Try the model
NAVY

Navy 56 at UConn 10

CONN
2019 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2019 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadNAVY aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreNAVY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:16 · Luke Magliozzi punt for 53 yds, downed at the Navy 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 140Pregame prior−14.1Home team on offense−52.2Score differential−41.5Garbage-time factor−18.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−8.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:27: Jamale Carothers run for 13 yds for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK) — NAVY win probability +1.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 13:31: Clayton Harris 40 yd FG GOOD — CONN win probability +0.9 pts (now 10%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:31: Nelson Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK) — NAVY win probability +2.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:49: Malcolm Perry pass complete to Mychal Cooper for 58 yds for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK) — NAVY win probability +4.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:04: Malcolm Perry run for 2 yds for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK) — NAVY win probability +3.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 7 of 8NAVY made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:50CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:46NAVY 4th & 10 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:26NAVY 4th & 2 at CONN 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    89.7%−0.3
    32% to make
    Punt
    89.8%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:31CONN 4th & 6 at NAVY 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    8.6%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:57CONN 4th & 11 at NAVY 34, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.0%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    10.1%
    47% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:48NAVY 4th & 10 at NAVY 25, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:20CONN 4th & 11 at CONN 46, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:36CONN 4th & 12 at CONN 32, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:25CONN 4th & 4 at NAVY 13, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−<0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:16CONN 4th & 5 at CONN 41, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:56NAVY 4th & 6 at CONN 46, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:10CONN 4th & 2 at CONN 33, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1NAVY made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 11:34NAVY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:44CONN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:27NAVY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:31NAVY Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:49NAVY Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:04NAVY Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:13NAVY Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:51NAVY Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:16NAVY Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 1:355% → 5%
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
4.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 7 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+3
4.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UConn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
5.0%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Art ThompkinsSimilar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
5.0%
Art Thompkins run for no gain to the UConn 31Similar
Q1 12:57
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
5.1%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Cameron HairstonSimilar
Q1 12:50
4TH & 10
OWN 31
0
5.2%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 2TD
3 plays · 64 yds · 1:1195% → 95%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-7
5.2%
Myles Fells run for a loss of 7 yards to the Navy 29Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 17
OWN 29
+13
5.4%
Tazh Maloy run for 13 yds to the Navy 42Similar
Q1 11:34
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+58
5.2%
Malcolm Perry run for 58 yds for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 2:265% → 7%
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
5.4%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+4
5.6%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jay Rose for 4 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+3
5.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+53
5.9%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Hairston for 53 yds to the Navy 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
6.7%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Art Thompkins for 10 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:4994% → 93%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
6.4%
Malcolm Perry run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
50
-7
6.6%
Malcolm Perry sacked by Kevon Jones and Jackson Mitchell for a loss of 7 yards to the Navy 43Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 17
OWN 43
+7
6.9%
Tazh Maloy run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:52
3RD & 10
50
0
7.0%
Malcolm Perry pass incomplete to Mark WalkerSimilar
Q1 6:46
4TH & 10
50
0
7.2%
Owen White punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Quayvon Skanes at the UConn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5INT
4 plays · 29 yds · 1:287% → 8%
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+26
7.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 26 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
7.6%
Art Thompkins run for 3 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
7.9%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Cameron RossSimilar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
7.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass intercepted Chelen Garnes return for no gain to the UConn 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 6TD
7 plays · 49 yds · 2:2392% → 93%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
7.6%
Jamale Carothers run for 2 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+7
7.7%
Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for 7 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 1
OPP 40
-1
7.9%
CJ Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 41Similar
Q1 3:26
4TH & 2
OPP 41
+8
8.3%
Malcolm Perry run for 8 yds to the UConn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
8.2%
Myles Fells run for 6 yds to the UConn 27Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+14
8.2%
Perry, Malcolm pass incomplete, PENALTY UCONN pass interference (King III, Robert) 14 yards to the UCONN13, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NAVY.Similar
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
7.0%
Jamale Carothers run for 13 yds for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 3:398% → 10%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
7.5%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 29Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 11
OWN 29
0
7.6%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Cameron RossSimilar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+29
7.5%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jay Rose for 29 yds to the Navy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
