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UCF

UCF 63 at Temple 21

TEM
2019 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2019 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadUCF aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreUCF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:09 · Andrew Osteen punt for 52 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 173Home team on offense−55.5Pregame prior−5.1Score differential−36.0Garbage-time factor−15.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−7.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−10.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:47: Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 75 yds for a TD, (Will Mobley KICK) — TEM win probability +5.5 pts (now 22%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:33: Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tre Nixon for 28 yds for a TD, (Dylan Barnas KICK) — UCF win probability +4.7 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:20: Jager Gardner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Will Mobley KICK) — TEM win probability +9.1 pts (now 24%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:41: Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marlon Williams for 73 yds for a TD, (Dylan Barnas KICK) — UCF win probability +8.7 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:29: Bentavious Thompson run for 34 yds for a TD, (Dylan Barnas KICK) — UCF win probability +7.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 10 of 11UCF made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 9:20TEM 4th & 17 at TEM 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:41UCF 4th & 8 at UCF 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:39TEM 4th & 3 at TEM 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00TEM 4th & 7 at UCF 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:59TEM 4th & 1 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    20.5%−1.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:54UCF 4th & 16 at UCF 44, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%−2.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:33UCF 4th & 5 at TEM 28, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    73.7%
    60% to make
    Punt
    69.9%−3.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:33TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00UCF 4th & 15 at UCF 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%−2.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:40TEM 4th & 13 at TEM 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%−2.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:35TEM 4th & 7 at TEM 7, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:56UCF 4th & 9 at TEM 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:56TEM 4th & 21 at TEM 6, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−2.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:29TEM 4th & 3 at TEM 32, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:04TEM 4th & 14 at TEM 21, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:09UCF 4th & 6 at UCF 48, up 42
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:20TEM 4th & 4 at TEM 26, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UCF made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 11:01TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:24UCF Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:59UCF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:07UCF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:47TEM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:33UCF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:20TEM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 10:41UCF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 6:29UCF Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 4:38UCF Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 3:25UCF Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 9:11UCF Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 3:5918% → 21%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
17.8%
Jager Gardner run for no gain to the Temp 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+25
17.8%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 25 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
17.8%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 1 yd to the UCF 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+8
17.8%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 8 yds to the UCF 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+2
17.8%
Jager Gardner run for 2 yds to the UCF 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
17.8%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 5 yds to the UCF 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 29
-3
17.8%
Re'Mahn Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 32Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 8
OPP 32
+32
21.0%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Randle Jones for 32 yds for a TD, (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 2TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 1:3179% → 80%
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
20.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marlon Williams for 4 yds to the UCF 28Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+7
20.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tre Nixon for 7 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
20.7%
Otis Anderson run for 2 yds to the UCF 37Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+36
20.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 36 yds to the Temp 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
20.3%
Otis Anderson run for 7 yds to the Temp 20Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 3
OPP 20
0
20.3%
Otis Anderson run for no gain to the Temp 20Similar
Q1 9:24
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+20
20.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jake Hescock for 20 yds for a TD, (Dylan Barnas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
20.7%
Jager Gardner run for no gain to the Temp 6Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+14
20.6%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 14 yds to the Temp 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
20.7%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jadan Blue, broken up by Aaron RobinsonSimilar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+14
20.7%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 14 yds to the Temp 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
