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FOR

Fordham 29 at Ball State 57

BALL
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Scheumann Stadium
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Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadFOR aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreFOR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDSAFETYTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Andrew Mevis punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Justin Hall at the BalSt 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 49Pregame prior+40.4Home team on offense−0.4Score differential−1.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Blowout margin+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:16: Tim DeMorat pass complete to Jack Lynch for 5 yds for a TD, (Andrew Mevis KICK) — FOR win probability +1.6 pts (now 7%) (top driver: FOR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:55: Drew Plitt pass complete to Cody Rudy for 3 yds for a TD, (Patrick LeCorre KICK) — BALL win probability +1.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:14: Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 40 yds for a TD, (Patrick LeCorre KICK) — BALL win probability +1.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:06: Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 3 yds for a TD, (Patrick LeCorre PAT MISSED) — BALL win probability +2.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:49: Trey Sneed run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tim DeMorat pass to Fotis Kokosioulis for Two-Point Conversion) — FOR win probability +1.8 pts (now 2%) (top driver: FOR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 4 of 4FOR made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00BALL 4th & 4 at BALL 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:38FOR 4th & 8 at FOR 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00FOR 4th & 9 at FOR 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:20BALL 4th & 8 at FOR 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.3%
    90% to make
    Punt
    90.4%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:12FOR 4th & 7 at BALL 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.7%
    56% to make
    Punt
    8.1%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:54FOR 4th & 19 at FOR 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−0.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:54BALL 4th & 7 at BALL 39, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:00FOR 4th & 20 at FOR 12, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:20FOR 4th & 6 at FOR 43, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:31FOR 4th & 8 at FOR 39, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:06BALL 4th & 4 at BALL 21, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:57FOR 4th & 9 at BALL 19, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    77% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 8 of 8FOR made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 8:18FOR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:47BALL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:16FOR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:57BALL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:55BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:14BALL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 12:06BALL Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 9:27BALL Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 5:49FOR Touchdown, down 23 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    1.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 4:01BALL Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 0:59FOR Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 10:37BALL Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BALLDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
96.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+3
96.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 35
0
96.7%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Riley MillerSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 35
0
96.7%
Nathan Snyder punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+15
96.4%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Dequece Carter for 15 yds to the Fordh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-4
96.4%
Zach Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the Fordh 22 Zach Davis fumbled, recovered by Fordh Zach DavisSimilar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 16
OWN 22
+8
96.4%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 8 yds to the Fordh 30Similar
Q1 13:38
3RD & 8
OWN 30
0
96.4%
Tim DeMorat pass incomplete to Hamze El-Zayat, broken up by Ray WilbornSimilar
Q1 13:38
4TH & 8
OWN 30
0
96.4%
Andrew Mevis punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Justin Hall at the BalSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 3INT
2 plays · 26 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+26
96.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 26 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
96.2%
Drew Plitt pass intercepted Glenn Cunningham return for no gain to the Fordh 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 4TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 3:154% → 5%
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
96.0%
Zach Davis run for 6 yds to the Fordh 48Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 4
OWN 48
0
96.0%
Tim DeMorat run for no gain to the Fordh 48Similar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+7
96.0%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Joe Ferraro for 7 yds to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
96.0%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Dequece Carter for 7 yds to the BalSt 38Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+25
96.0%
Zach Davis run for 25 yds to the BalSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
96.0%
Zach Davis run for 3 yds to the BalSt 10 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, face mask (5 yards) (Shannon Hall) to the BalSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
96.0%
Hamze El-Zayat run for 3 yds to the BalSt 2Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
94.8%
Zach Davis run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 5TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3195% → 95%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.9%
Justin Hall run for 4 yds to the BalSt 29Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
94.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 8 yds to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
95.0%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the BalSt 39Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+11
95.0%
Caleb Huntley run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
50
+50
95.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 50 yds for a TD, (Ryan Rimmler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 6TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 2:245% → 7%
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
