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MORG

Morgan State 3 at Bowling Green 46

BGSU
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 29, 2019 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
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Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadMORG aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreMORG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:27 · Nicholas O'Shea punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Jake Rogers at the MorgS 45 MORGAN ST Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the MorgS 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 33Pregame prior+40.4Home team on offense+1.6Score differential+0.3Blowout margin+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:07: Andrew Clair run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nate Needham KICK) — MORG win probability +0.4 pts (now 6%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:32: Quintin Morris 2 Yd pass from Darius Wade (Nate Needham PAT failed) — BGSU win probability +1.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:01: Darius Wade pass complete to Quintin Morris for 27 yds for a TD, (Nate Needham KICK) — BGSU win probability +2.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:23: Davon Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nate Needham KICK) — BGSU win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 1:24: Nicholas O'Shea 27 yd FG GOOD — BGSU win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MORG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7MORG made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 11:07MORG 4th & 6 at MORG 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:19BGSU 4th & 6 at MORG 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    92.3%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:27MORG 4th & 8 at MORG 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:07MORG 4th & 16 at MORG 13, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:32BGSU 4th & 4 at MORG 7, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.0%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    90.9%−2.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:27MORG 4th & 2 at MORG 28, down 16
    Close callPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:18MORG 4th & 7 at MORG 29, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:27BGSU 4th & 7 at BGSU 19, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:24MORG 4th & 5 at BGSU 10, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00MORG 4th & 9 at MORG 26, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:33BGSU 4th & 25 at MORG 33, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%
    49% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:33MORG 4th & 11 at BGSU 45, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00MORG 4th & 5 at MORG 44, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:45MORG 4th & 12 at MORG 30, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:44BGSU 4th & 1 at MORG 32, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:44BGSU 4th & 5 at MORG 25, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:44BGSU 4th & 6 at MORG 7, up 41
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 11:07BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:32BGSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:01BGSU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:23BGSU Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:07BGSU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:52BGSU Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1TD
13 plays · 76 yds · 3:5394% → 94%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
94.2%
Andrew Clair run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+8
94.2%
Andrew Clair run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
94.2%
Darius Wade pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
94.2%
Bryson Denley run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+7
94.2%
Darius Wade pass complete to Bryson Denley for 7 yds to the MorgS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
94.2%
Darius Wade pass complete to Andrew Clair for 9 yds to the MorgS 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+1
94.2%
Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the MorgS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
94.2%
Davon Jones run for 7 yds to the MorgS 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+16
94.2%
Darius Wade pass complete to Quintin Morris for 16 yds to the MorgS 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
94.2%
Davon Jones run for 9 yds to the MorgS 7Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 7
+4
94.2%
Davon Jones run for 4 yds to the MorgS 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
93.8%
Andrew Clair run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
93.6%
Joshua Chase run for a loss of 1 yard to the MorgS 24Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+1
93.6%
Joshua Chase run for 1 yd to the MorgS 25Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+14
93.7%
Dj Golatt Jr. pass complete to Juane Robinson for 14 yds to the MorgS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
93.6%
Dj Golatt Jr. run for 1 yd to the MorgS 40Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+3
93.6%
Joshua Chase run for 3 yds to the MorgS 43Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
93.6%
Dj Golatt Jr. pass incomplete to Xavier Gravette, broken up by Jerry McBride IIISimilar
Q1 11:07
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
93.6%
Nicholas O'Shea punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.3%
Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
93.3%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Quintin MorrisSimilar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+15
93.2%
Darius Wade pass complete to Jordan Wayne-Prather for 15 yds to the BwGrn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
93.4%
Darius Wade pass complete to Austin Dorris for 10 yds to the MorgS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
93.4%
Davon Jones run for 4 yds to the MorgS 43Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 6
