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EMU

Eastern Michigan 30 at Coastal Carolina 23

CCU
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2019 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
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Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:30 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 2
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:01: Massimo Biscardi 53 yd FG GOOD — CCU win probability +5.8 pts (now 58%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:27: Mike Glass III run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +12.2 pts (now 61%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:53: Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 19 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — EMU win probability +12.4 pts (now 78%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:55: Fred Payton pass complete to CJ Marable for 22 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +24.8 pts (now 46%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q4 5:46: Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 32 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +18.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8EMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 10:32EMU 4th & 6 at EMU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:23CCU 4th & 3 at EMU 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    46.0%−0.6
    38% to make
    Punt
    46.0%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:21CCU 4th & 7 at EMU 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.5%
    62% to make
    Punt
    45.3%−2.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:56EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    50.9%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:01CCU 4th & 7 at EMU 35, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.4%−0.6
    45% to make
    Punt
    51.9%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:08EMU 4th & 5 at CCU 8, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.8%
    90% to make
    Punt
    45.7%−10.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:08CCU 4th & 9 at CCU 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−2.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:53CCU 4th & 1 at CCU 44, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    23.4%−2.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:52EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 29, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.2 ptsPunted · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.8%−3.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:55CCU 4th & 1 at EMU 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    19.6%−2.4
    68% to make
    Punt
    12.7%−9.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:04CCU 4th & 9 at EMU 9, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.5%−0.6
    89% to make
    Punt
    5.6%−5.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:44EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 20, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%−1.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:40CCU 4th & 14 at EMU 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−2.2
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    5.2%−3.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 10:32CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:30EMU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:27EMU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:53EMU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    77.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    76.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:55CCU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.5%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.8%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:46EMU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:2837% → 41%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
36.8%
CJ Marable run for 3 yds to the CCaro 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
36.8%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the CCaro 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
36.8%
Fred Payton pass complete to CJ Marable for 8 yds to the CCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
36.8%
CJ Marable run for 3 yds to the CCaro 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+11
36.8%
Fred Payton pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 11 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
36.8%
CJ Marable run for 2 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+3
36.8%
Fred Payton run for 3 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+8
38.2%
Fred Payton pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 8 yds to the EMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
38.4%
CJ Marable run for no gain to the EMich 32Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+16
38.4%
Fred Payton pass complete to CJ Marable for 16 yds to the EMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
40.8%
Fred Payton pass complete to Shadell Bell for 16 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
39.8%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the EMich 26Similar
Q1 10:32
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
39.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 5 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q1 10:32
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-2
39.8%
Mike Glass III sacked by C.J. Brewer and Tarron Jackson for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 29Similar
Q1 10:32
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+30
40.1%
Jake Julien punt for 59 yds , Ky'Jon Tyler returns for 30 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3FG
13 plays · 31 yds · 6:0443% → 47%
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
42.5%
CJ Marable run for 3 yds to the CCaro 45Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+6
42.6%
Bryce Carpenter run for 6 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+4
42.4%
CJ Marable run for 4 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
42.6%
Bryce Carpenter run for 6 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 4
OPP 39
-4
42.7%
Ky'Jon Tyler run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 43Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+5
42.4%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the EMich 38Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 3
OPP 38
0
42.5%
Jacqez Hairston run for no gain to the EMich 38Similar
Q1 4:23
4TH & 3
OPP 38
+8
45.0%
Fred Payton pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 8 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-3
45.9%
CJ Marable run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 33Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 13
OPP 33
+6
45.7%
Fred Payton pass complete to CJ Marable for 6 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q1 4:23
3RD & 7
OPP 27
0
45.5%
Fred Payton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:21
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+45
46.9%
Massimo Biscardi 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:5153% → 56%
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
47.5%
Shaq Vann run for 11 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
47.0%
Shaq Vann run for 6 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 4
OWN 42
-1
46.6%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 41Similar
Q1 0:40
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+7
49.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 7 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
49.4%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 5 yds to the CCaro 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+11