20.8%
Anthony Russo sacked by Brendon Hayes for a loss of 5 yards to the Temp 29Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 15
OWN 29
+6
20.7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jager Gardner for 6 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 9
OWN 35
-8
20.6%
Anthony Russo sacked by Kalia Davis for a loss of 8 yards to the Temp 27Similar
Q1 9:20
4TH & 17
OWN 27
0
20.4%
Adam Barry punt for 36 yds, downed at the UCF 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
22.2%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 3 yds to the UCF 40Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
22.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Adrian Killins Jr.Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 7
OWN 40
-5
22.3%
UCF Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UCF 35Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+4
22.6%
Otis Anderson run for 4 yds to the UCF 39Similar
Q1 5:41
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
22.8%
Andrew Osteen punt for 57 yds, downed at the Temp 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
23.0%
Jager Gardner run for 3 yds to the Temp 7Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+4
23.0%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 4 yds to the Temp 11Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 3
OWN 11
0
22.7%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q1 4:39
4TH & 3
OWN 11
0
22.5%
Adam Barry punt for 37 yds, downed at the Temp 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 6TD
1 play · 48 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
19.9%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 48 yds for a TD, (Dylan Barnas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7PUNT
14 plays · 36 yds · 2:5321% → 21%
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
20.8%
Jadan Blue run for 5 yds to the Temp 20Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+6
20.9%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Jeremy Jennings for 6 yds to the Temp 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
21.0%
Todd Centeio run for 5 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 5
OWN 31
-5
21.1%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (Adam Klein) to the Temp 26Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
20.9%
Todd Centeio run for no gain to the Temp 26Similar
Q1 2:53
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+10
20.5%
CENTEIO,Todd pass incomplete to MACK,Branden, PENALTY UCF pass interference (GOWAN, Tay) 10 yards to the TEM36, 1ST DOWN TEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
21.1%
Jadan Blue run for no gain to the Temp 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
21.5%
Todd Centeio pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+12
21.1%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Branden Mack for 12 yds to the Temp 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
22.3%
Todd Centeio run for no gain to the Temp 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+3
22.1%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 3 yds to the UCF 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 49
0
22.1%
Todd Centeio pass incomplete to Kenny YeboahSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
21.3%
Adam Barry punt for 48 yds, downed at the UCF 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 8TD
6 plays · 99 yds · 1:5078% → 84%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+7
21.8%
Otis Anderson run for 7 yds to the UCF 8Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 3
OWN 8
+54
21.9%
Otis Anderson run for 54 yds to the Temp 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+25
20.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 25 yds to the Temp 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
20.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Gabriel DavisSimilar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+7
20.3%
Bentavious Thompson run for 7 yds to the Temp 6Similar
Q2 11:07
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+6
16.1%
Darriel Mack Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD, (Dylan Barnas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
17.9%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+9
17.7%
Anthony Russo run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:59
3RD & 1
50
0
18.0%
Jager Gardner run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:59
4TH & 1
50
0
17.9%
Jager Gardner run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
50
-1
15.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Adrian Killins Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 49Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 11
OWN 49
0
15.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Gabriel DavisSimilar
Q2 9:54
3RD & 11
OWN 49
-5
15.7%
UCF Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UCF 44Similar
Q2 9:54
3RD & 16
OWN 44
0
15.9%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for no gain to the UCF 44Similar
Q2 9:54
4TH & 16
OWN 44
0
16.4%
Andrew Osteen punt for 43 yds, downed at the Temp 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 11TD
5 plays · 87 yds · 2:0017% → 22%
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
16.7%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 2 yds to the Temp 15Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 8
OWN 15
0
16.7%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q2 8:47
3RD & 8
OWN 15
+9
16.4%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 9 yds to the Temp 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
16.8%
Tayvon Ruley run for 1 yd to the Temp 25Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+75
22.3%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 75 yds for a TD, (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 12TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:1478% → 84%
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
21.7%
Otis Anderson run for 11 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
21.1%
UCF Penalty, false start (Jordan Johnson) to the UCF 31Similar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 15
OWN 31
0
21.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Gabriel Davis, broken up by Ty MasonSimilar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+2
22.1%
Otis Anderson run for 2 yds to the UCF 33Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 13
OWN 33
+22
22.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 22 yds to the Temp 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