8.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 6 yds to the Navy 36Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+10
8.6%
Art Thompkins run for 10 yds to the Navy 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
8.9%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Art ThompkinsSimilar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+4
9.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the Navy 22Similar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 6
OPP 22
0
9.1%
Jack Zergiotis run for no gain to the Navy 22Similar
Q2 13:31
4TH & 6
OPP 22
+40
10.0%
Clayton Harris 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 8TD
14 plays · 78 yds · 4:4990% → 92%
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
9.8%
Malcolm Perry pass incomplete to Keoni-Kordell MakekauSimilar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+1
9.9%
Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the Navy 23Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+10
10.5%
Malcolm Perry run for 10 yds to the Navy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
10.4%
Nelson Smith run for 5 yds to the Navy 38Similar
Q2 11:27
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
10.2%
Malcolm Perry pass incomplete to Myles FellsSimilar
Q2 11:18
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+13
10.4%
Malcolm Perry run for 13 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
10.4%
Perry, Malcolm pass incomplete to Fells, Myles, PENALTY UCONN pass interference (Paul, Keyshawn) 15 yards to the UCONN34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NAVY.Similar
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
10.3%
Jamale Carothers run for 5 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+18
10.5%
Myles Fells run for 18 yds to the UConn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
10.7%
Jamale Carothers run for 2 yds to the UConn 9Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+8
11.0%
Tazh Maloy run for 8 yds to the UConn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
8.4%
Nelson Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9INT
9 plays · 33 yds · 3:139% → 9%
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
8.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+10
8.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 10 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
9.2%
Zergiotis, Jack pass incomplete to Medlock, Jayce, PENALTY NAVY holding (Fagot, Diego) 10 yards to the NAVY44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCONN.Similar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
9.6%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 1 yd to the Navy 33 for a 1ST down lat. to Heron Maurisseau for 10 yds to the Navy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
10.2%
Jack Zergiotis sacked by Nizaire Cromartie for a loss of 5 yards to the Navy 38Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 15
OPP 38
+4
9.6%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Kevin Mensah for 4 yds to the Navy 34Similar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 11
OPP 34
0
9.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Kevin MensahSimilar
Q2 4:57
4TH & 11
OPP 34
+10
9.3%
Jack Zergiotis pass intercepted Jackson Perkins return for 10 yds to the Navy 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 10TD
1 play · 58 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
4.9%
Malcolm Perry pass complete to Mychal Cooper for 58 yds for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11FUMBLE
17 plays · 48 yds · 4:046% → 7%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
6.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 7 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+5
6.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
6.8%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the UConn 47Similar
Q2 3:14
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-5
6.6%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (Christian Haynes) to the UConn 42Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 15
OWN 42
+4
6.3%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Art Thompkins for 4 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q2 2:15
3RD & 11
OWN 46
-3
6.2%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Art Thompkins for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 43Similar
Q2 1:58
4TH & 14
OWN 43
+15
6.1%
NAVY Penalty, Personal Foul (Diego Fagot) to the Navy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-6
6.8%
Jack Zergiotis sacked by Tyler Pistorio and Nizaire Cromartie for a loss of 6 yards to the Navy 48Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 16
OPP 48
+30
6.5%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Elijah Jeffreys for 30 yds to the Navy 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
7.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the Navy 14Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+12
7.1%
Zergiotis, Jack pass incomplete to Hairston, Cameron, PENALTY NAVY pass interference (Kinley, Cameron) 12 yards to the NAVY2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCONN.Similar
Q2 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
7.3%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the Navy 2Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
6.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Art ThompkinsSimilar
Q2 0:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-15
6.5%
Jack Zergiotis sacked by Jacob Springer for a loss of 15 yards to the Navy 17 Jack Zergiotis fumbled, forced by Jacob Springer, recovered by Navy Tyler Pistorio , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:2095% → 95%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+14
4.6%
Jamale Carothers run for 14 yds to the Navy 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
5.2%
Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Navy 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:0295% → 95%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
5.0%
Malcolm Perry run for a loss of 7 yards to the Navy 18Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
5.1%
Jamale Carothers run for no gain to the Navy 18Similar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+7
5.4%
Myles Fells run for 7 yds to the Navy 25Similar
Q3 12:48
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
5.3%
Owen White punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Quayvon Skanes at the UConn 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:236% → 6%
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
5.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Cameron RossSimilar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+11
5.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 11 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
6.2%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Cameron HairstonSimilar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-1
6.1%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 46Similar
Q3 11:28
3RD & 11
OWN 46
0
5.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Matt DraytonSimilar
Q3 11:20
4TH & 11
OWN 46
0
5.8%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 15TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 0:5695% → 99%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+77
5.0%
Nelson Smith run for 77 yds to the UConn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
4.3%
Nelson Smith run for 1 yd to the UConn 2Similar
Q3 10:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
1.0%
Malcolm Perry run for 2 yds for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:041% → 1%
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