95.0%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Trey Sneed for 5 yds to the Fordh 34Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+9
94.9%
Trey Sneed run for 9 yds to the Fordh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
94.9%
Trey Sneed run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fordh 42Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+53
94.9%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Fotis Kokosioulis for 53 yds to the BalSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
94.8%
Tim DeMorat pass incomplete to Hamze El-Zayat, broken up by Bryce CosbySimilar
Q1 6:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
94.8%
Tim DeMorat pass incomplete to Dequece CarterSimilar
Q1 4:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
93.2%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Jack Lynch for 5 yds for a TD, (Andrew Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 7TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1994% → 94%
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Malik Dunner for no gain to the BalSt 25Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
93.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Walter Fletcher for 10 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
93.5%
BALL ST Penalty, F (Luke Martin) to the BalSt 30Similar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+6
93.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Caleb Huntley for 6 yds to the BalSt 36Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+1
93.5%
Walter Fletcher run for 1 yd to the BalSt 37Similar
Q1 4:16
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+14
93.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Nolan Givan for 14 yds to the Fordh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
93.8%
Will Jones run for 1 yd to the Fordh 48Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+38
93.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 38 yds to the Fordh 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
94.0%
Walter Fletcher run for 10 yds for a TD, (Ryan Rimmler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:517% → 7%
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
93.2%
Naim Mayfield run for 1 yd to the Fordh 24Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 9
OWN 24
0
93.3%
Naim Mayfield run for no gain to the Fordh 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
93.1%
Tim DeMorat pass incomplete to Dequece Carter, broken up by Tyler PottsSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 24
0
93.3%
Andrew Mevis punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Justin Hall at the BalSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 9MISSED FG
10 plays · 56 yds · 3:2993% → 92%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
93.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 6 yds to the BalSt 42 BALL ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Antwan Davis) to the BalSt 32Similar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 14
OWN 32
+30
93.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Walter Fletcher for 30 yds to the Fordh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+13
93.6%
Drew Plitt run for 13 yds to the Fordh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
93.7%
Justin Hall run for 8 yds to the Fordh 17Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+9
93.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 9 yds to the Fordh 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
93.7%
Markice Hurt Jr. run for 5 yds to the Fordh 3Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
93.7%
Markice Hurt Jr. run for no gain to the Fordh 3Similar
Q2 11:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
92.6%
Walter Fletcher run for a loss of 5 yards to the Fordh 8Similar
Q2 11:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
92.1%
Ryan Rimmler 25 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 10INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
91.5%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Dequece Carter for 5 yds to the Fordh 25Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-2
91.3%
Zach Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fordh 23Similar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+26
91.7%
Tim DeMorat pass intercepted Amechi Uzodinma II return for 26 yds to the Fordh 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 11TD
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1192% → 94%
Q2 10:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
92.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for no gain to the Fordh 5Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-10
92.2%
HUNTLEY, Caleb rush for 5 yards to the FORD0, clock 09:34, PENALTY BALL holding (KOCH, Dylan) 10 yards to the FORD15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+13
92.0%
PLITT, Drew pass incomplete to DAVIS, Antwan (Drati, Natani), PENALTY FORD pass interference (Drati, Natani) 13 yards to the FORD2, 1ST DOWN BALL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
92.2%
Caleb Huntley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fordh 3Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
93.7%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Cody Rudy for 3 yds for a TD, (Patrick LeCorre KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 12MISSED FG
12 plays · 35 yds · 4:437% → 8%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
92.8%
Zach Davis run for 1 yd to the Fordh 36Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+8
92.8%
Zach Davis run for 8 yds to the Fordh 44Similar
Q2 8:55
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
92.5%
Zach Davis run for 2 yds to the Fordh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
92.5%
Zach Davis run for 2 yds to the Fordh 48Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+8
92.5%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Joe Ferraro for 8 yds to the BalSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
92.4%
Zach Davis run for 6 yds to the BalSt 38Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+5
92.3%
Trey Sneed run for 5 yds to the BalSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
92.1%
Trey Sneed run for 3 yds to the BalSt 30Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 7
OPP 30
0
92.0%
Tim DeMorat pass incomplete to Hamze El-Zayat, broken up by Amechi Uzodinma IISimilar
Q2 8:55
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
92.5%
Tim DeMorat pass incomplete to Naim Mayfield, broken up by Jaylin ThomasSimilar
Q2 4:12
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+47
91.7%
Andrew Mevis 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 1:5892% → 95%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
92.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Nolan Givan for 5 yds to the BalSt 35Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+7
92.6%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 7 yds to the BalSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
92.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Hassan Littles for 14 yds to the Fordh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
