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TEM

Temple 21 at SMU 45

SMU
2019 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2019 · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
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Win probability · SMU
modelSMU aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playSMU scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:40 · Anthony Russo pass complete to Travon Williams for 5 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 185Pregame prior+4.9Home team on offense+23.3Score differential+9.6Garbage-time factor+6.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:15: Reggie Roberson Jr. 75 Yd pass from Shane Buechele (Kevin Robledo Kick) — SMU win probability +8.7 pts (now 87%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:38: Branden Mack 25 Yd pass from Anthony Russo (Will Mobley Kick) — TEM win probability +9.3 pts (now 21%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:22: Kylen Granson 10 Yd pass from Shane Buechele (Kevin Robledo Kick) — SMU win probability +9.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:09: Anthony Russo 1 Yd Run (Will Mobley Kick) — TEM win probability +13.9 pts (now 19%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:54: Reggie Roberson Jr. 60 Yd pass from Shane Buechele (Kevin Robledo Kick) — SMU win probability +10.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SMU made the numbers' call on 10 of 11TEM made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 12:35SMU 4th & 1 at TEM 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    74.1%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    74.1%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:32TEM 4th & 7 at TEM 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:46SMU 4th & 5 at TEM 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.3%
    92% to make
    Punt
    74.3%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:48TEM 4th & 23 at TEM 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−1.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:40SMU 4th & 1 at TEM 1, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    74.5%−1.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    70.3%−5.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:57TEM 4th & 11 at TEM 15, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:04SMU 4th & 22 at SMU 38, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%−2.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:19TEM 4th & 4 at TEM 25, down 10
    Close callPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:19SMU 4th & 12 at SMU 26, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%−1.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:37TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:00SMU 4th & 10 at TEM 46, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    77.6%−0.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.1%
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:05TEM 4th & 7 at TEM 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:29SMU 4th & 6 at TEM 28, up 10
    Close callWent for it · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.7%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    80.5%
    60% to make
    Punt
    76.8%−3.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:56TEM 4th & 2 at TEM 33, down 17
    Close callPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:09SMU 4th & 9 at SMU 28, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:10TEM 4th & 2 at TEM 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.3%−0.7
    average punt
  17. Q3 1:48SMU 4th & 4 at TEM 20, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    94.2%−0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    92.1%−2.3
    average punt
  18. Q3 0:59SMU 4th & 8 at TEM 9, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.3%
    89% to make
    Punt
    91.0%−3.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 14:20TEM 4th & 1 at SMU 49, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.0%−1.6
    average punt
  20. Q4 10:40TEM 4th & 2 at TEM 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.1%−0.6
    average punt
  21. Q4 9:41TEM 4th & 5 at SMU 46, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%−0.9
    23% to make
    Punt
    3.6%−0.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 5:50TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 34, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  23. Q4 4:00SMU 4th & 1 at SMU 39, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.2%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6TEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:21SMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:15SMU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:14TEM Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:20SMU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:38TEM Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:22SMU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:09TEM Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:54SMU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:21SMU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SMUDrive 1TD
12 plays · 77 yds · 3:2976% → 77%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+19
76.1%
Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 4 yds to the SMU 27 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the SMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
76.1%
Xavier Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 41Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+7
76.0%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Myron Gailliard for 7 yds to the SMU 48Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+7
76.0%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 7 yds to the Temp 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
76.0%
Xavier Jones run for 6 yds to the Temp 39Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+1
76.0%
Xavier Jones run for 1 yd to the Temp 38Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+2
75.9%
Xavier Jones run for 2 yds to the Temp 36Similar
Q1 12:35
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+3
75.8%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 3 yds to the Temp 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
75.9%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for no gain to the Temp 33Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
75.8%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+33
76.5%
Reggie Roberson Jr. 33 Yd pass from Shane Buechele (Kevin Robledo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:3624% → 24%
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
76.2%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
76.3%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 3 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
76.3%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q1 10:32
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
76.5%
Adam Barry punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 3FG
9 plays · 68 yds · 2:3277% → 77%
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
76.5%
Xavier Jones run for 2 yds to the SMU 29Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+54
76.5%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 54 yds to the Temp 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
77.0%
Xavier Jones run for 6 yds to the Temp 11Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+3
77.0%
Xavier Jones run for 3 yds to the Temp 8Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+5
76.8%
Xavier Jones run for 5 yds to the Temp 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
77.0%
Xavier Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 5Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
77.1%
