Try the model
CIN

Cincinnati 24 at Memphis 34

MEM
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2019 · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MEM
modelMEM aheadCIN aheadconfidence bandkey playMEM scoreCIN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:47 · Brady White pass incomplete to Joey Magnifico
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 124Pregame prior+11.9Home team on offense+5.3Garbage-time factor+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Score differential+0.6Blowout margin−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:36: Ben Bryant pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 4 yds for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK) — CIN win probability +3.7 pts (now 21%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:54: Michael Warren II run for 3 yds for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK) — CIN win probability +11.5 pts (now 34%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:22: Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 46 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +10.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:27: Ben Bryant run for 12 yds for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK) — CIN win probability +19.7 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 3:16: Antonio Gibson run for 29 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +11.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 6CIN made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 11:55CIN 4th & 2 at MEM 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    18.3%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    17.9%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:25CIN 4th & 13 at MEM 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    17.9%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:05CIN 4th & 14 at CIN 33, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−0.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:41MEM 4th & 8 at CIN 16, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.1%
    81% to make
    Punt
    79.9%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:25MEM 4th & 12 at CIN 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:21MEM 4th & 10 at CIN 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%−0.7
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.5%
    88% to make
    Punt
    68.1%−4.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:13CIN 4th & 7 at CIN 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−1.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:21CIN 4th & 9 at CIN 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−1.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:42MEM 4th & 6 at MEM 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.7%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:34MEM 4th & 14 at MEM 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%−2.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:47MEM 4th & 2 at CIN 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    73.3%−1.0
    81% to make
    Punt
    65.9%−8.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:02CIN 4th & 1 at MEM 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    26.6%−3.4
    80% to make
    Punt
    16.7%−13.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:24CIN 4th & 12 at CIN 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−2.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:35CIN 4th & 16 at CIN 19, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.2%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CIN made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 7:24MEM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:36CIN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:54CIN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:22MEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:27CIN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.7%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.2%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:16MEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−0.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CINDrive 2FG
13 plays · 63 yds · 4:0518% → 19%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-6
81.7%
Ben Bryant sacked by Joseph Dorceus for a loss of 6 yards to the Cincy 18Similar
Q1 14:02
2ND & 16
OWN 18
+14
81.7%
Michael Warren II run for 14 yds to the Cincy 32Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+37
81.6%
Michael Warren II run for 37 yds to the Memph 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
81.5%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Josiah DeguaraSimilar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+4
81.5%
Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the Memph 27Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+4
81.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Gerrid Doaks for 4 yds to the Memph 23Similar
Q1 11:55
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+13
81.4%
Wilson Huber run for 13 yds to the Memph 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
81.1%
Michael Warren II run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 11Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+3
81.1%
Michael Warren II run for 3 yds to the Memph 8Similar
Q1 10:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
81.1%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Alec PierceSimilar
Q1 10:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
81.3%
CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Memph 13Similar
Q1 10:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+30
80.8%
Sam Crosa 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 3TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 2:4181% → 82%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
80.7%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 9 yds to the Memph 32Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+6
80.8%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 6 yds to the Memph 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
80.6%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 6 yds to the Memph 44Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+17
80.7%
Brady White pass complete to Kenneth Gainwell for 17 yds to the Cincy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+32
80.7%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 32 yds to the Cincy 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
81.0%
Kenneth Gainwell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 9Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
82.3%
Brady White pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 9 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 2:1118% → 18%
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
81.6%
Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the Cincy 27Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
81.5%
Bryant, Ben pass incomplete, PENALTY MEMPHIS pass interference (Francis, Jacobi) 10 yards to the CINCINNATI37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CINCINNATI.Similar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
81.4%
Michael Warren II run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 35Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+3
81.6%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 3 yds to the Cincy 38Similar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 9
OWN 38
-5
81.5%
CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (Darius Harper) to the Cincy 33Similar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 14
OWN 33
0
81.8%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Alec PierceSimilar
Q1 5:05
4TH & 14
OWN 33
+6
81.9%
James Smith punt for 46 yds , Traveon Samuel returns for 6 yds to the Memph 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 5FG
9 plays · 57 yds · 2:1682% → 85%
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+44
82.1%
Brady White pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 44 yds to the Cincy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
82.5%
Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 2 yds to the Cincy 27Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+5
82.6%
CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Cincy 22Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+2
82.6%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 2 yds to the Cincy 20Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+2
82.4%
Brady White run for 2 yds to the Cincy 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
82.6%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 2 yds to the Cincy 16Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 8
OPP 16
0
82.6%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q1 2:46
3RD & 8
OPP 16
0
82.4%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q1 2:41
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+34
84.5%
Riley Patterson 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 6TD
15 plays · 85 yds · 4:5316% → 21%
