Try the model
CONN

UConn 17 at Temple 49

TEM
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2019 · Lincoln Financial Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:13 · Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Hairston for 26 yds to the Temp 24 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 11:00: Clayton Harris 40 yd FG GOOD — CONN win probability +2.9 pts (now 13%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:23: Todd Centeio pass complete to Jadan Blue for 10 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK) — TEM win probability +6.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q3 13:20: Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 41 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK) — TEM win probability +6.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:04: Anthony Russo run for 8 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK) — TEM win probability +4.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:05: Re'Mahn Davis run for 55 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK) — TEM win probability +4.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 7CONN made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:07TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:19CONN 4th & 11 at TEM 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    8.0%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00TEM 4th & 5 at TEM 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:00CONN 4th & 6 at TEM 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    12.4%−1.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:00TEM 4th & 6 at CONN 37, down 10
    Close callPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    84.3%−0.3
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.2%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:09CONN 4th & 7 at CONN 23, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:23CONN 4th & 4 at midfield, up 3
    Close callPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:10TEM 4th & 6 at CONN 45, down 3
    Close callPunted · 82.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    81.6%−0.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.9%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:20CONN 4th & 12 at CONN 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−1.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:04CONN 4th & 13 at CONN 22, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−1.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:24CONN 4th & 3 at CONN 32, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:45TEM 4th & 4 at TEM 35, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00CONN 4th & 10 at midfield, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:23TEM 4th & 3 at TEM 28, up 25
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:54CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 20, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:45TEM 4th & 1 at CONN 1, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:10CONN 4th & 4 at CONN 7, down 25
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 7CONN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:07CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:31CONN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:19TEM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:23TEM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:20TEM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:04TEM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:05TEM Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 5:24TEM Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:13TEM Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:534% → 5%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
95.9%
Cameron Ross run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+1
95.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+24
95.9%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Heron Maurisseau for 24 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
95.4%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Ardell Brown for 51 yds for a TD (Clayton Harris KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
95.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 8 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
95.5%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden Mack, broken up by Keyshawn PaulSimilar
Q1 13:07
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
95.5%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 1 yd to the Temp 34Similar
Q1 13:07
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
95.4%
Adam Barry punt for 32 yds, downed at the UConn 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3TD
11 plays · 66 yds · 4:155% → 7%
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
95.1%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Elijah Jeffreys for 5 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+7
95.0%
Art Thompkins run for 7 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
95.0%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
95.0%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Ardell Brown, broken up by Quincy RocheSimilar
Q1 11:46
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+15
95.0%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Ardell Brown for 15 yds to the Temp 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
95.0%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Donovan Williams for 11 yds to the Temp 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
95.0%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Donovan Williams, broken up by Benny WallsSimilar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+11
95.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 11 yds to the Temp 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+13
95.0%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Art Thompkins for 13 yds to the Temp 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
95.0%
Steven Krajewski run for 2 yds to the Temp 2Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.7%
Steven Krajewski run for 2 yds for a TD (Clayton Harris KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 4TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 1:1293% → 93%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
93.1%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 8 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+2
93.1%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 2 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
93.1%
Anthony Russo pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+63
93.2%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 63 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5PUNT
13 plays · 30 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
93.1%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jay Rose for 6 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
93.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 32Similar
Q1 6:19
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
93.1%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Cameron RossSimilar
Q1 6:19
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+5
93.2%
MAGLIOZZI, Luke punt 40 yards to the TEM28, fair catch by WRIGHT,Isaiah, PENALTY TEM offside (ISAACS,Audley) 5 yards to the UCONN37, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
93.0%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jack Zergiotis for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 36Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
93.1%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Cameron RossSimilar
Q1 6:19
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+20
93.2%
Jack Zergiotis run for 20 yds to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
92.9%
