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MONM

Monmouth 13 at Western Michigan 48

WMU
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2019 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadMONM aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreMONM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:20 · LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the MonNJ 22 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 70Pregame prior+35.0Home team on offense+10.8Score differential+5.7Garbage-time factor+4.1Blowout margin−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:07: Jon Wassink pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 33 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK) — WMU win probability +1.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:27: Pete Guerriero run for 14 yds for a TD, (Matt Mosquera KICK) — MONM win probability +2.3 pts (now 7%) (top driver: MONM has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 11:04: Thiago Kapps 45 yd FG GOOD MONMOUTH Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declined — WMU win probability +1.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:10: Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 9 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK) — WMU win probability +1.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:56: Jon Wassink pass complete to Brett Borske for 25 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK) — WMU win probability +1.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4MONM made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00MONM 4th & 2 at MONM 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:25MONM 4th & 11 at MONM 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:54MONM 4th & 3 at MONM 36, down 14
    Close callPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:04WMU 4th & 23 at MONM 28, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%−0.9
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    91.1%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:04MONM 4th & 3 at MONM 25, down 17
    Close callPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:20WMU 4th & 1 at MONM 25, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    94.1%−0.7
    66% to make
    Punt
    92.3%−2.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:10MONM 4th & 1 at MONM 41, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.4%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00WMU 4th & 4 at MONM 35, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    97.0%−0.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    96.9%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:03MONM 4th & 2 at WMU 28, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:40WMU 4th & 2 at MONM 2, up 32
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:40MONM 4th & 4 at MONM 47, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:04MONM 4th & 24 at WMU 49, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6MONM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:25WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:54WMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:07WMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:27MONM Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:10WMU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:56WMU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:26MONM Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    1.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:03WMU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MONMDrive 1DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
95.1%
Kenji Bahar pass incomplete to Lonnie Moore IVSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
95.1%
Kenji Bahar pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+8
95.1%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Shawn Clark for 8 yds to the MonNJ 32Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
95.1%
Colin McCreary pass incomplete to Shawn Clark, broken up by Skyy MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:3895% → 95%
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
94.9%
BELLAMY, L. rush for 3 yards to the MU29 (BROOKS, Malik;BUDD, Anthony), PENALTY MU offside 5 yards to the MU27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 5
OPP 27
+6
94.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 6 yds to the MonNJ 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
94.9%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MonNJ 26Similar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 15
OPP 26
+2
94.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the MonNJ 24Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 13
OPP 24
+5
94.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the MonNJ 19Similar
Q1 14:03
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+15
94.9%
WASSINK, J. pass incomplete to BUSSELL, D., PENALTY MU pass interference (MOORE, Lonnie) 15 yards to the MU4, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
94.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the MonNJ 3Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
94.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 3PUNT
13 plays · 23 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
94.6%
BAHAR, Kenji pass complete to MOORE, Lonnie for 6 yards to the MU32, PENALTY MU illegal formation 5 yards to the MU21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+10
94.6%
Pete Guerriero run for 10 yds to the MonNJ 31Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+4
94.5%
Pete Guerriero run for 4 yds to the MonNJ 35Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+2
94.5%
Pete Guerriero run for 2 yds to the MonNJ 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
94.5%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Lonnie Moore IV for 1 yd to the MonNJ 38Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+5
94.5%
Devell Jones run for 5 yds to the MonNJ 43Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+7
94.5%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Joey Aldarelli for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
50
0
94.5%
Kenji Bahar pass incomplete to Joey AldarelliSimilar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 10
50
0
94.5%
Kenji Bahar pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 10
50
-9
94.5%
Kenji Bahar sacked by Antonio Balabani for a loss of 9 yards to the MonNJ 41 MONMOUTH Penalty, intentional grounding ( Yards) to the MonNJ 41Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 19
OWN 41
+8
94.6%
Pete Guerriero run for 8 yds to the MonNJ 49Similar
Q1 11:25
4TH & 11
OWN 49
0
94.6%
Colin McCreary punt for 43 yds, downed at the WMich 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4TD
6 plays · 92 yds · 2:1594% → 95%
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
93.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 7 yds to the WMich 15Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+4
94.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the WMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+60
94.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to DaShon Bussell for 60 yds to the MonNJ 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
94.2%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 5 yds to the MonNJ 16Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+1
94.2%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the MonNJ 15Similar
Q1 4:54
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+15
94.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 15 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
94.4%
Pete Guerriero run for 1 yd to the MonNJ 30Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+4
94.4%
Devell Jones run for 4 yds to the MonNJ 34Similar
Q1 4:54
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+2
94.4%
Devell Jones run for 2 yds to the MonNJ 36Similar
Q1 4:54
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
94.5%
Colin McCreary punt for 29 yds, downed at the WMich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6TD
2 plays · 65 yds · 0:3795% → 96%
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+32
94.6%
Jon Wassink pass complete to DaShon Bussell for 32 yds to the MonNJ 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
