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ECU

East Carolina 31 at UConn 24

CONN
2019 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2019 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadECU aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreECU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Jonn Young punt for 40 yds , Quayvon Skanes returns for 38 yds to the UCONN 19 EAST CAROLINA Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 8Pregame prior−38.7Home team on offense+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:49: Holton Ahlers pass complete to Zech Byrd for 17 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK) — ECU win probability +6.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:09: Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jay Rose for 20 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK) — CONN win probability +13.8 pts (now 30%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q3 10:31: Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK) — ECU win probability +7.1 pts (now 86%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:28: Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 94 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK) — CONN win probability +25.7 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  5. TD · Q4 3:28: Holton Ahlers run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK) — ECU win probability +26.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 7 of 10ECU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00ECU 4th & 7 at ECU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:07ECU 4th & 7 at ECU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:09CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:57ECU 4th & 9 at CONN 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.1%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.3%
    89% to make
    Punt
    75.2%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:57CONN 4th & 1 at CONN 31, up 4
    Close callPunted · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:22ECU 4th & 9 at ECU 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:06CONN 4th & 1 at CONN 37, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:19CONN 4th & 26 at ECU 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−1.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    25.2%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    25.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:39CONN 4th & 10 at ECU 39, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.9%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    19.2%
    36% to make
    Punt
    18.6%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:31CONN 4th & 9 at midfield, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:54ECU 4th & 1 at CONN 29, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.8%−2.7
    58% to make
    Punt
    74.2%−8.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:33CONN 4th & 9 at ECU 9, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.7%
    89% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−7.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:33ECU 4th & 13 at CONN 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.1%−0.9
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    79.4%−0.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:59CONN 4th & 8 at ECU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.9%
    51% to make
    Punt
    47.0%−3.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:15CONN 4th & 4 at ECU 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.6%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    12.3%−5.2
    83% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−9.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:08CONN 4th & 5 at ECU 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.6%
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    5.0%−16.6
    92% to make
    Punt
    6.6%−15.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ECU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 13:07CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 13:07ECU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:49ECU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:09CONN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:31ECU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:28CONN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:28ECU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.1 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%−1.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ECUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
11.3%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
11.3%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Tyler Snead, broken up by Pierce DeVaughnSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+16
11.3%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 16 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
11.3%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 3 yds to the ECaro 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
11.3%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
11.3%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 43
+38
11.3%
Jonn Young punt for 40 yds , Quayvon Skanes returns for 38 yds to the UCONN 19 EAST CAROLINA Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2TD
1 play · 40 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
12.5%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 40 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
12.4%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 4 yds to the ECaro 28Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 6
OWN 28
-1
12.4%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 27Similar
Q1 13:07
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
12.4%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Blake ProehlSimilar
Q1 13:07
4TH & 7
OWN 27
0
12.4%
Jonn Young punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Quayvon Skanes at the UConn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
13.0%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (Dylan Niedrowski) to the UConn 24Similar
Q1 12:09
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+15
13.0%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Heron Maurisseau for 15 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
13.1%
MENSAH, Kevin rush for 4 yards to the UCONN43 (SMITH, Xavier), PENALTY UCONN holding (NIEDROWSKI, Dyl) 10 yards to the UCONN29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:09
1ST & 20
OWN 29
-4
13.0%
Jack Zergiotis sacked by Delvontae Harris and Chance Purvis for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 25Similar
Q1 12:09
2ND & 24
OWN 25
+7
13.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 7 yds to the UConn 32Similar
Q1 12:09
3RD & 17
OWN 32
+7
13.0%
Art Thompkins run for 7 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q1 12:09
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
12.9%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 30 yds, downed at the ECaro 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 5FG
14 plays · 60 yds · 3:3885% → 84%
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
14.6%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 15 yds to the ECaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
14.4%
Jsi Hatfield run for 13 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
14.4%
AHLERS, Holton pass incomplete to SNEAD, Tyler, PENALTY UCONN holding (COYLE, Tyler) 10 yards to the UCONN31, 1ST DOWN ECU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
14.3%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 8 yds to the UConn 23Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+4
14.2%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 4 yds to the UConn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
14.2%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 24Similar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 15
OPP 24
+14
14.3%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 14 yds to the UConn 10Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 1
OPP 10
0
14.2%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for no gain to the UConn 10Similar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+1
14.4%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 1 yd to the UConn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
14.2%
Holton Ahlers run for no gain to the UConn 9Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
14.2%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
16.7%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Jsi Hatfield, broken up by Tyler CoyleSimilar
Q1 5:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
16.0%
Jake Verity 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
16.2%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 8 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+1
16.5%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 31Similar
Q1 5:57
3RD & 1
OWN 31
0
16.2%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the UConn 31Similar
Q1 5:57
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
16.0%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 7TD
9 plays · 83 yds · 9:0688% → 85%
Q1 13:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
11.9%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
15.8%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Tyler Snead, broken up by Robert King IIISimilar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-8
15.9%
AHLERS, Holton pass complete to JOHNSON, C.J. for 33 yards to the 50 yardline, PENALTY ECU holding (FRYE, Fernando) 8 yards to the ECU9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 18
OWN 9
+9
