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SMU

SMU 48 at Memphis 54

MEM
2019 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2019 · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
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Win probability · MEM
modelMEM aheadSMU aheadconfidence bandkey playMEM scoreSMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDFGFGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+6.4MEM 73.7%Riley Patterson 34 yd FG GOODAWAY 17 - HOME 23 · Q2 0:12
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:12 · Riley Patterson 34 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 100Home team on offense+7.2Pregame prior+9.0Score differential+1.0Garbage-time factor+1.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6Time remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:44: Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 50 yds for a TD MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SMU 8 (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +8.6 pts (now 73%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:46: Ke'Mon Freeman run for 2 yds for a TD (Kevin Robledo KICK) — SMU win probability +10.9 pts (now 30%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:14: Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 24 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +9.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:49: Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 30 yds for a TD (Shane Buechele pass to Rashee Rice for Two-Point Conversion) — SMU win probability +12.8 pts (now 20%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:06: Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 2 yds for a TD Timeout MEMPHIS, clock 02:06 (J. Thomas Run For Two-point Conversion) — SMU win probability +12.5 pts (now 14%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MEM made the numbers' call on 8 of 8SMU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:50SMU 4th & 10 at SMU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:38MEM 4th & 3 at SMU 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    67.7%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    66.9%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:57SMU 4th & 7 at SMU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:38MEM 4th & 6 at SMU 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    64.2%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:24MEM 4th & 16 at SMU 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%−1.3
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.1%
    54% to make
    Punt
    59.2%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:40SMU 4th & 5 at SMU 30, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:42SMU 4th & 6 at MEM 6, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    24.0%−6.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:12MEM 4th & 13 at SMU 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%−2.5
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    62.0%−4.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:09SMU 4th & 1 at MEM 11, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    17.3%−1.2
    87% to make
    Punt
    13.4%−5.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:43MEM 4th & 17 at SMU 32, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%−2.4
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.7%
    51% to make
    Punt
    71.3%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:31SMU 4th & 7 at MEM 39, down 9
    Close callPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    18.7%−1.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:29MEM 4th & 3 at SMU 48, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    83.2%−1.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:00SMU 4th & 20 at MEM 44, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−1.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    7.7%−0.7
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:11MEM 4th & 4 at MEM 8, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−<0.1
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:47SMU 4th & 7 at SMU 36, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:20MEM 4th & 10 at MEM 38, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:56SMU 4th & 10 at SMU 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.9%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 5:49SMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:34MEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:30SMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:44MEM Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:46SMU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:14MEM Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:49SMU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    14.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    14.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:36MEM Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:31MEM Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:07SMU Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    4.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.4%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 2:06SMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    5.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    5.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SMUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:5832% → 32%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-6
67.9%
Xavier Jones run for a loss of 6 yards to the SMU 14 Xavier Jones fumbled, recovered by SMU Xavier JonesSimilar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 16
OWN 14
+6
67.8%
Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 6 yds to the SMU 20Similar
Q1 14:01
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
67.8%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Kylen GransonSimilar
Q1 13:50
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
67.9%
Trevor Denbow punt for 32 yds, downed at the Memph 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 2DOWNS
10 plays · 49 yds · 3:5568% → 68%
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
67.9%
Brady White pass complete to Kenneth Gainwell for 7 yds to the SMU 45Similar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+15
67.9%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 15 yds to the SMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
68.0%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 11 yds to the SMU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
68.0%
Brady White run for 2 yds to the SMU 17Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 8
OPP 17
-5
68.0%
MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (Joey Magnifico) to the SMU 22Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 13
OPP 22
+3
68.0%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 3 yds to the SMU 19Similar
Q1 11:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
68.0%
Brady White run for no gain to the SMU 1Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
68.0%
Kenneth Gainwell run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 3Similar
Q1 9:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
67.8%
Brady White pass incomplete to Joey MagnificoSimilar
Q1 9:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
67.6%
Brady White pass incomplete to Kedarian JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 3TD
12 plays · 97 yds · 3:4433% → 38%
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
67.3%
Xavier Jones run for no gain to the SMU 3Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+8
67.3%
Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 8 yds to the SMU 11Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 2
OWN 11
+5
67.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 5 yds to the SMU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