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
83.7%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Alec PierceSimilar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+5
83.8%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Alec Pierce for 5 yds to the Cincy 20Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+29
83.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 29 yds to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
83.4%
Gerrid Doaks run for 4 yds to the Memph 47Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+8
83.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Alec Pierce for 8 yds to the Memph 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
83.4%
Gerrid Doaks run for 12 yds to the Memph 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
82.9%
Ben Bryant run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 28Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+11
83.0%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 11 yds to the Memph 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
82.8%
Gerrid Doaks run for 3 yds to the Memph 14Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+12
82.8%
Bryant, Ben pass incomplete to Medaris, Rashad, PENALTY MEMPHIS pass interference (Thomas, La'Andre) 12 yards to the MEMPHIS2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CINCINNATI.Similar
Q2 13:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
83.1%
Gerrid Doaks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 3Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
82.4%
Michael Warren II run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 4Similar
Q2 12:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
78.7%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 4 yds for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 2:5580% → 80%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
80.4%
Antonio Gibson run for 7 yds to the Memph 32Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
80.9%
Antonio Gibson run for 4 yds to the Memph 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
80.8%
Antonio Gibson run for 19 yds to the Cincy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
81.6%
Brady White pass incomplete to Kedarian JonesSimilar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+4
81.4%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 4 yds to the Cincy 41Similar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 6
OPP 41
-1
81.1%
Brady White sacked by Perry Young for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 42Similar
Q2 9:30
4TH & 7
OPP 42
-5
80.4%
MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 47Similar
Q2 9:25
4TH & 12
OPP 47
0
79.6%
Adam Williams punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 8TD
16 plays · 80 yds · 6:1320% → 34%
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
80.0%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 9 yds to the Cincy 29Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 1
OWN 29
-1
79.0%
Michael Warren II run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 28Similar
Q2 8:10
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+9
80.1%
Michael Warren II run for 9 yds to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
79.6%
Michael Warren II run for no gain to the Cincy 37Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
79.7%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Thomas GeddisSimilar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+19
81.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 19 yds to the Memph 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-3
79.3%
Michael Warren II run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 47Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 13
OPP 47
-5
80.1%
CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 48Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 18
OWN 48
+7
80.7%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Michael Warren II for 7 yds to the Memph 45Similar
Q2 5:03
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+12
80.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 12 yds to the Memph 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
78.2%
Michael Warren II run for 5 yds to the Memph 28Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+6
77.8%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 6 yds to the Memph 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
77.7%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 13 yds to the Memph 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
77.6%
Ben Bryant run for 6 yds to the Memph 3Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
66.1%
Michael Warren II run for 3 yds for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 9FG
8 plays · 65 yds · 1:2773% → 75%
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
72.7%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 11 yds to the Memph 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
73.4%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+54
73.0%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 54 yds to the Cincy 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
75.6%
Brady White run for no gain to the Cincy 10Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
75.5%
Brady White pass incomplete to Antonio GibsonSimilar
Q2 1:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
74.4%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q2 1:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
75.3%
Riley Patterson 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:0325% → 24%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
74.7%
Ben Bryant run for 7 yds to the Cincy 32Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-1
73.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Rashad Medaris for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 31Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-3
74.4%
Gerrid Doaks run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 28Similar
Q2 0:13
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
75.7%
James Smith punt for 52 yds, downed at the Memph 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:1275% → 75%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
74.7%
MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (Manuel Orona-Lopez) to the Memph 15Similar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 15
OWN 15
-1
74.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:3226% → 24%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.3%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Alec PierceSimilar
Q3 14:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
74.4%
Ben Bryant run for 1 yd to the Cincy 26Similar
Q3 14:28
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
75.1%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Josiah DeguaraSimilar
Q3 14:21
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
75.9%
James Smith punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Traveon Samuel at the Memph 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1676% → 74%
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
75.5%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 3 yds to the Memph 33Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
75.7%
Brady White pass complete to Kenneth Gainwell for no gain to the Memph 33Similar
Q3 13:11
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+1
74.5%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 1 yd to the Memph 34Similar
Q3 12:42
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
73.5%
Adam Williams punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 14FUMBLE
4 plays · 20 yds · 1:1927% → 29%
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
73.5%
Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the Cincy 28Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+13
72.8%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Alec Pierce for 13 yds to the Cincy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
71.3%
Michael Warren II run for 3 yds to the Cincy 44Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+8
70.6%
Ben Bryant pass intercepted Jacobi Francis return for 8 yds to the 50 yard line Jacobi Francis fumbled, recovered by Memph Jacobi Francis , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:0677% → 73%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
50
-5
76.5%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the Memph 45Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+6
74.5%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 6 yds to the Cincy 49Similar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
75.2%
Brady White pass incomplete to Calvin Austin IIISimilar
Q3 9:35
4TH & 9
OPP 49
-5
73.6%
MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Memph 46Similar
Q3 9:34
4TH & 14
OWN 46
+18
72.7%
Adam Williams punt for 44 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 18 yds to the Cincy 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 16FUMBLE
4 plays · 15 yds · 1:2328% → 30%
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
