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TULN

Tulane 20 at SMU 37

SMU
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2019 · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
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Win probability · SMU
modelSMU aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playSMU scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:50 · Ryan Wright punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 37 , James Proche returns for 17 yds to the SMU 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 27Home team on offense+1.1Pregame prior+8.9Score differential+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:01: Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +4.3 pts (now 38%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:32: Xavier Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kevin Robledo KICK) — SMU win probability +10.5 pts (now 80%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:46: Corey Dauphine run for 35 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +14.3 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 10:23: Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 26 yds for a TD TULANE Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined, (Two-Point Conversion failed) — SMU win probability +11.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:28: Xavier Jones run for 25 yds for a TD, (Kevin Robledo KICK) — SMU win probability +8.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7TULN made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00SMU 4th & 8 at SMU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:43TULN 4th & 3 at SMU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.6%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    40.5%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    40.4%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:50TULN 4th & 8 at TULN 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00SMU 4th & 8 at SMU 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:17TULN 4th & 5 at SMU 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    26.5%−5.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:17SMU 4th & 2 at SMU 33, up 7
    Close callPunted · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:54TULN 4th & 7 at midfield, down 11
    Close callPunted · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:00SMU 4th & 1 at SMU 32, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    77.7%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:00SMU 4th & 14 at TULN 48, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%−1.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:40SMU 4th & 18 at SMU 16, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%−4.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00TULN 4th & 4 at SMU 7, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    34.4%−0.7
    91% to make
    Punt
    23.4%−11.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:16TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 37, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.1%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:48TULN 4th & 16 at SMU 27, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.7
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.6%
    62% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−1.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:02SMU 4th & 8 at TULN 8, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    95.1%−1.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:57TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 34, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5TULN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:57SMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:49SMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:01TULN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:32SMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:46TULN Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:23SMU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    89.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:28SMU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SMUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.1%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to James Proche, broken up by Cameron SampleSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
60.1%
Xavier Jones run for 3 yds to the SMU 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+19
60.1%
Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 19 yds James Proche fumbled, forced by Lawrence Graham, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
60.1%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
60.1%
Shane Buechele run for 2 yds to the SMU 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
60.1%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
60.1%
Trevor Denbow punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulan 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2DOWNS
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:3140% → 40%
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
60.1%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 5 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
60.1%
Tyjae Spears run for 7 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
60.1%
Darius Bradwell run for 14 yds to the Tulan 49 Darius Bradwell fumbled, forced by Trevor Denbow, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
59.9%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 12 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
59.9%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the SMU 37Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 8
OPP 37
-1
59.9%
Corey Dauphine run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 38Similar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+6
60.0%
Corey Dauphine run for 6 yds to the SMU 32Similar
Q1 9:43
4TH & 3
OPP 32
-1
59.7%
Justin McMillan run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 3TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 1:3860% → 63%
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
60.2%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 6 yds to the SMU 39Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+2
60.6%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 2 yds to the SMU 41Similar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+7
60.4%
Shane Buechele run for 7 yds to the SMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+22
60.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to CJ Sanders for 22 yds to the Tulan 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
63.4%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Myron Gailliard for 30 yds for a TD, (Kevin Robledo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
62.4%
Justin McMillan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
62.6%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
62.7%
Justin McMillan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:50
4TH & 8
OWN 32
+17
62.9%
Ryan Wright punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 37 , James Proche returns for 17 yds to the SMU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 5INT
5 plays · 53 yds · 0:0063% → 64%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+38
63.1%
Xavier Jones run for 38 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
63.7%
Xavier Jones run for 7 yds to the Tulan 18Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+7
63.7%
Xavier Jones run for 7 yds to the Tulan 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
63.7%
Xavier Jones run for 1 yd to the Tulan 10Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
63.7%
Shane Buechele pass intercepted Larry Brooks return for no gain to the Tulan 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6FUMBLE
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
63.5%
Cameron Carroll run for 1 yd to the Tulan 9Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+6
63.6%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 6 yds to the Tulan 15Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 3
OWN 15
+10
63.8%
Justin McMillan sacked by Delontae Scott for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 8 Justin McMillan fumbled, recovered by SMU Delano Robinson , return for 0 yards , return for 10 yds to the Tulan 8 Delano Robinson fumbled, recovered by SMU Delano Robinson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 7TD
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:1265% → 69%
Q1 4:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
65.0%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to James Proche, broken up by Chase KuerschenSimilar
Q1 3:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