66.9%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+4
67.0%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Xavier Jones for 4 yds to the SMU 20Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+49
66.9%
Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 49 yds to the Memph 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
65.7%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+4
65.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Xavier Jones for 4 yds to the Memph 27Similar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+7
65.8%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 7 yds to the Memph 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
65.4%
Xavier Jones run for 4 yds to the Memph 16Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
65.3%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+16
62.4%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 16 yds for a TD (Kevin Robledo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 4TD
8 plays · 50 yds · 2:0664% → 68%
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
50
-10
64.3%
Gainwell, Kenneth rush for 1 yard to the SMU49, PENALTY MEMPHIS holding (Parham, Dylan) 10 yards to the MEMPHIS40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 20
OWN 40
+13
63.3%
White, Brady pass incomplete to Coxie, Damonte, PENALTY SMU pass interference (Hayes Jr., Robert) 13 yards to the SMU47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MEMPHIS.Similar
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+19
64.2%
Brady White pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 19 yds to the SMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
64.5%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+9
64.4%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 9 yds to the SMU 19Similar
Q1 4:01
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+5
63.7%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 5 yds to the SMU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
67.7%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 14 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:3134% → 34%
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
66.1%
Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 14 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
65.4%
Buechele, Shane rush for 3 yards to the SMU42, PENALTY SMU holding (Becker, Ryan) 10 yards to the SMU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:52
1ST & 20
OWN 29
0
65.9%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Kylen GransonSimilar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 20
OWN 29
0
66.1%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to CJ SandersSimilar
Q1 2:37
3RD & 20
OWN 29
+13
66.1%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Ke'Mon Freeman for 13 yds to the SMU 42Similar
Q1 1:57
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
65.7%
Trevor Denbow punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Calvin Austin III at the Memph 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6FG
9 plays · 58 yds · 3:1366% → 67%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
66.4%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 3 yds to the Memph 33Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+9
66.5%
Brady White pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 9 yds to the Memph 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
67.1%
Kylan Watkins run for 3 yds to the Memph 45Similar
Q1 0:29
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
67.3%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q1 0:03
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+39
67.3%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 24 yds to the SMU 31 for a 1ST down SMU Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Ar'mani Johnson) to the SMU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
67.8%
Brady White pass incomplete to Antonio GibsonSimilar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+2
67.8%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 2 yds to the SMU 14Similar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+2
67.3%
Kylan Watkins run for 2 yds to the SMU 12Similar
Q2 13:38
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+30
67.3%
Riley Patterson 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 53 yds · 1:5734% → 41%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
65.7%
Xavier Jones run for 2 yds to the SMU 49Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+4
65.6%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 4 yds to the Memph 47Similar
Q2 12:38
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+6
65.6%
Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 6 yds to the Memph 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
65.3%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 9 yds to the Memph 32Similar
Q2 11:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
64.5%
James Proche pass incomplete to Rashee RiceSimilar
Q2 11:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
59.3%
Xavier Jones run for 2 yds for a TD (Kevin Robledo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 8FG
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:3664% → 63%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
63.9%
Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 16 yds to the SMU 29Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 14
OPP 37
-8
62.6%
Brady White sacked by Delontae Scott for a loss of 8 yards to the SMU 37 MEMPHIS Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the SMU 37Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 22
OPP 37
-2
62.5%
Kenneth Gainwell run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 39Similar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 24
OPP 39
+8
61.1%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 8 yds to the SMU 31Similar
Q2 9:24
4TH & 16
OPP 31
+49
62.5%
Riley Patterson 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3938% → 38%
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
62.1%
Shane Buechele run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 24Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
62.1%
Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 6 yds to the SMU 30Similar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
60.9%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Kylen GransonSimilar
Q2 7:40
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
62.1%
Trevor Denbow punt for 26 yds, downed at the Memph 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 10TD
6 plays · 56 yds · 1:4964% → 73%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
64.2%
Gibson, Antonio rush for 5 yards to the MEMPHIS49, PENALTY MEMPHIS holding (Dill, Scottie) 10 yards to the MEMPHIS34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 20
OWN 34
+1
62.1%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 1 yd to the Memph 35Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 19
OWN 35
0
61.9%
Brady White pass incomplete to Kedarian JonesSimilar
Q2 6:38
3RD & 19
OWN 35
+20
60.8%
Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 20 yds to the SMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
64.6%
MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (Dylan Parham) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:44
1ST & 15
50
+50
73.2%
Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 50 yds for a TD MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SMU 8 (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 11FG
9 plays · 67 yds · 1:4730% → 32%
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
70.1%
James Proche run for 12 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
69.3%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for no gain to the SMU 39Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+53
69.6%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 53 yds to the Memph 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
