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ILST

Illinois State 10 at Northern Illinois 24

NIU
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2019 · Huskie Stadium
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Win probability · NIU
modelNIU aheadILST aheadconfidence bandkey playNIU scoreILST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:50 · Tre Harbison run for a loss of 1 yard to the IllSt 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 97Pregame prior+9.8Home team on offense+2.4Garbage-time factor−0.7Score differential−0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Blowout margin−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 4:16: Brady Davis pass complete to Taylor Grimes for 13 yds to the NoIll 19 for a 1ST down — ILST win probability +5.8 pts (now 36%) (top driver: ILST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:11: Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Ritchie for 22 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK) — NIU win probability +15.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:22: Brady Davis pass complete to Taylor Grimes for 42 yds for a TD, (Sam Fenlason KICK) — ILST win probability +26.7 pts (now 48%) (top driver: ILST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:04: Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Ritchie for 68 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK) — NIU win probability +27.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:04: Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line — NIU win probability +8.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11ILST made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 14:16ILST 4th & 3 at NIU 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    31.9%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:00NIU 4th & 13 at NIU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:15ILST 4th & 10 at ILST 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:19NIU 4th & 7 at ILST 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    65.2%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:19ILST 4th & 9 at ILST 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00NIU 4th & 15 at NIU 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:18ILST 4th & 3 at ILST 39, down 3
    Close callPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.4%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:11NIU 4th & 3 at NIU 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:32ILST 4th & 8 at ILST 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:56NIU 4th & 4 at NIU 46, up 3
    Close callPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 7:33ILST 4th & 9 at ILST 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:55ILST 4th & 6 at NIU 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    27.3%−5.5
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:00NIU 4th & 4 at ILST 18, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.2%−0.3
    79% to make
    Punt
    58.2%−6.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 14:56NIU 4th & 14 at NIU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%−3.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 12:50NIU 4th & 1 at ILST 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    61.4%−3.0
    91% to make
    Punt
    52.9%−11.5
    average punt
  16. Q3 10:37ILST 4th & 7 at ILST 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−1.8
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.0%
    average punt
  17. Q3 8:31NIU 4th & 22 at NIU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%−4.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.5%
    average punt
  18. Q3 6:52ILST 4th & 11 at ILST 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−3.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 13:57ILST 4th & 8 at NIU 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 10:22NIU 4th & 5 at ILST 47, up 7
    Close callPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%−0.2
    average punt
  21. Q4 5:35ILST 4th & 11 at NIU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.4%
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    12.0%−0.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    11.2%−1.2
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:50NIU 4th & 3 at ILST 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    91.7%−1.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%−1.0
    average punt
  23. Q4 2:28ILST 4th & 4 at ILST 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.8%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3ILST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 2:11NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 14:22ILST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:04NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%−0.4
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:31NIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ILSTDrive 1PUNT
13 plays · 32 yds · 0:4029% → 29%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
70.9%
ILLINOIS ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the IllSt 20Similar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+11
70.9%
Brady Davis pass complete to Taylor Grimes for 11 yds to the IllSt 31Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
70.9%
Brady Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
70.9%
Brady Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:16
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+5
70.8%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, offside defense (Jordan Cole) to the IllSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
70.7%
James Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the IllSt 35Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+15
70.8%
Brady Davis pass complete to Taylor Grimes for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:16
1ST & 10
50
+6
70.7%
Brady Davis run for 6 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 4
OPP 44
0
70.7%
James Robinson run for no gain to the NoIll 44Similar
Q1 14:16
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+1
70.7%
James Robinson run for 1 yd to the NoIll 43Similar
Q1 14:16
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
70.7%
JT Bohlken punt for 23 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-8
70.2%
Ross Bowers sacked by Tuvone Clark for a loss of 8 yards to the NoIll 12Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 18
OWN 12
0
70.1%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 18
OWN 12
-6
70.0%
