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TNTC

Tennessee Tech 17 at Miami (OH) 48

M-OH
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Yager Stadium
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Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadTNTC aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreTNTC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Willie Miller pass complete to D.J. Wilkes for 9 yds to the MiaOh 19 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 109Pregame prior+35.3Home team on offense+26.6Score differential+18.3Blowout margin+11.2Garbage-time factor+4.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.9
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 10:19: Sam Sloman 27 yd FG GOOD — TNTC win probability +0.4 pts (now 2%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 1:00: Devin Parker 34 yd FG GOOD — TNTC win probability +0.5 pts (now 3%) (top driver: TNTC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:38: Brett Gabbert run for 3 yds for a TD, (Sam Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +0.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 11:09: Bailey Fisher pass intercepted for a TD Bart Baratti return for 35 yds for a TD, (Sam Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +1.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TNTC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 7:07: Davion Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Sam Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 5 of 7TNTC made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00M-OH 4th & 2 at TNTC 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    98.2%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:19M-OH 4th & 8 at TNTC 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.8%
    89% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:19TNTC 4th & 21 at TNTC 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:46TNTC 4th & 4 at TNTC 36, down 10
    Close callPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:00TNTC 4th & 13 at M-OH 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.0%
    80% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00M-OH 4th & 8 at TNTC 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:20TNTC 4th & 16 at TNTC 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:09TNTC 4th & 1 at TNTC 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.6%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:00M-OH 4th & 3 at TNTC 4, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.3%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    97.5%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:07TNTC 4th & 14 at TNTC 21, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00M-OH 4th & 1 at TNTC 1, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00TNTC 4th & 1 at TNTC 34, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 15:00TNTC 4th & 6 at M-OH 28, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 15:00TNTC 4th & 3 at M-OH 12, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−<0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q3 15:00TNTC 4th & 1 at M-OH 1, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.7
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:25M-OH 4th & 1 at M-OH 12, up 38
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:16M-OH 4th & 7 at M-OH 38, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
M-OH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TNTC made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 6:46M-OH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:38M-OH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:09M-OH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:07M-OH Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:00M-OH Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:35TNTC Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:58M-OH Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:22TNTC Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1FG
14 plays · 38 yds · 4:4199% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
98.5%
Tyre Shelton run for 13 yds to the TnTch 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
98.5%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Tyre SheltonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+5
98.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Quentin Hardy for 5 yds to the TnTch 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+8
98.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Maurice Thomas for 8 yds to the TnTch 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
98.5%
Davion Johnson run for 5 yds to the TnTch 16Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 16
-5
98.5%
JOHNSON, Davion rush for no gain to the TTU16 (TUCKER, Chris;MOORE, Aderick), PENALTY MIAMI illegal formation 5 yards to the TTU21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+4
98.5%
Maurice Thomas run for 4 yds to the TnTch 17Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+4
98.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Quentin Hardy for 4 yds to the TnTch 13Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+2
98.5%
Tyre Shelton run for 2 yds to the TnTch 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
98.5%
Tyre Shelton run for 2 yds to the TnTch 9Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
98.5%
Tyre Shelton run for no gain to the TnTch 9Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 9
0
98.5%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:19
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+27
98.1%
Sam Sloman 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
98.1%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Tavin Kilpatrick for 1 yd to the TnTch 36Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-7
98.1%
John Jones run for a loss of 7 yards to the TnTch 29Similar
Q1 10:19
3RD & 16
OWN 29
-5
98.1%
