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MEM

Memphis 45 at Houston 27

HOU
2019 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2019 · TDECU Stadium
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Win probability · HOU
modelHOU aheadMEM aheadconfidence bandkey playHOU scoreMEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:37 · Dane Roy punt for 44 yds , Calvin Austin III returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 5
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+50.5+25.30−25.3−50.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 106Home team on offense−8.2Pregame prior−11.5Score differential−3.9Garbage-time factor−3.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 4:21: Dalton Witherspoon 26 yd FG GOOD — HOU win probability +12.0 pts (now 50%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:30: Brady White run for 14 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +12.3 pts (now 66%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:19: Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 16 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +9.6 pts (now 78%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:12: Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 6 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +11.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:09: Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 28 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +7.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HOU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7MEM made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 2:16HOU 4th & 16 at MEM 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−0.9
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.6%
    74% to make
    Punt
    35.1%−2.6
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:43HOU 4th & 1 at MEM 8, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    36.2%−1.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    32.7%−4.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 4:21HOU 4th & 9 at MEM 9, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.6%
    89% to make
    Punt
    37.6%−6.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:32HOU 4th & 7 at HOU 41, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%
    average punt
  5. Q3 15:00MEM 4th & 4 at MEM 30, up 8
    Close callPunted · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.5%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:37HOU 4th & 13 at midfield, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%−1.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:09HOU 4th & 2 at HOU 28, down 22
    Close callPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q4 11:16MEM 4th & 6 at HOU 17, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.8%
    80% to make
    Punt
    96.0%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:59HOU 4th & 2 at HOU 43, down 25
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:59MEM 4th & 3 at MEM 26, up 25
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HOU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 11:36HOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:03MEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 7:12HOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:43MEM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:30MEM Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:19MEM Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:12MEM Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:09MEM Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HOUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:2428% → 31%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
27.5%
Clayton Tune run for 6 yds to the Houst 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
27.5%
Kyle Porter run for 3 yds to the Houst 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
27.5%
Kyle Porter run for 3 yds to the Houst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
27.5%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 9 yds to the Houst 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+1
27.5%
Kyle Porter run for 1 yd to the Houst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
30.5%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 53 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 2TD
10 plays · 61 yds · 3:3370% → 70%
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
30.0%
MEMPHIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Memph 34Similar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 15
OWN 34
0
30.1%
Kenneth Gainwell run for no gain to the Memph 34Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 15
OWN 34
+20
30.1%
Brady White pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 20 yds to the Houst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+27
29.8%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 27 yds to the Houst 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
29.7%
Antonio Gibson run for 3 yds to the Houst 16Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+4
29.7%
Brady White pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 4 yds to the Houst 12Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+7
29.8%
Brady White pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 7 yds to the Houst 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
29.7%
Brady White pass complete to Joey Magnifico for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 6Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
29.8%
Brady White pass complete to Kameron Wilson for 6 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 3TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:5131% → 34%
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
30.8%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Bryson Smith for 7 yds to the Houst 32Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+68
34.2%
Clayton Tune run for 68 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 4INT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
33.6%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 8 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+3
33.2%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 3 yds to the Memph 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
33.3%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 1 yd to the Memph 45Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 9
OWN 45
-13
33.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards to the Memph 32Similar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 22
OWN 32
+9
34.1%
Brady White pass intercepted Zamar Kirven return for 9 yds to the Memph 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 5FG
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:2837% → 38%
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
37.0%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-1
37.0%
Kyle Porter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 30Similar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 11
OPP 30
+15
36.6%
TUNE, Clayton sideline left pass incomplete to STEVENSON, Marq, PENALTY MEM pass interference (FRANCIS, Jacobi) 15 yards to the MEM15, 1ST DOWN HOU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
37.0%
Quavon Beckford run for a loss of 5 yards to the Memph 20Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 15
OPP 20
-1
36.9%
Clayton Tune run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 21Similar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 16
OPP 21
0
36.3%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:16
4TH & 16
OPP 21
+38
38.2%