49.3%
Shaq Vann run for 11 yds to the CCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
49.3%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 3 yds to the CCaro 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+3
48.4%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 3 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+8
49.1%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 8 yds to the CCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
48.4%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 25
+13
49.3%
GLASS, Mike pass incomplete to VANN, Shaq, PENALTY CCU roughing passer (Gallagher, T.) 13 yards to the CCU12, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
48.4%
Jairus Grissom run for 1 yd to the CCaro 11Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+11
44.1%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 11 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5INT
9 plays · 36 yds · 0:0046% → 48%
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.4%
Fred Payton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
46.2%
Payton, F. pass incomplete to Likely, I., PENALTY EMU pass interference (McGILL, Kevin) 15 yards to the CCU40, 1ST DOWN CCU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
47.5%
CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the CCaro 41Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+8
47.1%
Fred Payton pass complete to CJ Marable for 8 yds to the CCaro 49Similar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+4
47.6%
CJ Marable run for 4 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
48.3%
CJ Marable run for 2 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+6
48.3%
CJ Marable run for 6 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+7
48.1%
Fred Payton pass intercepted Brody Hoying return for 7 yds to the EMich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6FUMBLE
10 plays · 60 yds · 0:0052% → 53%
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
48.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 7 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 3
OWN 47
-1
47.4%
Mike Glass III run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 46Similar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+3
47.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Shaq Vann for 3 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q2 7:56
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+2
48.4%
Mike Glass III run for 2 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
46.9%
Shaq Vann run for 12 yds to the CCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
46.8%
Shaq Vann run for 5 yds to the CCaro 32Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+20
45.6%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 20 yds to the CCaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
45.6%
Willie Parker run for 2 yds to the CCaro 10Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
45.6%
Mike Glass III run for no gain to the CCaro 10Similar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+9
46.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Shaq Vann for 9 yds Shaq Vann fumbled, forced by Silas Kelly, recovered by CCaroSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7FG
14 plays · 45 yds · 3:0252% → 58%
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
51.7%
Bryce Carpenter run for 3 yds to the CCaro 23Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
51.6%
Bryce Carpenter run for 3 yds to the CCaro 26Similar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+23
51.3%
Fred Payton pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 23 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
54.1%
Fred Payton pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 9 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 1
OPP 42
-5
54.7%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the EMich 47Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
54.5%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to Ky'Jon TylerSimilar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+9
53.9%
Fred Payton pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 9 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
55.0%
Payton, F. pass incomplete to Heiligh, J., QB hurry by RANSEY, Anthony, PENALTY CCU holding (Thompson, S.) 10 yards to the EMU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 20
OPP 48
0
53.6%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to CJ MarableSimilar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 20
OPP 48
+7
53.3%
Fred Payton pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 7 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 13
OPP 41
+6
52.5%
CJ Marable run for 6 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 7
OPP 35
+53
58.4%
Massimo Biscardi 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:3344% → 61%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
55.9%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+13
56.2%
Shaq Vann run for 13 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
54.8%
Shaq Vann run for no gain to the EMich 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
55.3%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Thomas Odukoya, broken up by Mallory ClaybourneSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+10
56.6%
Mike Glass III run for 10 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
53.2%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 12 yds to the CCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
52.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 10 yds to the CCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
51.2%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the CCaro 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+10
51.3%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 10 yds to the CCaro 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
50.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 6 yds to the CCaro 15Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+7
50.9%
Breck Turner run for 7 yds to the CCaro 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
50.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Breck Turner for 4 yds to the CCaro 4 COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Mallory Claybourne) to the CCaro 2Similar
Q3 9:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
38.7%
Mike Glass III run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
45.1%
Fred Payton pass intercepted Clay Holford return for 9 yds to the CCaro 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1261% → 62%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
38.7%
Shaq Vann run for 6 yds to the CCaro 7Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 4
OPP 7
-2
38.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 8 TEAM fumbled, recovered by EMich Shaq VannSimilar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 5
OPP 8
0
40.1%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Bryson CannonSimilar
Q3 8:08
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+26
38.0%
Chad Ryland 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0040% → 38%
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
40.1%
CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the CCaro 26Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
40.0%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to Isaiah LikelySimilar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
38.5%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to Ky'Jon TylerSimilar
Q3 8:08
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
37.8%
Myles Prosser punt for 12 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CCaro 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13TD
4 plays · 62 yds · 1:2665% → 78%
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+29
35.4%