OPP 43
0
93.4%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Austin DorrisSimilar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 6
OPP 43
0
93.4%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Davon JonesSimilar
Q1 8:19
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
93.3%
Matt Naranjo punt for 28 yds, downed at the MorgS 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-8
92.9%
CHASE,Josh rush for 3 yards to the MSU18 (BOZEMAN, Jamari), PENALTY MSU holding (TOUANI,Stefan) 8 yards to the MSU7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 18
OWN 7
+3
92.9%
Joshua Chase run for 3 yds to the MorgS 10Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 15
OWN 10
+6
92.9%
Joshua Chase run for 6 yds to the MorgS 16Similar
Q1 6:27
4TH & 8
OWN 17
+23
93.1%
Nicholas O'Shea punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Jake Rogers at the MorgS 45 MORGAN ST Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the MorgS 40Similar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 9
OWN 16
+1
93.0%
Jabriel Johnson run for 1 yd to the MorgS 17Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 15
OPP 0
0
92.5%
GOLATT JR.,DJ pass complete to GRAVETTE,Xavier for no gain to the MSU10 (KONOWALSKI, Dav;BOZEMAN, Jamari), PENALTY MSU illegal formation off-setting, PENALTY BGSU personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 40 yds · 2:0493% → 94%
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
92.8%
CLAIR, Andrew rush for no gain to the MSU40 (ZELEZNIK,M), PENALTY BGSU holding (NEVEROV, Sam) 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 20
50
+13
92.6%
Bryson Denley run for 13 yds to the MorgS 37Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+13
92.8%
Darius Wade run for 13 yds to the MorgS 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+22
92.8%
Andrew Clair run for 22 yds to the MorgS 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
92.8%
Andrew Clair run for a loss of 1 yard to the MorgS 3Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
92.8%
MORGAN ST Penalty, substitution infraction (1 Yards) to the MorgS 2Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
94.1%
Quintin Morris 2 Yd pass from Darius Wade (Nate Needham PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 1:207% → 7%
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
93.3%
Joshua Chase run for 1 yd to the MorgS 20Similar
Q1 1:27
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+2
93.3%
Dj Golatt Jr. run for 2 yds to the MorgS 22Similar
Q1 1:27
3RD & 7
OWN 22
-9
93.3%
Dj Golatt Jr. sacked by Melvin Jackson III for a loss of 9 yards to the MorgS 13Similar
Q1 0:07
4TH & 16
OWN 13
-3
93.2%
Nicholas O'Shea punt for 27 yds , Jake Rogers returns for a loss of 3 yards to the MorgS 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7FG
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:2894% → 94%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
93.9%
Darius Wade pass complete to Quintin Morris for 2 yds to the MorgS 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+4
93.8%
Davon Jones run for 4 yds to the MorgS 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 37
-5
93.7%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MorgS 42Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+14
93.8%
Darius Wade pass complete to Julian Ortega-Jones for 14 yds to the MorgS 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
93.8%
Andrew Clair run for 2 yds to the MorgS 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+4
93.8%
Andrew Clair run for 4 yds to the MorgS 7Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 7
0
93.7%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Jordan Wayne-PratherSimilar
Q2 12:32
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+24
93.8%
Nate Needham 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
93.0%
Lavelton Williams run for 1 yd to the MorgS 21Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+3
93.1%
Lavelton Williams run for 3 yds to the MorgS 24Similar
Q2 12:27
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+4
93.1%
Dj Golatt Jr. pass complete to Manasseh Bailey for 4 yds to the MorgS 28Similar
Q2 12:27
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+5
93.1%
Nicholas O'Shea punt for 45 yds , Jake Rogers returns for 5 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 3:2794% → 97%
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
94.0%
Andrew Clair run for no gain to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
93.9%
Darius Wade pass complete to Austin Dorris for 3 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q2 10:28
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+7
93.8%
Darius Wade pass complete to Julian Ortega-Jones for 7 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
94.2%
Andrew Clair run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+10
94.2%
Davon Jones run for 10 yds to the MorgS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
94.3%
Darius Wade pass complete to Davon Jones for 13 yds to the MorgS 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
94.3%
Davon Jones run for no gain to the MorgS 29Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+2
94.3%
Darius Wade pass complete to Julian Ortega-Jones for 2 yds to the MorgS 27Similar
Q2 7:01
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+27
97.1%
Darius Wade pass complete to Quintin Morris for 27 yds for a TD, (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 10FUMBLE
3 plays · -13 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
96.1%
Jabriel Johnson run for no gain to the MorgS 37Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-13
96.1%
Dj Golatt Jr. sacked by Kholbe Coleman for a loss of 13 yards to the MorgS 24 Dj Golatt Jr. fumbled, recovered by BwGrn Kholbe Coleman , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 24 yds · 1:0297% → 99%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-15
97.2%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the MorgS 39Similar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 25
OPP 39
+35
97.2%
Darius Wade pass complete to Julian Ortega-Jones for 35 yds to the MorgS 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