Dalton Witherspoon 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:3362% → 65%
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
38.5%
Brady White pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 7 yds to the Memph 42Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+4
37.9%
Antonio Gibson run for 4 yds to the Memph 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
37.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 6
50
+13
37.7%
Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 13 yds to the Houst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
37.7%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+9
37.7%
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 9 yds to the Houst 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+3
39.5%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 3 yds to the Houst 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
38.8%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 2 yds to the Houst 23Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+23
34.6%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 23 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 7FG
18 plays · 61 yds · 9:2237% → 50%
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
36.7%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 4 yds to the Houst 34Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+7
37.1%
Kyle Porter run for 7 yds to the Houst 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
37.5%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 5 yds to the Houst 46Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+2
37.9%
Kyle Porter run for 2 yds to the Houst 48Similar
Q2 13:43
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+3
37.4%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 3 yds to the Memph 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
38.1%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 9 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+11
38.2%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Bryson Smith for 11 yds to the Memph 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
38.5%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 5 yds to the Memph 24Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+7
38.5%
Clayton Tune run for 7 yds to the Memph 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
38.5%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 8 yds to the Memph 9Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 2
OPP 9
0
38.5%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Christian TrahanSimilar
Q2 13:43
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+1
37.9%
Kyle Porter run for 1 yd to the Memph 8Similar
Q2 13:43
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+2
37.2%
Chandler Smith run for 2 yds to the Memph 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
38.5%
Kyle Porter run for 1 yd to the Memph 5Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
38.5%
Clayton Tune run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 8Similar
Q2 13:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
37.9%
Clayton Tune sacked by Morris Joseph for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 9Similar
Q2 4:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
50.0%
Dalton Witherspoon 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 8TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 0:5153% → 66%
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+56
47.1%
Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 56 yds to the Houst 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
42.9%
WHITE, Brady sideline left pass incomplete to GAINWELL, K, PENALTY HOU illegal use of hands (FLEMING, Aymiel) 10 yards to the HOU9, 1ST DOWN MEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
42.9%
MEMPHIS Penalty, false start (Scottie Dill) to the Houst 14Similar
Q2 4:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
0
43.2%
Brady White pass incomplete to Joey MagnificoSimilar
Q2 3:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+14
33.7%
Brady White run for 14 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:5839% → 39%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
38.6%
Kyle Porter run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 23Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+15
38.4%
TUNE, Clayton thrown away pass incomplete to PORTER, Kyle, PENALTY MEM unnecessary roughness (DORCEUS, Joseph) 15 yards to the HOU38, 1ST DOWN HOU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
39.8%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
39.5%
Kyle Porter run for 3 yds to the Houst 41Similar
Q2 2:32
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
39.7%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
Q2 2:32
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
39.1%
Dane Roy punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 10TD
15 plays · 98 yds · 2:0062% → 78%
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
38.5%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the Memph 6Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+19
38.8%
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 19 yds to the Memph 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
37.4%
WHITE, Brady thrown away pass incomplete to AUSTIN III, C, PENALTY MEM holding (DILL, Scottie) 10 yards to the MEM15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
37.8%
Brady White pass incomplete to Antonio GibsonSimilar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+20
38.1%
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 20 yds to the Memph 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
36.6%
WHITE, Brady overthrow pass incomplete to AUSTIN III, C, PENALTY HOU pass interference (SMALL, D.J.) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN MEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
50
0
34.2%
Brady White pass incomplete to Joey MagnificoSimilar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 10
50
+13
34.8%
Brady White pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 13 yds to the Houst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
34.0%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 4 yds to the Houst 33Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
32.9%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q2 2:06
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+17
34.3%
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 17 yds to the Houst 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
31.6%
Brady White pass incomplete to Calvin Austin III, broken up by Garrison VaughnSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
22.0%
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 16 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
25.4%
Kyle Porter run for 2 yds to the Houst 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0075% → 74%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
24.8%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 7 yds to the Memph 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 31
-1
23.9%
Kenneth Gainwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
24.6%
Brady White pass incomplete to Joey Magnifico, broken up by Garrison VaughnSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
25.9%
Adam Williams punt for 45 yds , Bryson Smith returns for no gain to the Houst 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
26.2%
Clayton Tune run for 2 yds to the Houst 27Similar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
26.4%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Kyle Porter for 15 yds to the Houst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