96.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 33 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 7TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 3:404% → 7%
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
95.9%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Terrance Greene Jr. for 7 yds to the MonNJ 42Similar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+1
95.8%
Pete Guerriero run for 1 yd to the MonNJ 43Similar
Q1 2:07
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+3
95.8%
Devell Jones run for 3 yds to the MonNJ 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
95.8%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Joey Aldarelli for 9 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+5
95.7%
Devell Jones run for 5 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
95.9%
Pete Guerriero run for 1 yd to the WMich 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 39
0
95.9%
Kenji Bahar pass incomplete to Terrance Greene Jr.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+9
96.0%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Lonnie Moore IV for 9 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
95.8%
BAHAR, Kenji pass incomplete to MOORE, Lonnie, PENALTY WMU roughing passer (COLLINS, T.) 15 yards to the WMU15, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
95.8%
Pete Guerriero run for 1 yd to the WMich 14Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+14
93.4%
Pete Guerriero run for 14 yds for a TD, (Matt Mosquera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8FG
9 plays · 19 yds · 2:0195% → 95%
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
94.6%
BELLAMY, L. rush for 47 yards to the MU0, clock 13:05, PENALTY WMU illegal formation 5 yards to the WMU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+1
94.5%
Davon Tucker run for 1 yd to the WMich 49Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 14
OWN 49
+36
94.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 36 yds to the MonNJ 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
94.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the MonNJ 13Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 8
OPP 13
-15
94.5%
WASSINK, J. pass complete to HALL, J. for 13 yards to the MU0, clock 11:24, PENALTY WMU pass interference (COOPER, C.) 15 yards to the MU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 23
OPP 28
0
94.5%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 23
OPP 28
0
94.3%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Jaylen Hall, broken up by Anthony BuddSimilar
Q2 11:04
4TH & 23
OPP 28
+45
95.3%
Thiago Kapps 45 yd FG GOOD MONMOUTH Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
95.0%
Pete Guerriero run for 5 yds to the MonNJ 23Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 5
OWN 23
0
95.0%
Kenji Bahar pass incomplete to Terrance Greene Jr.Similar
Q2 11:04
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+2
95.1%
Pete Guerriero run for 2 yds to the MonNJ 25Similar
Q2 11:04
4TH & 3
OWN 25
+21
95.1%
Colin McCreary punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MonNJ 49 , Keith Mixon Jr. returns for 21 yds to the MonNJ 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10TD
11 plays · 49 yds · 4:1096% → 97%
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
95.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 15 yds to the MonNJ 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
95.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the MonNJ 31Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+5
95.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the MonNJ 26Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+1
95.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the MonNJ 25Similar
Q2 9:20
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+3
95.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the MonNJ 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
95.8%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Giovanni RicciSimilar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+8
95.7%
Jon Wassink pass complete to DaShon Bussell for 8 yds to the MonNJ 14Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+3
95.6%
Davon Tucker run for 3 yds to the MonNJ 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
95.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the MonNJ 9Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
95.8%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to DaShon BussellSimilar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+9
97.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 9 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 11END OF HALF
23 plays · 80 yds · 4:593% → 5%
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
96.9%
Pete Guerriero run for 8 yds to the MonNJ 27Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+5
96.8%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside (Ralph Holley) to the MonNJ 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
96.8%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Lonnie Moore IV for 4 yds to the MonNJ 36Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
96.8%
Kenji Bahar pass incomplete to Lonnie Moore IV, broken up by D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+5
96.8%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Joey Aldarelli for 5 yds to the MonNJ 41Similar
Q2 5:10
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+4
96.8%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Joey Aldarelli for 4 yds to the MonNJ 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
96.8%
Kenji Bahar sacked by Braden Fiske for a loss of 3 yards to the MonNJ 42Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 13
OWN 42
+7
96.9%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Brandon Batts for 7 yds to the MonNJ 49Similar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+5
96.8%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside (Andre Carter) to the WMich 46Similar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+8
96.8%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Lonnie Moore IV for 8 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
96.8%
Kenji Bahar pass incomplete to Joey AldarelliSimilar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
96.9%
Kenji Bahar pass incomplete to Terrance Greene Jr.Similar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+21
97.0%
Pete Guerriero run for 21 yds to the WMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
96.6%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Shawn Clark for 9 yds to the WMich 8Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 1
OPP 8
0
96.6%
Kenji Bahar pass incomplete to Lonnie Moore IVSimilar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+4
96.8%
Devell Jones run for 4 yds to the WMich 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
96.6%
Devell Jones run for 3 yds to the WMich 1Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.8%
Devell Jones run for no gain to the WMich 1Similar
Q2 0:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.5%
Devell Jones run for no gain to the WMich 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 5:0498% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
97.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 8 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 27
-4
97.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 4 yards to the WMich 23Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+15
97.7%
WASSINK, J. pass incomplete to BUSSELL, D., PENALTY MU pass interference (TERRY, Justin) 15 yards to the WMU38, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
97.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Corey Crooms for 9 yds to the WMich 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+12
97.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Corey Crooms for 12 yds to the MonNJ 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
97.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the MonNJ 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 39
0
97.8%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Keith Mixon Jr.Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+4
97.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to DaShon Bussell for 4 yds to the MonNJ 35Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 35
