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MEM

Memphis 49 at South Florida 10

USF
2019 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2019 · Raymond James Stadium
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Win probability · USF
modelUSF aheadMEM aheadconfidence bandkey playUSF scoreMEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:41 · Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 3 yds to the SFla 19 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 32Pregame prior−31.1Home team on offense−0.5Score differential−0.5Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:18: Dave Small run for 1 yd for a TD (Coby Weiss KICK) — USF win probability +2.1 pts (now 20%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:18: Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +4.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:18: Brady White pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 50 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +5.1 pts (now 82%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 11:18: Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 23 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +5.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:18: Antonio Gibson run for 18 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +7.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USF made the numbers' call on 12 of 12MEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00MEM 4th & 1 at MEM 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:18MEM 4th & 8 at MEM 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:59USF 4th & 19 at USF 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−0.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:41MEM 4th & 2 at USF 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    78.6%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    78.0%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:01USF 4th & 4 at USF 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:36USF 4th & 7 at MEM 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    25.0%−1.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:34USF 4th & 11 at MEM 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.4%
    64% to make
    Punt
    26.5%−2.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:50USF 4th & 15 at USF 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−1.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:04USF 4th & 4 at USF 31, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00USF 4th & 8 at MEM 39, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    12.5%−0.4
    36% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:38MEM 4th & 15 at MEM 34, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%−2.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:50USF 4th & 18 at USF 8, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−1.5
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:58USF 4th & 11 at USF 12, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:06USF 4th & 7 at USF 28, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:57USF 4th & 8 at USF 27, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:46MEM 4th & 18 at MEM 28, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:09USF 4th & 24 at USF 14, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:54MEM 4th & 2 at USF 27, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USF made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 11:18USF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:18MEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:18MEM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:18MEM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:18MEM Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:18MEM Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:18MEM Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:18MEM Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MEMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
16.9%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
16.9%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 5 yds to the Memph 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+4
16.9%
Brady White pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 4 yds to the Memph 39Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
16.9%
Adam Williams punt for 36 yds, fair catch by KJ Sails at the SFla 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 2TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:1818% → 20%
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
17.6%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 13 yds to the SFla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
17.6%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Eddie McDoom for 8 yds to the SFla 46Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+47
17.6%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 47 yds to the Memph 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
17.7%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 3 yds to the Memph 4Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
17.7%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 3 yds to the Memph 1Similar
Q1 11:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
19.8%
Dave Small run for 1 yd for a TD (Coby Weiss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0081% → 80%
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
19.5%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 14 yds to the Memph 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
19.4%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Memph 44Similar
Q1 11:18
1ST & 5
OWN 44
-3
19.3%
Kenneth Gainwell run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 41Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
19.4%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:18
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
19.4%
Brady White pass incomplete to Kedarian JonesSimilar
Q1 11:18
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
19.6%
Adam Williams punt for 49 yds , KJ Sails returns for no gain to the SFla 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
20.6%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 3 yds to the SFla 13Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 7
OWN 13
0
20.6%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 7
OWN 13
-5
20.5%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SFla 8Similar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 12
OWN 8
-7
20.5%
Jordan McCloud sacked by Tim Hart and Bryce Huff for a loss of 7 yards to the SFla 1Similar
Q1 9:59
4TH & 19
OWN 1
0
20.4%
Trent Schneider punt for 65 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 5TD
10 plays · 66 yds · 2:3782% → 81%
Q1 11:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
18.4%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
19.8%
Brady White pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 9 yds to the Memph 43Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+2
19.5%
Brady White run for 2 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
19.6%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 5
50
+20
19.5%
Brady White pass complete to Patrick Taylor Jr. for 20 yds to the SFla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
19.4%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 31Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+7
19.4%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 7 yds to the SFla 24Similar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+2
19.5%
Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 2 yds to the SFla 22Similar
Q1 8:41
4TH & 2
OPP 22
+3
19.7%
Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 3 yds to the SFla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+16
19.3%
Brady White pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 16 yds to the SFla 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
22.0%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+2
21.9%
Jordan McCloud run for 2 yds to the SFla 28Similar
Q1 5:01
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+4
21.6%
Jordan McCloud run for 4 yds to the SFla 32Similar
Q1 5:01
4TH & 4
OWN 32
+4
21.6%
Trent Schneider punt for 53 yds , Traveon Samuel returns for 4 yds to the Memph 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 7INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
22.6%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 6 yds to the Memph 25Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+4
22.4%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the Memph 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