Jack Zergiotis run for 4 yds to the Temp 40Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 6
OPP 40
-1
92.9%
Art Thompkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 41Similar
Q1 6:19
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+1
93.0%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 1 yd to the Temp 40Similar
Q1 6:19
4TH & 6
OPP 40
-5
93.1%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Temp 45Similar
Q1 6:19
4TH & 11
OPP 45
0
93.2%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 44 yds, downed at the Temp 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1591% → 90%
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
90.7%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 3 yds to the Temp 4Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 7
OWN 4
0
90.7%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete, broken up by Messiah TurnerSimilar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 7
OWN 4
+2
90.6%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 2 yds to the Temp 6Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 6
0
89.7%
Adam Barry punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7FG
7 plays · 29 yds · 3:5411% → 13%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
89.4%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Donovan Williams for 2 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+10
89.4%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Elijah Jeffreys for 10 yds to the Temp 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
89.4%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 13 yds to the Temp 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
89.3%
Art Thompkins run for 1 yd to the Temp 25Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+3
89.3%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Donovan Williams for 3 yds to the Temp 22Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 6
OPP 22
0
89.4%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the Temp 22Similar
Q2 11:00
4TH & 6
OPP 22
+40
86.6%
Clayton Harris 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 39 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
86.1%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 3 yds to the Temp 27Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+15
86.2%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 15 yds to the Temp 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
86.5%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Defensive offside (Lwal Uguak) to the Temp 47Similar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 5
OWN 47
0
86.8%
Re'Mahn Davis run for no gain to the Temp 47Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+12
86.8%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 12 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
86.9%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jadan BlueSimilar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+4
86.9%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jose Barbon for 4 yds to the UConn 37Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 6
OPP 37
0
86.8%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q2 11:00
4TH & 6
OPP 37
0
86.2%
Adam Barry punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
83.6%
Kevin Mensah run for 6 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-10
83.2%
THOMPKINS, Art rush for 3 yards to the UCONN29, out-of-bounds (BRADLEY,Shaun), PENALTY UCONN holding (HAYNES, Christi) 10 yards to the UCONN16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 14
OWN 16
0
83.7%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jay Rose for no gain to the UConn 16Similar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 14
OWN 16
+7
84.1%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Matt Drayton for 7 yds to the UConn 23Similar
Q2 8:09
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
84.2%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the Temp 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:1480% → 87%
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
80.2%
Todd Centeio run for 3 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
80.3%
Todd Centeio run for 6 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q2 5:37
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
80.3%
Todd Centeio run for 3 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+53
80.6%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Kenny Yeboah for 53 yds to the UConn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
86.6%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Jadan Blue for 10 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
84.0%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Ardell Brown for 19 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
83.0%
Art Thompkins run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 4
50
0
82.7%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Cameron Ross, broken up by Sam FranklinSimilar
Q2 3:23
3RD & 4
50
0
83.0%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Ardell BrownSimilar
Q2 3:23
4TH & 4
50
0
83.8%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the Temp 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 49 yds · 0:0083% → 84%
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+45
83.0%
Todd Centeio run for 45 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
85.1%
Todd Centeio pass incomplete to Re'Mahn DavisSimilar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+4
84.9%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 4 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q2 2:10
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
84.9%
Todd Centeio pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q2 2:10
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
83.9%
Adam Barry punt for 25 yds, downed at the UConn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
81.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 21Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+5
81.4%
Art Thompkins run for 5 yds to the UConn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4082% → 89%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
81.7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 5 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
82.1%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 6 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
82.3%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Kenny Yeboah, broken up by D.J. MorganSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+23
82.0%
Tayvon Ruley run for 23 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
88.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 41 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.7%
Jack Zergiotis run for 2 yds to the UConn 27Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
86.6%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Jay Rose, broken up by Amir TylerSimilar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-4
87.2%
Jack Zergiotis sacked by Quincy Roche for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 23Similar
Q3 13:20
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
87.8%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16TD
6 plays · 51 yds · 2:4788% → 93%
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
87.5%
Tayvon Ruley run for 12 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
87.7%
Tayvon Ruley run for 5 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+10
88.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 10 yds to the UConn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+14
88.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 14 yds to the UConn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
88.1%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 2 yds to the UConn 8Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
92.9%
