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TEM

Temple 13 at Cincinnati 15

CIN
2019 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2019 · Nippert Stadium
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Win probability · CIN
modelCIN aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playCIN scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:41 · Sam Crosa 40 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 175Pregame prior+1.2Home team on offense+12.4Score differential+1.2Garbage-time factor+3.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Blowout margin−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:47: Michael Warren II run for 13 yds for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK) — CIN win probability +9.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 11:19: Re'Mahn Davis run for 7 yds for a TD (Will Mobley PAT BLOCKED) — TEM win probability +11.1 pts (now 24%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 6:59: Anthony Russo pass complete to Kenny Yeboah for 16 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK) — TEM win probability +28.9 pts (now 46%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:59: Jacob LaFree kickoff for 58 yds — CIN win probability +9.3 pts (now 63%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:19: Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 30 — CIN win probability +18.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CIN made the numbers' call on 10 of 11TEM made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00TEM 4th & 10 at CIN 30, tied
    Close callWent for it · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.3%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    26.3%
    56% to make
    Punt
    26.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:51CIN 4th & 16 at CIN 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:36TEM 4th & 11 at TEM 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:57CIN 4th & 6 at CIN 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:04TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:11CIN 4th & 2 at TEM 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    71.7%−0.2
    72% to make
    Punt
    70.4%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:14CIN 4th & 11 at TEM 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.2%
    77% to make
    Punt
    68.2%−1.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:08TEM 4th & 7 at TEM 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:47CIN 4th & 4 at CIN 36, up 3
    Close callPunted · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 10:56TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 8:05TEM 4th & 14 at CIN 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    28.6%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%
    average punt
  12. Q2 5:32CIN 4th & 9 at CIN 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%−0.8
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.5%
    average punt
  13. Q2 2:02TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 19, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.0%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    27.6%
    average punt
  14. Q2 0:30CIN 4th & 20 at TEM 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%−2.4
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    65.4%−4.8
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:07TEM 4th & 7 at CIN 15, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    8.9%−4.7
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:07CIN 4th & 10 at CIN 20, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%−1.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.8%
    average punt
  17. Q3 5:13TEM 4th & 1 at CIN 18, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    12.5%−1.5
    79% to make
    Punt
    7.7%−6.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 15:00CIN 4th & 7 at CIN 35, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:19CIN 4th & 10 at CIN 25, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%−1.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:41CIN 4th & 12 at TEM 23, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−6.0
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.6%
    70% to make
    Punt
    51.1%−21.5
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:41TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 32, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.7%−5.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CIN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1TEM made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q3 10:47CIN Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 11:19TEM Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    15.9%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.2%
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 6:59TEM Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.9%−1.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1DOWNS
11 plays · 44 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
76.1%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 6 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+5
76.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Re'Mahn Davis for 5 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
76.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 4 yds to the Temp 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-1
76.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Re'Mahn Davis for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+10
76.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+20
76.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jose Barbon for 20 yds to the Cincy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
76.1%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
76.1%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jose BarbonSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
76.1%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 30
0
76.1%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jadan BlueSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · -6 yds · 0:0076% → 75%
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
75.5%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec Pierce, broken up by Amir TylerSimilar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-5
75.4%
CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (Lorenz Metz) to the Cincy 25Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 15
OWN 25
0
75.4%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Josiah Deguara, broken up by Chapelle RussellSimilar
Q1 11:51
3RD & 15
OWN 25
+9
75.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Malick Mbodj for 9 yds Malick Mbodj fumbled, forced by Shaun Bradley, recovered by Cincy Josiah DeguaraSimilar
Q1 11:51
4TH & 6
OWN 34
-5
75.3%
CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 29Similar
Q1 11:51
4TH & 11
OWN 29
-5
75.2%
CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (Alec Pierce) to the Cincy 24Similar
Q1 11:51
4TH & 16
OWN 24
0
75.2%
James Smith punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the Temp 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