0.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 20Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+14
0.9%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Kevin Mensah for 14 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
0.9%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 32Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 12
OWN 32
0
0.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for no gain to the UConn 32Similar
Q3 7:44
3RD & 12
OWN 32
0
0.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Cameron HairstonSimilar
Q3 7:36
4TH & 12
OWN 32
+6
0.8%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 45 yds , Garrett Winn returns for 6 yds to the Navy 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 17TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 2:1099% → 99%
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+33
1.0%
Malcolm Perry pass complete to Tazh Maloy for 33 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
0.9%
Malcolm Perry run for no gain to the UConn 38Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+15
0.8%
Malcolm Perry run for 15 yds to the UConn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
0.7%
Myles Fells run for no gain to the UConn 23Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+23
0.6%
Jamale Carothers run for 23 yds for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18DOWNS
17 plays · 62 yds · 5:431% → 0%
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
0.9%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 14 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
1.0%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Art Thompkins for 12 yds to the Navy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
1.0%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-5
1.0%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (Jay Rose) to the UConn 46Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+5
0.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the Navy 49Similar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+10
0.9%
Zergiotis, Jack pass incomplete, PENALTY NAVY holding (McMorris, Michael) 10 yards to the NAVY39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCONN.Similar
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
1.0%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Cameron RossSimilar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
0.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the Navy 35Similar
Q3 2:21
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+6
1.1%
Jack Zergiotis run for 6 yds to the Navy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
1.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the Navy 24Similar
Q3 1:19
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+4
1.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the Navy 20Similar
Q3 0:45
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+1
0.5%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the Navy 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
0.5%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
0.4%
Art Thompkins run for no gain to the Navy 19Similar
Q4 14:33
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+6
0.4%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 6 yds to the Navy 13Similar
Q4 14:25
4TH & 4
OPP 13
0
0.4%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Matt DraytonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 19TD
3 plays · 87 yds · 0:09100% → 100%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+74
0.4%
Malcolm Perry pass complete to Ryan Mitchell for 74 yds to the UConn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
0.3%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Roughing Passer (Jackson Mitchell) to the UConn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
0.3%
Jamale Carothers run for 6 yds for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:200% → 0%
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 27Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
0.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 9 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
0.2%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Matt DraytonSimilar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
0.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
0.2%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the UConn 41Similar
Q4 11:16
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
0.2%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 53 yds, downed at the Navy 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 21TD
16 plays · 94 yds · 7:36100% → 100%
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
0.3%
Perry Olsen run for 6 yds to the Navy 12Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 4
OWN 12
+11
0.2%
Perry Olsen run for 11 yds to the Navy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
0.2%
Perry Olsen run for 13 yds to the Navy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
0.2%
Garrett Winn run for 4 yds to the Navy 40Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+10
0.2%
Justin Smith run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
50
+3
0.2%
James Harris II run for 3 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 7
OPP 47
-2
0.2%
Tyreek King-El run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 49Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+3
0.2%
Perry Olsen run for 3 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q4 6:56
4TH & 6
OPP 46
+13
0.2%
Justin Smith run for 13 yds to the UConn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
0.2%
Olsen, Perry rush for loss of 2 yards to the UCONN35, PENALTY UCONN holding 10 yards to the UCONN23, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NAVY.Similar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
0.1%
Isaac Ruoss run for 2 yds to the UConn 21Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+4
0.1%
Justin Smith run for 4 yds to the UConn 17Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+7
0.1%
Dalen Morris run for 7 yds to the UConn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
0.1%
Garrett Winn run for 6 yds to the UConn 4Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
0.1%
Isaac Ruoss run for 3 yds to the UConn 1Similar
Q4 3:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.1%
Perry Olsen run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:430% → 0%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
0.1%
Dante Black run for 1 yd to the UConn 26Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
0.1%
Dante Black run for 4 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q4 1:45
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+3
0.1%
Dante Black run for 3 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q4 1:10
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
0.1%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Garrett Winn at the Navy 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 23END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:40100% → 100%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
0.1%
Isaac Ruoss run for 5 yds to the Navy 28Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+2
0.1%
Isaac Ruoss run for 2 yds to the Navy 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:49
Malcolm Perry pass complete to Mychal Cooper for 58 yds for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)
-4.4
TD · Q3 10:04
Malcolm Perry run for 2 yds for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)
-3.3
TD · Q2 8:31
Nelson Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)
-2.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com