Shane Buechele run for no gain to the Temp 5Similar
Q1 7:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
77.0%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q1 7:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
76.8%
Kevin Robledo 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 10 yds · 3:4224% → 23%
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.5%
Re'Mahn Davis run for no gain to the Temp 25Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
76.6%
SMU Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Temp 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
76.4%
Branden Mack run for 7 yds to the Temp 42Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+6
76.1%
Isaiah Wright run for 6 yds to the Temp 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
76.1%
Re'Mahn Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 47Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 11
OWN 47
0
76.3%
Re'Mahn Davis run for no gain to the Temp 47Similar
Q1 4:48
3RD & 11
OWN 47
-10
76.6%
TEMPLE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Temp 37Similar
Q1 4:10
3RD & 21
OWN 37
-2
76.9%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Re'Mahn Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 35Similar
Q1 3:48
4TH & 23
OWN 35
+1
77.2%
Adam Barry punt for 40 yds , James Proche returns for 1 yd to the SMU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 5DOWNS
15 plays · 72 yds · 4:0478% → 78%
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
77.5%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+7
77.4%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Myron Gailliard for 7 yds to the SMU 33Similar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+9
77.3%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 9 yds to the SMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
78.0%
Xavier Jones run for 3 yds to the SMU 45Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+15
77.8%
Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 15 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
78.0%
TJ McDaniel run for 5 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+2
78.1%
TJ McDaniel run for 2 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 3
OPP 31
-8
77.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 2 yds to the Temp 31 SMU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Temp 41Similar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+15
77.5%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 15 yds to the Temp 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
78.2%
Shane Buechele run for no gain to the Temp 26Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+20
78.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Ryan Becker for 20 yds to the Temp 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
78.4%
Xavier Jones run for 5 yds to the Temp 1Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
78.4%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Ryan BeckerSimilar
Q2 14:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
77.9%
Xavier Jones run for no gain to the Temp 1Similar
Q2 14:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
77.5%
Xavier Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:2322% → 21%
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+14
77.7%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Branden Mack for 14 yds to the Temp 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
77.8%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Kenny Yeboah for 4 yds to the Temp 20Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 6
OWN 20
0
77.9%
Todd Centeio run for no gain to the Temp 20Similar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 6
OWN 20
0
78.3%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:11
4TH & 6
OWN 20
-5
78.7%
TEMPLE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Temp 15Similar
Q2 12:57
4TH & 11
OWN 15
+19
78.8%
Adam Barry punt for 54 yds , James Proche returns for 19 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:2679% → 77%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
50
-2
78.5%
Xavier Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 48Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 12
OWN 38
-10
78.0%
Shane Buechele sacked by TEAM for a loss of 10 yards to the SMU 38 SMU Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the SMU 38Similar
Q2 12:15
3RD & 22
OWN 38
0
77.4%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Ryan BeckerSimilar
Q2 12:04
4TH & 22
OWN 38
0
76.7%
Trevor Denbow punt for 42 yds, downed at the Temp 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:3922% → 21%
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
77.9%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 5 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
77.6%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q2 11:27
3RD & 4
OWN 25
0
78.2%
Anthony Russo pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:19
4TH & 4
OWN 25
0
78.7%
Adam Barry punt for 47 yds, downed at the SMU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 9FUMBLE
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:5378% → 77%
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
78.1%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
78.0%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Ke'Mon FreemanSimilar
Q2 10:48
3RD & 10
OWN 28
-2
77.4%
Shane Buechele sacked by Dana Levine for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 26Similar
Q2 10:19
4TH & 12
OWN 26
-9
76.9%
Trevor Denbow punt for 39 yds , Isaiah Wright returns for a loss of 9 yards to the Temp 26 Isaiah Wright fumbled, recovered by TempSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2322% → 21%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
78.0%
Jager Gardner run for 5 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+2
77.8%
Jager Gardner run for 2 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 3
OWN 33
-3
78.2%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Kenny Yeboah for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 30Similar
Q2 8:37
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
79.4%
Adam Barry punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 86 yds · 1:1578% → 87%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
78.0%
Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 6 yds to the SMU 20Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+3
78.6%
Xavier Jones run for 3 yds to the SMU 23Similar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+2
78.3%
Xavier Jones run for 2 yds to the SMU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
87.0%
Reggie Roberson Jr. 75 Yd pass from Shane Buechele (Kevin Robledo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 1:3915% → 24%
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
85.4%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 9 yds to the Temp 44Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+10
84.6%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Re'Mahn Davis for 10 yds to the SMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
84.7%
Re'Mahn Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 47Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 11
OPP 47
0
85.5%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jadan BlueSimilar
Q2 5:31
3RD & 11
OPP 47
+26
85.9%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 26 yds to the SMU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+20
84.4%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Kenny Yeboah for 20 yds to the SMU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.7%
Re'Mahn Davis 1 Yd Run (Will Mobley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 1:5978% → 79%
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
78.4%
TJ McDaniel run for 4 yds to the SMU 29Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
78.5%
Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 4 yds to the SMU 33Similar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
78.4%
TJ McDaniel run for 3 yds to the SMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
79.1%
Xavier Jones run for 3 yds to the SMU 39Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+15
80.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 15 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
80.7%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr.Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
80.5%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Tyler PageSimilar
Q2 3:07
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
79.6%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:00
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
78.6%
Trevor Denbow punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4921% → 19%
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
79.4%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jadan BlueSimilar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
79.6%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 3 yds to the Temp 26Similar
Q2 2:16
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
80.2%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Re'Mahn DavisSimilar
Q2 2:05
4TH & 7
OWN 26
+8
80.7%
Adam Barry punt for 50 yds , James Proche returns for 8 yds to the SMU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 15TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 1:3280% → 88%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
79.7%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 6 yds to the SMU 38Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+3
80.6%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 3 yds to the SMU 41Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
80.5%
Xavier Jones run for 2 yds to the SMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+25
81.3%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 25 yds to the Temp 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
81.9%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+4
81.9%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Myron Gailliard for 4 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 6
OPP 28
0
81.0%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+18
82.1%
Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 18 yds to the Temp 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
88.4%
James Proche 10 Yd pass from Shane Buechele (Kevin Robledo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-2
87.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 17TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 1:5212% → 21%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
87.9%
Jager Gardner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 40Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 12
OWN 40
0
88.6%
Anthony Russo pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 12
OWN 40
+24
88.9%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jose Barbon for 24 yds to the SMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
87.4%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 7 yds to the SMU 29Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+1
86.4%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 1 yd to the SMU 28Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+3
87.9%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 3 yds to the SMU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
78.6%
Branden Mack 25 Yd pass from Anthony Russo (Will Mobley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 18TD
18 plays · 82 yds · 3:5882% → 93%
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
82.1%
Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 6 yds to the SMU 24Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+6
82.1%
Xavier Jones run for 6 yds to the SMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
82.1%
Xavier Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 29Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+12
82.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 12 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
83.5%
SMU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SMU 31Similar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 20
OWN 31
+16
82.4%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 16 yds to the SMU 47Similar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+12
83.7%
Xavier Jones run for 12 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
83.9%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Ar'mani JohnsonSimilar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+11
83.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Myron Gailliard for 11 yds to the Temp 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
83.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Myron Gailliard for 7 yds to the Temp 23Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+5
83.8%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 5 yds to the Temp 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
83.8%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr.Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-2
83.9%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Ke'Mon Freeman for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 20Similar
Q3 8:37
3RD & 12
OPP 20
+10
83.1%
TEMPLE Penalty, Personal Foul (10 Yards) to the Temp 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
84.0%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Myron GailliardSimilar
Q3 8:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
93.4%
Kylen Granson 10 Yd pass from Shane Buechele (Kevin Robledo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2110% → 9%
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.2%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jadan BlueSimilar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
90.6%
Jager Gardner run for 7 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q3 7:14
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
90.8%
Jager Gardner run for 1 yd to the Temp 33Similar
Q3 6:56
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
91.0%
Adam Barry punt for 40 yds , CJ Sanders returns for no gain to the SMU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:3693% → 93%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
93.3%
CJ Sanders run for 1 yd to the SMU 28Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
93.3%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Tyler PageSimilar
Q3 6:19
3RD & 9
OWN 28
0
93.0%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:09
4TH & 9
OWN 28
0
92.5%
Trevor Denbow punt for 72 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:368% → 7%
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
92.0%
Todd Centeio run for 3 yds to the Temp 23Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-2
92.1%
Re'Mahn Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 21Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+15
92.9%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 15 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
92.3%
Todd Centeio sacked by Demerick Gary for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 35Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 11
OWN 35
-8
93.0%
Todd Centeio sacked by Patrick Nelson for a loss of 8 yards to the Temp 27Similar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 19
OWN 27
+17
93.3%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 17 yds to the Temp 44Similar
Q3 3:10
4TH & 2
OWN 44
-8
92.7%
Todd Centeio sacked by Patrick Nelson for a loss of 8 yards to the Temp 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 22INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:1295% → 94%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
94.6%