75.0%
Jager Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 32Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+5
75.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 5 yds to the Temp 37Similar
Q1 10:36
3RD & 6
OWN 37
-5
75.0%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (Branden Mack) to the Temp 32Similar
Q1 10:36
3RD & 11
OWN 32
0
75.2%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jadan BlueSimilar
Q1 10:36
4TH & 11
OWN 32
0
75.3%
Adam Barry punt for 43 yds, downed at the Cincy 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0075% → 74%
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
74.7%
Michael Warren II run for 1 yd to the Cincy 26Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
74.7%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tre Tucker for 3 yds to the Cincy 29Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
74.5%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Gerrid Doaks for 5 yds to the Cincy 34Similar
Q1 8:57
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
74.5%
CINCINNATI Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 29Similar
Q1 8:57
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
74.3%
James Smith punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the Temp 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
74.0%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jose Barbon for 8 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+1
73.5%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 1 yd to the Temp 39Similar
Q1 7:04
3RD & 1
OWN 39
0
73.6%
Anthony Russo run for no gain to the Temp 39Similar
Q1 7:04
4TH & 1
OWN 39
-5
74.0%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Temp 34Similar
Q1 7:04
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
74.4%
Adam Barry punt for 38 yds, downed at the Cincy 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 6FG
17 plays · 53 yds · 6:5774% → 73%
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
73.8%
Michael Warren II run for 9 yds to the Cincy 37Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 1
OWN 37
0
74.3%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec PierceSimilar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+5
74.0%
Desmond Ridder run for 5 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
74.3%
Michael Warren II run for 1 yd to the Cincy 43Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+15
74.3%
Tre Tucker run for 15 yds to the Temp 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
74.6%
Gerrid Doaks run for 3 yds to the Temp 39Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
74.6%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Josiah DeguaraSimilar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+9
74.4%
Desmond Ridder run for 9 yds to the Temp 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
74.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Malick Mbodj for 7 yds to the Temp 23Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+1
74.8%
Michael Warren II run for 1 yd to the Temp 22Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 2
OPP 22
0
74.4%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Rashad Medaris, broken up by Sam FranklinSimilar
Q1 5:11
4TH & 2
OPP 22
+4
74.1%
Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the Temp 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-10
74.1%
RIDDER, Desmond pass complete to DOAKS, Gerrid for 2 yards to the TEM16, out-of-bounds (RUSSELL,C.), PENALTY CIN holding (METZ, Lorenz) 10 yards to the TEM28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 28
-1
73.9%
Desmond Ridder run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 21
OPP 29
+10
73.6%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 10 yds to the Temp 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 19
0
73.6%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Josiah DeguaraSimilar
Q2 13:14
4TH & 11
OPP 19
+36
73.0%
Sam Crosa 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
73.3%
Todd Centeio run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 23Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+4
73.4%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Jadan Blue for 4 yds to the Temp 27Similar
Q2 13:08
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
73.7%
Todd Centeio pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q2 13:08
4TH & 7
OWN 27
0
74.2%
Adam Barry punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
72.8%
Desmond Ridder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
72.6%
Gerrid Doaks run for 6 yds to the Cincy 36Similar
Q2 11:47
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
73.0%
Desmond Ridder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:47
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
72.2%
James Smith punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the Temp 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
73.0%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 6 yds to the Temp 19Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+2
72.9%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 2 yds to the Temp 21Similar
Q2 10:56
3RD & 2
OWN 21
+5
73.4%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 5 yds to the Temp 26 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
72.8%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (Isaac Moore) to the Temp 21Similar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 15
OWN 21
0
73.0%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 15
OWN 21
0
73.1%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jose BarbonSimilar
Q2 10:56
3RD & 15
OWN 21
+9
73.7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 9 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q2 10:56
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
73.9%
Adam Barry punt for 29 yds, downed at the Cincy 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 10INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0073% → 74%
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
73.3%
Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the Cincy 43Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+8
73.5%
Desmond Ridder pass intercepted Benny Walls return for 8 yds to the Cincy 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:0030% → 27%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
70.5%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jadan BlueSimilar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
70.7%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden Mack, broken up by Perry YoungSimilar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+12
71.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 12 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
70.5%
Jager Gardner run for 6 yds to the Cincy 30Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 4
OPP 30
-5
69.7%
Jager Gardner run for a loss of 5 yards to the Cincy 37 Jager Gardner fumbled, forced by Jarell White, recovered by Temp Freddie JohnsonSimilar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 11
OPP 37
-3
71.2%