72.4%
Tre Tucker run for 12 yds to the Cincy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
70.6%
Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd to the Cincy 41Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+4
70.7%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Gerrid Doaks for 4 yds to the Cincy 45Similar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 5
OWN 45
-4
69.8%
Ben Bryant sacked by Jonathan Wilson for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 43 Ben Bryant fumbled, recovered by MemphSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 17DOWNS
6 plays · 27 yds · 1:5877% → 74%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+19
76.8%
Antonio Gibson run for 19 yds to the Cincy 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
77.4%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 5 yds to the Cincy 19Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+4
77.4%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the Cincy 15Similar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 1
OPP 15
-1
75.7%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 16Similar
Q3 5:47
4TH & 2
OPP 16
0
74.1%
Brady White pass incomplete to Joey MagnificoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 67 yds · 3:3629% → 32%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
70.9%
Ben Bryant run for 4 yds to the Cincy 20Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+39
71.1%
Michael Warren II run for 39 yds to the Memph 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
65.9%
Gerrid Doaks run for 3 yds to the Memph 38Similar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+12
66.7%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 12 yds to the Memph 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
64.6%
Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the Memph 24Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+6
64.3%
Michael Warren II run for 6 yds to the Memph 18Similar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+1
66.4%
Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd to the Memph 17Similar
Q3 2:02
4TH & 1
OPP 17
0
67.8%
Michael Warren II run for no gain to the Memph 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 19TD
9 plays · 83 yds · 3:3371% → 88%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+13
71.3%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 13 yds to the Memph 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
71.6%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 6 yds to the Memph 36Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+1
73.3%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 1 yd to the Memph 37Similar
Q3 0:40
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+4
72.0%
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 4 yds to the Memph 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
73.6%
Antonio Gibson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 38Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+12
71.3%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 12 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 1
50
+1
76.7%
Brady White run for 1 yd to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
77.6%
Brady White pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 3 yds to the Cincy 46Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+46
88.4%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 46 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 20TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5013% → 38%
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.6%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Jayshon JacksonSimilar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
86.9%
Gerrid Doaks run for 6 yds to the Cincy 31Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
86.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Gerrid Doaks for 7 yds to the Cincy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
84.9%
Gerrid Doaks run for 2 yds to the Cincy 40Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-7
85.0%
Ben Bryant sacked by Bryce Huff for a loss of 7 yards to the Cincy 33 Ben Bryant fumbled, forced by Bryce Huff, recovered by CincySimilar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 15
OWN 33
+51
88.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Alec Pierce for 51 yds to the Memph 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
81.9%
Gerrid Doaks run for 4 yds to the Memph 12Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+12
62.2%
Ben Bryant run for 12 yds for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 21INT
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:3074% → 76%
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
74.3%
Brady White pass incomplete to Kedarian JonesSimilar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
73.6%
Brady White pass complete to Kenneth Gainwell for 3 yds to the Memph 23Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+22
73.3%
Brady White run for 12 yds to the Memph 35 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Memph 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
76.9%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 12 yds to the Cincy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
78.0%
Kenneth Gainwell run for no gain to the Memph 43 MEMPHIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Memph 47Similar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 20
OWN 47
+6
75.5%
Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 6 yds to the Cincy 47Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 14
OPP 47
0
75.7%
Brady White pass intercepted Ahmad Gardner return for no gain to the Cincy 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:5833% → 28%
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
67.4%
Michael Warren II run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 25Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 11
OWN 25
-1
69.1%
Ben Bryant sacked by Joseph Dorceus for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 24Similar
Q4 6:31
3RD & 12
OWN 24
0
71.4%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:24
4TH & 12
OWN 24
0
72.4%
James Smith punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Traveon Samuel at the Memph 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 23TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 2:4977% → 95%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
76.5%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 4 yds to the Memph 42Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 6
OWN 42
-4
77.5%
Kenneth Gainwell run for a loss of 4 yards to the Memph 38Similar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+15
74.6%
Brady White pass incomplete for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Myjai Sanders) to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
81.7%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 4 yds to the Cincy 43Similar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+14
83.1%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 14 yds to the Cincy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
94.7%
Antonio Gibson run for 29 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 24INT
6 plays · -6 yds · 1:306% → 5%
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-13
93.9%
Ben Bryant sacked by John Tate IV for a loss of 13 yards to the Cincy 11 Ben Bryant fumbled, forced by John Tate IV, recovered by CincySimilar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 24
OWN 11
-5
94.2%
CINCINNATI Penalty, Offensive Holding (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 6Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 29
OWN 6
+13
94.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Malick Mbodj for 13 yds to the Cincy 19Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
94.7%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Rashad MedarisSimilar
Q4 1:35
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
95.1%
Ben Bryant pass intercepted Sanchez Blake Jr. return for no gain to the Memph 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 25Uncategorized
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:3096% → 97%
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
95.8%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 5 yds to the Cincy 47Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+3
96.5%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds to the Cincy 44Similar
Q4 0:38
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+4
96.4%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the Cincy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
96.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:27
Ben Bryant run for 12 yds for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK)
-19.7
TD · Q4 3:16
Antonio Gibson run for 29 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)
+11.6
TD · Q2 2:54
Michael Warren II run for 3 yds for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK)
-11.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com