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CCSU

Central Connecticut 29 at Eastern Michigan 34

EMU
2019 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2019 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadCCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreCCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:42 · Chad Ryland 37 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 46Pregame prior+38.7Home team on offense−4.3Garbage-time factor−1.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Score differential−2.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:12: Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 25 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — EMU win probability +1.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:30: Mike Glass III pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 21 yds for a TD, (L. Latu Run For Two-point Conversion) — EMU win probability +5.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:36: Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 21 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +5.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:20: Keonte Lucas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Francis Cole KICK) — CCSU win probability +12.4 pts (now 17%) (top driver: CCSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:05: Aaron Winchester pass complete to Tyshaun James for 68 yds for a TD, (Francis Cole KICK) — CCSU win probability +49.0 pts (now 61%) (top driver: CCSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9CCSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q2 9:42EMU 4th & 12 at CCSU 19, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−0.5
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    86.3%−2.0
    average punt
  2. Q2 9:42CCSU 4th & 9 at CCSU 21, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:26EMU 4th & 3 at CCSU 46, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    85.5%−1.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    86.1%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:53EMU 4th & 2 at CCSU 32, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    86.7%−0.7
    51% to make
    Punt
    85.9%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q3 14:53EMU 4th & 11 at EMU 39, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.3%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:03CCSU 4th & 5 at CCSU 19, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:06EMU 4th & 8 at CCSU 41, up 6
    Close callPunted · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    90.2%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.4%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:29CCSU 4th & 6 at EMU 48, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:03EMU 4th & 6 at CCSU 38, up 6
    Close callPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    88.2%−0.7
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.2%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:13CCSU 4th & 3 at CCSU 18, down 6
    Close callPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:27CCSU 4th & 4 at EMU 28, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    17.2%−0.6
    60% to make
    Punt
    8.9%−8.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:23EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 42, up 6
    Close callPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.6%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:05EMU 4th & 4 at EMU 31, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    36.1%−3.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:23EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 47, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.8%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    32.4%−2.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:10CCSU 4th & 9 at midfield, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4CCSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 8:43CCSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    4.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:02EMU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:00CCSU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:12EMU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    88.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    87.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:30EMU Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    90.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:36EMU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:20CCSU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.8%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:05CCSU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.2%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCSUDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 6:173% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
97.3%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Arthur Gilmore Jr. for 11 yds to the CConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
97.3%
Enyce Walker run for 5 yds to the CConn 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+25
97.3%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Enyce Walker for 25 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
97.3%
Enyce Walker run for 3 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+6
97.3%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Jiovanny Pierre for 6 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+3
97.3%
Keonte Lucas run for 3 yds to the EMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
97.3%
Tyshaun James run for 11 yds to the EMich 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
97.3%
Kenyata Huston run for no gain to the EMich 11Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+4
96.5%
Kyren Petteway run for 4 yds to the EMich 7Similar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+6
96.5%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Enyce Walker for 6 yds to the EMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 1
OPP 0
+1
95.7%
Enyce Walker run for 1 yd for a TD EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the EMich 0, (Aaron Winchester pass to Arthur Gilmore Jr. for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4196% → 96%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.8%
Mike Glass III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.8%
Willie Parker run for 4 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q1 8:43
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
95.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 7 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
95.9%
Breck Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 34Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+13
95.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 13 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
95.9%
Willie Parker run for 5 yds to the CConn 48Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+48
95.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 48 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 3TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:024% → 8%
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.7%
Aaron Winchester run for no gain to the CConn 25Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
95.7%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Arthur Gilmore Jr. for 10 yds to the CConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
95.6%
Aaron Winchester run for 3 yds to the CConn 38Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+12
95.6%
Keonte Lucas run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
50
0
95.5%
Aaron Winchester pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 10
50
+2
95.5%
Keonte Lucas run for 2 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q1 6:02
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+13
95.6%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Antwann Anderson for 13 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
95.5%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Jiovanny Pierre for 3 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+15
95.5%