Anthony Russo sacked by Michael Pitts for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 40Similar
Q2 8:05
4TH & 14
OPP 40
0
73.0%
Adam Barry punt for 31 yds, downed at the Cincy 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 0:0072% → 71%
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
72.1%
Desmond Ridder run for no gain to the Cincy 9Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+4
72.0%
Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the Cincy 13Similar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 6
OWN 13
+10
71.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 10 yds to the Cincy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
72.4%
Michael Warren II run for 6 yds to the Cincy 29Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+6
72.7%
Michael Warren II run for 6 yds to the Cincy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
72.6%
Michael Warren II run for 1 yd to the Cincy 36Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
72.7%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Malick MbodjSimilar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
71.9%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Rashad Medaris, broken up by Chapelle Russell CINCINNATI Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 5:32
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
71.1%
James Smith punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the Temp 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 13DOWNS
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:0029% → 27%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
71.3%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jadan BlueSimilar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+4
71.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 4 yds to the Temp 19Similar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 6
OWN 19
0
72.2%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q2 2:02
4TH & 6
OWN 19
-13
73.1%
Team run for a loss of 13 yards to the Temp 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 14FG
4 plays · -14 yds · 1:3274% → 76%
Q2 2:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-14
74.4%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Sam Franklin for a loss of 14 yards to the Temp 20Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 20
0
73.7%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Malick MbodjSimilar
Q2 2:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 20
0
72.1%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Malick MbodjSimilar
Q2 0:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 20
+37
75.9%
Sam Crosa 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
75.2%
Jager Gardner run for 7 yds to the Temp 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 16TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:1377% → 88%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
77.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tre Tucker for 3 yds to the Cincy 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+6
78.4%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 6 yds to the Cincy 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+18
78.0%
Michael Warren II run for 18 yds to the Temp 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
78.9%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec Pierce, broken up by Amir TylerSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+14
78.8%
Gerrid Doaks run for 14 yds to the Temp 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
79.1%
Gerrid Doaks run for 4 yds to the Temp 20Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+4
79.1%
Gerrid Doaks run for 4 yds to the Temp 16Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+3
78.3%
Michael Warren II run for 3 yds to the Temp 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
87.5%
Michael Warren II run for 13 yds for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 17MISSED FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 3:3114% → 14%
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
86.2%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 5 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+8
85.7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 8 yds to the Temp 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
85.7%
RUSSO,Anthony pass incomplete to MACK,Branden, PENALTY CIN roughing passer (WRIGHT, Bryan) 15 yards to the CIN42, 1ST DOWN TEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
85.0%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 8 yds to the Cincy 34Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+3
84.0%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 3 yds to the Cincy 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
84.2%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+4
84.3%
Jager Gardner run for 4 yds to the Cincy 27Similar
Q3 10:38
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+9
84.9%
RUSSO,Anthony pass incomplete to MACK,Branden, PENALTY CIN pass interference (GARDNER, Ahmad) 9 yards to the CIN18, 1ST DOWN TEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
84.0%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jadan BlueSimilar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+3
84.2%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 3 yds to the Cincy 15Similar
Q3 10:38
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
84.9%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jadan Blue, broken up by Cam JefferiesSimilar
Q3 7:07
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+32
86.5%
Will Mobley 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0089% → 87%
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
88.7%
Gerrid Doaks run for 3 yds to the Cincy 23Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+2
88.6%
Desmond Ridder run for 2 yds to the Cincy 25Similar
Q3 7:07
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-5
88.2%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Ifeanyi Maijeh and Quincy Roche for a loss of 5 yards to the Cincy 20Similar
Q3 7:07
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
87.3%
James Smith punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the Temp 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 49 yds · 0:0013% → 14%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
87.3%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 2 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+24
87.3%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 24 yds to the Cincy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
86.1%
DAVIS,Re'Mahn rush for 4 yards to the CIN40 (VANN, Malik), PENALTY CIN offside (BROOKS, Curtis) 5 yards to the CIN39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 5
OPP 39
+12
85.8%
Anthony Russo pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 12 yds to the Cincy 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
85.0%
Jager Gardner run for 1 yd to the Cincy 26Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+3
85.2%
Jager Gardner run for 3 yds to the Cincy 18 Jager Gardner fumbled, recovered by TempSimilar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 1
OPP 18
0
