to the WMich 15Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 3
OWN 15
0
87.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the WMich 15Similar
Q2 13:58
3RD & 3
OWN 15
+4
86.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the WMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
87.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 18Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+10
86.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 10 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+6
86.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 6 yds to the WMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
86.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 14 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
87.0%
TUCKER, D. rush for 2 yards to the 50 yardline (JONES, Chuck;BROWN, Troy), PENALTY WMU HL (MOORE, J.) 10 yards to the WMU38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 20
OWN 38
0
86.7%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 20
OWN 38
-9
86.7%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Sean Tyler for 1 yd to the WMich 39 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, HL (-10 Yards) to the WMich 29Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 29
OWN 29
+17
86.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 17 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 12
OWN 46
+14
86.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 14 yds to the CMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
87.1%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+6
87.1%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Cam Cooper for 6 yds to the CMich 34Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+5
86.9%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Defensive offside (Troy Hairston) to the CMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
87.2%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the CMich 26Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
87.2%
Jon Wassink pass intercepted Gage Kreski return for no gain to the CMich 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
87.3%
Jonathan Ward run for 3 yds to the CMich 7Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+6
87.5%
Jonathan Ward run for 6 yds to the CMich 13Similar
Q2 6:43
3RD & 1
OWN 13
0
87.4%
David Moore pass incomplete to Jonathan WardSimilar
Q2 6:43
4TH & 1
OWN 13
0
87.6%
Brady Buell punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8TD
4 plays · 47 yds · 0:5387% → 93%
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
87.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the CMich 43Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+5
87.3%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the CMich 38Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 1
OPP 38
-5
87.3%
WASSINK, J. pass incomplete to MOORE, S., PENALTY WMU ineligible downfield on pass (MOORE, J.) 5 yards to the CMU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+43
93.1%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 43 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 9DOWNS
11 plays · 43 yds · 3:319% → 9%
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+23
90.9%
Jonathan Ward run for 23 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
90.4%
David Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
90.4%
Jonathan Ward run for 2 yds to the WMich 35Similar
Q2 4:19
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+7
90.5%
David Moore pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 7 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q2 4:19
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+4
90.4%
Jonathan Ward run for 4 yds to the WMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
89.8%
Jonathan Ward run for 1 yd to the WMich 23Similar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+8
89.8%
Jonathan Ward run for 8 yds to the WMich 15Similar
Q2 4:19
3RD & 1
OPP 15
0
90.3%
Kobe Lewis run for no gain to the WMich 15Similar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 1
OPP 15
-2
90.6%
Kobe Lewis run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
93.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the WMich 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11DOWNS
8 plays · 30 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
92.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the WMich 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+10
92.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 10 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
92.6%
Jon Wassink pass complete to DaShon Bussell for 11 yds to the CMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
92.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the CMich 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 38
0
92.5%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Giovanni RicciSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+3
92.2%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 3 yds to the CMich 35Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 35
0
91.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the CMich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12FUMBLE
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
92.5%
Jonathan Ward run for 2 yds to the CMich 37Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+5
92.6%
Jonathan Ward run for 5 yds to the CMich 42Similar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+10
92.4%
David Moore pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 10 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
92.1%
David Moore pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 5 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+4
91.8%
Jonathan Ward run for 4 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+1
91.9%
Kobe Lewis run for 1 yd to the WMich 40 Kobe Lewis fumbled, forced by Anton Curtis, recovered by WMich Treshaun HaywardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13TD
17 plays · 60 yds · 6:1595% → 98%
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
94.9%
WASSINK, J. pass incomplete to HALL, J. (McKINNIE-HARPER), PENALTY WMU HL 10 yards to the WMU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 20
OWN 30
0
94.6%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Skyy MooreSimilar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 20
OWN 30
+11
94.5%
Jon Wassink run for 11 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q3 8:49
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+5
94.7%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the WMich 46Similar
Q3 8:49
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+6
94.7%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 6 yds to the CMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
95.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 8 yds to the CMich 40Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+1
95.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the CMich 39Similar
Q3 8:49
3RD & 1
OPP 39
-2
94.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 41Similar
Q3 8:49
4TH & 3
OPP 41
+15
94.4%
MIHALIC, N. punt 31 yards to the CMU10, fair catch by PIMPLETON, K., PENALTY CMU roughing the kicker (JONES, Chuck) 15 yards to the CMU26, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
95.0%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to DaShon Bussell, broken up by Da'Quaun JamisonSimilar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-2
95.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 28Similar
Q3 8:49
3RD & 12
OPP 28
+22
94.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 15 yds to the CMich 13 for a 1ST down CENTRAL MICH Penalty, personal foul (Willie Reid) to the CMich 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
95.0%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Willie Reid) to the CMich 3Similar
Q3 8:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
95.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the CMich 1Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the CMich 1Similar
Q3 8:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
94.9%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Giovanni Ricci, broken up by Sean AdesanyaSimilar
Q3 2:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.4%
Jon Wassink run for 1 yd for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 14INT
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
98.2%
David Moore pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 10 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.1%
David Moore pass intercepted Justin Tranquill return for no gain to the CMich 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · -6 yds · 2:0599% → 99%