WINCHESTER, Aaron pass intercepted by CALHOUN, Vince at the EMU3, CALHOUN, Vince return to the EMU3, PENALTY EMU pass interference (CALHOUN, Vince) 15 yards to the EMU17, 1ST DOWN CCSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
93.6%
Tyshaun James run for 7 yds to the EMich 10Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+10
92.1%
Tyshaun James run for 10 yds for a TD, (Francis Cole KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4MISSED FG
13 plays · 56 yds · 5:1892% → 89%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.4%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete, broken up by Noah WashingtonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+22
92.4%
Willie Parker run for 22 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
92.8%
Mike Glass III run for 4 yds to the CConn 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+4
92.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 4 yds to the CConn 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+3
92.9%
Willie Parker run for 3 yds to the CConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
92.9%
GLASS, Mike pass incomplete to BEYDOUN, Hassan, PENALTY CCSU holding (BROWN, Jahlil) 10 yards to the CCSU32, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
93.1%
Jairus Grissom run for 8 yds to the CConn 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+4
93.1%
Willie Parker run for 4 yds to the CConn 18 Willie Parker fumbled, forced by Tyler Smith, recovered by EMich Arthur Jackson III for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-12
93.1%
Breck Turner run for 3 yds to the CConn 15 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the CConn 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 23
OPP 30
+5
92.8%
Mike Glass III run for 5 yds to the CConn 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 18
OPP 25
+6
92.6%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Breck Turner for 6 yds to the CConn 19Similar
Q2 9:42
4TH & 12
OPP 19
+37
89.0%
Chad Ryland 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
89.1%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Enyce Walker for no gain to the CConn 20Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
89.1%
Enyce Walker run for no gain to the CConn 20Similar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+1
89.3%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Kenyata Huston for 1 yd to the CConn 21Similar
Q2 9:42
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
89.6%
Brandon Desautels punt for 32 yds, downed at the EMich 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 53 yds · 4:1488% → 90%
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
87.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 6 yds to the CConn 47Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+1
87.9%
Mike Glass III run for 1 yd to the CConn 46Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 3
OPP 46
0
87.7%
Mike Glass III run for no gain to the CConn 46Similar
Q2 7:26
4TH & 3
OPP 46
+3
87.3%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Breck Turner for 3 yds to the CConn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
87.8%
Karmi Mackey run for 4 yds to the CConn 39Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 6
OPP 39
0
87.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for no gain to the CConn 39Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+8
87.7%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 8 yds to the CConn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
88.3%
Mathew Sexton run for 6 yds to the CConn 25Similar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+25
90.2%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 25 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 7FUMBLE
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
87.8%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Enyce Walker for 1 yd to the CConn 26Similar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+26
87.8%
Keonte Lucas run for 11 yds to the EMich 47 Keonte Lucas fumbled, forced by Kobie Beltram, recovered by EMich Kobie Beltram EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (Vince Calhoun) to the EMich 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 53 yds · 1:5589% → 93%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
88.5%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Breck TurnerSimilar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+13
88.4%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 13 yds to the CConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
88.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 4 yds to the CConn 36Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 6
OPP 36
0
88.5%
Breck Turner run for no gain to the CConn 36Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+4
88.3%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Thomas Odukoya for 4 yds to the CConn 32Similar
Q2 1:53
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+11
87.7%
Willie Parker run for 11 yds to the CConn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
93.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 21 yds for a TD, (L. Latu Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
91.9%
Danley Exilhomme run for 3 yds to the CConn 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0093% → 91%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
92.5%
Mike Glass III run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 39Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
92.1%
Mike Glass III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 11
OWN 39
0
91.8%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 11
OWN 39
0
91.2%
Jake Julien punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CConn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:519% → 8%
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
90.6%
Keonte Lucas run for 4 yds to the CConn 18Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 6
OWN 18
0
90.6%
Aaron Winchester pass incomplete to Antwann AndersonSimilar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 6
OWN 18
+1
91.9%
Aaron Winchester run for 1 yd to the CConn 19Similar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 5
OWN 19
0
92.1%
Francis Cole punt for 35 yds, downed at the EMich 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
92.1%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 11 yds to the CConn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-3
92.2%
Mike Glass III run for a loss of 3 yards to the CConn 46Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 13
OPP 46
+3
91.8%
Karmi Mackey run for 3 yds to the CConn 43Similar
Q3 12:06
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+2
91.7%
Mike Glass III run for 2 yds to the CConn 41Similar
Q3 12:06
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
91.2%
Jake Julien punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
90.4%
Danley Exilhomme run for 3 yds to the CConn 23Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+15
90.4%
WINCHESTER, Aaron pass incomplete to HUSTON, Kenyata, PENALTY EMU pass interference (LAFLEUR, Noski) 15 yards to the CCSU38, 1ST DOWN CCSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
89.8%
Keonte Lucas run for 2 yds to the CConn 40Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+8
89.6%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Arthur Gilmore Jr. for 8 yds to the CConn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
89.1%
Keonte Lucas run for 5 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 5
OPP 47
-9
88.9%
Aaron Winchester sacked by Vince Calhoun for a loss of 9 yards to the CConn 44Similar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 14
OWN 44
+8
90.5%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Antwann Anderson for 8 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q3 9:29
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
90.2%
Brandon Desautels punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 50 yds · 0:0089% → 90%
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
89.1%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 7 yds to the EMich 19Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 3
OWN 19
+8
89.4%