BOWERS, Ross pass complete to LERSCH, Corey for 17 yards to the NIU29 (Draka,Dylan), PENALTY NIU personal foul 6 yards to the NIU6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 24
OWN 6
+11
69.9%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tre Harbison for 11 yds to the NoIll 17Similar
Q1 11:00
4TH & 13
OWN 17
+14
69.9%
Matt Ference punt for 51 yds , Taylor Grimes returns for 14 yds to the IllSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
69.3%
Brady Davis pass incomplete to Taylor GrimesSimilar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
69.4%
Brady Davis pass incomplete to James RobinsonSimilar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
69.6%
Brady Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:15
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
70.0%
JT Bohlken punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4FG
9 plays · 73 yds · 4:3470% → 70%
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
69.7%
Tre Harbison run for 9 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+12
70.0%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Ritchie for 12 yds to the NoIll 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
70.1%
Tre Harbison run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 40Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+6
69.9%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 6 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q1 8:53
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+45
70.1%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 45 yds to the IllSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
70.5%
Marcus Jones run for no gain to the IllSt 9Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
70.5%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the IllSt 7Similar
Q1 8:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
70.3%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
70.1%
John Richardson 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
69.7%
Jeffrey Proctor run for no gain to the IllSt 35Similar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
69.9%
Brady Davis run for 1 yd to the IllSt 36Similar
Q1 4:19
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
70.1%
Brady Davis pass incomplete to James RobinsonSimilar
Q1 4:19
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
70.6%
JT Bohlken punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 2:5570% → 68%
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
69.5%
Tre Harbison run for 9 yds to the NoIll 27Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+2
70.0%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the NoIll 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
69.6%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the NoIll 32Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 7
OWN 32
-5
69.6%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 27Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 12
OWN 27
0
69.4%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:55
3RD & 12
OWN 27
-3
68.9%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Spencer Tears for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 24Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 24
0
67.9%
Matt Ference punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Taylor Grimes at the IllSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3531% → 31%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
68.7%
Brady Davis pass incomplete to Taylor GrimesSimilar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+9
69.0%
Brady Davis pass complete to Braxton Haley for 9 yds to the IllSt 41Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 1
OWN 41
-2
68.0%
James Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the IllSt 39Similar
Q2 13:18
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
68.9%
JT Bohlken punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
69.2%
Tre Harbison run for no gain to the NoIll 26Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
68.9%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+7
68.4%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 7 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
Q2 13:11
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
68.3%
Matt Ference punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Taylor Grimes at the IllSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
68.6%
James Robinson run for 2 yds to the IllSt 23Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
68.8%
Brady Davis pass incomplete to Taylor Grimes, broken up by Mark AitkenSimilar
Q2 11:32
3RD & 8
OWN 23
0
69.3%
Brady Davis run for no gain to the IllSt 23Similar
Q2 11:32
4TH & 8
OWN 23
+4
69.9%
JT Bohlken punt for 46 yds , Cole Tucker returns for 4 yds to the NoIll 27 NORTHERNIL Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the NoIll 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
68.9%
Tre Harbison run for 15 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
70.2%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete, broken up by John RidgewaySimilar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
69.6%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
Q2 9:56
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+4
69.0%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Marcus Jones for 4 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q2 9:56
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
68.9%
Matt Ference punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Taylor Grimes at the IllSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0032% → 30%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
68.5%
Jeffrey Proctor run for 7 yds to the IllSt 16Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+10
68.4%
Brady Davis pass complete to Robert Gillum for 10 yds to the IllSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
68.1%
Jeffrey Proctor run for a loss of 1 yard to the IllSt 25Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+2
68.4%
Jeffrey Proctor run for 2 yds to the IllSt 27Similar
Q2 7:33
3RD & 9
OWN 27
0
68.9%
Brady Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:33
4TH & 9
OWN 27
+8
69.7%
JT Bohlken punt for 46 yds , Cole Tucker returns for 8 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0069% → 70%
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
69.4%
Marcus Jones run for 2 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+3
69.8%
Ross Bowers pass intercepted Dylan Draka return for 3 yds to the NoIll 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 13FG
