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CONN

UConn 3 at Cincinnati 48

CIN
2019 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2019 · Nippert Stadium
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Win probability · CIN
modelCIN aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playCIN scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:43 · Luke Magliozzi punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 38 , Ryan Montgomery returns for 13 yds to the Cincy 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 50Pregame prior+42.9Home team on offense+7.1Score differential+2.6Blowout margin+0.5Garbage-time factor+1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:31: Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 18 yds for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK) — CONN win probability +0.1 pts (now 2%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:55: Michael Warren II run for 6 yds for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK) — CIN win probability +0.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 14:49: Cole Smith 45 yd FG GOOD — CIN win probability +0.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:59: Michael Warren II run for 1 yd for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK) — CIN win probability +0.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:35: Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK) — CIN win probability +0.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CIN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4CONN made the numbers' call on 12 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00CONN 4th & 11 at CONN 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:25CONN 4th & 11 at CONN 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:55CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:49CIN 4th & 7 at CONN 28, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.7%
    60% to make
    Punt
    96.0%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:43CONN 4th & 12 at CONN 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:30CIN 4th & 3 at CIN 45, up 17
    Close callPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:30CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 29, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:53CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 32, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:35CONN 4th & 6 at CIN 31, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:53CIN 4th & 7 at CONN 15, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:44CONN 4th & 22 at CONN 39, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:31CONN 4th & 1 at CIN 7, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:45CONN 4th & 1 at CIN 23, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:37CONN 4th & 14 at CIN 14, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:32CIN 4th & 7 at CIN 30, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:10CONN 4th & 2 at CIN 39, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CIN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 11:31CIN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:55CIN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:59CIN Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:35CIN Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:06CIN Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:53CIN Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
98.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 11 yds to the UConn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
98.3%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-10
98.3%
MENSAH, Kevin rush for 10 yards to the UCONN43, out-of-bounds (BRYANT, Coby), PENALTY UCONN holding (VAN DEMARK, Rya) 10 yards to the UCONN23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 23
0
98.3%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 23
+9
98.3%
Art Thompkins run for 9 yds to the UConn 32Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 32
+3
98.3%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 33 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 3 yds to the Cincy 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 2TD
4 plays · 62 yds · 1:3298% → 98%
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+19
98.1%
Tre Tucker run for 19 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
98.1%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 11 yds to the UConn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
98.1%
Desmond Ridder run for 14 yds to the UConn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
98.1%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 18 yds for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
98.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
50
+9
98.0%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jay Rose for 9 yds to the Cincy 41Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 1
OPP 41
0
98.0%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the Cincy 41Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 1
OPP 41
-5
98.0%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (Jay Rose) to the Cincy 46Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 6
OPP 46
-5
98.0%
Jack Zergiotis sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 49Similar
Q1 11:25
4TH & 11
OWN 49
0
98.0%
TEAM punt, downed at the Cincy 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 4TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:4498% → 98%
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
97.8%
Michael Warren II run for 1 yd to the Cincy 36Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
97.8%
Michael Warren II run for no gain to the Cincy 36Similar
Q1 8:39
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+24
97.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 9 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, tripping (Omar Fortt) to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
97.8%
Michael Warren II run for 5 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
97.8%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec PierceSimilar
Q1 8:39
3RD & 5
OPP 35
-5
97.8%
CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (Lorenz Metz) to the UConn 40Similar
Q1 8:39
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+34
97.8%
Desmond Ridder run for 34 yds to the UConn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.0%
Michael Warren II run for 6 yds for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
97.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Ardell Brown for 13 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
97.8%
Art Thompkins run for 2 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
97.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
97.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Ardell BrownSimilar
Q1 5:55
4TH & 8
OWN 40
+7
97.8%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 39 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 7 yds to the Cincy 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 6FG
13 plays · 44 yds · 4:4598% → 98%
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
97.8%
Desmond Ridder run for 6 yds to the Cincy 34Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+1
97.8%
Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd to the Cincy 35Similar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+6
97.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Gerrid Doaks for 6 yds to the Cincy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
97.9%
Desmond Ridder run for 4 yds to the Cincy 45Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+5
97.9%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Malick Mbodj for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 1