16.0%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 9 yds to the ECaro 18Similar
Q1 4:01
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+43
16.1%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 43 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
15.2%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Zech Byrd for 5 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+5
15.0%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 5 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
15.0%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Tyler Snead, broken up by Jackson MitchellSimilar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+26
15.1%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 26 yds to the UConn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8FUMBLE
8 plays · 39 yds · 1:1117% → 18%
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
16.7%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 5 yds to the UConn 21Similar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 5
OWN 21
0
16.7%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Cameron RossSimilar
Q1 1:11
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+8
16.3%
Jack Zergiotis run for 8 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+20
17.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 20 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
18.2%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 2 yds to the ECaro 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+7
18.3%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jayce Medlock for 7 yds to the ECaro 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 42
0
18.2%
Jack Zergiotis run for no gain to the ECaro 45 Jack Zergiotis fumbled, recovered by ECaro Davondre RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
17.1%
Demetrius Mauney run for a loss of 5 yards to the ECaro 40Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 15
OWN 40
0
17.8%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to C.J. JohnsonSimilar
Q2 13:22
3RD & 15
OWN 40
+6
18.0%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 6 yds to the ECaro 46Similar
Q2 13:22
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
18.2%
Jonn Young punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Quayvon Skanes at the UConn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
18.6%
Kevin Mensah run for 8 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+2
19.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
18.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 9 yds to the UConn 37Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 1
OWN 37
0
19.6%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the UConn 37Similar
Q2 12:06
3RD & 1
OWN 37
0
19.2%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the UConn 37Similar
Q2 12:06
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
18.4%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 11INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
19.6%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 6 yds to the ECaro 24Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 4
OWN 24
-1
19.2%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 23Similar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+19
20.0%
Holton Ahlers pass intercepted Diamond Harrell return for 19 yds to the ECaro 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:0022% → 20%
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
22.1%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Jayce Medlock for 15 yds to the ECaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
22.7%
Steven Krajewski run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 25Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 11
OPP 25
-10
22.6%
KRAJEWSKI, Stev pass incomplete to MEDLOCK, Jayce, PENALTY UCONN holding (PEART, Matt) 10 yards to the ECU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 21
OPP 35
-5
21.6%
Steven Krajewski sacked by Alex Turner and Chance Purvis for a loss of 5 yards to the ECaro 40Similar
Q2 8:19
3RD & 26
OPP 40
0
20.4%
Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Heron MaurisseauSimilar
Q2 8:19
4TH & 26
OPP 40
0
19.6%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 13TD
14 plays · 90 yds · 4:3880% → 86%
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
20.4%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 4 yds to the ECaro 14Similar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+21
20.5%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 21 yds to the ECaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
19.7%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 7 yds to the ECaro 42Similar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+5
19.1%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 5 yds to the ECaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
19.0%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 5 yds to the UConn 48Similar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+7
18.8%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 7 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
18.8%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 2 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 8
OPP 39
0
18.8%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to C.J. Johnson, broken up by Tyler CoyleSimilar
Q2 6:27
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+11
19.0%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 11 yds to the UConn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
18.1%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Zech ByrdSimilar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+2
18.4%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 2 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+9
21.1%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 9 yds to the UConn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
14.5%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Zech Byrd for 17 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14INT
12 plays · 57 yds · 1:1016% → 19%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
15.7%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Kevin Mensah, broken up by Delvontae HarrisSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
16.0%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 10 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
16.6%
ZERGIOTIS, Jack pass incomplete to ROSE, Jay, PENALTY UCONN holding (VAN DEMARK, Rya) 10 yards to the UCONN35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 20
OWN 35
+18
15.7%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jay Rose for 18 yds to the ECaro 47Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+8
17.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 8 yds to the ECaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
17.3%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Jay RoseSimilar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
17.7%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Jay RoseSimilar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
17.2%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Jay RoseSimilar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 10
OPP 39
+21
16.5%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Matt Drayton for 21 yds to the ECaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
19.0%
Jack Zergiotis pass intercepted Demetrius Mauney return for no gain to the ECaro 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
16.9%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 4 yds to the ECaro 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 16TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5116% → 30%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
15.6%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
15.5%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 4 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
15.0%
ZERGIOTIS, Jack pass incomplete to ROSS, Cameron, PENALTY ECU offside defense (PURVIS, Chance) 5 yards to the UCONN33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+47
15.7%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Matt Drayton for 47 yds to the ECaro 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
29.5%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jay Rose for 20 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 17TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 2:3876% → 86%
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
24.2%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for no gain to the ECaro 27Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+12
24.5%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 12 yds to the ECaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
22.9%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 13 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
22.4%
Holton Ahlers run for 1 yd to the UConn 47Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+15
22.4%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Tahj Herring-Wilson) to the UConn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
21.8%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 34Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 12
OPP 34
+28
22.0%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 28 yds to the UConn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
21.3%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 5 yds to the UConn 1Similar
Q3 10:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
14.3%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
15.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
15.4%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Jay RoseSimilar
Q3 10:31
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+20