97.1%
Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the MorgS 1Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.5%
Davon Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
98.6%
Dj Golatt Jr. pass incomplete to Wesley WolfolkSimilar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+3
98.6%
Joshua Chase run for 3 yds to the MorgS 29Similar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 7
OWN 29
0
98.6%
Dj Golatt Jr. pass incomplete to Wesley WolfolkSimilar
Q2 5:18
4TH & 7
OWN 29
0
98.6%
Nicholas O'Shea punt for 55 yds, downed at the BwGrn 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0099% → 98%
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
98.6%
Bryson Denley run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 19Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+3
98.5%
Bryson Denley run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 22Similar
Q2 4:27
3RD & 4
OWN 22
-3
98.5%
Darius Wade sacked by Merinio Dendoe for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 19Similar
Q2 4:27
4TH & 7
OWN 19
0
98.4%
James Miller punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BwGrn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 14FG
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:191% → 1%
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
98.8%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, illegal formation (5 Yards) to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
98.7%
GOLATT JR.,DJ pass incomplete to BAILEY,Manasseh, PENALTY BGSU pass interference 15 yards to the BGSU15, 1ST DOWN MSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
98.7%
Lavelton Williams run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 11Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+1
98.6%
Lavelton Williams run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 10Similar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 5
OPP 10
0
98.7%
Dj Golatt Jr. pass incomplete to Xavier GravetteSimilar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+27
99.2%
Nicholas O'Shea 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15INT
10 plays · 66 yds · 1:1599% → 99%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
98.9%
Andrew Clair run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+17
98.9%
Andrew Clair run for 17 yds to the MorgS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+18
99.0%
Darius Wade pass complete to Quintin Morris for 18 yds to the MorgS 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.0%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Jordan Wayne-Prather, broken up by Marquise ThornsSimilar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+18
99.0%
Darius Wade run for 18 yds to the MorgS 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
99.2%
Darius Wade pass complete to Jordan Wayne-Prather for 8 yds to the MorgS 3Similar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+7
99.2%
Nate Needham pass intercepted Maurice Lewis Jr. return for 7 yds to the MorgS 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.1%
Joshua Chase run for 1 yd to the MorgS 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-10
99.1%
GOLATT JR.,DJ pass complete to ROBINSON,Juane for 6 yards to the MSU32 (HUDSON, JaJuan), PENALTY MSU holding 10 yards to the MSU16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+4
99.1%
Dj Golatt Jr. run for 4 yds to the MorgS 20Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+6
99.1%
Dj Golatt Jr. pass complete to Deontaye White for 6 yds to the MorgS 26Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.1%
Nicholas O'Shea punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jake Rogers at the BwGrn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 17MISSED FG
10 plays · 27 yds · 2:09100% → 100%
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
99.5%
Darius Wade pass complete to Andrew Clair for 16 yds to the MorgS 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
99.5%
Andrew Clair run for 6 yds to the MorgS 38Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+9
99.5%
Davon Jones run for 9 yds to the MorgS 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.5%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Quintin Morris, broken up by Dominick TriggSimilar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+11
99.5%
Darius Wade pass complete to Julian Ortega-Jones for 11 yds to the MorgS 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-15
99.5%
JONES, Davon rush for 7 yards to the MSU11 (IRVING,Tariq), PENALTY BGSU personal foul (KRAMER, Jack) 15 yards to the MSU33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 25
OPP 33
0
99.5%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Jordan Wayne-PratherSimilar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 25
OPP 33
0
99.5%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Austin Dorris, broken up by Rico KennedySimilar
Q3 12:42
3RD & 25
OPP 33
0
99.5%
Darius Wade pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:33
4TH & 25
OPP 33
+50
99.5%
Nate Needham 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
99.5%
Lavelton Williams run for 7 yds to the MorgS 40Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 3
OWN 40
0
99.5%
Lavelton Williams run for no gain to the MorgS 40Similar
Q3 10:33
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+16
99.5%
Dj Golatt Jr. run for 16 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
99.5%
Joshua Chase run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
99.5%
Dj Golatt Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:33
3RD & 7
OPP 41
-9
99.5%
Dj Golatt Jr. sacked by Jerry Roberts and Brandon Perce for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:33
4TH & 16
50
+5
99.5%
O'SHEA,Nicholas punt 20 yards to the BGSU30, downed, PENALTY BGSU roughing the kicker 5 yards to the BGSU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:33
4TH & 11
OPP 45
0
99.5%
Nicholas O'Shea punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jake Rogers at the BwGrn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 19TD
13 plays · 85 yds · 5:34100% → 100%
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
99.7%