66.8%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 2 yds to the Memph 6Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
66.7%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
67.9%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q2 3:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
65.5%
Kevin Robledo 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 3:42
4TH & 8
OWN 35
-5
68.1%
SMU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SMU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 12FG
16 plays · 37 yds · 3:1669% → 74%
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
69.2%
Antonio Gibson run for 11 yds to the SMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
69.7%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 5 yds to the SMU 37Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+4
69.4%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 4 yds to the SMU 33Similar
Q2 2:12
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+1
69.0%
Brady White run for 1 yd to the SMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
70.1%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+2
70.1%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 2 yds to the SMU 30 Kenneth Gainwell fumbled, recovered by Memph Manuel Orona-LopezSimilar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+17
69.0%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 17 yds to the SMU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
70.2%
Brady White pass incomplete to Antonio GibsonSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-10
71.5%
Gainwell, Kenneth rush for 13 yards to the SMU0, PENALTY MEMPHIS holding (Eze, Obinna) 10 yards to the SMU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 20
OPP 23
0
70.3%
Brady White pass incomplete to Antonio GibsonSimilar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 20
OPP 23
+7
68.7%
Brady White pass complete to Kenneth Gainwell for 7 yds to the SMU 16Similar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 13
OPP 16
+34
73.7%
Riley Patterson 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
73.5%
Xavier Jones run for 1 yd to the SMU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 15TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 1:4619% → 30%
Q3 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
81.5%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Xavier Jones for no gain to the SMU 23 for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (JJ Russell) to the SMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+27
81.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 27 yds to the Memph 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
79.4%
Buechele, Shane pass incomplete to Proche, James, PENALTY MEMPHIS pass interference (Carter, T.J.) 15 yards to the MEMPHIS20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SMU.Similar
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
79.2%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Ryan BeckerSimilar
Q3 13:49
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
79.3%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Tyler PageSimilar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+9
80.4%
Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 9 yds to the Memph 11Similar
Q3 13:09
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+5
80.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Ryan Becker for 5 yds to the Memph 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
79.6%
Buechele, Shane pass incomplete to Proche, James, PENALTY MEMPHIS pass interference (Carter, T.J.) 4 yards to the MEMPHIS2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SMU.Similar
Q3 12:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
69.6%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 2 yds for a TD (Kevin Robledo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 16FG
11 plays · 27 yds · 3:5276% → 80%
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
76.3%
Antonio Gibson run for 8 yds to the Memph 49Similar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 2
OWN 49
-3
76.7%
Brady White sacked by Richard McBryde for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 46Similar
Q3 11:18
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+11
75.7%
Brady White pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 11 yds to the SMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
76.9%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 3 yds to the SMU 40Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
76.8%
Brady White pass incomplete to Kedarian JonesSimilar
Q3 10:24
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+15
76.3%
White, Brady pass incomplete to Austin III, Calvin, PENALTY SMU personal foul (Abercrumbia, Zach) 15 yards to the SMU25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MEMPHIS.Similar
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
77.7%
Kenneth Gainwell run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 27Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 12
OPP 27
0
77.7%
Brady White pass incomplete to Kedarian JonesSimilar
Q3 9:07
3RD & 12
OPP 27
-5
76.5%
Brady White sacked by Delano Robinson for a loss of 5 yards to the SMU 32Similar
Q3 8:43
4TH & 17
OPP 32
+50
80.3%
Riley Patterson 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 44 yds · 3:0121% → 19%
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
78.9%
Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 11 yds to the SMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
80.3%
Xavier Jones run for 4 yds to the SMU 32Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+2
80.2%
Kylen Granson run for 2 yds to the SMU 34Similar
Q3 7:14
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+7
80.7%
Shane Buechele fumble, recovered by SMU Shane Buechele, Buechele run for 7 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+17
79.8%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 17 yds to the Memph 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
78.9%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 3 yds to the Memph 39Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
79.1%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Kylen GransonSimilar
Q3 5:39
3RD & 7
OPP 39
0
79.3%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Rashee RiceSimilar
Q3 5:31
4TH & 7
OPP 39
0
81.0%
Shane Buechele punt for 37 yds, downed at the Memph 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 18TD
9 plays · 98 yds · 3:1282% → 94%
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
82.3%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 2 yds to the Memph 4Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 8
OWN 4
0
83.0%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q3 4:42
3RD & 8
OWN 4
+10
82.3%
Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 10 yds to the Memph 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+31
83.7%
Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 16 yds to the Memph 30 for a 1ST down SMU Penalty, Personal Foul (Delano Robinson) to the Memph 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+8
84.6%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 8 yds to the SMU 47Similar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
84.9%
Brady White pass incomplete to Calvin Austin IIISimilar
Q3 3:02
3RD & 2
OPP 47
-1
85.4%
Brady White sacked by Gary Wiley for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 48Similar
Q3 2:29
4TH & 3
OPP 48
+24
84.6%
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 24 yds to the SMU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
94.2%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 24 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 19PUNT
12 plays · 31 yds · 2:058% → 7%
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
92.1%
Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 8 yds to the SMU 33Similar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+7