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:2136% → 39%
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
64.0%
Brady Davis pass complete to Taylor Grimes for 13 yds to the NoIll 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
63.7%
Brady Davis run for 4 yds to the NoIll 15Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 6
OPP 15
0
63.7%
Brady Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:16
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
64.8%
Brady Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:55
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+32
60.9%
Sam Fenlason 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14MISSED FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 2:5566% → 66%
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
65.5%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 11 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
66.4%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 7 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 3
OWN 43
0
67.9%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Tyrice RitchieSimilar
Q2 2:55
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+6
66.9%
BOWERS, Ross pass incomplete to ROBINSON, Denni, PENALTY ILS pass interference (Woods,Charles) 6 yards to the NIU49, 1ST DOWN NIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
68.0%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+27
67.4%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 27 yds to the IllSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
68.9%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
68.8%
Ross Bowers run for 3 yds to the IllSt 21Similar
Q2 2:55
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+3
68.0%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 3 yds to the IllSt 18Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+36
65.6%
John Richardson 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0065% → 63%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
65.3%
Tre Harbison run for 6 yds to the NoIll 31Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-3
66.6%
Ross Bowers run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 28Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-7
64.0%
Ross Bowers sacked by Romeo McKnight and Zeke Vandenburgh for a loss of 7 yards to the NoIll 21Similar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
62.9%
Matt Ference punt for 45 yds , Taylor Grimes returns for no gain to the IllSt 33 Taylor Grimes fumbled, recovered by NoIll Marshe TerrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16DOWNS
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0069% → 66%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+17
68.5%
Tre Harbison run for 17 yds to the IllSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
68.5%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the IllSt 13Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+5
68.5%
Ross Bowers run for 5 yds to the IllSt 8Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+1
67.4%
Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the IllSt 7Similar
Q3 12:50
4TH & 1
OPP 7
-1
66.0%
Tre Harbison run for a loss of 1 yard to the IllSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0039% → 37%
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
61.4%
James Robinson run for no gain to the IllSt 8Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+2
61.7%
James Robinson run for 2 yds to the IllSt 10Similar
Q3 10:37
3RD & 8
OWN 10
+1
62.5%
Brady Davis run for 1 yd to the IllSt 11Similar
Q3 10:37
4TH & 7
OWN 11
0
63.5%
JT Bohlken punt for 48 yds, downed at the NoIll 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 0:0066% → 61%
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
65.7%
Jordan Nettles run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 39Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+5
64.4%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Dennis Robinson for 5 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 7
OWN 44
0
64.7%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Dennis Robinson, broken up by Luther KirkSimilar
Q3 8:31
4TH & 7
OWN 44
-15
62.9%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the NoIll 29Similar
Q3 8:31
4TH & 22
OWN 29
0
60.8%
Matt Ference punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Taylor Grimes at the IllSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0040% → 37%
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-3
59.7%
James Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the IllSt 23Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 13
OWN 23
+2
60.4%
Cole Blackman run for 2 yds to the IllSt 25Similar
Q3 6:52
3RD & 11
OWN 25
0
61.2%
Brady Davis pass incomplete to Kacper RutkiewiczSimilar
Q3 6:52
4TH & 11
OWN 25
0
62.7%
JT Bohlken punt for 67 yds, downed at the NoIll 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20TD
9 plays · 92 yds · 3:1262% → 84%
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
62.2%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the NoIll 11Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+8
62.2%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Maximilian Thrower for 8 yds to the NoIll 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
62.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 12 yds to the NoIll 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+16
63.3%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 16 yds to the NoIll 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
66.2%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Spencer TearsSimilar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
65.6%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Maximilian Thrower, broken up by Ty DeForestSimilar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+21
63.3%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 21 yds to the IllSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
68.0%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Marcus Jones for 10 yds to the IllSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
83.9%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Ritchie for 22 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 21TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4223% → 48%
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
76.8%
Brady Davis pass complete to Braxton Haley for 15 yds to the IllSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
75.1%
Proctor,Jeff rush for 3 yards to the ILS43 (JONES-DAVIS, A), PENALTY ILS holding (Rients,Jared) 10 yards to the ILS30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:04