Davon Jones run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+2
99.7%
Davon Jones run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q3 7:41
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+3
99.6%
Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+14
99.7%
Darius Wade run for 14 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
99.7%
Darius Wade pass complete to Bryson Denley for 16 yds to the MorgS 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
99.7%
Bryson Denley run for 1 yd to the MorgS 43Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+8
99.7%
Darius Wade pass complete to Jordan Wayne-Prather for 8 yds to the MorgS 35Similar
Q3 7:41
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+4
99.6%
Davon Jones run for 4 yds to the MorgS 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
99.7%
Darius Wade pass complete to Davon Jones for 7 yds to the MorgS 24Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+1
99.6%
Bryson Denley run for 1 yd to the MorgS 23Similar
Q3 7:41
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+9
99.6%
Bryson Denley run for 9 yds to the MorgS 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
99.7%
Bryson Denley run for 7 yds to the MorgS 7Similar
Q3 2:07
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+7
99.8%
Darius Wade pass complete to Davon Jones for 7 yds for a TD, (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:010% → 0%
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.8%
Lavelton Williams run for 9 yds to the MorgS 34Similar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
99.8%
Lavelton Williams run for 5 yds to the MorgS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
99.8%
Lavelton Williams run for 5 yds to the MorgS 44Similar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Lavelton Williams run for no gain to the MorgS 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Dj Golatt Jr. pass incomplete to Juane RobinsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Nicholas O'Shea punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 21TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:55100% → 100%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
99.8%
Grant Loy pass complete to Christian Sims for 9 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+7
99.8%
Davon Jones run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
99.8%
Grant Loy run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+18
99.8%
Grant Loy run for 18 yds to the MorgS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Bryson DenleySimilar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+8
99.8%
Bryson Denley run for 8 yds to the MorgS 27Similar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+4
99.8%
Grant Loy run for 4 yds to the MorgS 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
99.9%
Davon Jones run for 5 yds to the MorgS 18Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+18
99.9%
Grant Loy pass complete to Christian Sims for 18 yds for a TD, (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
99.9%
Lavelton Williams run for 4 yds to the MorgS 36Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+2
99.9%
Lavelton Williams run for 2 yds to the MorgS 38Similar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 4
OWN 38
-8
99.9%
Doc Bonner sacked by Darren Anders for a loss of 8 yards to the MorgS 30Similar
Q4 11:45
4TH & 12
OWN 30
+11
99.9%
Nicholas O'Shea punt for 46 yds , Jake Rogers returns for 11 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 23DOWNS
16 plays · 61 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.9%
Jake Rogers run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+7
99.9%
Grant Loy run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q4 9:44
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+4
99.9%
Grant Loy run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
99.9%
Grant Loy run for 12 yds to the MorgS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
99.9%
Nigel Sealey run for 7 yds to the MorgS 34Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 3
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Nigel SealeySimilar
Q4 9:44
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+2
99.9%
Grant Loy run for 2 yds to the MorgS 32Similar
Q4 9:44
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+2
99.9%
Grant Loy run for 2 yds to the MorgS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
99.9%
Charles Lamar run for 2 yds to the MorgS 28Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+3
99.9%
Charles Lamar run for 3 yds to the MorgS 25Similar
Q4 9:44
3RD & 5
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Charles Lamar run for no gain to the MorgS 25Similar
Q4 9:44
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+14
99.9%
Grant Loy pass complete to N/A for a 1ST down to N/A for 14 yds to the MorgS 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-3
99.9%
Charles Lamar run for a loss of 3 yards to the MorgS 14Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 13
OPP 14
+3
99.9%
Nigel Sealey run for 3 yds to the MorgS 11Similar
Q4 9:44
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+4
99.9%
Nigel Sealey run for 4 yds to the MorgS 7Similar
Q4 9:44
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+3
99.9%
Nigel Sealey run for 3 yds to the MorgS 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 24SF
1 play · -4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
100.0%
BONNER,Doc sacked for loss of 4 yards to the MSU0 (BENCH, Andrew), PENALTY MSU intentional grounding (BONNER,Doc) 4 yards to the MSU0, NO PLAY, BENCH, Andrew safety, clock 01:38. for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 25END OF GAME
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 12
OWN 36
-3
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 15
OWN 33
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:01
Darius Wade pass complete to Quintin Morris for 27 yds for a TD, (Nate Needham KICK)
+2.8
TD · Q2 5:23
Davon Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nate Needham KICK)
+1.4
TD · Q1 1:32
Quintin Morris 2 Yd pass from Darius Wade (Nate Needham PAT failed)
+1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com