20.4%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 1 yd to the Temp 44Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
20.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Gabriel DavisSimilar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+11
20.7%
Dillon Gabriel run for 11 yds to the Temp 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
20.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Gabriel DavisSimilar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+1
20.3%
Otis Anderson run for 1 yd to the Temp 32Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+4
20.7%
Otis Anderson run for 4 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q2 3:33
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+28
16.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tre Nixon for 28 yds for a TD, (Dylan Barnas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
16.4%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 7 yds to the Temp 42Similar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 3
OWN 42
-9
17.2%
Re'Mahn Davis run for a loss of 9 yards to the Temp 33Similar
Q2 3:33
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+6
15.8%
Anthony Russo run for 6 yds to the Temp 39Similar
Q2 3:33
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
16.2%
Adam Barry punt for 43 yds , Otis Anderson returns for no gain to the UCF 18 Otis Anderson fumbled, recovered by Temp Isaiah Graham-MobleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14TD
9 plays · 18 yds · 1:3718% → 24%
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
17.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Kenny Yeboah for 9 yds to the UCF 9Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 1
OPP 9
0
17.5%
Jager Gardner run for no gain to the UCF 9Similar
Q2 1:57
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+4
16.9%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 4 yds to the UCF 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
17.0%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
17.1%
Jager Gardner run for 4 yds to the UCF 1Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
24.3%
Jager Gardner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
20.8%
Otis Anderson run for 7 yds to the UCF 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0078% → 76%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-6
22.1%
GABRIEL, Dillon pass complete to WILLIAMS, Mar. for 7 yards to the UCF20 (MONROE,Ayron), PENALTY UCF holding (NIXON, Tre) 6 yards to the UCF7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 16
OWN 7
+4
22.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marlon Williams for 4 yds to the UCF 11Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 11
0
22.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Tre NixonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 11
-3
22.9%
Dillon Gabriel run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 8Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 8
0
23.8%
Andrew Osteen punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0026% → 23%
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
50
+1
26.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Re'Mahn Davis for 1 yd to the UCF 49Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+2
25.9%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 2 yds to the UCF 47Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 7
OPP 47
-6
25.4%
Anthony Russo sacked by Tre'Mon Morris-Brash for a loss of 6 yards to the Temp 47Similar
Q3 13:40
4TH & 13
OWN 47
0
22.7%
Adam Barry punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Otis Anderson at the UCF 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 18TD
3 plays · 85 yds · 0:5377% → 87%
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
22.8%
Bentavious Thompson run for 12 yds to the UCF 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
22.1%
Bentavious Thompson run for no gain to the UCF 27Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+73
13.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marlon Williams for 73 yds for a TD, (Dylan Barnas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-3
14.1%
Re'Mahn Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 1Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 13
OWN 1
+6
14.0%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 6 yds to the Temp 7Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 7
OWN 7
0
13.7%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Randle JonesSimilar
Q3 10:35
4TH & 7
OWN 7
0
13.7%
Adam Barry punt for 41 yds, downed at the Temp 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-4
11.2%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Arnold Ebiketie for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 48Similar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 14
OWN 48
0
11.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Gabriel DavisSimilar
Q3 8:56
3RD & 14
OWN 48
+5
11.7%
Otis Anderson run for 5 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q3 8:56
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
12.4%
Andrew Osteen punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the Temp 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-11
13.0%
Anthony Russo sacked by Anthony Montalvo for a loss of 11 yards to the Temp 6Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 21
OWN 6
0
12.9%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jadan BlueSimilar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 21
OWN 6
0
12.6%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jose BarbonSimilar
Q3 7:56
4TH & 21
OWN 6
0
12.6%
Adam Barry punt for 34 yds , Otis Anderson returns for no gain to the Temp 36 Otis Anderson fumbled, recovered by UCF Otis AndersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 22TD
2 plays · 36 yds · 0:2690% → 97%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
10.2%
Bentavious Thompson run for 2 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+34
3.1%
Bentavious Thompson run for 34 yds for a TD, (Dylan Barnas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
6.2%
Jadan Blue run for 3 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
6.4%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Branden Mack for 4 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q3 6:29
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
6.7%
Todd Centeio pass incomplete to Jadan BlueSimilar
Q3 6:29
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
6.4%
Adam Barry pass complete to Jonny Forrest for no gain to the Temp 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 24TD