22.5%
Brady White pass complete to Tahj Washington for 3 yds to the Memph 32Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
22.4%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for no gain to the Memph 32Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+40
22.8%
Brady White pass intercepted KJ Sails return for 40 yds to the Memph 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 8FG
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4426% → 26%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
25.5%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 3 yds to the Memph 20Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 7
OPP 20
0
25.5%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Randall St. Felix, broken up by T.J. CarterSimilar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 7
OPP 20
0
25.1%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:36
4TH & 7
OPP 20
+37
25.6%
Coby Weiss 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 9INT
6 plays · 50 yds · 0:3675% → 76%
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
25.2%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 7 yds to the Memph 37Similar
Q1 0:36
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+5
24.7%
WHITE, Brady pass incomplete to JONES, K, PENALTY USF offside defense (WALLER, John) 5 yards to the MEM42, 1ST DOWN MEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+34
24.5%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 34 yds to the SFla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
23.9%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 4 yds to the SFla 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+52
23.9%
Brady White pass intercepted Daquan Evans return for 52 yds to the Memph 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 10MISSED FG
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:4828% → 28%
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
27.5%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 2 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+7
27.4%
Jordan McCloud run for 7 yds to the Memph 33Similar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+8
27.2%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 8 yds to the Memph 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
27.7%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Randall St. FelixSimilar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
27.7%
Dave Small run for 3 yds to the Memph 22Similar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 7
OPP 22
-4
27.3%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Mitchell Wilcox for a loss of 4 yards to the Memph 26Similar
Q2 11:34
4TH & 11
OPP 26
+43
27.7%
Coby Weiss 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 11TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 0:1672% → 78%
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
28.2%
Brady White pass complete to Kenneth Gainwell for 9 yds to the Memph 35Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+21
27.3%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 21 yds to the SFla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
26.5%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 9 yds to the SFla 35Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+1
25.8%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd to the SFla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
26.0%
Brady White pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 5 yds to the SFla 29Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+5
25.8%
Brady White run for 5 yds to the SFla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
25.8%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-1
26.0%
Kenneth Gainwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 25Similar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 11
OPP 25
+15
26.7%
Brady White pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 15 yds to the SFla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
25.8%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 5 yds to the SFla 5Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
21.7%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0025% → 23%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
24.6%
Jah'Quez Evans run for no gain to the SFla 25Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
24.4%
Jah'Quez Evans run for 3 yds to the SFla 28Similar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-8
23.8%
Jordan McCloud sacked by Everitt Cunningham for a loss of 8 yards to the SFla 20Similar
Q2 7:50
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
23.3%
Trent Schneider punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Traveon Samuel at the Memph 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 13TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 5:2282% → 81%
Q2 11:18
3RD & 18
50
+50
18.2%
Brady White pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 50 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
18.2%
Antonio Gibson run for 6 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+3
17.7%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 3 yds to the Memph 43Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+3
17.9%
Brady White run for 3 yds to the Memph 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
17.6%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 9 yds to the SFla 45Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+3
17.5%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 3 yds to the SFla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
17.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 28 yards to the Memph 30 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Memph Patrick Taylor Jr. , return for no gain to the Memph 30Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 38
OWN 30
+20
18.6%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 20 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
17.7%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
17.5%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 6 yds to the SFla 31Similar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
17.6%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:04
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+16
17.4%
Trent Schneider punt for 58 yds , Traveon Samuel returns for 16 yds to the Memph 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 15TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 11:0189% → 93%
Q2 11:18
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+23
11.5%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 23 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
9.7%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+13
9.8%
Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 13 yds to the Memph 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
9.3%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+17
9.4%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 17 yds to the SFla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
9.0%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 4 yds to the SFla 39Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+4
8.0%
Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 4 yds to the SFla 35Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+7
8.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 7 yds to the SFla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
8.0%
Brady White run for 5 yds to the SFla 23Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 5
OPP 23
0
7.5%
Brady White pass incomplete to Kedarian JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 22 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
10.7%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 22 yds to the SFla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:0011% → 12%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
11.1%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 2 yds to the SFla 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
11.1%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Eddie McDoomSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+32
10.9%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Eddie McDoom for 32 yds to the Memph 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
12.4%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 6 yds to the Memph 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 35
-1
12.8%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 36
-3
12.3%
Jordan McCloud run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 39Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 39
0