+25
97.6%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Tyron Arnett for 25 yds to the MonNJ 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-6
97.8%
Jon Wassink sacked by Da'Quan Grimes for a loss of 6 yards to the MonNJ 25 Jon Wassink fumbled, recovered by WMich Skyy Moore , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 9:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 25
+25
99.7%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Brett Borske for 25 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 13TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:300% → 1%
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.6%
Pete Guerriero run for 2 yds to the MonNJ 27Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
99.6%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Terrance Greene Jr. for 9 yds to the MonNJ 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
99.6%
Pete Guerriero run for 7 yds to the MonNJ 43Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+13
99.6%
Kenji Bahar run for 13 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.6%
Kenji Bahar pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+4
99.6%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Lonnie Moore IV for 4 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q3 9:56
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+8
99.6%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Terrance Greene Jr. for 8 yds to the WMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.5%
Kenji Bahar pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
99.5%
Pete Guerriero run for 3 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q3 9:56
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+15
99.6%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Terrance Greene Jr. for 15 yds to the WMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
98.6%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Terrance Greene Jr. for 14 yds for a TD, (Matt Mosquera PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14TD
6 plays · 35 yds · 2:2399% → 100%
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
99.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to DaShon Bussell for 12 yds to the MonNJ 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
99.3%
Davon Tucker run for 10 yds to the MonNJ 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
99.3%
Davon Tucker run for 4 yds to the MonNJ 9Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+1
99.2%
Jon Wassink run for 1 yd to the MonNJ 8Similar
Q3 4:03
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+8
99.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 8 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 15DOWNS
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.5%
Pete Guerriero run for 4 yds to the MonNJ 39Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
99.4%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Lonnie Moore IV for 3 yds to the MonNJ 42Similar
Q3 4:03
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+10
99.4%
Pete Guerriero run for 10 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
99.3%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Shawn Clark for 12 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
99.3%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Joey Aldarelli for 9 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 1
OPP 27
0
99.2%
Pete Guerriero run for no gain to the WMich 27Similar
Q3 4:03
3RD & 1
OPP 27
-1
99.2%
Devell Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 28Similar
Q3 4:03
4TH & 2
OPP 28
0
99.1%
Kenji Bahar pass incomplete to Lonnie Moore IV, broken up by A.J. ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16FG
13 plays · 84 yds · 10:23100% → 100%
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-14
99.8%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Anton Curtis) to the WMich 14Similar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
99.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 7 yds to the WMich 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+12
99.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 12 yds to the WMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-4
99.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 4 yards to the WMich 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 29
+31
99.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 31 yds to the MonNJ 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
99.8%
Davon Tucker run for 13 yds to the MonNJ 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
99.8%
Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the MonNJ 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+1
99.8%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the MonNJ 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+16
99.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Sean Tyler for 16 yds to the MonNJ 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.8%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the MonNJ 2Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.8%
Sean Tyler run for no gain to the MonNJ 2Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.8%
Sean Tyler run for no gain to the MonNJ 2Similar
Q4 8:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
99.9%
Thiago Kapps 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 17PUNT
18 plays · 35 yds · 6:360% → 0%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
99.9%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Joey Aldarelli for 7 yds to the MonNJ 23Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 3
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Pete Guerriero run for no gain to the MonNJ 23Similar
Q4 8:40
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+6
99.9%
Pete Guerriero run for 6 yds to the MonNJ 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-3
99.9%
Pete Guerriero run for a loss of 3 yards to the MonNJ 26Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 13
OWN 26
+3
99.9%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Devell Jones for 3 yds to the MonNJ 29Similar
Q4 8:40
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+12
99.9%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Lonnie Moore IV for 12 yds to the MonNJ 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
99.9%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Joey Aldarelli for 6 yds to the MonNJ 47Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 4
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Pete Guerriero run for no gain to the MonNJ 47Similar
Q4 8:40
3RD & 4
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Kenji Bahar pass incomplete to Joey AldarelliSimilar
Q4 8:40
4TH & 4
OWN 47
+5
99.9%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Shawn Clark for 5 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
99.9%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Zach Tredway for 9 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+4
99.9%
Devell Jones run for 4 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
99.9%
Devell Jones run for 2 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 8
OPP 33
-11
99.9%
Kenji Bahar sacked by Timothy Collins for a loss of 11 yards to the WMich 44Similar
Q4 8:40
3RD & 19
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Kenji Bahar pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:40
4TH & 19
OPP 44
-5
99.9%
MONMOUTH Penalty, DL (-5 Yards) to the WMich 49Similar
Q4 2:04
4TH & 24
OPP 49
0
100.0%
Colin McCreary punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Keith Mixon Jr. at the WMich 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18END OF GAME
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
100.0%
Dawson Schick run for no gain to the WMich 10Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+12
100.0%
Ra'Sean Davie run for 12 yds to the WMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:27
Pete Guerriero run for 14 yds for a TD, (Matt Mosquera KICK)
-2.3
TD · Q3 9:56
Jon Wassink pass complete to Brett Borske for 25 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)
+1.8
TD · Q2 5:10
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 9 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)
+1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com