93.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the Fordh 40Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
93.0%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Walter FletcherSimilar
Q2 2:14
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+40
94.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 40 yds for a TD, (Patrick LeCorre KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · -9 yds · 0:206% → 6%
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
94.2%
FORDHAM Penalty, false start (Will Conley) to the Fordh 20Similar
Q2 2:14
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-5
94.3%
FORDHAM Penalty, false start (Phil Saleh) to the Fordh 15Similar
Q2 2:14
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
94.3%
Tim DeMorat pass incomplete to Trey Sneed, broken up by Christian AlbrightSimilar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+10
94.4%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Fotis Kokosioulis for 10 yds to the Fordh 25Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-9
94.4%
Tim DeMorat sacked by James Jennette III for a loss of 9 yards to the Fordh 16Similar
Q2 1:54
4TH & 19
OWN 16
-4
94.4%
Andrew Mevis punt for 57 yds , Justin Hall returns for a loss of 4 yards to the BalSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:4895% → 95%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
95.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Will Jones for 3 yds to the BalSt 26Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+10
95.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Will Jones for 10 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
95.6%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Antwan DavisSimilar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
95.5%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Riley Miller, broken up by Jesse BrambleSimilar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+3
95.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Nolan Givan for 3 yds to the BalSt 39Similar
Q2 0:54
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
95.2%
Nathan Snyder punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Naim Mayfield at the Fordh 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
94.6%
Tim DeMorat pass incomplete to Fotis KokosioulisSimilar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-1
94.7%
Trey Sneed run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fordh 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 17SF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 1
-1
95.2%
Zach Davis run for a loss of 1 yard for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 18TD
8 plays · 48 yds · 2:3696% → 98%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
95.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the Fordh 45Similar
Q3 14:42
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+12
95.7%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 12 yds to the Fordh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
95.7%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 8 yds to the Fordh 25Similar
Q3 14:42
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+7
95.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 7 yds to the Fordh 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+14
95.7%
Drew Plitt run for 14 yds to the Fordh 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
95.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the Fordh 3Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 3 yds for a TD, (Patrick LeCorre PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
98.0%
Zach Davis run for no gain to the Fordh 22Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
98.0%
Tim DeMorat pass incomplete to Hamze El-Zayat, broken up by Christian AlbrightSimilar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 10
OWN 22
-10
98.0%
Tim DeMorat sacked by James Jennette III for a loss of 10 yards to the Fordh 12Similar
Q3 12:00
4TH & 20
OWN 12
+22
98.0%
Andrew Mevis punt for 50 yds , Justin Hall returns for 22 yds to the Fordh 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 20TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 1:0298% → 100%
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
98.4%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Trevor HohltSimilar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+20
98.4%
Walter Fletcher run for 20 yds to the Fordh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
98.5%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the Fordh 16Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+16
99.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 16 yds for a TD, (Ryan Rimmler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.7%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Trey Sneed for no gain to the Fordh 39Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
99.7%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to M.J. Wright for 5 yds to the Fordh 44Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 5
OWN 44
-1
99.7%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Trey Sneed for a loss of 1 yard to the Fordh 43Similar
Q3 9:20
4TH & 6
OWN 43
+2
99.7%
Andrew Mevis punt for 30 yds , Justin Hall returns for 2 yds to the BalSt 29 Justin Hall fumbled, recovered by Fordh Cameron BlairSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 22TD
4 plays · 29 yds · 1:180% → 2%
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
99.7%
Zach Davis run for 4 yds to the BalSt 25Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+12
99.6%
Trey Sneed run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 26 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, personal foul (James Jennette III) to the BalSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
99.7%
Tim DeMorat run for 12 yds to the BalSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.8%
Trey Sneed run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tim DeMorat pass to Fotis Kokosioulis for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 23TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4898% → 100%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Walter Fletcher for 6 yds to the BalSt 31Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
98.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 10 yds to the BalSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
98.5%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the BalSt 43Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+29
98.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 29 yds to the Fordh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
99.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 28 yds for a TD, (Ryan Rimmler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 24TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 2:570% → 1%
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
99.8%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Joe Ferraro for 13 yds to the Fordh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
99.8%
Zach Davis run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
50
+36