69.1%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 8 yds for a TD, (Kevin Robledo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8TD
11 plays · 60 yds · 3:4133% → 38%
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
67.4%
Corey Dauphine run for 9 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 1
OWN 49
-5
66.7%
TULANE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 44Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+11
67.1%
Amare Jones run for 11 yds to the SMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
66.8%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Amare Jones for 13 yds to the SMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
66.4%
Corey Dauphine run for 2 yds to the SMU 30Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+2
66.2%
Cameron Carroll run for 2 yds to the SMU 28Similar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+13
66.7%
Cameron Carroll run for 13 yds to the SMU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
66.2%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 10 yds to the SMU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
66.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the SMU 3Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
61.9%
Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0165% → 64%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
64.8%
Shane Buechele sacked by Cameron Sample for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
64.6%
Shane Buechele run for 3 yds to the SMU 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
64.1%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+46
63.7%
Jamie Sackville punt for 36 yds TULANE Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Tulan 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10MISSED FG
17 plays · 58 yds · 8:4536% → 32%
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
64.4%
Tyjae Spears run for 6 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+4
63.9%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
64.0%
CARROLL, C. rush for no gain to the TLN37 (CLEMONS, Rodney), PENALTY TLN holding (CLAYBROOK, J.) 10 yards to the TLN27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 20
OWN 27
-3
64.7%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Darnell Mooney for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 24Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 23
OWN 24
+25
65.0%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 25 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
63.1%
Cameron Carroll run for 10 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
63.0%
Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds to the SMU 38Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+1
63.0%
Cameron Carroll run for 1 yd to the SMU 37Similar
Q2 14:02
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+6
63.2%
Justin McMillan run for 6 yds to the SMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
62.2%
Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds to the SMU 28Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+2
62.0%
Corey Dauphine run for 2 yds to the SMU 26Similar
Q2 14:02
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+6
62.8%
Justin McMillan run for 6 yds to the SMU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-4
62.0%
Corey Dauphine run for a loss of 4 yards to the SMU 24Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 14
OPP 24
-6
62.8%
Justin McMillan sacked by Delontae Scott for a loss of 6 yards to the SMU 30Similar
Q2 6:02
3RD & 20
OPP 30
+15
68.4%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Tyrick James for 15 yds to the SMU 15Similar
Q2 5:17
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+32
68.2%
Merek Glover 32 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Delontae ScottSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
69.3%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 1 yd to the SMU 26Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
69.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 7 yds to the SMU 33Similar
Q2 5:17
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
69.3%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for no gain to the SMU 33Similar
Q2 5:17
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
68.3%
Jamie Sackville punt for 48 yds , Stephon Huderson returns for no gain to the Tulan 14 Stephon Huderson fumbled, recovered by SMU Cole VoylesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 12TD
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:2072% → 80%
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
72.0%
Xavier Jones run for 5 yds to the Tulan 9Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+4
72.0%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 4 yds to the Tulan 5Similar
Q2 3:52
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+4
71.2%
Xavier Jones run for 4 yds to the Tulan 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 5
OWN 0
0
69.7%
PENALTY SMU unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY TLN unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
80.2%
Xavier Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kevin Robledo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13FG
17 plays · 64 yds · 2:2121% → 24%
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
78.7%
Corey Dauphine run for 1 yd to the Tulan 21Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+8
78.9%
Justin McMillan run for 8 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+8
78.3%
Stephon Huderson run for 8 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
78.2%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
78.4%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Tyjae SpearsSimilar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+11
79.0%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Tyrick James for 11 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
77.7%
Justin McMillan sacked by Patrick Nelson for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 47Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 11
OWN 47
0
79.6%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskeySimilar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 11
OWN 47
+11
80.1%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Amare Jones for 11 yds to the SMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
78.3%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 9 yds to the SMU 33Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+17
77.0%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Tyrick James for 17 yds to the SMU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
77.0%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Amare Jones, broken up by Delano RobinsonSimilar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
77.0%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskeySimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+33
75.6%
Merek Glover 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
75.8%
Cameron Carroll run for 2 yds to the Tulan 37Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+3
75.7%
Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+7
75.6%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Tyrick James for 7 yds to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
74.7%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskey, broken up by Ar'mani JohnsonSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+8
75.1%
Amare Jones run for 8 yds to the SMU 45Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 2
OPP 45
-5
74.6%
Justin McMillan sacked by Patrick Nelson for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 7
50
0
76.5%
Ryan Wright punt for 42 yds, downed at the SMU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 44 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+15
78.1%
Xavier Jones run for 15 yds to the SMU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
78.5%
Xavier Jones run for 6 yds to the SMU 29Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+3
78.7%
Xavier Jones run for 3 yds to the SMU 32Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 1
OWN 32
0
78.2%
Xavier Jones run for no gain to the SMU 32Similar
Q3 12:00
4TH & 1
OWN 32
+24
77.5%
Shane Buechele run for 24 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
79.8%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Myron GailliardSimilar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-4
79.7%
Shane Buechele sacked by Mike Hinton for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 48Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 14
OPP 48
0
78.2%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Xavier JonesSimilar
Q3 12:00
4TH & 14
OPP 48
0
77.1%
Jamie Sackville punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16TD
6 plays · 83 yds · 1:4521% → 38%