15.0%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Kevin Mensah for 20 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
16.8%
Dante Black run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 9
50
0
16.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:31
3RD & 9
50
0
16.1%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:31
4TH & 9
50
0
15.4%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 19MISSED FG
12 plays · 59 yds · 4:4684% → 86%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
16.4%
Demetrius Mauney run for no gain to the ECaro 12Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+9
16.7%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 9 yds to the ECaro 21Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+5
16.5%
AHLERS, Holton pass incomplete to PROEHL, Blake (HERRING-WILSON), PENALTY UCONN offside defense (JONES, Travis) 5 yards to the ECU26, 1ST DOWN ECU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
16.0%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 9 yds to the ECaro 35Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+4
15.5%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 4 yds to the ECaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
15.0%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to C.J. JohnsonSimilar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+11
15.2%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
50
+12
14.9%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 12 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
14.9%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 1 yd to the UConn 37Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+4
15.0%
Holton Ahlers run for 4 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+4
15.1%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 4 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q3 3:54
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+46
14.5%
Jake Verity 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 20FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 4:2115% → 22%
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
15.0%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Kevin Mensah for 9 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+8
16.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 8 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+17
16.3%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 4 yards to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST down Cameron Ross for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
17.0%
Jack Zergiotis run for no gain to the ECaro 41Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+5
16.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the ECaro 36Similar
Q3 3:54
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+27
16.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Elijah Jeffreys for 27 yds to the ECaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
18.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the ECaro 6Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-10
18.0%
Jack Zergiotis sacked by Kendall Futrell for a loss of 10 yards to the ECaro 16Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
+7
16.2%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Kevin Mensah for 7 yds to the ECaro 9Similar
Q4 14:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
21.6%
Clayton Harris 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
16.9%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 2 yds to the ECaro 27Similar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
16.7%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 12 yds to the ECaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
15.3%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
50
+5
14.7%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 5 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+7
14.7%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 7 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
14.7%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 42 Jsi HatfieldSimilar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 14
OPP 42
+1
15.2%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 1 yd to the UConn 41Similar
Q4 14:33
3RD & 13
OPP 41
0
15.6%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to C.J. JohnsonSimilar
Q4 14:33
4TH & 13
OPP 41
0
17.9%
Jonn Young punt for 31 yds, downed at the UConn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 22TD
3 plays · 90 yds · 1:1720% → 45%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
19.9%
ZERGIOTIS, Jack pass complete to ROSS, Cameron for 9 yards to the UCONN19 (STRINGER, G.), PENALTY UCONN ineligible downfield on pass (PEART, Matt) 5 yards to the UCONN5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+1
19.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 6Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 14
OWN 6
+94
44.9%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 94 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 23INT
4 plays · 28 yds · 0:0058% → 64%
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
42.2%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Zech Byrd for 21 yds to the ECaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
37.4%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 7 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+24
36.0%
Holton Ahlers pass intercepted Keyshawn Paul return for 24 yds to the ECaro 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 24MISSED FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2056% → 50%
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
56.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the ECaro 33Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
55.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Matt DraytonSimilar
Q4 8:19
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+1
53.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the ECaro 32Similar
Q4 6:59
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+50
50.4%
Clayton Harris 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 25TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 3:3159% → 92%
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
41.3%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to C.J. JohnsonSimilar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+15
42.5%
Holton Ahlers run for 15 yds to the ECaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
37.7%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (D'Ante Smith) to the ECaro 42Similar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+10
41.5%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 10 yds to the UConn 48Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+5
37.4%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, offside defense (Travis Jones) to the UConn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
37.1%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 7 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+7
36.5%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 7 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+16
34.6%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 16 yds to the UConn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
34.6%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 2 yds to the UConn 11Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+9
34.6%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 9 yds Tyler Snead fumbled, forced by Tahj Herring-Wilson, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
8.2%
Holton Ahlers run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 26INT
19 plays · 70 yds · 3:2018% → 16%
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
18.2%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Cameron RossSimilar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
17.7%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:28
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+31
16.7%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Matt Drayton for 31 yds to the ECaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+23
24.0%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Donovan Williams for 23 yds to the ECaro 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
26.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the ECaro 19Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 8
OPP 19
-5
26.0%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (Dylan Niedrowski) to the ECaro 24Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 13
OPP 24
0
23.4%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Elijah JeffreysSimilar
Q4 3:28
3RD & 13
OPP 24
+9
20.4%
Jack Zergiotis run for 9 yds to the ECaro 15Similar
Q4 1:15
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+6
18.5%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 6 yds to the ECaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
23.3%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jay Rose for 4 yds to the ECaro 5Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
23.3%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
20.7%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
15.7%
Jack Zergiotis pass intercepted Colby Gore return for 1 yd to the ECaro 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
5.9%
Holton Ahlers run for no gain to the ECaro 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:28
Holton Ahlers run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)
-26.4
TD · Q4 9:28
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 94 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK)
+25.7
TD · Q3 13:09
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jay Rose for 20 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK)
+13.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com