FISHER, Bailey pass incomplete to ODEN, Justin, PENALTY TTU illegal forward pass (FISHER, Bailey) 5 yards to the TTU24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:19
4TH & 21
OWN 24
+21
98.1%
Blake Alberts punt for 36 yds, downed at the MIAMIOH 40 TENNESSEE TECH Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the TnTch 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3TD
8 plays · 45 yds · 2:1498% → 98%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+23
98.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Dominique Robinson for 23 yds to the TnTch 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
98.0%
SHELTON, Tyre rush for no gain to the TTU22 (COLES, JayQuan;RELIFORD, Josh), PENALTY MIAMI holding (SKIBINSKI, Matt) 10 yards to the TTU32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 20
OPP 32
+10
98.0%
Maurice Thomas run for 10 yds to the TnTch 22Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
98.0%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+16
98.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Dominique Robinson for 16 yds to the TnTch 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
98.0%
Davion Johnson run for 3 yds to the TnTch 3Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
98.0%
Davion Johnson run for no gain to the TnTch 3Similar
Q1 6:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.9%
Davion Johnson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Sam Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
97.8%
Andrew Goldsmith run for a loss of 1 yard to the TnTch 29Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+7
97.9%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Adam Browner for 7 yds to the TnTch 36Similar
Q1 6:46
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
97.8%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:46
4TH & 4
OWN 36
+16
97.9%
Luke Maynard punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 41 , Maurice Thomas returns for 16 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5FUMBLE
1 play · 32 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+29
97.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 29 yds Jalen Walker fumbled, forced by Shannon Fayne, recovered by TnTch Jamaal ThompsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 6FG
10 plays · 56 yds · 4:182% → 3%
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
97.7%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-5
97.7%
Quinton Cross run for a loss of 5 yards to the TnTch 22Similar
Q1 5:18
3RD & 15
OWN 22
+20
97.7%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Darrius Stafford for 20 yds to the TnTch 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+18
97.6%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Seth Huner for 18 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
97.6%
Bailey Fisher pass incomplete to Seth HunerSimilar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+26
97.6%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Seth Huner for 26 yds to the MiaOh 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-11
97.6%
Bailey Fisher sacked by Bart Baratti for a loss of 11 yards to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 21
OPP 25
+2
97.6%
Bailey Fisher run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q1 5:18
3RD & 19
OPP 23
+6
97.7%
Bailey Fisher run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q1 1:00
4TH & 13
OPP 17
+34
97.1%
Devin Parker 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:5397% → 97%
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
97.2%
Tyre Shelton run for 13 yds to the TnTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
97.3%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Quentin HardySimilar
Q1 0:53
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
97.3%
Davion Johnson run for no gain to the TnTch 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+2
97.0%
Davion Johnson run for 2 yds to the TnTch 47Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
97.0%
Kyle Kramer punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Tai Carter at the TnTch 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
96.9%
Bailey Fisher run for a loss of 1 yard to the TnTch 12Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 11
OWN 12
-5
96.9%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Quinton Cross for a loss of 5 yards to the TnTch 7Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 16
OWN 7
0
97.0%
Bailey Fisher pass incomplete to Darrius Stafford, broken up by Travion BanksSimilar
Q2 14:20
4TH & 16
OWN 7
+17
97.0%
Blake Alberts punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TnTch 23 , Maurice Thomas returns for 17 yds to the TnTch 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9TD
4 plays · 23 yds · 1:1197% → 98%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-4
96.9%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Maurice Thomas for a loss of 4 yards to the TnTch 27Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 14
OPP 27
+3
96.8%
Maurice Thomas run for 3 yds to the TnTch 24Similar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 11
OPP 24
+21
96.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Dominique Robinson for 21 yds to the TnTch 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.6%
Brett Gabbert run for 3 yds for a TD, (Sam Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 10INT TD
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:293% → 2%
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
97.3%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Austin Hicks for 11 yds to the TnTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+35
98.4%
Bailey Fisher pass intercepted for a TD Bart Baratti return for 35 yds for a TD, (Sam Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 11FUMBLE
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.5%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Justin Oden for 7 yds to the TnTch 32Similar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
98.4%