12.0%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
8.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 9 yds to the Memph 48Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 1
OWN 48
-3
8.5%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 45Similar
Q3 12:38
3RD & 4
OWN 45
-11
8.9%
Brady White sacked by Andrew Mims for a loss of 11 yards to the Memph 34Similar
Q3 12:38
4TH & 15
OWN 34
0
9.8%
Adam Williams punt for 50 yds, fair catch by KJ Sails at the SFla 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-8
10.0%
RYGOL, Kirk pass incomplete to McDOOM, Eddie, PENALTY USF holding (NORMAN, Marcus) 8 yards to the USF8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 18
OWN 8
+3
9.8%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 3 yds to the SFla 11Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 15
OWN 11
-1
9.9%
Kirk Rygol pass complete to Kelley Joiner Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 10Similar
Q3 10:50
3RD & 16
OWN 10
-2
9.9%
Kirk Rygol sacked by Austin Hall for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 8Similar
Q3 10:50
4TH & 18
OWN 8
+13
9.7%
Trent Schneider punt for 45 yds , Traveon Samuel returns for 13 yds to the Memph 21 MEMPHIS Penalty, illegal block (Tyrez Lindsey) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 20TD
4 plays · 50 yds · 2:4198% → 98%
Q3 11:18
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+18
2.3%
Antonio Gibson run for 18 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
50
+11
1.7%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 11 yds to the SFla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
1.8%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 14 yds to the SFla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
1.7%
Antonio Gibson run for 7 yds to the SFla 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
1.3%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 4 yds to the SFla 17Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 6
OWN 17
0
1.3%
Kirk Rygol pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:58
3RD & 6
OWN 17
0
1.3%
Kirk Rygol pass incomplete to Eddie McDoomSimilar
Q3 6:58
4TH & 6
OWN 17
-5
1.3%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SFla 12Similar
Q3 6:58
4TH & 11
OWN 12
0
1.2%
Trent Schneider punt for 45 yds, downed at the Memph 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 22TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 5:1298% → 99%
Q3 11:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
1.8%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 10 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
1.1%
Brady White pass incomplete to Calvin Austin III, broken up by Nick RobertsSimilar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+8
1.2%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 8 yds to the SFla 49Similar
Q3 6:06
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+4
1.2%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the SFla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+21
1.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 21 yds to the SFla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
1.1%
Calvin Austin III run for 7 yds to the SFla 17Similar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+7
1.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 7 yds to the SFla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
1.3%
Jah'Quez Evans run for 3 yds to the SFla 28Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
1.3%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, false start (William Atterbury) to the SFla 23Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+5
1.3%
Dave Small run for 5 yds to the SFla 28Similar
Q3 3:06
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
1.3%
Jah'Quez Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:06
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+21
1.3%
Trent Schneider punt for 48 yds , Traveon Samuel returns for 21 yds to the Memph 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 24TD
9 plays · 55 yds · 5:0199% → 100%
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
0.6%
Connor Adair pass incomplete to Tyce DanielSimilar
Q3 1:19
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+6
0.6%
Kylan Watkins run for 6 yds to the SFla 49Similar
Q3 1:19
3RD & 4
OPP 49
-5
0.6%
MEMPHIS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Memph 46Similar
Q3 1:19
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+13
0.6%
Connor Adair pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 13 yds to the SFla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
0.5%
Rodrigues Clark run for 3 yds to the SFla 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+8
0.5%
Rodrigues Clark run for 8 yds to the SFla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
0.5%
Kylan Watkins run for 5 yds to the SFla 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+3
0.5%
Rodrigues Clark run for 3 yds to the SFla 22Similar
Q4 11:18
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+22
0.3%
Connor Adair run for 22 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.3%
Jah'Quez Evans run for no gain to the SFla 25Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.2%
Odunayo Seriki run for 3 yds to the SFla 28Similar
Q4 11:57
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
0.2%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, false start (William Atterbury) to the SFla 23Similar
Q4 11:57
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+4
0.2%
Jah'Quez Evans run for 4 yds to the SFla 27Similar
Q4 11:57
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+12
0.2%
Trent Schneider punt for 49 yds , Traveon Samuel returns for 12 yds to the Memph 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:46
1ST & 20
OWN 26
-5
0.3%
MEMPHIS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Memph 21Similar
Q4 9:46
1ST & 25
OWN 21
+4
0.3%
Rodrigues Clark run for 4 yds to the Memph 25Similar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 21
OWN 25
+3
0.3%
Rodrigues Clark run for 3 yds to the Memph 28Similar
Q4 9:46
3RD & 18
OWN 28
0
0.3%
Connor Adair pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:46
4TH & 18
OWN 28
+44
0.3%
Adam Williams punt for 44 yds, downed at the SOUFLA 28 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the SFla 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · -14 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
0.2%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, false start (DeVontres Dukes) to the SFla 23Similar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 15
OWN 23
-5
0.2%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, false start (Brad Cecil) to the SFla 18Similar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 20
OWN 18
-9
0.2%
Kirk Rygol sacked by Rodney Owens for a loss of 9 yards to the SFla 9Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 29
OWN 9
+5
0.1%
Dave Small run for 5 yds to the SFla 14Similar
Q4 7:09
3RD & 24
OWN 14
0
0.2%
Kirk Rygol pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:09
4TH & 24
OWN 14
+11
0.2%
Trent Schneider punt for 55 yds , Traveon Samuel returns for 11 yds to the Memph 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 28END OF GAME
9 plays · 34 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
0.2%
Timothy Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 41Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+5
0.2%
Marquavius Weaver run for 5 yds to the Memph 46Similar
Q4 5:54
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+6
0.2%
Markevion Quinn run for 6 yds to the SFla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
0.2%
Markevion Quinn run for 6 yds to the SFla 42Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+7
0.2%
Markevion Quinn run for 7 yds to the SFla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
0.2%
Traveon Samuel run for 1 yd to the SFla 34Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+8
0.2%
Marquavius Weaver run for 8 yds to the SFla 26Similar
Q4 5:54
3RD & 1
OPP 26
-1
0.2%
Markevion Quinn run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 27Similar
Q4 5:54
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+3
0.2%
Timothy Taylor run for 3 yds to the SFla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:18
Antonio Gibson run for 18 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)
-7.3
TD · Q2 11:18
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 23 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)
-5.8
TD · Q2 11:18
Brady White pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 50 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)
-5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com