Dylan Drummond run for 8 yds to the EMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
89.5%
Mathew Sexton run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 25Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+7
89.2%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 7 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q3 5:03
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+12
89.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 12 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST down CENTRAL CONN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
90.4%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 14 yds to the CConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-3
90.5%
Willie Parker run for a loss of 3 yards to the CConn 45Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 13
OPP 45
-1
90.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Willie Parker for a loss of 1 yard to the CConn 46Similar
Q3 5:03
3RD & 14
OPP 46
+8
89.3%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 8 yds to the CConn 38Similar
Q3 5:03
4TH & 6
OPP 38
0
89.6%
Jake Julien punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Dexter Lawson Jr. at the CConn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5813% → 12%
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
87.3%
Aaron Winchester pass incomplete to Arthur Gilmore Jr., broken up by Kobie BeltramSimilar
Q3 0:11
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+3
87.5%
Enyce Walker run for 3 yds to the CConn 14Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 14
+4
88.0%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Enyce Walker for 4 yds to the CConn 18Similar
Q4 14:13
4TH & 3
OWN 18
0
88.3%
Brandon Desautels punt for 39 yds, downed at the EMich 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 57 yds · 2:2891% → 97%
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
90.7%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 15 yds to the CConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
90.9%
Mike Glass III run for a loss of 2 yards to the CConn 43 Mike Glass III fumbled, recovered by EMich Mike Glass IIISimilar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+23
90.6%
Mike Glass III run for 8 yds to the CConn 35 for a 1ST down CENTRAL CONN Penalty, personal foul (Tajik Bagley) to the CConn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
91.5%
Preston Hutchinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the CConn 21Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+21
97.1%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 21 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 17TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:164% → 17%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.4%
Aaron Winchester pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.4%
Tyshaun James run for 3 yds to the CConn 28Similar
Q4 11:36
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+50
96.4%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Tyshaun James for 50 yds to the EMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
95.4%
Enyce Walker run for 5 yds to the EMich 17Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+10
95.4%
Keonte Lucas run for 10 yds to the EMich 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
95.4%
Antwann Anderson run for 6 yds to the EMich 1Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.0%
Keonte Lucas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Francis Cole KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18INT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4291% → 91%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 3 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
91.0%
Mike Glass III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:38
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+16
90.8%
Mike Glass III pass intercepted Kenyata Huston return for 16 yds to the EMich 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 19DOWNS
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0018% → 15%
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
81.7%
Tyshaun James run for 2 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+3
81.7%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Enyce Walker for 3 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q4 7:27
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+1
83.1%
Aaron Winchester run for 1 yd to the EMich 28Similar
Q4 7:27
4TH & 4
OPP 28
-7
85.3%
Aaron Winchester sacked by Turan Rush for a loss of 7 yards to the EMich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
92.3%
Willie Parker run for 3 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q4 5:23
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
93.0%
Willie Parker run for no gain to the EMich 38Similar
Q4 5:23
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+4
92.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 4 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q4 5:23
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
92.1%
Jake Julien punt for 29 yds, downed at the CConn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 21TD
2 plays · 71 yds · 0:5312% → 61%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
87.7%
Enyce Walker run for 3 yds to the CConn 32Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+68
38.7%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Tyshaun James for 68 yds for a TD, (Francis Cole KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22INT
10 plays · 22 yds · 0:4253% → 46%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.9%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Bryson CannonSimilar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
52.1%
GLASS, Mike pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, Quian, PENALTY CCSU offside (PURITT, Brandon) 5 yards to the EMU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
54.2%
Mike Glass III run for 1 yd to the EMich 31Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
52.0%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Mathew SextonSimilar
Q4 2:05
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+16
51.1%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 16 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST down CENTRAL CONN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
58.7%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Quian WilliamsSimilar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
55.0%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Mathew SextonSimilar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
50.9%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Bryson CannonSimilar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 10
OWN 47
+5
46.0%
Mike Glass III pass intercepted Tre Jones return for 5 yds to the CConn 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 23PUNT TD
7 plays · 1 yds · 1:0574% → 13%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
26.2%
Enyce Walker run for 3 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+1
21.4%
Enyce Walker run for 1 yd to the EMich 47Similar
Q4 1:04
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+2
19.8%
Antwann Anderson run for 2 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q4 1:04
4TH & 4
OPP 45
-5
22.5%
CENTRAL CONN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:10
4TH & 9
50
+30
86.9%
TEAM punt blocked by Mathew Sexton blocked by Mathew Sexton Mathew Sexton return for 30 yds for a TD CENTRAL CONN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the CConn 0, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:0612% → 10%
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
88.3%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Jiovanny Pierre for 14 yds to the CConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
89.7%
Aaron Winchester pass incomplete, broken up by Brody Hoying EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:05
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Tyshaun James for 68 yds for a TD, (Francis Cole KICK)
-49
TD · Q4 8:20
Keonte Lucas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Francis Cole KICK)
-12.4
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+10.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com