28.0%
Kyle Porter run for 1 yd to the Houst 43Similar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+10
28.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 10 yds to the Memph 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
29.1%
Terrell Brown run for 4 yds to the Memph 43Similar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 6
OPP 43
-9
29.3%
Clayton Tune sacked by Thomas Pickens for a loss of 9 yards to the Houst 48Similar
Q3 13:37
3RD & 15
OWN 48
+2
26.0%
Clayton Tune run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:37
4TH & 13
50
+44
25.4%
Dane Roy punt for 44 yds , Calvin Austin III returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 14TD
11 plays · 95 yds · 4:3076% → 90%
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+9
24.5%
Brady White pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 9 yds to the Memph 14Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 1
OWN 14
+5
24.3%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 5 yds to the Memph 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
24.1%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+18
24.3%
Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 18 yds to the Memph 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
22.8%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 10 yds to the Memph 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
22.1%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 10 yds to the Houst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
21.8%
Kylan Watkins run for 6 yds to the Houst 37Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 4
OPP 37
0
21.7%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q3 8:42
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+29
22.0%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 29 yds to the Houst 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
21.3%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 2 yds to the Houst 6Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
10.0%
Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 6 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 15FUMBLE
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
13.8%
Kyle Porter run for 2 yds to the Houst 37Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-7
14.0%
Clayton Tune sacked by Thomas Pickens for a loss of 7 yards to the Houst 31 Clayton Tune fumbled, recovered by Memph O'Bryan Goodson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 16TD
3 plays · 31 yds · 1:2290% → 97%
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
10.0%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 1 yd to the Houst 30Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+2
10.1%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 2 yds to the Houst 28Similar
Q3 2:09
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+28
2.7%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 28 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
3.8%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
Q3 2:09
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
3.8%
Terrell Brown run for 2 yds to the Houst 22Similar
Q3 2:09
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+6
3.8%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Terrell Brown for 6 yds to the Houst 28Similar
Q3 2:09
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+2
3.8%
Dane Roy punt for 42 yds , Calvin Austin III returns for 2 yds to the Memph 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 18FG
9 plays · 51 yds · 4:2598% → 99%
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-7
2.5%
Brady White sacked by Isaiah Chambers and Olivier Charles-Pierre for a loss of 7 yards to the Memph 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 25
+13
2.5%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 13 yds to the Memph 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+9
2.3%
Brady White pass complete to Kenneth Gainwell for 9 yds to the Memph 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+16
2.3%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 1 yd to the Houst 48 for a 1ST down HOUSTON Penalty, tripping (Aymiel Fleming) to the Houst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+16
2.3%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 16 yds to the Houst 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
2.2%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 5 yds to the Houst 16Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 16
-1
2.2%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 17
0
2.2%
Brady White pass incomplete to Patrick Taylor Jr., broken up by Shaun LewisSimilar
Q4 11:16
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+35
0.6%
Riley Patterson 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 1:171% → 0%
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
0.6%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Marquez StevensonSimilar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
0.5%
Terrell Brown run for no gain to the Houst 23Similar
Q4 11:16
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+12
0.5%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Chandler Smith for 12 yds to the Houst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
0.5%
Chandler Smith run for 9 yds to the Houst 44Similar
Q4 9:59
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-1
0.4%
Chandler Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 43Similar
Q4 9:59
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
0.4%
Dane Roy punt for 50 yds, downed at the Memph 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 20PUNT TD
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:26100% → 98%
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
0.4%
Connor Adair run for 4 yds to the Memph 11Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+5
0.4%
Kylan Watkins run for 5 yds to the Memph 16Similar
Q4 8:25
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+3
0.4%
Kylan Watkins run for 3 yds to the Memph 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
0.4%
Kylan Watkins run for 7 yds to the Memph 26Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 3
OWN 26
0
0.4%
Rodrigues Clark run for no gain to the Memph 26Similar
Q4 8:25
3RD & 3
OWN 26
0
0.4%
Connor Adair pass incomplete to Coye' FairmanSimilar
Q4 4:59
4TH & 3
OWN 26
0
1.9%
TEAM punt blocked by Gervarrius Owens blocked by Gervarrius Owens Cole McGowan return for no gain for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 21END OF GAME
8 plays · 51 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
1.8%
Kylan Watkins run for a loss of 5 yards to the Memph 30Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+1
1.9%
Kylan Watkins run for 1 yd to the Memph 31Similar
Q4 4:59
3RD & 14
OWN 31
+26
2.0%
Connor Adair pass complete to Tahj Washington for 26 yds to the Houst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
1.7%
Kylan Watkins run for 4 yds to the Houst 39Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+5
1.6%
Rodrigues Clark run for 5 yds to the Houst 34Similar
Q4 4:59
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+2
1.6%
Rodrigues Clark run for 2 yds to the Houst 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+18
1.6%
Kylan Watkins run for 18 yds to the Houst 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:30
Brady White run for 14 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)
-12.3
FG · Q2 4:21
Dalton Witherspoon 26 yd FG GOOD
+12
TD · Q3 4:12
Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 6 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)
-11.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com