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
98.7%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the CMich 41Similar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 5
OPP 41
+6
98.7%
Davon Tucker run for 6 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-10
98.7%
WASSINK, J. rush for loss of 3 yards to the CMU38, out-of-bounds (WARD, Andrew), PENALTY WMU HL (MATHIAS, T.) 10 yards to the CMU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 20
OPP 45
0
98.6%
Sean Tyler run for no gain to the CMich 45Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 20
OPP 45
-10
98.6%
WASSINK, J. rush for 10 yards to the CMU35 (BROWN, Brandon), PENALTY WMU HL 10 yards to the WMU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 30
OWN 45
+8
98.2%
Jon Wassink run for 8 yds to the CMich 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 22
OPP 47
0
98.8%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Jaylen HallSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 22
OPP 47
-5
98.7%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 48Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 27
OWN 48
-3
98.5%
Nick Mihalic punt for 48 yds , Kalil Pimpleton returns for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 16TD
11 plays · 99 yds · 2:121% → 4%
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+15
98.8%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Drake Spears) to the CMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
98.7%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Davon Tucker) to the CMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
98.6%
David Moore pass incomplete to Kalil PimpletonSimilar
Q4 14:39
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+11
98.7%
David Moore pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 11 yds to the CMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
98.6%
David Moore run for 7 yds to the CMich 49Similar
Q4 14:39
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+18
98.6%
Jonathan Ward run for 3 yds to the WESTMICH 48 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (Ralph Holley) to the WMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
98.5%
David Moore pass incomplete to Tyrone ScottSimilar
Q4 14:39
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
98.5%
David Moore pass complete to Bernhard Raimann for 3 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q4 14:39
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+8
98.6%
David Moore pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 8 yds to the WMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+21
98.4%
David Moore pass complete to Jonathan Ward for 21 yds to the WMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.8%
Kobe Lewis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 12:27
1ST & 22
OWN 13
-1
97.1%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 12Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 23
OWN 12
+7
97.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 7 yds to the WMich 19Similar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
97.1%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Skyy MooreSimilar
Q4 12:27
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+7
96.8%
Nick Mihalic punt for 43 yds , Kalil Pimpleton returns for 7 yds to the CMich 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 18FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 3:263% → 4%
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
97.0%
David Moore pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 13 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+21
96.9%
David Moore pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 21 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
96.4%
Jonathan Ward run for 5 yds to the WMich 16Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 5
OPP 16
0
96.4%
David Moore pass incomplete to Tyrone ScottSimilar
Q4 10:40
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+6
96.7%
David Moore pass complete to Tony Poljan for 6 yds to the WMich 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
96.4%
David Moore pass complete to Jonathan Ward for no gain to the WMich 10Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
96.4%
David Moore run for 4 yds to the WMich 6Similar
Q4 7:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
96.9%
MOORE, David pass complete to SULLIVAN, J. for 6 yards to the WMU0, clock 07:24, PENALTY CMU illegal formation 5 yards to the WMU11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
97.1%
David Moore pass incomplete to Tyrone Scott, broken up by Treshaun HaywardSimilar
Q4 7:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
95.6%
Ryan Tice 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 1:4097% → 100%
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+21
96.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 21 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+41
96.9%
Jon Wassink run for 41 yds to the CMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
96.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the CMich 11Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+11
99.5%
Sean Tyler run for 11 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 20TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:051% → 3%
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
99.4%
David Moore pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 18 yds to the CMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
99.4%
David Moore pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 3
50
+5
99.4%
David Moore pass complete to Bernhard Raimann for 5 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
99.4%
David Moore pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 8 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+3
99.3%
David Moore pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 3 yds to the WMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.3%
David Moore pass incomplete to Tyrone ScottSimilar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+34
97.1%
JaCorey Sullivan 34 Yd pass from David Moore (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:1298% → 99%
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
98.3%
Sean Tyler run for no gain to the WMich 34Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-2
98.6%
Sean Tyler run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 32Similar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 12
OWN 32
+3
98.6%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the WMich 35Similar
Q4 3:17
4TH & 9
OWN 35
+31
98.5%
Nick Mihalic punt for 44 yds , Kalil Pimpleton returns for 31 yds to the WESTMICH 34 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the CMich 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22DOWNS
11 plays · -30 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+17
99.1%
David Moore pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 17 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-7
99.0%
David Moore sacked by Kailien Guillory for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 48Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 17
OPP 48
0
99.2%
David Moore pass incomplete to Keonta NixonSimilar
Q4 2:13
3RD & 17
OPP 48
+21
99.2%
David Moore pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 21 yds to the WMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
98.9%
David Moore pass complete to Tony Poljan for 2 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+3
98.8%
David Moore pass complete to Tony Poljan for 3 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q4 2:13
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+17
98.9%
David Moore pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 17 yds to the WMich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
98.9%
David Moore pass incomplete to Kalil PimpletonSimilar
Q4 2:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
98.7%
David Moore pass incomplete to Tony Poljan, broken up by Drake SpearsSimilar
Q4 2:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
98.8%
David Moore pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 3 yds to the WMich 2Similar
Q4 2:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
-10
98.8%
David Moore sacked by Andre Carter for a loss of 10 yards to the CMich 12 David Moore fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:19
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 43 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)
+5.8
TD · Q3 2:34
Jon Wassink run for 1 yd for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)
+3.6
TD · Q4 12:27
Kobe Lewis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com