Shaq Vann run for 29 yds to the CCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 5
OPP 33
0
32.7%
Breck Turner run for no gain to the CCaro 33Similar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+14
34.6%
GLASS, Mike pass incomplete to SEXTON, Mathew, PENALTY CCU pass interference (Morris, J.) 14 yards to the CCU19, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
22.2%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 19 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14INT
11 plays · 13 yds · 5:5324% → 20%
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
23.8%
Fred Payton pass complete to T'Qele Holmes for 6 yds to the CCaro 31Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
24.6%
CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the CCaro 32Similar
Q3 5:53
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
23.7%
Fred Payton pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 3 yds to the CCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
24.3%
Bryce Carpenter run for 3 yds to the CCaro 38Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+1
25.1%
Bryce Carpenter run for 1 yd to the CCaro 39Similar
Q3 5:53
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+5
24.1%
Fred Payton run for 5 yds to the CCaro 44Similar
Q3 5:53
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+7
24.1%
CJ Marable run for 7 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
26.4%
Fred Payton pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 48Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 23
OWN 38
0
24.2%
Fred Payton pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for no gain to the CCaro 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 23
OWN 38
-1
20.4%
Fred Payton pass intercepted Blake Bogan return for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
22.0%
Shaq Vann run for 8 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+1
21.2%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the EMich 29Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
22.0%
Mike Glass III run for no gain to the EMich 29Similar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
22.9%
Jake Julien punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Ky'Jon Tyler at the CCaro 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:0020% → 46%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
19.8%
Fred Payton pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 14 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+17
20.9%
Fred Payton pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 17 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
22.9%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, IP (Ethan Howard) to the EMich 49Similar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+16
21.8%
Fred Payton pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 16 yds to the EMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
24.4%
Fred Payton pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 4 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+3
24.7%
CJ Marable run for 3 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+2
23.1%
CJ Marable run for 2 yds to the EMich 24Similar
Q4 12:55
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+2
21.5%
Jacqez Hairston run for 2 yds to the EMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
46.3%
Fred Payton pass complete to CJ Marable for 22 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 3:0969% → 90%
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
31.3%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+3
31.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 3 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+25
30.1%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the CCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-3
27.3%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 38Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 13
OPP 38
+6
29.4%
Shaq Vann run for 6 yds to the CCaro 32Similar
Q4 5:46
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+32
10.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 32 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18MISSED FG
10 plays · 66 yds · 2:4212% → 8%
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+43
11.7%
Fred Payton pass complete to Larry Collins Jr. for 43 yds to the EMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
16.3%
Fred Payton pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 9 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+4
16.5%
CJ Marable run for 4 yds to the EMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
16.5%
Payton, F. rush for 2 yards to the EMU17 (MYRICK, Terry;KELLY, Desmond), PENALTY CCU illegal shift 5 yards to the EMU24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:46
1ST & 15
OPP 24
+15
15.5%
Fred Payton pass complete to CJ Marable for 15 yds to the EMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
16.5%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to Jaivon Heiligh, broken up by Kevin McGillSimilar
Q4 5:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
16.5%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to Isaiah LikelySimilar
Q4 5:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
15.0%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to Jaivon HeilighSimilar
Q4 3:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
8.1%
Massimo Biscardi 26 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 0:2091% → 93%
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
8.6%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the EMich 22Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-5
8.2%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the EMich 17Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 13
OWN 17
0
8.3%
Shaq Vann run for no gain to the EMich 17Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+3
8.5%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the EMich 20Similar
Q4 2:44
4TH & 10
OWN 20
+12
6.8%
Jake Julien punt for 40 yds , Ky'Jon Tyler returns for 12 yds to the EMich 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20FG
8 plays · 26 yds · 1:595% → 8%
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
4.5%
Fred Payton pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 8 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+8
4.8%
Fred Payton pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 8 yds to the EMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
5.6%
Fred Payton pass complete to CJ Marable for 9 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+5
5.8%
Fred Payton pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 5 yds to the EMich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
5.8%
Fred Payton pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 19Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 11
OPP 19
-3
5.5%
Fred Payton sacked by Turan Rush for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 22Similar
Q4 2:39
3RD & 14
OPP 22
0
4.5%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to Jaivon Heiligh, broken up by Clay HolfordSimilar
Q4 0:40
4TH & 14
OPP 22
+38
8.3%
Massimo Biscardi 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 21INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
10.5%
Fred Payton pass intercepted Kevin McGill return for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Kevin McGill) to the EMich 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
5.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:55
Fred Payton pass complete to CJ Marable for 22 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)
+24.8
TD · Q4 5:46
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 32 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)
-18.8
TD · Q3 5:53
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 19 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-12.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com