John Jones run for 2 yds to the TnTch 34Similar
Q2 11:09
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
98.4%
Bailey Fisher pass incomplete to Tavin KilpatrickSimilar
Q2 11:09
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
98.5%
Andrew Goldsmith run for 3 yds to the TnTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
98.4%
Bailey Fisher pass incomplete to Darrius StaffordSimilar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
98.4%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Tavin Kilpatrick for 2 yds Tavin Kilpatrick fumbled, forced by Ben Kimpler, recovered by MiaOh Ben KimplerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 12FG
5 plays · 35 yds · 1:3599% → 99%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+28
98.7%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 28 yds to the TnTch 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
98.7%
Tyre Shelton run for 4 yds to the TnTch 7Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+3
98.7%
Tyre Shelton run for 3 yds to the TnTch 4Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 3
OPP 4
0
98.7%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Quentin Hardy, broken up by Shannon FayneSimilar
Q2 8:00
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+22
98.7%
Sam Sloman 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 13INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
98.4%
John Jones run for 11 yds to the TnTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
98.4%
Adam Browner pass intercepted Sterling Weatherford return for 54 yds to the MIAMIOH 0 TENNESSEE TECH Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 14TD
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 7:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.3%
Davion Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Sam Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.2%
John Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the TnTch 24Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+1
99.2%
Willie Miller run for 1 yd to the TnTch 25Similar
Q2 7:07
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.2%
Willie Miller pass complete to Austin Hicks for a loss of 4 yards to the TnTch 21Similar
Q2 7:07
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
99.2%
Luke Maynard punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16TD
13 plays · 55 yds · 5:00100% → 100%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
99.6%
Tyre Shelton run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 5
50
+9
99.6%
Tyre Shelton run for 9 yds to the TnTch 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.6%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jalen WalkerSimilar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+8
99.6%
Tyre Shelton run for 8 yds to the TnTch 33Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+6
99.5%
Tyre Shelton run for 6 yds to the TnTch 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
99.6%
Maurice Thomas run for 2 yds to the TnTch 25Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
99.6%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Quentin Hardy, broken up by Shannon FayneSimilar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+19
99.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Davion Johnson for 19 yds to the TnTch 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
99.6%
Maurice Thomas run for 3 yds to the TnTch 3Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
99.5%
Davion Johnson run for 1 yd to the TnTch 2Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.5%
Davion Johnson run for 1 yd to the TnTch 1Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Brett Gabbert run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jacob Swartz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 17DOWNS
24 plays · 72 yds · 0:000% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.7%
Willie Miller run for a loss of 1 yard to the TnTch 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
99.7%
Willie Miller pass complete to Metrius Fleming for 5 yds to the TnTch 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
99.7%
MILLER, Willie pass incomplete to STAFFORD, Darri (BOSWELL, Cedric), PENALTY MIAMI offside 5 yards to the TTU34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
99.7%
Willie Miller run for no gain to the TnTch 34Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
99.7%
Andrew Goldsmith run for 1 yd to the TnTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.7%
MILLER, Willie pass incomplete to HICKS, Austin, PENALTY MIAMI offside (PHELPS, Lonnie) 5 yards to the TTU40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 40
+18
99.7%
John Jones run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, illegal use of hands (Ivan Pace Jr.) to the MiaOh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
99.7%
Willie Miller run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+6
99.7%
John Jones run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
99.6%
Willie Miller pass complete to D.J. Wilkes for 8 yds to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 24
-1
99.6%
Willie Miller run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+2
99.7%
Andrew Goldsmith run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 23
-5
99.4%
TENNESSEE TECH Penalty, false start (Mike Rhoades) to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+9
99.5%
Willie Miller pass complete to D.J. Wilkes for 9 yds to the MiaOh 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
99.6%
Willie Miller run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 14Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+3
99.6%
David Gist run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 11
-6
99.6%
Willie Miller pass complete to Metrius Fleming for 4 yds to the MiaOh 7 TENNESSEE TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (Austin Hicks) to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+5
99.7%