50
+2
97.9%
Gerrid Doaks run for 2 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
97.9%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Malick MbodjSimilar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+9
97.9%
Gerrid Doaks run for 9 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+8
97.9%
Gerrid Doaks run for 8 yds to the UConn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
97.9%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 2 yds Josiah Deguara fumbled, forced by Tyler Coyle, recovered by CincySimilar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+1
97.9%
Michael Warren II run for 1 yd to the UConn 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 28
0
97.6%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Josiah DeguaraSimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 7
OPP 28
+45
97.8%
Cole Smith 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
97.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 28Similar
Q2 14:43
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+3
97.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q2 14:43
3RD & 6
OWN 31
-6
97.8%
Jack Zergiotis sacked by Bryan Wright and Myjai Sanders for a loss of 6 yards to the UConn 25Similar
Q2 14:43
4TH & 12
OWN 25
+13
97.8%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 38 , Ryan Montgomery returns for 13 yds to the Cincy 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
98.0%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Rashad MedarisSimilar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+7
97.9%
Michael Warren II run for 7 yds to the Cincy 45Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 3
OWN 45
0
97.9%
Desmond Ridder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:30
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
97.8%
James Smith punt for 43 yds, downed at the UConn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
97.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 7 yds to the UConn 19Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 3
OPP 0
0
97.4%
ZERGIOTIS, Jack pass complete to ROSS, Cameron for 7 yards to the UCONN26 (WARD, Taj), PENALTY CIN offside off-setting, PENALTY UCONN holding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 3
OWN 19
+6
97.6%
Kevin Mensah run for 6 yds to the UConn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.6%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
97.6%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:30
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+3
97.7%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 45 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 3 yds to the Cincy 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 10TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 2:4898% → 99%
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+34
97.8%
Michael Warren II run for 19 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, personal foul (Jeremy Lucien) to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
97.9%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Rashad MedarisSimilar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+14
97.9%
Desmond Ridder run for 14 yds to the UConn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
97.9%
RIDDER, Desmond sacked for loss of 9 yards to the UCONN32 (HARRIS, Dillon), fumble by RIDDER, Desmond recovered by UCONN SWENSON, Ian at UCONN33, PENALTY UCONN tripping (HARRIS, Dillon) 11 yards to the UCONN12, 1ST DOWN CIN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
97.9%
Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the UConn 10Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+5
97.9%
Desmond Ridder run for 5 yds to the UConn 5Similar
Q2 8:47
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+4
97.8%
Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the UConn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.7%
Michael Warren II run for 1 yd for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
98.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 29Similar
Q2 5:53
2ND & 9
OWN 29
-5
98.3%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 24Similar
Q2 5:53
2ND & 14
OWN 24
+8
98.4%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jay Rose for 8 yds to the UConn 32Similar
Q2 5:53
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
98.3%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:53
4TH & 6
OWN 32
+4
98.4%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 30 , Ryan Montgomery returns for 4 yds to the Cincy 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 12TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 1:2999% → 100%
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
98.6%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 5 yds to the Cincy 35Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+53
98.6%
Gerrid Doaks run for 53 yds to the UConn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
98.7%
Gerrid Doaks run for 8 yds to the UConn 4Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+3
98.7%
Gerrid Doaks run for 3 yds to the UConn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.5%
Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13INT
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.5%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Kevin MensahSimilar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+30
99.5%
Art Thompkins run for 30 yds to the Cincy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.4%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+5
99.4%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Ardell Brown for 5 yds to the Cincy 30Similar
Q2 2:35
3RD & 5
OPP 30
-1
99.4%
Jack Zergiotis sacked by Curtis Brooks for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 31Similar
Q2 2:35
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+38
99.2%
Jack Zergiotis pass intercepted Darrick Forrest return for 38 yds to the Cincy 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 14TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 0:36100% → 100%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+23
99.7%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Malick Mbodj for 23 yds to the UConn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
99.7%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Malick Mbodj for 12 yds to the UConn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.6%
Desmond Ridder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+5
99.6%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 5 yds to the UConn 15Similar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+15
99.7%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 15 yds for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
99.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 12 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 16FG
12 plays · 56 yds · 4:02100% → 100%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
99.7%
Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the Cincy 33Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+4
99.7%
Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the Cincy 37Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+3
99.7%
Michael Warren II run for 3 yds to the Cincy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+20
99.7%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 20 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
99.7%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Malick Mbodj for 5 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
99.7%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Michael Warren IISimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+17
99.7%