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+7
76.7%
Brady Davis pass complete to Braxton Haley for 7 yds to the IllSt 37Similar
Q3 2:04
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+2
76.8%
Jeffrey Proctor run for 2 yds to the IllSt 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+19
79.0%
Brady Davis pass complete to Kacper Rutkiewicz for 19 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
52.2%
Brady Davis pass complete to Taylor Grimes for 42 yds for a TD, (Sam Fenlason KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 22TD
2 plays · 68 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
85.0%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Ritchie for 68 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 23PUNT
12 plays · 29 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
81.0%
James Robinson run for no gain to the IllSt 22Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
81.2%
Brady Davis pass incomplete to Kacper RutkiewiczSimilar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+15
82.3%
Davis,Brady pass incomplete to Grimes,Taylor, PENALTY NIU personal foul (LEROY, Ben) 15 yards to the ILS37, 1ST DOWN ILS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
79.9%
Brady Davis run for 6 yds to the IllSt 43Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+6
78.5%
Jeffrey Proctor run for 6 yds to the IllSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-15
77.9%
ILLINOIS ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the IllSt 34Similar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 25
OWN 34
+15
81.0%
Davis,Brady pass incomplete to Grimes,Taylor, PENALTY NIU pass interference (FOSTER, Traysho) 15 yards to the ILS49, 1ST DOWN ILS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
77.9%
James Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the IllSt 47Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 12
OWN 47
+4
79.6%
Brady Davis run for 4 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 8
OPP 49
0
79.1%
Brady Davis pass complete to Taylor Grimes for no gain to the NoIll 49Similar
Q4 13:57
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
80.9%
JT Bohlken punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
86.2%
Tre Harbison run for 6 yds to the NoIll 26Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+7
86.4%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Dennis Robinson for 7 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
86.5%
Tre Harbison run for 4 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+3
87.3%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+8
87.0%
Tre Harbison run for 8 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
88.0%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Spencer Tears, broken up by John RidgewaySimilar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
87.7%
Jordan Nettles run for 4 yds to the IllSt 48Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+1
87.4%
Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the IllSt 47Similar
Q4 10:22
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
86.2%
Matt Ference punt for 46 yds, downed at the IllSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 25DOWNS
8 plays · 51 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+15
86.4%
Davis,Brady pass incomplete to Gillum,Robert, PENALTY NIU pass interference 15 yards to the ILS16, 1ST DOWN ILS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
85.9%
James Robinson run for 2 yds to the IllSt 18Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+28
86.1%
Brady Davis pass complete to Taylor Grimes for 28 yds to the IllSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
82.6%
Brady Davis pass complete to James Robinson for 12 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
81.6%
James Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 43Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 11
OPP 43
0
82.6%
Brady Davis pass incomplete to Braxton HaleySimilar
Q4 5:35
3RD & 11
OPP 43
0
84.0%
Brady Davis pass incomplete to Taylor GrimesSimilar
Q4 5:35
4TH & 11
OPP 43
-5
85.6%
Brady Davis sacked by Quintin Wynne for a loss of 5 yards to the NoIll 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 26PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:1494% → 94%
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
93.9%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 8
50
+3
94.8%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the IllSt 47Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+2
94.9%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the IllSt 45Similar
Q4 2:50
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
94.1%
Matt Ference punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Taylor Grimes at the IllSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 27INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+32
98.6%
Brady Davis pass intercepted for a TD Jalen McKie return for 32 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 28DOWNS
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+18
98.6%
James Robinson run for 18 yds to the IllSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.5%
Brady Davis pass incomplete to Kacper RutkiewiczSimilar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-2
98.6%
Brady Davis pass complete to James Robinson for a loss of 2 yards to the IllSt 34Similar
Q4 2:28
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+8
98.7%
Brady Davis pass complete to Kacper Rutkiewicz for 8 yds to the IllSt 42Similar
Q4 2:28
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
98.6%
Brady Davis pass incomplete to Robert GillumSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 29Uncategorized
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
99.3%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the IllSt 43Similar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 11
OPP 43
-1
99.3%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the IllSt 44Similar
Q4 1:29
3RD & 12
OPP 44
-1
99.3%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the IllSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:04
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Ritchie for 68 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)
+27.5
TD · Q4 14:22
Brady Davis pass complete to Taylor Grimes for 42 yds for a TD, (Sam Fenlason KICK)
-26.7
TD · Q3 2:11
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Ritchie for 22 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)
+15.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com