Willie Miller pass complete to Adam Browner for 5 yds to the MiaOh 12Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+11
99.4%
Willie Miller pass complete to Mitchell McClurg for 11 yds to the MiaOh 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.4%
Andrew Goldsmith run for no gain to the MiaOh 1Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.5%
Willie Miller pass incomplete to Andrew GoldsmithSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.6%
Willie Miller run for no gain to the MiaOh 1Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
99.2%
Andrew Goldsmith run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
99.9%
Zach Kahn run for no gain to the MiaOh 3Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+8
99.9%
James Maye run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 2
OWN 11
+1
99.9%
Zach Kahn run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 12Similar
Q3 4:25
4TH & 1
OWN 12
+4
99.9%
Kyle Kramer punt for 59 yds , Tai Carter returns for 4 yds to the TnTch 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 19TD
11 plays · 67 yds · 4:430% → 0%
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
99.9%
Willie Miller run for 3 yds to the TnTch 36Similar
Q3 2:18
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+4
99.9%
David Gist run for 4 yds to the TnTch 40Similar
Q3 2:18
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
Willie Miller run for 3 yds to the TnTch 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
99.9%
Luke Ward pass complete to Austin Hicks for 11 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+17
99.9%
John Jones run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Max Wynn) to the MiaOh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
99.9%
Luke Ward pass complete to D.J. Wilkes for 1 yd to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+5
99.9%
David Gist run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 0
+19
99.9%
David Gist run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 19 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, Offensive holding (Justin Oden) to the MiaOh 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
99.9%
Luke Ward pass complete to Justin Oden for a loss of 2 yards Justin Oden fumbled,Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+16
99.9%
Luke Ward pass complete to Austin Hicks for 16 yds for a TD, (Devin Parker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 20TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 5:30100% → 100%
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
99.9%
WILLIAMSON, J. pass complete to WILLIAMS, R. for 34 yards to the TTU38 (WATSON, Christi), PENALTY MIAMI ineligible downfield on pass (FETH, Rusty) 5 yards to the MIAMI23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:28
1ST & 15
OWN 23
+2
99.9%
Zach Kahn run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 13
OWN 25
+21
99.9%
Zach Kahn run for 21 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
99.9%
Jackson Williamson pass complete to James Maye for 7 yds to the TnTch 47Similar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+13
99.9%
Zach Kahn run for 13 yds to the TnTch 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
99.9%
Zach Kahn run for 8 yds to the TnTch 26Similar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+22
99.9%
Jackson Williamson run for 22 yds to the TnTch 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.9%
Zach Kahn run for 3 yds to the TnTch 1Similar
Q4 6:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Zach Kahn run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jacob Swartz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 21TD
5 plays · 44 yds · 1:250% → 0%
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+17
100.0%
Luke Ward pass complete to Metrius Fleming for 17 yds to the MiaOh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
100.0%
David Gist run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 8
OPP 25
-5
100.0%
TENNESSEE TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 13
OPP 30
+30
99.9%
Luke Ward pass complete to Hunter Coleman for 30 yds for a TD, (Devin Parker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
100.0%
Mitchell Burton run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-3
100.0%
AJ Mayer run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q4 5:16
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+3
100.0%
Mitchell Burton run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q4 5:16
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Jacob Swartz punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tai Carter at the TnTch 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 23END OF GAME
8 plays · 57 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
100.0%
GIST, David rush for no gain to the TTU23 (NEWTON, Ryan), PENALTY MIAMI illegal use of hands (COLLIER, A.) 15 yards to the TTU38, 1ST DOWN TTU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Luke Ward pass incomplete to Tavin Kilpatrick, broken up by Mehki MillerSimilar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+13
100.0%
David Gist run for 13 yds to the MiaOh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
100.0%
David Gist run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+10
100.0%
Luke Ward pass complete to Hunter Coleman for 10 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
100.0%
Luke Ward pass incomplete to David GistSimilar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+15
100.0%
D.J. Worthy run for 15 yds to the MiaOh 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
100.0%
D.J. Worthy run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:09
Bailey Fisher pass intercepted for a TD Bart Baratti return for 35 yds for a TD, (Sam Sloman KICK)
+1.2
TD · Q2 7:07
Davion Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Sam Sloman KICK)
+0.9
TD · Q2 11:38
Brett Gabbert run for 3 yds for a TD, (Sam Sloman KICK)
+0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com