Xavier Jones run for 10 yds to the Temp 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
94.6%
Xavier Jones run for 4 yds to the Temp 22Similar
Q3 2:18
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+2
94.9%
Xavier Jones run for 2 yds to the Temp 20Similar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 4
OPP 20
0
94.9%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr.Similar
Q3 1:48
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+1
94.3%
Shane Buechele pass intercepted Harrison Hand return for 1 yd to the Temp 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 23FUMBLE
1 play · -1 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
93.7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for a loss of 1 yard Isaiah Wright fumbled, recovered by SMU Rodney Clemons , return for 1 yd to the Temp 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 24MISSED FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:3195% → 95%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
95.1%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 2 yds to the Temp 9Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
95.1%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr.Similar
Q3 1:05
3RD & 8
OPP 9
0
95.0%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Kylen GransonSimilar
Q3 0:59
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+26
94.5%
Kevin Robledo 26 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 25TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 2:416% → 19%
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
94.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Re'Mahn Davis for 5 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+17
93.7%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 2 yds to the Temp 27 for a 1ST down SMU Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Temp 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
93.8%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 6 yds to the Temp 48Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 4
OWN 48
0
93.8%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jose BarbonSimilar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+3
94.2%
Jager Gardner run for 3 yds to the SMU 49Similar
Q4 14:20
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+1
94.2%
Jager Gardner run for 1 yd to the SMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
94.5%
Anthony Russo run for no gain to the SMU 48Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+11
94.6%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 11 yds to the SMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+36
94.6%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 36 yds to the SMU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
80.8%
Anthony Russo 1 Yd Run (Will Mobley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 26TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:5687% → 97%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
86.6%
Shane Buechele run for 4 yds to the SMU 29Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
86.8%
Xavier Jones run for 5 yds to the SMU 34Similar
Q4 12:10
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
86.6%
Xavier Jones run for 6 yds to the SMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
96.8%
Reggie Roberson Jr. 60 Yd pass from Shane Buechele (Kevin Robledo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 27DOWNS
9 plays · 17 yds · 1:585% → 4%
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
95.2%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to David Martin-RobinsonSimilar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
95.6%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Travon Williams for 7 yds to the Temp 42Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+2
95.6%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Travon Williams for 2 yds to the Temp 44Similar
Q4 10:40
4TH & 2
OWN 44
+5
95.9%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Travon Williams for 5 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
95.8%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jadan BlueSimilar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
95.8%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 5 yds to the SMU 46Similar
Q4 9:49
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
95.8%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jadan BlueSimilar
Q4 9:41
4TH & 5
OPP 46
-2
95.9%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jager Gardner for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 28TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 2:0997% → 100%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
97.1%
Xavier Jones run for 3 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+19
97.2%
Xavier Jones run for 19 yds to the Temp 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
97.3%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+17
97.3%
Shane Buechele run for 4 yds to the Temp 26 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, Personal Foul (13 Yards) to the Temp 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
97.4%
Xavier Jones run for 2 yds to the Temp 11 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, Personal Foul (6 Yards) to the Temp 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
97.4%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Kylen GransonSimilar
Q4 7:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.5%
Xavier Jones 5 Yd pass from Shane Buechele (Kevin Robledo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:151% → 1%
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.1%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 4 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
99.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Re'Mahn Davis for no gain to the Temp 34Similar
Q4 6:04
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
99.2%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q4 5:50
4TH & 6
OWN 34
-6
99.2%
Adam Barry punt for 45 yds for a 1ST down , CJ Sanders returns for a loss of 6 yards to the SMU 28 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the SMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 30END OF GAME
12 plays · 65 yds · 5:30100% → 100%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.6%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for no gain to the SMU 30Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+9
99.6%
Derek Green run for 9 yds to the SMU 39Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 1
OWN 39
0
99.6%
TaMerik Williams run for no gain to the SMU 39Similar
Q4 4:00
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+5
99.6%
TJ McDaniel run for 5 yds to the SMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
99.7%
TJ McDaniel run for 4 yds to the SMU 48Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
99.7%
Derek Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:13
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+17
99.7%
Derek Green run for 17 yds to the Temp 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
99.8%
TJ McDaniel run for 8 yds to the Temp 27Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+6
99.8%
TJ McDaniel run for 6 yds to the Temp 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
99.8%
TJ McDaniel run for 2 yds to the Temp 19Similar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+13
99.8%
Derek Green run for 13 yds to the Temp 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
99.8%
TaMerik Williams run for 1 yd to the Temp 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:09
Anthony Russo 1 Yd Run (Will Mobley Kick)
-13.9
TD · Q4 11:54
Reggie Roberson Jr. 60 Yd pass from Shane Buechele (Kevin Robledo Kick)
+10.2
TD · Q3 8:22
Kylen Granson 10 Yd pass from Shane Buechele (Kevin Robledo Kick)
+9.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com