85.9%
Jager Gardner run for no gain to the Cincy 18Similar
Q3 5:13
4TH & 1
OPP 18
-3
86.4%
Jager Gardner run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:1791% → 92%
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
91.2%
Michael Warren II run for no gain to the Cincy 21Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+5
91.1%
Michael Warren II run for 5 yds to the Cincy 26Similar
Q3 2:17
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+6
90.8%
RIDDER, Desmond pass incomplete to JACKSON, J., PENALTY TEM pass interference (FRANKLIN,Sam) 6 yards to the CIN32, 1ST DOWN CIN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
91.3%
Michael Warren II run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 30Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+5
91.1%
Michael Warren II run for 5 yds to the Cincy 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
93.0%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Gerrid DoaksSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
92.4%
James Smith punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the Temp 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 21TD
13 plays · 73 yds · 3:3010% → 19%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
90.0%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 2 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+14
89.9%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 14 yds to the Temp 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+19
89.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 19 yds to the CINCINNATI 38 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
88.6%
RUSSO,Anthony pass incomplete to MACK,Branden, PENALTY TEM holding (FAIR,Jovahn) 10 yards to the CIN48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 20
OPP 48
+6
89.1%
Anthony Russo run for 6 yds to the Cincy 42Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 14
OPP 42
0
89.5%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 14
OPP 42
+23
90.3%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Re'Mahn Davis for 23 yds to the Cincy 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
87.4%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-1
87.7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 20Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 11
OPP 20
+13
88.8%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 13 yds to the Cincy 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
75.6%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 7 yds for a TD (Will Mobley PAT BLOCKED)Similar
Q4 11:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
81.2%
Coby Bryant return for defensive PATSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
85.4%
Michael Warren II run for 5 yds to the Cincy 30Similar
Q4 11:19
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
85.5%
Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the Cincy 32Similar
Q4 11:19
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-7
84.9%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Quincy Roche for a loss of 7 yards to the Cincy 25Similar
Q4 11:19
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
83.5%
James Smith punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the Temp 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 23TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:1515% → 46%
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
85.4%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden Mack, broken up by Coby BryantSimilar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
85.9%
Jager Gardner run for 9 yds to the Temp 44Similar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+26
84.4%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 11 yds to the CINCINNATI 45 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, personal foul (Bryan Wright) to the Cincy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-6
81.9%
Anthony Russo run for a loss of 6 yards to the Cincy 36 Anthony Russo fumbled, recovered by Temp Anthony RussoSimilar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 16
OPP 36
+13
84.4%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 13 yds to the Cincy 23Similar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+7
82.9%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 7 yds to the Cincy 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
54.0%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Kenny Yeboah for 16 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 24MISSED FG
13 plays · 42 yds · 4:1868% → 78%
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
67.8%
Gerrid Doaks run for 3 yds to the Cincy 38Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+8
70.1%
Desmond Ridder run for 8 yds to the Cincy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
71.2%
Michael Warren II run for 5 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+2
71.9%
Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+9
70.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 9 yds to the Temp 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+17
72.3%
Michael Warren II run for 17 yds to the Temp 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
73.4%
Michael Warren II run for no gain to the Temp 21Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-2
80.9%
Michael Warren II run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 23Similar
Q4 2:51
3RD & 12
OPP 23
0
81.2%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Rashad Medaris, broken up by Amir TylerSimilar
Q4 2:41
4TH & 12
OPP 23
+40
77.9%
Sam Crosa 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 25INT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0029% → 32%
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
70.9%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 2 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
71.0%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jose BarbonSimilar
Q4 2:41
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+7
72.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 7 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q4 2:41
4TH & 1
OWN 32
+5
70.6%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 5 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
68.4%
Anthony Russo pass intercepted Darrick Forrest return for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 26END OF GAME
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:0387% → 84%
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
86.5%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 30Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 12
OWN 30
-3
85.7%
Team run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 27Similar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 15
OWN 27
-2
84.2%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:59
Anthony Russo pass complete to Kenny Yeboah for 16 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)
-28.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:19
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 30
+18.1
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+15.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com