91.7%
Xavier Jones run for 7 yds to the SMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
91.9%
Buechele, Shane pass incomplete to Sanders, CJ, PENALTY MEMPHIS pass interference (Francis, Jacobi) 15 yards to the MEMPHIS45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SMU.Similar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
91.8%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Kylen GransonSimilar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
91.8%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Rashee RiceSimilar
Q3 1:19
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+11
92.0%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 11 yds to the Memph 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
91.1%
Xavier Jones run for 4 yds to the Memph 30Similar
Q3 0:19
2ND & 6
OPP 30
-9
91.0%
Shane Buechele sacked by Jalil Clemons for a loss of 9 yards to the Memph 39Similar
Q3 0:01
3RD & 15
OPP 39
0
92.8%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q3 0:01
4TH & 15
OPP 39
-5
92.9%
SMU Penalty, False Start (Cobe Bryant) to the Memph 44Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 20
OPP 44
0
92.9%
Shane Buechele punt for 42 yds, downed at the Memph 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4494% → 94%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
94.2%
Kenneth Gainwell run for no gain to the Memph 2Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 2
0
94.3%
Brady White pass incomplete to Antonio GibsonSimilar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 10
OWN 2
+6
94.5%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 6 yds to the Memph 8Similar
Q4 13:11
4TH & 4
OWN 8
+11
94.3%
Adam Williams punt for 51 yds , James Proche returns for 11 yds to the Memph 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 21TD
2 plays · 48 yds · 0:157% → 20%
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+18
92.9%
Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 18 yds to the Memph 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
80.1%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 30 yds for a TD (Shane Buechele pass to Rashee Rice for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 22TD
3 plays · 54 yds · 0:1390% → 96%
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
89.6%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 5 yds to the SMU 49Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+49
95.7%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 49 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:316% → 5%
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
93.9%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Xavier Jones for 2 yds to the SMU 35Similar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+3
94.0%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 3 yds to the SMU 38Similar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 5
OWN 38
-2
94.7%
Shane Buechele sacked by Jalil Clemons for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 36Similar
Q4 9:47
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
95.4%
Trevor Denbow punt for 42 yds , Calvin Austin III returns for no gain to the Memph 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 24TD
1 play · 78 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+78
99.0%
Antonio Gibson run for 78 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 25TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:241% → 5%
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.9%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the SMU 30Similar
Q4 9:26
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+2
98.8%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 2 yds to the SMU 32Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
98.9%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for no gain to the SMU 32Similar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+68
95.0%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 68 yds for a TD (Shane Buechele pass to Rashee Rice for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 26PUNT
10 plays · 17 yds · 2:4096% → 97%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
96.0%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 8 yds to the Memph 29Similar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+9
96.4%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 9 yds to the Memph 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
96.6%
Kylan Watkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 36Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 12
OWN 36
-5
96.6%
MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (Damonte Coxie) to the Memph 31Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 17
OWN 31
+8
96.8%
Kylan Watkins run for 8 yds to the Memph 39Similar
Q4 5:27
3RD & 9
OWN 39
-1
97.2%
Kylan Watkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 38Similar
Q4 5:20
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
97.0%
Adam Williams punt for 46 yds, fair catch by James Proche at the SMU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 27TD
14 plays · 84 yds · 3:112% → 14%
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
97.6%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Tyler PageSimilar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
97.6%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q4 5:04
3RD & 10
OWN 16
0
97.7%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Rashee RiceSimilar
Q4 4:56
4TH & 10
OWN 16
+31
98.1%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 31 yds to the SMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
98.0%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+7
98.0%
Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 7 yds to the Memph 46Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+5
98.4%
Xavier Jones run for 5 yds to the Memph 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+32
98.3%
Shane Buechele pass complete to CJ Sanders for 32 yds to the Memph 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
98.1%
Xavier Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 10Similar
Q4 3:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-8
98.1%
Shane Buechele sacked by Bryce Huff for a loss of 8 yards to the Memph 18Similar
Q4 2:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
-5
98.5%
SMU Penalty, False Start (Cobe Bryant) to the Memph 23Similar
Q4 2:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 23
+15
98.5%
Buechele, Shane pass incomplete to Rice, Rashee, PENALTY MEMPHIS pass interference (Francis, Jacobi) 15 yards to the MEMPHIS8, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SMU.Similar
Q4 2:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
98.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Ke'Mon Freeman for 6 yds to the Memph 2Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
85.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 2 yds for a TD Timeout MEMPHIS, clock 02:06 (J. Thomas Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 28END OF 4TH QUARTER
4 plays · -17 yds · 1:2995% → 96%
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-8
95.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the Memph 44Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 18
OWN 44
-7
95.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the Memph 37Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 25
OWN 37
-2
96.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:49
Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 30 yds for a TD (Shane Buechele pass to Rashee Rice for Two-Point Conversion)
-12.8
TD · Q4 2:06
Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 2 yds for a TD Timeout MEMPHIS, clock 02:06 (J. Thomas Run For Two-point Conversion)
-12.5
TD · Q3 12:46
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 2 yds for a TD (Kevin Robledo KICK)
-10.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com