Desmond Ridder run for 17 yds to the UConn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.7%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec PierceSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
99.7%
Desmond Ridder pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+3
99.7%
Michael Warren II run for 3 yds to the UConn 15Similar
Q3 10:53
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+32
99.8%
Sam Crosa 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
99.8%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (Cam DeGeorge) to the UConn 35Similar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+4
99.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+1
99.8%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Jay Rose for 1 yd to the UConn 40Similar
Q3 10:44
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+11
99.8%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Ardell Brown for 11 yds to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.8%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the Cincy 49Similar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-14
99.8%
Mike Beaudry sacked by Curtis Brooks for a loss of 14 yards to the CINCINNATI 37 CONNECTICUT Penalty, intentional grounding (Mike Beaudry) to the UConn 37Similar
Q3 10:44
3RD & 24
OWN 37
+2
99.8%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Art Thompkins for 2 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q3 10:44
4TH & 22
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 18FUMBLE
1 play · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
99.8%
Gerrid Doaks run for 7 yds to the Cincy 28 Gerrid Doaks fumbled, forced by Myles Bell, recovered by UConn Jackson MitchellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19DOWNS
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
99.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the Cincy 27Similar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+11
99.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 11 yds to the Cincy 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
99.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the Cincy 12Similar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 6
OPP 12
0
99.8%
Mike Beaudry pass incomplete to Cameron RossSimilar
Q3 7:31
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+5
99.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the Cincy 7Similar
Q3 7:31
4TH & 1
OPP 7
0
99.7%
Mike Beaudry run for no gain to the Cincy 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 20TD
11 plays · 93 yds · 5:07100% → 100%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
99.9%
Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd to the Cincy 8Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+7
99.9%
Gerrid Doaks run for 7 yds to the Cincy 15Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 2
OWN 15
+6
99.9%
Gerrid Doaks run for 6 yds to the Cincy 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+32
99.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Josh Whyle for 32 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
99.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Blue Smith for 8 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+16
99.9%
Gerrid Doaks run for 16 yds to the UConn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
99.9%
Ben Bryant sacked by Travis Jones and Kevon Jones for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 28Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 15
OPP 28
+24
99.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 24 yds to the UConn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.9%
Ryan Montgomery run for 2 yds to the UConn 2Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.9%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Leonard Taylor, broken up by Tyler CoyleSimilar
Q4 14:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Ryan Montgomery run for 2 yds for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21FG
19 plays · 52 yds · 9:080% → 0%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
99.9%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 33Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+7
99.9%
Mike Beaudry run for 7 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+17
99.9%
Mike Beaudry run for 2 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, personal foul (Justin Harris) to the Cincy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.9%
Mike Beaudry run for 3 yds to the Cincy 40Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+8
99.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 8 yds to the Cincy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
99.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the Cincy 27Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+3
99.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the Cincy 24Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+1
99.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the Cincy 23Similar
Q4 14:45
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+3
99.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the Cincy 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Mike Beaudry pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+7
99.9%
Art Thompkins run for 7 yds to the Cincy 13Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+5
99.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the Cincy 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
99.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the Cincy 5Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
99.9%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 10Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
100.0%
Art Thompkins run for 4 yds to the Cincy 6Similar
Q4 6:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-8
100.0%
Mike Beaudry sacked by Joel Dublanko for a loss of 8 yards to the Cincy 14 CONNECTICUT Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 5:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+32
100.0%
Clayton Harris 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
100.0%
Ryan Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Cincy 28Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Jayshon JacksonSimilar
Q4 5:32
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+2
100.0%
Ben Bryant run for 2 yds to the Cincy 30Similar
Q4 5:32
4TH & 7
OWN 30
+11
100.0%
James Smith punt for 43 yds , Quayvon Skanes returns for 11 yds to the UConn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
100.0%
Art Thompkins run for 4 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+11
100.0%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Cameron Ross for 11 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Mike Beaudry pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+9
100.0%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Art Thompkins for 9 yds to the Cincy 38Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 1
OPP 38
-1
100.0%
Art Thompkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 39Similar
Q4 4:10
4TH & 2
OPP 39
+1
100.0%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Art Thompkins for 1 yd to the Cincy 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
100.0%
Michael Kopaygorodsky run for 7 yds to the Cincy 45Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 3
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Michael Kopaygorodsky run for no gain to the Cincy 45Similar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+2
100.0%
Jake Sopko run for 2 yds to the Cincy 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:35
Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK)
+0.9
TD · Q2 5:59
Michael Warren II run for 1 yd for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK)
+0.8
FG · Q2 14:49
Cole Smith 45 yd FG GOOD
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com