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
79.1%
Corey Dauphine run for 1 yd to the Tulan 18Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+12
79.3%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Tyrick James for 12 yds to the Tulan 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+27
78.8%
Justin McMillan run for 27 yds to the SMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
76.7%
Corey Dauphine run for 1 yd to the SMU 42Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+7
76.8%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 7 yds to the SMU 35Similar
Q3 6:46
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+35
62.4%
Corey Dauphine run for 35 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0069% → 66%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
68.6%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 1 yd to the SMU 25Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 9
OWN 25
0
68.4%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:40
3RD & 9
OWN 25
-9
67.0%
Shane Buechele sacked by Lawrence Graham for a loss of 9 yards to the SMU 16 SMU Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 6:40
4TH & 18
OWN 16
+10
66.1%
Jamie Sackville punt for 48 yds , Jacob Robertson Jr. returns for 10 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18DOWNS
13 plays · 47 yds · 5:3637% → 35%
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
63.5%
Tyjae Spears run for 7 yds to the SMU 47Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+2
62.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the SMU 45Similar
Q3 5:36
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+3
62.5%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the SMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
62.6%
Justin McMillan run for 6 yds to the SMU 36Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+2
62.2%
Cameron Carroll run for 2 yds to the SMU 34Similar
Q3 5:36
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+3
62.5%
Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds to the SMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
61.3%
Justin McMillan run for 2 yds to the SMU 29Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 8
OPP 29
-4
60.9%
Tyjae Spears run for a loss of 4 yards to the SMU 33Similar
Q3 5:36
3RD & 12
OPP 33
+20
65.1%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 20 yds to the SMU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
60.9%
Justin McMillan run for 2 yds to the SMU 11Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+4
60.9%
Amare Jones run for 4 yds to the SMU 7Similar
Q3 5:36
3RD & 4
OPP 7
0
62.5%
Justin McMillan run for no gain to the SMU 7Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 7
0
64.6%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darnell Mooney, broken up by Ar'mani JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 19TD
14 plays · 93 yds · 4:3270% → 87%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+10
69.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 10 yds to the SMU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
70.4%
Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 4 yds to the SMU 21Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 21
0
70.3%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to CJ SandersSimilar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+20
68.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 20 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
72.8%
Xavier Jones run for 1 yd to the SMU 42Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+4
72.0%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Myron Gailliard for 4 yds to the SMU 46Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+15
72.5%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 15 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
74.8%
Xavier Jones run for 1 yd to the Tulan 38Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+6
74.5%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Xavier Jones for 6 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+4
73.8%
Xavier Jones run for 4 yds to the Tulan 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
75.2%
Xavier Jones run for 2 yds to the Tulan 26Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 8
OPP 26
0
75.2%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+26
86.5%
Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 26 yds for a TD TULANE Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
85.9%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
87.3%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 5 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+2
86.5%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 2 yds to the Tulan 37Similar
Q4 10:16
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
86.8%
Justin McMillan pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 21TD
4 plays · 37 yds · 1:3090% → 97%
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
89.6%
Xavier Jones run for 2 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
89.6%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to CJ SandersSimilar
Q4 8:58
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+10
89.1%
Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 10 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
97.2%
Xavier Jones run for 25 yds for a TD, (Kevin Robledo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 22FG
10 plays · 52 yds · 2:334% → 6%
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+33
96.2%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 33 yds to the SMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
95.8%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Ygenio Booker for 13 yds to the SMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
95.1%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 7 yds to the SMU 26Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+5
95.0%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 5 yds to the SMU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
95.0%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Tyrick JamesSimilar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
95.1%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q4 7:21
3RD & 10
OPP 21
-6
95.7%
Justin McMillan sacked by Demerick Gary and Gary Wiley for a loss of 6 yards to the SMU 27Similar
Q4 4:48
4TH & 16
OPP 27
+42
93.9%
Merek Glover 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q4 4:48
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-5
93.8%
GLOVER, M. kickoff 16 yards to the SMU49, on-side kick, recovered by TLN HALL, P.J. on SMU49, PENALTY TLN offside (VAULT, KJ) 5 yards to the TLN30, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 23FG
10 plays · 22 yds · 1:4197% → 99%
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
97.1%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 7 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+21
97.1%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 21 yds to the Tulan 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
97.1%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 4Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
98.1%
Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulan 9Similar
Q4 3:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
98.4%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 1 yd to the Tulan 8Similar
Q4 3:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
98.7%
Kevin Robledo 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.3%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
99.3%
Justin McMillan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:57
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+8
99.3%
Justin McMillan run for 8 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q4 2:57
4TH & 2
OWN 34
+1
99.2%
Cameron Carroll run for 1 yd to the Tulan 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 25END OF GAME
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
98.9%
TJ McDaniel run for 12 yds to the Tulan 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
98.9%
TJ McDaniel run for 2 yds to the Tulan 21Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+1
98.9%
TJ McDaniel run for 1 yd to the Tulan 20Similar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 7
OPP 20
-2
98.9%
Shane Buechele run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:46
Corey Dauphine run for 35 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)
-14.3
TD · Q4 10:23
Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 26 yds for a TD TULANE Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined, (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+11.3
TD · Q2 2:32
Xavier Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kevin Robledo KICK)
+10.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com