99.8%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 36 yds to the BalSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
99.8%
Zach Davis run for 7 yds to the BalSt 7Similar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+2
99.7%
Zach Davis run for 2 yds to the BalSt 5 Zach Davis fumbled, forced by Kyle Williams, recovered by Fordh Zach DavisSimilar
Q3 0:59
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+5
98.8%
Trey Sneed run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andrew Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 25PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 0:5999% → 99%
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Hassan Littles for 5 yds to the BalSt 30Similar
Q3 0:59
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
99.0%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Hassan Littles for 10 yds Hassan Littles fumbled, forced by B.J. Ferguson, recovered by BalSt Yo'Heinz Tyler for a 1ST down , return for 4 yds to the BalSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+31
99.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Walter Fletcher for 31 yds to the Fordh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.1%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Walter FletcherSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-5
99.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 5 yds to the Fordh 20 BALL ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Antwan Davis) to the Fordh 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 30
0
99.1%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz Tyler, broken up by Glenn CunninghamSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 30
-13
99.0%
Drew Plitt sacked by Ellis Taylor and Jeremy Imperati for a loss of 13 yards to the Fordh 43Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 28
OPP 43
-5
98.6%
BALL ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Fordh 48Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 33
OPP 48
0
98.7%
Nathan Snyder punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Naim Mayfield at the Fordh 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 26INT
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:421% → 1%
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-2
99.2%
Trey Sneed run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fordh 5Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 12
OWN 5
+11
99.2%
Tim DeMorat pass intercepted Tyler Potts return for 1 yd to the Fordh 6 BALL ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Jordan Williams) to the Fordh 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 27TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:4699% → 100%
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
99.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 11 yds to the Fordh 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
99.2%
Walter Fletcher run for 2 yds to the Fordh 12Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+9
99.2%
Walter Fletcher run for 9 yds to the Fordh 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
99.2%
Walter Fletcher run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fordh 4Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 4 yds for a TD, (Ryan Rimmler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 28PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Fotis Kokosioulis run for no gain to the Fordh 22Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+3
99.9%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Zach Davis for 3 yds to the Fordh 25Similar
Q4 10:31
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+12
99.9%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Dequece Carter for 12 yds to the Fordh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
99.9%
DeMorat, Tim pass complete to Carter, Dequece for 12 yards to the FORD49, out-of-bounds (POTTS, Tyler), PENALTY FORD holding (Conley, Will) 10 yards to the FORD27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 20
OWN 27
+4
99.9%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Fotis Kokosioulis for 4 yds to the Fordh 31Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 16
OWN 31
+8
99.9%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Dequece Carter for 8 yds to the Fordh 39Similar
Q4 10:31
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Tim DeMorat pass incomplete to Hamze El-Zayat, broken up by Jimmy DawSimilar
Q4 10:31
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Andrew Mevis punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Riley Miller at the BalSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
99.9%
Markice Hurt Jr. run for 4 yds to the BalSt 19Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+2
99.9%
Markice Hurt Jr. run for 2 yds to the BalSt 21Similar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 4
OWN 21
0
99.9%
John Paddock pass incomplete to Trevor HohltSimilar
Q4 7:06
4TH & 4
OWN 21
+24
99.9%
Nathan Snyder punt for 42 yds , Naim Mayfield returns for 24 yds to the BalSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 30DOWNS
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
99.9%
Trey Sneed run for 5 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 5
OPP 34
-15
99.9%
FORDHAM Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the BalSt 49Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 20
OPP 49
+18
99.9%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 18 yds to the BalSt 31Similar
Q4 5:57
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+11
99.9%
Zach Davis run for 11 yds to the BalSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
99.9%
Zach Davis run for 1 yd to the BalSt 19Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
99.9%
Tim DeMorat pass incomplete to Fotis KokosioulisSimilar
Q4 5:57
3RD & 9
OPP 19
0
99.9%
Tim DeMorat pass incomplete to Hamze El-ZayatSimilar
Q4 5:57
4TH & 9
OPP 19
0
99.9%
Tim DeMorat pass incomplete to Dequece CarterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 31END OF GAME
6 plays · 34 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
99.9%
Markice Hurt Jr. run for 3 yds to the BalSt 22Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+4
99.9%
Markice Hurt Jr. run for 4 yds to the BalSt 26Similar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+10
99.9%
Will Jones run for 10 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
99.9%
John Paddock pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 5 yds to the Fordh 41 for a 1ST down FORDHAM Penalty, personal foul (Stephen Williams II) to the Fordh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fordh 46Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 12
OPP 46
-1
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fordh 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:06
Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 3 yds for a TD, (Patrick LeCorre PAT MISSED)
+2.7
TD · Q3 5:49
Trey Sneed run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tim DeMorat pass to Fotis Kokosioulis for Two-Point Conversion)
-1.8
TD · Q1 4:16
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Jack Lynch for 5 yds for a TD, (Andrew Mevis KICK)
-1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com