Anthony Russo run for 8 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.8%
Art Thompkins run for no gain to the UConn 25Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
91.9%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Elijah JeffreysSimilar
Q3 9:04
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-3
92.3%
Jack Zergiotis sacked by Zack Mesday for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 22Similar
Q3 9:04
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
92.6%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 55 yds, downed at the Temp 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18TD
4 plays · 77 yds · 1:2992% → 97%
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
92.2%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 1 yd to the Temp 24Similar
Q3 7:34
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+17
92.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 17 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, SUB ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
92.7%
Tayvon Ruley run for 4 yds to the Temp 45Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+55
97.3%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 55 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19INT TD
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:413% → 1%
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.6%
Steven Krajewski run for 1 yd to the UConn 26Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+29
98.8%
Steven Krajewski pass intercepted for a TD Sam Franklin return for 29 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Ardell BrownSimilar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.9%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 1 yd to the UConn 26Similar
Q3 5:24
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+6
98.9%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Dante Black for 6 yds to the UConn 32Similar
Q3 5:24
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
98.8%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the Temp 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-3
99.4%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Jadan Blue for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 26Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 13
OWN 26
+4
99.4%
Todd Centeio run for 4 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+5
99.4%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Re'Mahn Davis for 5 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q3 3:45
4TH & 4
OWN 35
0
99.4%
Adam Barry punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Cameron Ross at the UConn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:551% → 1%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.2%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Matt Drayton for 3 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 7
OWN 35
-1
99.2%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 34Similar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+16
99.2%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Heron Maurisseau for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
50
+1
99.2%
Quayvon Skanes run for 1 yd to the Temp 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 49
-8
99.3%
Jack Zergiotis sacked by Karamo Dioubate for a loss of 8 yards to the UConn 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 43
+7
99.2%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Matt Drayton for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
50
0
99.3%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+11
99.6%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 11 yds to the Temp 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
99.6%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 3 yds to the Temp 24Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+3
99.6%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 3 yds to the Temp 27Similar
Q4 13:23
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+1
99.6%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Re'Mahn Davis for 1 yd to the Temp 28Similar
Q4 13:23
4TH & 3
OWN 28
0
99.6%
Adam Barry punt for 56 yds, downed at the UConn 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
99.5%
Dante Black run for no gain to the UConn 16Similar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 10
OWN 16
-9
99.5%
Jack Zergiotis sacked by Quincy Roche for a loss of 9 yards to the UConn 7Similar
Q4 10:54
3RD & 19
OWN 7
+13
99.4%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 13 yds to the UConn 20Similar
Q4 10:54
4TH & 6
OWN 20
0
99.5%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Quincy Roche at the Temp 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 25DOWNS
10 plays · 59 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.7%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 2 yds to the Temp 42Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
99.7%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jadan BlueSimilar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+9
99.7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jose Barbon for 9 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.7%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jadan BlueSimilar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+1
99.7%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 1 yd to the UConn 48Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+45
99.7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 45 yds to the UConn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
99.7%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 1 yd to the UConn 2Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.7%
Tayvon Ruley run for 1 yd to the UConn 1Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.7%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q4 8:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.7%
Tayvon Ruley run for no gain to the UConn 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
99.7%
Jack Zergiotis run for 2 yds to the UConn 3Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+4
99.7%
Dante Black run for 4 yds to the UConn 7Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 4
OWN 7
0
99.7%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Elijah JeffreysSimilar
Q4 5:10
4TH & 4
OWN 7
0
99.7%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the UConn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 27TD
4 plays · 43 yds · 1:28100% → 100%
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
99.8%
Tayvon Ruley run for 8 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+15
99.8%
Tayvon Ruley run for 15 yds to the UConn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+14
99.8%
Todd Centeio run for 14 yds to the UConn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Tayvon Ruley run for 6 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 28Uncategorized
6 plays · 51 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
100.0%
Dante Black run for 7 yds to the UConn 32Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+14
99.9%
Dominico Moncion run for 14 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Dominico Moncion run for no gain to the UConn 46Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
99.9%
Dominico Moncion run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:13
3RD & 6
50
+26
99.9%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Hairston for 26 yds to the Temp 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:20
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 41 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)
+6.5
TD · Q2 3:23
Todd Centeio pass complete to Jadan Blue for 10 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)
+6
TD · Q3 9:04
Anthony Russo run for 8 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)
+4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com