4 plays · 47 yds · 1:5197% → 98%
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-15
3.1%
UCF Penalty, personal foul (Jon Powell) to the Temp 47Similar
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
3.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Marlon WilliamsSimilar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+10
3.2%
Otis Anderson run for 10 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
1.7%
Otis Anderson 37 Yd Run (Dylan Barnas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 25INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
3.0%
Anthony Russo pass intercepted Aaron Robinson return for no gain to the Temp 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 26TD
4 plays · 34 yds · 1:0098% → 99%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
1.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Gabriel DavisSimilar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+15
1.7%
Bentavious Thompson run for 15 yds to the Temp 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
1.7%
Bentavious Thompson run for 8 yds to the Temp 11Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+11
0.7%
Bentavious Thompson 11 Yd Run (Dylan Barnas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 27INT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
0.9%
Jager Gardner run for 3 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
0.9%
Jager Gardner run for no gain to the Temp 33Similar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+10
0.9%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jose Barbon for 10 yds to the Temp 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
1.0%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 3 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 7
OWN 46
-5
0.9%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Temp 41Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 12
OWN 41
0
0.9%
Anthony Russo pass intercepted Aaron Robinson return for no gain to the UCF 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 28TD
14 plays · 70 yds · 6:1899% → 100%
Q3 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
0.6%
Otis Anderson run for 4 yds to the UCF 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+37
0.6%
Otis Anderson run for 37 yds to the Temp 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
0.5%
Otis Anderson run for 13 yds to the Temp 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
0.5%
Darriel Mack Jr. run for 4 yds to the Temp 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 12
-2
0.5%
Bentavious Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 14Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+7
0.5%
GABRIEL, Dillon pass incomplete to DAVIS, Gabriel, PENALTY TEM personal foul (LEVINE,Dana) 7 yards to the TEM7, 1ST DOWN UCF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
0.5%
Bentavious Thompson run for no gain to the Temp 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
0.5%
Darriel Mack Jr. run for no gain to the Temp 7Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
0.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Tre NixonSimilar
Q4 10:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
0.3%
BARNAS, Dylan field goal attempt from 24 GOOD, clock 10:40, PENALTY TEM roughing the kicker (HAND,Harrison) 4 yards to the TEM3, 1ST DOWN UCF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
0.3%
Darriel Mack Jr. run for 2 yds to the Temp 1Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
0.3%
Darriel Mack Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 4Similar
Q4 9:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
0.2%
Jonathon MacCollister 4 Yd pass from Darriel Mack Jr. (Dylan Barnas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 29PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.2%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jadan BlueSimilar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
0.2%
TEMPLE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Temp 20Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
0.2%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jadan BlueSimilar
Q4 9:04
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+1
0.2%
Tayvon Ruley run for 1 yd to the Temp 21Similar
Q4 9:04
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
0.2%
Adam Barry punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Marlon Williams at the UCF 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 30PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
0.2%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 7 yds to the UCF 41Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+3
0.2%
Trilion Coles run for 3 yds to the UCF 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
0.2%
Andrew Osteen punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 9
OWN 45
-7
0.2%
Darriel Mack Jr. sacked by Layton Jordan for a loss of 7 yards to the UCF 39 Darriel Mack Jr. fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 8:09
3RD & 15
OWN 39
+9
0.2%
Darriel Mack Jr. run for 9 yds to the UCF 48Similar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
0.2%
Trilion Coles run for 1 yd to the UCF 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 31PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
0.1%
Tayvon Ruley run for 1 yd to the Temp 21Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+4
0.1%
Tayvon Ruley run for 4 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+1
0.1%
Trad Beatty run for 1 yd to the Temp 26Similar
Q4 5:20
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
0.1%
Adam Barry punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 32END OF GAME
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
0.1%
Trilion Coles run for 6 yds to the UCF 34Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+2
0.1%
Trilion Coles run for 2 yds to the UCF 36Similar
Q4 3:13
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+8
0.1%
Trilion Coles run for 8 yds to the UCF 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
0.1%
Trilion Coles run for 1 yd to the UCF 45Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+4
0.1%
Trilion Coles run for 4 yds to the UCF 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:20
Jager Gardner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Will Mobley KICK)
+9.1
TD · Q3 10:41
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marlon Williams for 73 yds for a TD, (Dylan Barnas KICK)
-8.7
TD · Q3 6:29
Bentavious Thompson run for 34 yds for a TD, (Dylan Barnas KICK)
-7.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com